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How to profit from Betting Exchanges (BEX)     

Scripophilist - 27 Oct 2004 23:40


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Fundamentalist - 04 Jan 2006 00:06 - 7540 of 10502

Cloudbase

well done on the futures :-)

bit of swing early on and looks like the weather fcast for the next few days has deteriorated

Cloudbase - 04 Jan 2006 00:16 - 7541 of 10502

Thanks,
Could be some wild swings then if the weather dodgy, still got the draw lay which i need to trade out, but only small, so no wory

Fundamentalist - 04 Jan 2006 00:35 - 7542 of 10502

Just laid the draw for a lump at 1.6

Ponting/Hussey look well set but they are also scoring very quickly, which will keep the draw price propped up to a degree while wickets will see it drift

Cloudbase - 04 Jan 2006 00:36 - 7543 of 10502

Looks like back Aus was the trade, come in a long way.

Fundamentalist - 04 Jan 2006 00:39 - 7544 of 10502

Yep, but risky, an early wicket would have seen the price disappear out

Draw lay looks almost risk free assuming the weather holds, even without wickets it seems not to want to fall below 1.55

Cloudbase - 04 Jan 2006 00:45 - 7545 of 10502

Thanks.... need to learn where the risk free trades are or i'll get kicked when i
increase size

Fundamentalist - 04 Jan 2006 00:51 - 7546 of 10502

Cloudbase

the free trades are invariably laying the draw - the market is making it quite clear here that runs arent going to shorten the price, a wicket will lengthen it so only a stagnant period of blocking (Symonds/Gilchrist next 2 in!) or the dreaded weather the dangers (rain being the biggest one). That said the longer the partnership goes on then the less impact a wicket will have when it finally comes

Fundamentalist - 04 Jan 2006 00:56 - 7547 of 10502

Nel just trapped Hussey plumb in front given not out :-)

Fundamentalist - 04 Jan 2006 01:05 - 7548 of 10502

strange market reaction to the not out, brought the draw backers in again

Cloudbase - 04 Jan 2006 01:11 - 7549 of 10502

Seems like a directionless market at mo, just added a bit more to draw lay 1.51

Fundamentalist - 04 Jan 2006 01:14 - 7550 of 10502

ditto at 1.5 :-)

Cloudbase - 04 Jan 2006 02:28 - 7551 of 10502

Market seems to be pricing only one out come, the draw. Time errosion not helping

Fundamentalist - 04 Jan 2006 02:48 - 7552 of 10502

Hi cloud

the slowing in the run rate saw the price collapse - a lot of layers bailing out i think. Current avge lay is at approx 1.46 so not overly concerned at the moment - were not halfway through the test yet

Cloudbase - 04 Jan 2006 03:04 - 7553 of 10502

Hi Fundy. Yes it did collapse fairly quickly, avge here 1.74 and as you say plenty of time left yet

Fundamentalist - 04 Jan 2006 03:06 - 7554 of 10502

Ponting just plumb LBW given not out - thats both batsmen Alem Dar has given a life to

Fundamentalist - 04 Jan 2006 03:09 - 7555 of 10502

finally a wicket

Hussey out

Cloudbase - 04 Jan 2006 03:16 - 7556 of 10502

Thats been a long dry spell, allthough it sounds like should have been 2 more LBW's.

Fundamentalist - 04 Jan 2006 03:19 - 7557 of 10502

Cloudbase

the 2 lbws are shocking, though couldnt really expect Ponting to be given out on 96 in his 100th test - just wouldnt have been cricket!!!

Cloudbase - 04 Jan 2006 03:23 - 7558 of 10502

Lol, the umpire must have backed the draw!!

Cloudbase - 04 Jan 2006 03:28 - 7559 of 10502

Off for a kip now, see if i can get back for last 1/2 hr.
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