overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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Fred1new
- 21 Feb 2006 10:44
- 672 of 1009
Patience Douggie, patience. wait until 3/3/2006. Many are looking and waiting for results.
TO ME, all the TA looks favourable and promising at the moment.
optomistic
- 21 Feb 2006 10:57
- 673 of 1009
It does Fred, it's the share price that is not conforming :-)
Douggie
- 22 Feb 2006 09:50
- 674 of 1009
.. :o[ ..... I'm not happy !
pachandl
- 22 Feb 2006 12:18
- 675 of 1009
Pull yourself together Douggie and have a stiff brandy (it's after 12.00) - you will soon start smiling.
Fred1new
- 22 Feb 2006 16:49
- 676 of 1009
I think it is time to be serious about sacrificing Douggie to the Share God.
I think a vote would be appropriate. All those in favour say Aye.
Patience is needed, but how much more.
pachandl
- 22 Feb 2006 17:00
- 677 of 1009
I think that in the light of Douggie's current silence it would seem he has already sacrified himself to the Brandy God. Redemption is now impossible.
Douggie
- 22 Feb 2006 17:06
- 678 of 1009
Aye
Douggie
- 23 Feb 2006 17:13
- 679 of 1009
...............!
Douggie
- 24 Feb 2006 19:11
- 680 of 1009
Great week wasn't it ............... :-[[[
Fred1new
- 25 Feb 2006 00:09
- 681 of 1009
Douggie, Soon you will think that the 28/2/06 is your birthday all over again!
pachandl
- 26 Feb 2006 12:21
- 682 of 1009
I think that the pull-back after the Midas tip clearly shows that investors are still uncertain whether "trading above expectations" simply means "in line with increased market cap" or whether it reflects increased cost-savings from synergies of merger. Forward-looking statements next Friday as regards the remainder of the year (esp assimilation of recent acquisitions) will be key to any future sp growth.
m12rtn
- 26 Feb 2006 17:48
- 683 of 1009
They never said "trading above expectations" look for yorrself at the statement they made.
boxerdog
- 26 Feb 2006 18:44
- 684 of 1009
m12rtn , is the point your making that what was said was, "trading above expectations for final quarter"?.
BD.
Douggie
- 28 Feb 2006 10:25
- 685 of 1009
Mournin ALL here we go again ;o\
pachandl
- 28 Feb 2006 13:31
- 686 of 1009
m12rtn - apologies if I mislead anyone by using the quotation marks. My point, however, remains valid. No-one yet knos how far above current expectations the level profit will be, to what extent this is owing to cost synergies or increased sales, and what the management expectations are for the remainder of the year. Until these things are clarified on Friday the sp will stay within a narrow range.
pachandl
- 01 Mar 2006 12:11
- 687 of 1009
Almost surreal. It would appear that the MMs are happily keeping the price down in anticipation of the results (which hopefully means that if the results are good the sp might actually move north) rather than pushing the price up in anticipation of results and then cutting the floor from beneath new(er) holders. Perhaps this might suggest a more consolidated upward thrust over the next 6 months?
Fundamentalist
- 01 Mar 2006 12:40
- 688 of 1009
Not convinced that this is "being kept down". I think a lot of people are wary with regard to buying ahead of results due to what has happened the last 2 years and there appears to be as many sellers as there are buyers.
Ultimately till we read the results on friday we dont know where this is going to go
Fred1new
- 01 Mar 2006 13:09
- 689 of 1009
Fundy, Don't like saying this, but I tend to agree with you.
Douggie
- 01 Mar 2006 14:09
- 690 of 1009
Can only hope that since it's not gone up much, there is less chance of a retrace to match last 4 results days
everything XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXd ;o\
pachandl
- 01 Mar 2006 14:17
- 691 of 1009
Fund - I was aggregating buys/sells over the past 7 trading days which would suggests an sp at a higher level than its current one. Instead of saying "kept down" perhaps I should have said that the MMs are not "suckering new holders by increasing the sp in anticipation of results". Anyway, not long to wait now.