PapalPower
- 05 Feb 2006 04:44


23rd Aug 2006 Write Up :
http://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/articles/article.asp?EKA


Main Web Site : http://www.eurekamining.co.uk
EKA is now a Molybdenum producer in Kazahkstan, and is in the process of bringing the Chelyabinsk Copper/Gold project into production in 2008.
Latest Presentation June 2006 : Presentation Link (10MB PPT file)
Research Report : http://www.fox-davies.com/FDC_Eureka_Report_220605.pdf
26th Jan 2006 Press Commentary : Press Link
About Eureka Mining
Key contact : Mr Kevin Foo Non-Exec Chairman
E-Mail : kevin.foo@eurekamining.co.uk
Eureka Mining Plc is a UK based mining exploration and project development company, focusing on projects in the Former Soviet Union. It is the Companys view that Kazakhstan and other central Asian FSU countries represent an area of significant opportunity. This belief is supported by the quality of the portfolio of assets which Eureka has acquired including;
the Shorskoye molybdenum deposit;
the acquisition of the Chelyabinsk Copper Project; and
the advanced exploration projects of Kentau, Mykubinsk and Central Kazakhstan projects. The Mykubinsk and Central Kazakhstan polymetallic project has assets situated in northern Kazakhstan and the Kentau exploration project has identified several gold and base metal deposits.
Shorskoye Molybdenum Project:
50/50 JV with KazAtomProm, largest Kazakhstan State Mining Company
Production projected for 1st Qtr 2006
Project Finance in place
Chelyabinsk Copper Project
Production planned for 2008
Very large resource base with with 3.57Mt Cu / 4.2Moz Au
First western group into Russian Copper Heartland and consequential opportunities in base metals
Kazakhstan Exploration Projects
At the Dostyk Copper-Gold Projects in Central Kazakhstan, we have reviewed all historical data and identified at least six drill targets, with particular focus on base metal projects. During 2004, we drilled five projects and completed significant field activity on two projects, including the high priority targets Berezky Central, Maiozek, Akkuduk (porphyry style), Ushtagan (epithermal gold), Maikain, Baygustam and Burovoy (VMS). We intend to focus on the most promising of these deposits in 2005/2006.
The Kentau Project in southern Kazakhstan has undergone an extensive data review, with a comprehensive Geographic Information Systems database being created. This has enabled us to plan a focused exploration programme on previously identified targets. Drilling is expected to commence in May 2005 at two of the best targets, using a large Reverse Circulation (RC) rig.
We entered into an option agreement to acquire the Nova Dnieprovka (Nova) Gold Mine in northern Kazakhstan. However, after a thorough assessment and reinterpretation of the project, including the completion of a drilling programme, we decided not to exercise the option and purchase agreement over the Nova project.
Our exploration and assessment teams are continuously reviewing potential projects for Eureka across the FSU and only the very best are selected for further work.
__________________________________________________________________
Some figures to think about (thanks to unionhall)
Current Market cap (@ 1.37) - 36m
Chelyabinsk NPV 508m (@ $1.60 copper and $550 Gold)
Shorskoye - 10m profit p/a @ $20 Moly
Major shareholders
Latest major holder figures are, from 26.6 million shares in issue :
Celtic Resources hold 15.02%
RAB Capital hold 6.19%
Kevin Foo holds 3.43% (Director)
David Bartley holds 3.02% (Director)
Malcom James holds 1.070% (Director)
Andrzej Sliwa holds 0.76% (Director)
JSB holds 0.177% (Director)
Latest News / Links / Research Reports
Reserach Report : http://www.fox-davies.com/FDC_Eureka_Report_220605.pdf
25th April 2006 Moly Update :
http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=19141
2006 Moly Report : http://www.golden-phoenix.com/documents/TheEconomicsofMolybdenum.pdf
____________________________________________________________________

The Company has used an average molybdenum price of US$19/lb throughout the first year and US$12/lb thereafter to calculate cash flows arising from the project.
(*Note : Molybdenum does not trade on the London Metals Exchange or any other publicly traded commodity exchange. Its price is determined solely by supply/demand in the marketplace and supply contracts. In a report dated Oct. 28, 2005, RBC Capital Markets forecast that 2006 and 2007 molybdenum prices would be approximately US$25/lb and US$15/lb, respectively [source: RBC Capital Markets, Global Base Metal Equity and Commodity Report Card, company reports].*)
How will the Moly be processed ? Eureka pulled off a deal with KazAtProm.Eureka has 15-year access to state-owned KazAtomProm's processing facilities, which will allow the company to start producing molybdenum concentrate in February.The processing plant also handles other minerals.The proximity of the plant to the Chinese border, allows for quick, cheap and simple transport links to a major demand area for Moly
Implementation and schedule of Moly production
Utilising the Stepnogorsk processing facility allows Eureka to develop the Shorskoye asset and take advantage of the buoyant molybdenum market, commencing mining in Q3 05 and saleable concentrate by Q1 06. The key project milestones are:
August 2005 - award contracts
August 2005 - first blast and ore to crusher
September 2005 - first ore to Stepnogorsk
October 2005 - first equipment to Stepnogorsk
February 2006 - concentrator commissioning (Stepnogorsk)
February 2006 - Chelyabinsk 100% purchased by Eureka
May 2006 - first production from Stepnogorsk (Skorshoye)
____________________________________________________________________
Molybdenum Information Links
http://www.freemarketnews.com/Analysis/60/3742/2006-02-10.asp?wid=60&nid=3742
http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/reser092205.html
http://321energy.com/editorials/fross/fross120605.html
http://www.cozine.com/archive/cc2005/01370511.html
At 25$ / lb Moly prices : (Shorskoye Project)
2006 Moly production = 600,000 lbs = 14.7 million dollars sales price
2007 Moly production = 1,200,000 lbs = 29.4 million dollars sales price
2008 Moly production = 1,200,000 lbs = 29.4 million dollars sales price
2009 Moly production = 1,200,000 lbs = 29.4 million dollars sales price
2010 etc etc etc
___________________________________________________________
Recent Director Buying :
Kevin Foo BUY 5,000 on 21 June 2006 @ 81p
Kevin Foo BUY 18,000 on 21 June 2006 @ 90.3p
Kevin Foo BUY 9,000 on 22 June 2006 @ 92pb>
PapalPower
- 05 Feb 2006 05:00
- 6 of 213
Some basic info on 2006 and 2007 Moly price forecasts in the link below, which is good as Eureka have used levels of 19 and 12 for year 1 and 2 for their project cash flow forecasts, so these expected higher levels offer upside :) and of course the latest drive into alternative fuels and process, is a big boost to Moly, which is used in many of these applications, see the links above :
Link Click Here
PapalPower
- 05 Feb 2006 12:51
- 7 of 213
It is a good article in the link above and also conforms to the consensus that Moly prices will be above those taken in the EKA cash flow projections, meaning more money for profits.
We also must not forget the bullish outlook on copper, which if Chelyabinsk news is good, then demands that EKA takes a serious re-rating upwards.
PapalPower
- 05 Feb 2006 23:07
- 8 of 213
Moly prices now look to be rising, which was expect into the end of Q1/start of Q2. An average price of 25$ or more in 2006 is certainly looking on.
Link for latest prices
From the link you provided :
Indium
99.99%min European market
950-990 usd/kg
Manganese Flake
99.7%min European market
1280-1330 usd/mt
Molybdenum Oxide
57%min European market
25.5-26.5 usd/lb Mo
Selenium
99.9%min European market
31-33 usd/lb
Silicon
4-4-1 European market
1250-1280 eur/mt
Tungsten APT
88.5%min European market
265-275 usd/mtu
Vanadium Pentoxide
98%min European market
8.0-9.0 usd/lb VO5
PapalPower
- 06 Feb 2006 09:40
- 9 of 213
Nice to see the rises continue, now we need DB to do the business today or tomorrow and give us the good news :)
PapalPower
- 06 Feb 2006 15:47
- 10 of 213
Its looking good, what a nice intraday chart :)
silvermede
- 06 Feb 2006 16:29
- 11 of 213
Cracking start to the week Papal, has news leaked or is it just the Moly price that's driving this?
Thanks for the work on this new thread, succint repository of info.
PapalPower
- 06 Feb 2006 16:39
- 12 of 213
The NEWS IS OUT for EKA - CHELYABINSK 100% owned by EUREKA !! Read the Fox Davies report link for forecast price of EKA with Moly and now with Chelyabinsk :)
http://www.fox-davies.com/FDC_Eureka_Report_220605.pdf
Here we go, up through 200p and more to come...............the full RNS is much longer than the highlights below and full of information !
RNS Number:9954X
Eureka Mining PLC
06 February 2006
Eureka Mining PLC
("Eureka" or "the Company")
06 February 2006
Eureka acquires 100% ownership of the
Chelyabinsk Copper/Gold Project, Russia and announces results of Scoping Study
* Ownership increased to 100% by payment of US$6 million
* Confirmation of good and unencumbered title received
* Miheevskoye Scoping study demonstrates robust economics
* NPV(10%) of US$257m and IRR of 23.6%, at US$1.00/lb copper and US$400/oz gold
* Capital cost estimate US$342m and cash costs of US$0.39/lb before credits
* Start-up scheduled for 2008
Acquisition of 100% of Chelyabinsk Copper Company
tallsiii
- 06 Feb 2006 16:47
- 13 of 213
Fantastic news. Just managed to catch another 60K at 136/7 before the market close. I would expect that buy alone to net me a good 10k tomorrow!
tallsiii
- 06 Feb 2006 16:51
- 14 of 213
If you look at the difference between the NPV with copper at $1 and $1.10 and with gold at $400 and $425, you can exptrapolate that the current prices of copper and gold would lead to a NPV of well over 20 times the current market cap of the company.
tallsiii
- 06 Feb 2006 17:01
- 15 of 213
Adding 10 cents to copper price and 25 cents to the gold price adds $109m to the NPV.
So with a copper price of $1.70 and a gold price of $575, you could add 7 times $109 to the NPV of $257m. That would give a total NPV of over $1000m (580m), 17 times the current Market Cap (34m) of EKA. The copper price is in fact way above $1.70 at the moment, but using that price allows for a simple calculation.
PapalPower
- 06 Feb 2006 17:13
- 16 of 213
tallsiii, you must have got what I wanted, I tried for a 20K final top up, no chance, all was flying and shut down quickly.
The figures are mind boggling, VOG had its day in the sun, now its sister company EKA to have the fun.
silvermede
- 06 Feb 2006 17:14
- 17 of 213
Brilliant news, the only way is up. No doubt the MMs will jump on this one tomorrow morning!
tallsiii
- 06 Feb 2006 17:21
- 18 of 213
2 by the end of the week!
PapalPower
- 06 Feb 2006 17:27
- 19 of 213
Moly prices rising, Copper outlook bullish, and now everything in place for EKA, it is wonderful news.
The Fox Davies reports gives target prices, and its all in the link above.
tallsiii
- 06 Feb 2006 17:37
- 20 of 213
Copper prices are currently at $4900. I think that equates to $2.45 per lb. Moly should hopefully pick from it's current downtrend and the cash should start rolling in for EKA. Once that starts happening I can't see the SP stopping short of 10!
PapalPower
- 06 Feb 2006 17:50
- 21 of 213
Some figures to think about (thanks to unionhall)
Current Market cap (@ 1.37) - 36m
Chelyabinsk NPV 508m (@ $1.60 copper and $550 Gold)
Shorskoye - 10m profit p/a @ $20 Moly
PapalPower
- 07 Feb 2006 00:09
- 22 of 213
This should be heading way higher tomorrow :)
PapalPower
- 07 Feb 2006 11:18
- 23 of 213
Certainly is heading higher. Target price for 2008 will be over 500p, so we should see a nice rising trend into that :)
PapalPower
- 09 Feb 2006 16:42
- 24 of 213
Looks like the profit takers are out after the news, and now we edge up slowely into the next major news, that Moly production is on line, should be around the end of March :)
PapalPower
- 11 Feb 2006 01:38
- 25 of 213