overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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Douggie
- 17 Feb 2006 13:39
- 655 of 1009
nope it's RED !!!!!!!!!!!
pachandl
- 17 Feb 2006 14:25
- 656 of 1009
Bugger - I spoke too soon - next time I will keep my mouth shut when I see the sp turn blue.
Fred1new
- 17 Feb 2006 14:56
- 657 of 1009
No. For God sake can't we just send Douggie on holiday! Or even sacrifice him to rhe gods.
8-)
optomistic
- 17 Feb 2006 15:03
- 658 of 1009
I'm sure it can't be Douggies fault.......but what are you buying next Douggie? :-)
pachandl
- 17 Feb 2006 16:37
- 659 of 1009
So it was blue after all - but only marginally so unfortunately I have no money to send Douggie on holiday (even after he answers Opto).
Douggie
- 17 Feb 2006 19:09
- 660 of 1009
Hi all.......yes I am sure it is my fault..especialy as it was my umpteenth birthday yesterday.
I won't be buying anything untill I can take a prifit here.........
and I'm NOT taking any profit 'till we pass 200p....that is my punishment for not selling this time last year when I knew I should!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
optomistic
- 17 Feb 2006 19:30
- 661 of 1009
That's the way Douggie, hang on in there and BTW Happy birthday.
Fred1new
- 18 Feb 2006 09:21
- 662 of 1009
To Keep Douggie happy. I bought a few more on Thurday. I am not making a takeover bid yet, but I beginning to move in that direction.
Looking at the Charts (and my stars) I think we should have a positive week ahead.
skyhigh
- 18 Feb 2006 13:19
- 663 of 1009
Hope so.. I'm 50% up from a yr ago... expect to be 100% up soon,, then I'm out...
boxerdog
- 19 Feb 2006 08:45
- 664 of 1009
Douggie,guaranteed to cheer you up!!!.Excellent article in mail on sunday re.Retail decisions.Very positive culminating in a BUY!!!!!.recommendation. Last paragraph reads,'MIDAS VERDICT.RETAIL DECISIONS HAS STRONG POSITIONS IN EXPANDING MARKETS.PROFITS FOR 2006 COULD WELL TOP 12 MILLION,HELPED BY THE RECENT ACQUISITIONS.THE CURRENT SHARE PRICE OF 1.47 FAILS TO RECOGNISE ITS GROWTH POTENTIAL.buy!!!!!!!.
Such a statement reiterates postings on several BB's but this must carry credenceas,midas rarely calls it wrong.
skyhigh
- 19 Feb 2006 11:06
- 665 of 1009
Good post, thanks Boxerdog >>> Sounds cool ! looks good ! Bring it on !
Fred1new
- 19 Feb 2006 11:19
- 666 of 1009
SKy, I think this could be one for the future. It will probably wobble as usual on the results. If the results are as good as expected then the SP will probably drop back to recover nicely over the following 6ths. I have put some in my kids SIPPS as long term holds.
If you are a successful trader you may be smart enough to get in and out. I am not so.
arawli
- 19 Feb 2006 15:16
- 667 of 1009
MIDAS SHARE TIPS
Fuel cards power a new boom
Midas is edited by Ben laurence
19 February 2006
STOCK market tales of boom to bust do not come much worse than this.
Retail Decisions saw its shares spike at the tail-end of the tech bubble. Two years later, they had lost more than 99% of their peak value.
But the company, whose roots lie in helping retailers to spot customers using stolen credit cards, has reinvented itself.
It is still involved in fraud prevention, particularly when charge cards and credit cards are used for transactions over the phone and via the internet, but now it makes most of its cash in the more humdrum business of operating fuel cards.
These are issued by companies to their lorry and van drivers to pay for petrol and diesel when they are out on the road. Drivers need not carry cash as the companies are billed direct for the fuel put into their vehicles.
Most of Retail Decisions' fuel card business is in Australia, but three months ago it bought a similar business, Fuelserv, which operates in Europe. The 21.5m deal was financed partly through debt and partly through a share placing.
In broad terms, the money a fuel card operator receives is a percentage of the value of each transaction. So rising fuel costs mean higher profits. Soon after the Fuelserv deal, Retail Decisions announced another, which took it into the 'stored value cards' market. It paid 12.9m cash for E Com Industries in Australia. Analysts reckon E Com could turn in operating profits of 2.5m in 2007.
A stored value card is in essence an electronic gift voucher. A customer hands over money for the card, which is then loaded electronically with that amount of credit. The card is given to someone who can then spend the credit either with the issuing retailer or a group of stores.
The same principle could be used in future for transactions such as social security payments.
And it could be dovetailed with the present fuel card operation, enabling Retail Decisions to offer a pre-pay fuel card.
Retail Decisions is due to report figures for 2005 on March 3. Midas is usually hesitant about tipping shares just before a company issues results, but investors can confidently expect profits of about 8m, giving earnings per share of about 9p.
Last month, forecasts were increased after chief executive Carl Clump said trading across the company was 'better than expected'.
Midas verdict: Retail Decisions has strong positions in expanding markets. Profits for 2006 could well top 12m, helped by the recent acquisitions. The current share price of 147p fails to recognise its growth potential. Buy.
Douggie
- 20 Feb 2006 09:33
- 669 of 1009
morning All :o)
pachandl
- 20 Feb 2006 11:28
- 670 of 1009
Certainly no mourning today but will it keep the gains? With T10s being opened in the run up to the results (plus today's "artificial" spurt caused by Midas tip) there is a possibility that the price might react quite badly at the end of next week unless the results are really good. Anyway, here's hoping for an accelerated uptrend.
Douggie
- 21 Feb 2006 10:25
- 671 of 1009
......... RED .......!!!!!..???????????????..;-[
Fred1new
- 21 Feb 2006 10:44
- 672 of 1009
Patience Douggie, patience. wait until 3/3/2006. Many are looking and waiting for results.
TO ME, all the TA looks favourable and promising at the moment.
optomistic
- 21 Feb 2006 10:57
- 673 of 1009
It does Fred, it's the share price that is not conforming :-)
Douggie
- 22 Feb 2006 09:50
- 674 of 1009
.. :o[ ..... I'm not happy !