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Thomas Cook Group PLC (TCG)     

goldfinger - 03 Aug 2010 08:03

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=TCG&Si

Results out soon in August.

Broker recos look very bullish and why not on a P/E of just over 6 to 2011.....

Thomas Cook Group PLC

FORECASTS 2010 2011
Date Rec Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Panmure Gordon
02-08-10 BUY 319.00 27.10 11.30 338.00 28.70 12.40

Exane BNP Paribas
02-08-10 BUY 116.00 26.62 10.75 319.00 28.87 11.66

Numis Securities Ltd
02-08-10 ADD 324.20 27.60 11.25 357.10 29.90 11.81

Oriel Securities
02-08-10 BUY 330.40 28.40 11.40 363.50 31.30 12.10

KBC Peel Hunt Ltd
30-07-10 BUY 301.06 25.22 10.75 313.36 26.23 10.93

WestLB
30-07-10 SELL 28.81 11.52 29.91 11.96

Shore Capital
30-07-10 HOLD 312.00 26.50 11.80 347.00 29.50 13.00

Charles Stanley Securities
15-06-10 HOLD

Evolution Securities Ltd
11-02-10 None

Investec Securities [R]
09-02-10 BUY 327.00 27.30 11.74 352.23 29.39 12.49

Fyshe Horton Finney Ltd
25-01-10 BUY

Collins Stewart
24-12-09 BUY

Nomura Research Institute
25-09-09 RED

2010 2011
Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 316.42 26.98 11.36 342.50 29.39 11.96

1 Month Change 1.07 -0.22 0.01 3.43 -0.14 -0.14
3 Month Change -11.92 -1.09 -0.05 -11.79 -1.00 -0.44


GROWTH
2009 (A) 2010 (E) 2011 (E)

Norm. EPS 2.76% 0.38% 8.92%
DPS 14.03% 10.80% 5.26%

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2009 (A) 2010 (E) 2011 (E)

EBITDA �574.90m �589.69m �613.90m
EBIT �372.50m �420.55m �447.05m
Dividend Yield 5.38% 5.96% 6.27%
Dividend Cover 2.62x 2.38x 2.46x
PER 7.10x 7.07x 6.49x
PEG 2.57f 18.55f 0.73f
Net Asset Value PS -240.80p 224.47p 240.43p

cynic - 21 Feb 2013 17:08 - 535 of 1559

i was very happy to bank a(nother) respectable profit here this morning

goldfinger - 22 Feb 2013 09:19 - 536 of 1559

Well like you always say cyners a profit is a profit and I respect a man who can do that and move on.

Personaly I still think theirs a lot more left in it. Im holding and may add.

cynic - 22 Feb 2013 09:41 - 537 of 1559

there may well be, and depending on how the markets behave, i may come in again ...... meanwhile, i took a profit on a dow long, then short, and am now long again and well in the money ..... took a smallish loss on C+M Index, but now back in again long, and have recovered that loss at least on paper - all in all, quite satisfactory in a tricky time

goldfinger - 22 Feb 2013 10:19 - 538 of 1559

Well done..... cyners think you are the best trader ive seen on the markets. thats a long time in my case 30 year plus.

Mind I didnt become a trader until I retired in 2008 then i was a contrarian mid term investor.

Some think Ive done the wrong thing, but i love the day to day action.

Only got fishing................................. and drinking as an alternative.

cynic - 22 Feb 2013 10:33 - 539 of 1559

i'm not - i'm absolute crap, though i not only own up to successes, but also to (most of!) my crap calls

goldfinger - 22 Feb 2013 11:45 - 540 of 1559

LOL......... bull again.

Some of your buys when nothing appeared on the cards were brilliant.

Tell U this tho ........ you are a good manager.

Illl take a good manager of a portfolio over a good stock picker any time.

skinny - 22 Feb 2013 11:47 - 541 of 1559

L&G > 3%

goldfinger - 22 Feb 2013 11:53 - 542 of 1559

Brilll

Skinny are u in and at what Sp, sorry if u dont want answer that. my appoligies

skinny - 22 Feb 2013 12:01 - 543 of 1559

1st purchase @24.06 sold some @39.4, bought more @35.84 sold some....last purchase @85 ..... etc etc.

Most of it is probably on this thread if you want to go back to November (ish)

HARRYCAT - 26 Feb 2013 11:58 - 544 of 1559

You guys still hanging on here, or been stopped out?

cynic - 26 Feb 2013 12:02 - 545 of 1559

sticky - and i'm glad i sold up here (banked the profit) a few days ago too - as posted!

skinny - 26 Feb 2013 12:34 - 546 of 1559

Harry - yep, still got some.

goldfinger - 26 Feb 2013 13:30 - 547 of 1559

Yep still very much in. Did sell most a few weeks back on concerns of rights issue. Think I was posting with doodle bug about it.

Repurchased the lot and still nicely in profit.

Dont forget one broker with SP target of 155p now.

Think its jeffries.

goldfinger - 26 Feb 2013 13:35 - 548 of 1559

Starting to use sept contracts. Gives far more breathing space even if losing a point or two of profit.

doodlebug4 - 26 Feb 2013 15:20 - 549 of 1559

HARRYCAT, I'm still hanging on as I see no reason to sell just because the markets are having a couple of bad days. The next two or three weeks should see this hit 120 - 130p - the only thing to stop that happening would be a constant downward spiral of the FTSE. imo And I can't really be bothered trading this share -buy/sell/buy, it's always been a long term hold for me since 22p.

goldfinger - 26 Feb 2013 15:29 - 550 of 1559

Just a thought but do TCG gain entry to ftse 250? next week.

If they do trackers have to buy.

doodlebug4 - 26 Feb 2013 17:20 - 551 of 1559

Supposed to be gaining entry goldfinger. I think the date is 6th March before we find out and then we have another statement from Harriet Green to look forward to on the 13th March.

HARRYCAT - 27 Feb 2013 11:18 - 552 of 1559

Hmmm.....I suppose this may be the fallout (no pun intended) from the Egyptian hot air balloon accident?

doodlebug4 - 27 Feb 2013 12:27 - 553 of 1559

Unfortunately quite a few muppet shorters are crawling all over various bulletin boards - thankfully not this one - claiming that the accident was Thomas Cook's fault. The balloon was owned and operated by a company called Sky Cruise and the people who were killed were on a Thomas Cook package holiday staying at a five star hotel.

cynic - 27 Feb 2013 15:44 - 554 of 1559

that sort of "guilt by association" is often seen, but as far as i am concerned, it allowed me to buy back in cheaper at 88.50 than my sale of same a few days ago (94.75 from memory)
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