markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
Jon B
- 14 Feb 2005 12:04
- 747 of 6492
Hi Marky,
A good day today, a little dissappointed by market reaction, 3 wells and pretty much going it alone (at the moment). The lack of a big player has stymeid the market along with the big dilution.
As we suspected Rockhoppper have been key in this announcement and I am hopeful that there is more news on the way.
I am still sceptical of the Encana link as it is tenuous at best!. The Shell rumour is one that just won't die, so I wouldn't scratch them yet. With a rig soon to be drilling in the area, Talisman would be foolish not do something in thier Tranche. For me its Talisman, Shell then Encana.
Anyway MArky the news is fantastic and it has been a long wait, I expect the share price may well tread water/drift until the EGM is overwith and a rig is announced.
That early retirement is looking a little closer today, now where am I going to get the cash to fund my 1 for 8?
Anyway congratulations all for sticking with it. Now we are just out of the blocks................
Jon
eacninewhy
- 14 Feb 2005 12:45
- 749 of 6492
Markymar,
Thanks for all your postings,keep em coming...Did`nt we do well.
markymar
- 14 Feb 2005 15:56
- 750 of 6492
luckyswimmer
- 14 Feb 2005 18:28
- 751 of 6492
For the record we were a bit too bullish on the effect on Desire's price of a) the RNS giving details of the placing. Hopefully our forecasts for the effect on the price due to b) the details of the farm-in will be more accurate.
Eddieshare
a) 89p
b) 158p
Luckyswimmer
a) 66p
b) 96p
Oily Jim
a) 78p
b) 118p
Ptkenny
a) 86p
b)102p
I hope the rumour on the other board that we can expect details of an impressive farm-in in two weeks time is correct. I am also reading Rockhopper's involvement as just a preliminary step to achieve "greater flexibility in negotiating" the real farm-in deal.
Any suggestions for the next round of forecasting ? e.g. c) price on first well spudded d) price after first succesful gas flow test e) price after first succesful oil flow test f) price when oil hits $80 per barrel - oops, I'm getting carried away, what a good day, hope to meet some of you at the EGM.
Luckyswimmer
eddieshare
- 14 Feb 2005 20:09
- 754 of 6492
Hi all
Well it looks like we have had a mixed reaction on the stock market. This will be because DES has not yet announced the major partners. Although the news is excelent! Some will be unsure! DES picked up again in late afternoon. What is clear is DES is going forward with what is the best option for its investors. Over a billion barrels & only 15% given up! That can only mean a massive potential for investors! So when we get the full picture of the majors, maybe we will have been right about our forcasts.
Thanks for all your work markymar
Thanks to all the other positive posters
Good Luck All
Eddie
berlingo
- 14 Feb 2005 20:32
- 755 of 6492
Thanks to you to Eddie. Keep it going please. It will be interesting to see if any press reports push this further up or down!! tomorrow. Plenty more volatile days to come i`m sure.
No red candle today Eddie?
Regards
Berlingo
florida
- 14 Feb 2005 21:51
- 756 of 6492
Eddieshare
Forgive me for being just a little bit blunt but you cannot be serious about a mixed reaction by the stock market. Desire have just placed millions and millions of additional shares on the market dissolving the value of the existing shares, then the market opens up at 57p. Traditionally, this price would and should have gone down by at least 10%, but the markets confidence was so great that it not only advanced, it held.
Up 3p tomorrow.
Good luck guys.
eddieshare
- 15 Feb 2005 00:12
- 757 of 6492
Hi florida
DES is 53% of my portfolio. I would not benifit from trying to be negative about DES. I'm not negative. I think the news is absolutly great! The main trend is definatly up & I will definatly be holding my shares. I will also be getting my 1 for 8 @ 0.45p. Don't worry about being blunt either.
Kind Regards
Eddie
HUSTLER
- 15 Feb 2005 00:50
- 758 of 6492
florida v eddie - round 1
no need to squabble
florida - having a go then says up 3p next session
don't quite follow
notwithstanding all of that
news today is welcombe
hardcore followers were becoming worried
3d surveys were not up to scratch
and majors not coming onboard
news today seems to counter that view
although news still seems a bit cloudy
more is needed - sprat & mackeril therory ( cant spell sorry )
but positive news is better than no news
vibes are good, all come aboard soon not to miss
the rollercoaster ride
widows & orfans will move aside
fortune favours the brave - hold on tight to your dreams
regards HUSTLER
ehall
- 15 Feb 2005 07:36
- 759 of 6492
The stockmarket exists to allow companies to raise funds. That it is normal for small investors to get side tracked by the dilutitive effect of issuing more shares and therefore to expect a share price to go down says more about the ignorance of fundamentals by small investors. Desires price went up yesterday because the money is being raised for the long term benefit and profit of the company, that's it, simple! The fact that it went up also speaks volumes, issuing shares to raise money to progress is not negative, it is a positive!
travis
- 15 Feb 2005 10:48
- 761 of 6492
Now 53-55. looks like 48p on the card. Looks like a combination of cold feet and others forward selling their 1 for 8 right.Will happily close my short at 48p and will be a buyer at that level
florida
- 15 Feb 2005 11:13
- 762 of 6492
Eddieshare - My response was not an attack on you personally, merely an observation of what seemed to be a slightly unnecessarily depressed view of what I interpreted as a triumph.
Your input to the threads has been greatly appreciated by all. I hope no offence was taken.
luckyswimmer
- 15 Feb 2005 14:50
- 763 of 6492
Travis, I think you will be lucky to get 48p. I agree that a lot of investors will sell some of their holdings to pay for the cheaper 45p offer but not those that are locked in with capital gains or those who wish to minimize any dilution. There is a possibility that sales will be soaked up by investors who now realise that Desire's chances of finding oil have improved considerably with it's new found ability to order a rig. If further news on farm-ins arrives in the meantime then it wouldn't be good to be holding a short.
Good luck fellow Desire holders.
luckyswimmer
- 15 Feb 2005 14:51
- 764 of 6492
Travis, I think you will be lucky to get 48p. I agree that a lot of investors will sell some of their holdings to pay for the cheaper 45p offer but not those that are locked in with capital gains or those who wish to minimize any dilution. There is a possibility that sales will be soaked up by investors who now realise that Desire's chances of finding oil have improved considerably with it's new found ability to order a rig. If further news on farm-ins arrives in the meantime then it wouldn't be good to be holding a short.
Good luck fellow Desire holders.
JP SALKELD
- 15 Feb 2005 17:01
- 766 of 6492
Luckyswimmer
I agree with you. The posting below that I found on another site encapsulates my feelings on this subject. Perhaps Travis would like to respond to these thoughts. It would indicate that we are close to the level we can expect in the interim before the placing.
Here goes:
There seem to be quite a few pessimists on here who think the shareprice will drop down to 45p. I don't quite know what their logic (or agenda) is but they are obviously unable to evaluate the basic arithmetic of a new equity issue.
Based on the closing price of 52.75p and a company market cap of c85 million the day before the announcement of the fundraising, and the amount of new equity raised at 45p (c25 million) the theoretical ex-rights price (for want of a better term) is above 50p once the new shares are issued.
So a price of 51p or so is the theoretical floor for the share price.
Based on the fact that the placing was oversubscribed there should be some institutional buying in the open market which will keep the floor price somewhat higher. Of course the MMs may well try their little shakes from time to time.
I suspect that DES may well announce further farm in news before the new equity issue, not that it will be needed to get the issue away, in which case the share price will be significantly higher.