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Northern Rock (NRK)     

irlee57 - 13 Aug 2007 09:03

any comments, thoughts, on this stock.

hewittalan6 - 25 Sep 2007 18:45 - 386 of 1029

Deutsch Bank are the latest to advise me of changes to their lending practices for sub prime loans.
Reduced LTV, higher underwriting scores and reduced maximum loans.
The problem is more widespread than many commentators think. DB are not small fry by any means.
Alan

hewittalan6 - 25 Sep 2007 18:46 - 387 of 1029

PS,
Birmingham Midshires and Morgan Stanley have also restricted their offerings in similar vein. 2 more you could easily call big players.

janetbennison - 25 Sep 2007 19:45 - 388 of 1029

news out that the company has had a few approaches from various companies. have a look at this latest news and see what you make of it. news on money am.

moneyman - 25 Sep 2007 19:55 - 389 of 1029

Take a look at this link showing various analyst valuations which are around 4

http://www.newratings.com/companies/headlines.asp?isin=GB0001452795

Strong potential upside along with todays bid news is excellent for the longs.

The cancelling of the dividend will add liquidity and help the recovery.

janetbennison - 25 Sep 2007 20:10 - 390 of 1029

now that barkclays have admitted to having a 5.2% shares in northern rock then they would make a good buyer of this company. This news is the latest nrk news on money am. Its all down to what price now.

smiler o - 25 Sep 2007 20:37 - 391 of 1029

Action group

Following a run on the bank, the government pledged to guarantee all Northern Rock deposits held in accounts as of midnight, 19 September.

The cancellation of the dividend is another blow for shareholders, who have now joined forces in an action group to promote their interests.

The group has been set up by the UK Shareholders Association (UKSA), which says "many shareholders were persuaded to invest in shares in the company in recent months based on the apparent strength of the business when in reality the company was in great financial difficulty".

The group is opposed to a quick disposal of Northern Rock that might not reflect the true value of its assets.

Shares in the bank - which have lost nearly 75% of their value since it was forced to seek emergency funding - slipped a further 5.2% on Tuesday.

Guscavalier - 25 Sep 2007 20:47 - 392 of 1029

hlyeo98--Have been reading today's posts with interest. If the interim dividend cancalation was announced before the market closed, then that factor is probably discounted in the sp. If the Company is to continue it needs to conserve cash and this cancalation is the right move.

hewittalan6--I think Birmingham Midshires is wholly owned by HBOS ?

janetbennison--I am not too sure whether Barclays have management control of the full stake. ie part may be held as nominees. Still I'm sure the press will have something to say about it.

Guscavalier - 25 Sep 2007 21:11 - 393 of 1029

smiler 0-- re action group. I can see that the cancalation of dividend is a blow if you were expecting the dividend but, further on, it may be seen to of helped to keep the Company trading during these tricky times and assist in presenting a better position in any buy out. As regards investors buying shares based on apparent strength, with all shares, you pay your money and take your chance. Unless the relevant facts were not disclosed in the accounts or announcements I cannot see how there is a case. The FSA didn't seem to think there was any problem. What the majority of the experts failed to see was the weakness with NRK's way of doing business, when wholesale money markets seized up. I agree that the Board should avoid a fire sale of assets.

halifax - 25 Sep 2007 21:16 - 394 of 1029

Just waiting for director resignations. Mr Applegarth will be only too happy to get away from the mess he has created.

Guscavalier - 25 Sep 2007 21:31 - 395 of 1029

I do not think you can place the blame solely on him. Banks are regulated and it is very easy to blame people with hindsight. You must look further a field. I wouldn't be surprised if regulation passing to the FSA from the BOE was a weakness and we may find this changes again in the future. Mr A had a large holding in NRK so I don't think he was doing things in other than good faith. Market conditions that most of bankers did not see coming found him out. Moreover, if matters were dealt with more quietly, as it would have happenend years ago, we would not have seen anything like the current mess.

mojo47 - 25 Sep 2007 22:09 - 396 of 1029

Can they say one day that they will pay the divi and then the next say no we wont.. a lot of people might have hung on just for the divi,

seawallwalker - 25 Sep 2007 23:00 - 397 of 1029

You must be joking mojo.

The non payment of the div is expected by those who have the foresight to take note of what has been widely reported over the last 2 weeks.

If some thought they would get a divi then they must be extremely stupid.

cynic - 26 Sep 2007 08:22 - 398 of 1029

sp this morning is enjoying a surge, presumably on the back of rumoured bids various ..... however, at the end of the day it is still almost inconceivable that the shareholders will be left with anything, even if a bid of some kind does emerge.

HARRYCAT - 26 Sep 2007 08:23 - 399 of 1029

That's a bit harsh, seawall.
The company has continually confirmed that the divi would be paid. They even took legal advice to see if they could withdraw it, the result of which was that they again confirmed that the divi would be paid. The announcement to default was made at 15.30 on tuesday, which was one hour before the markets closed & which was the last day to be registered to receive the divi. It was not obvious that it would be withdrawn, imo, though it was obvious that they wanted to withdraw it.

mojo47 - 26 Sep 2007 08:36 - 400 of 1029

So thats the same as the bank saying they would lend them cash if you needed it and then when N R asked for it the bank for the money the bank saying no sorry. so all in all you cant trust the b............ what ever they say

Guscavalier - 26 Sep 2007 08:46 - 401 of 1029

I appreciate your point cynic but, your worst case scenario must surely only come to pass if the BOE withdraw support. With the new large shareholders plus other private investers buying stakes recently, that must be conservatively 20%. If the BOE/ Government are seen to be promoting a rout it could prove very expensive for them(thats politicians) publically. It is going to be a very interesting time.

cynic - 26 Sep 2007 09:05 - 402 of 1029

no .... PXC is not a bad example on a much smaller scale .... any buyer will either cherry-pick bits and pieces or pay effectively zero for thw whole

Guscavalier - 26 Sep 2007 09:24 - 403 of 1029

Yes... but they have to be allowed to cherry pick. Your arguement infers that the shareholders have no choice & support is withdrawn. Moreover, NRK have put up collateral and are paying interest. What price NRK will achieve I dont know but, I shall be most surprised if the result for shareholders is Zero.

cynic - 26 Sep 2007 10:01 - 404 of 1029

you could easily be surprised then! ...... lonhg long article in today's Telegraph, but it set out the 3 likely or possible scenarios (scenarii?) ...... the conclusion was that in each event the shareholders will be left with ZERO! ...... in fcat, that would suit BoE and gov't very well, for they have been castigated in various quarters for even offering NRK depositors and mortgagees any lifeline at all, so to effectively bail out the shareholders would lead to a massive and arguably justified hue and cry.

steveo - 26 Sep 2007 10:29 - 405 of 1029

I agree with Cynic, it doesn't look good, today should have been a big fillip, but the market is unimpressed, share will continue to drift, maybe not as dramatically as the last two weeks, I increased my short this am around the peak, also short on AL., sentiment is against them, bernanke put is going to be a temporary boost to markets but I expect that the Bear market is definitely here for financials at least.
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