http://www.oilbarrel.com/nc/news/display_news/article/ascent-resources-closes-enquest-deal-as-key-slovenian-well-nears-target-depth/860.html
February 07, 2011
Ascent Resources Closes EnQuest Deal As Key Slovenian Well Nears Target Depth
Shares in Ascent Resources have doubled since September as the AIM-quoted E&P has re-geared to focus its efforts on its flagship project, the Petişovci/Lovaszi tight gas project that straddles the Hungarian/Slovenian border. In December, the company announced it was acquiring an additional 48.75 per cent stake in the Petiovci project on the Slovenian side through an equity deal with FTSE 250 company EnQuest. In return EnQuest will take an initial 22.5 per cent stake in Ascent, worth 12.83 million, and appoint its head of business development Graham Cooper to the Ascent Board.
The deal sees Ascent increase its exposure to the prospective deep reservoirs of Petişovci increase to 75 per cent (58.1 per cent on a diluted basis for existing shareholders), secure technical support from EnQuest and the insight of Cooper, a former Shell geologist.
December also saw the company spud the Pg-11 well, the first well to be drilled into the core Petiovci field area in 30 years. This is a vertical well, which will be drilled to 3,000 metres, and its been designed to gather as much data as possible using state-of-the-art wireline logging and core sampling. The well will be used to recalibrate the 3D seismic and, because its drilling into a seismic bright spot, the company is hoping it will be a region with better reservoir characteristics.
At the time of writing, the well was at 2,799 metres within the Miocene reservoir sequence, about one week off schedule due to some difficulties with the drilling equipment. Strong gas shows have been observed from each of the four reservoir intervals so far encountered and two short openhole tests have been attempted, one recovering gas to surface from the historically non-productive and shallowest A sands while the test on the D sands was aborted due to downhole tool problems. Once the well reaches TD, logs will be run over the entire reservoir section with preliminary results due later this month.
Analysts at Fox Davies Capital, which rates the stock a BUY with a 20 pence price target (the shares are currently at 8 pence), saw the EnQuest deal as positive. On the progress of the Pg-11 well, they said: Although recovering gas from the A sands is encouraging there is not sufficient information on the quantity and duration of the test to make a judgement. There is still much work to be done to achieve commercial gas production form the Petisvocis tight sands.
William Arnstein at finnCap also saw the initial results as encouraging, with strong gas shows observed in four reservoir intervals and gas recovered from a previously unproductive zone during a short openhole test. That said, we would caution that it is too early to draw conclusions regarding its commercial potential and that further analysis will be required to determine any redevelopment strategy for the field as a whole following completion of the well.
The Petisvoci field, and its Hungarian continuation, have been extensively drilled at the shallow levels since the 1940s, with some 125 wells on the Slovenian side and 400 on the Hungarian side. These wells targeted shallow oil and gas reservoirs, which have been largely depleted, so Ascent is targeting the deeper, gas rich Miocence reservoirs, where a cumulative total of just 9 bcf of gas has been produced from the more than 400 bcf gas-in-place estimate.
As Ascent points out, if only half of that P50 estimate is recoverable then the 42 million market cap company is still looking at a significant share, 75 per cent post Enquest deal, of a 200 bcf redevelopment project, making it comparable to many North Sea developments. Yet this is an onshore project in a country where drilling is relatively cheap, gas prices are high and theres plentiful nearby infrastructure to bring production quickly onstream. The key will be getting these tight rocks to flow at commercial rates; this month should reveal more about this.