cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
cynic
- 29 Jan 2008 14:57
- 784 of 21973
we all know they are going to cut rates ..... major prob however are the krauts in European Central Bank who think they can do a better job than Canute
maddoctor
- 29 Jan 2008 15:01
- 785 of 21973
i don,t think we do know , the press is really giving Bernanke a hard time i.e. that he is hand in hand with Wall St
or worse , doing what they tell him
spitfire43
- 29 Jan 2008 16:12
- 786 of 21973
Bernanke is between a rock and a hard place, I would think he will cut, and if does and we have any sort of rally afterwards. Be ready to take advantage of short opportunities, I have a feeling FTSE could go back down to 5500 level and lower very quickly.
cynic
- 29 Jan 2008 16:14
- 787 of 21973
note Dow's reluctance to break (minor) resistance at 12460 .... will be interesting to see what happens after Fed statement and first 10 minutes of euphoria ..... unfortunately have been seduced away from my screen for the evening
explosive
- 29 Jan 2008 19:14
- 788 of 21973
Currently debating opening a position again on wall st..... Am thinking 12400 or lower for a buy, nothing in the range today though.. Its the greed speaking I know it but all the same very tempting....
steveo
- 29 Jan 2008 20:52
- 789 of 21973
I did mean precious metals,it is a bit like standing in front of an express train, did well from it last time, predicted would drop from 914 to around 860. May prove to be luck but I Currently believe that fed rate cut of 50 points is in the price and there could be some pull back on profit taking especially when traders cover positions in the likely sell off as the european banks reveal their probably bigger than expected write downs.
I do have a tight stop, and it is for a small stake, it is highly risky as there is repeated buying on all sell offs at the moment and the power cuts in SA are not helping my cause. But it's fun to see if I'm right.
However I am also long term long and have been for a while, but nothing goes up in a straight line and gold is currently out of the recent bull channel by a long way. So I expect a pull back, there certainly seems to be more resistance at 930 level currently 921 as I write
steveo
- 29 Jan 2008 21:07
- 790 of 21973
Here we go, I expect gold to drop to 880 in the next 2 weeks then carry on up, wouldn't be surprised to see it go to the much touted $1000 by end march then pull back as oil price weakens, then off we go again as inflation really starts to take hold along with flight to safety and the inevitable sun readers getting in too late ie 2009 3rd quarter!!!
Chances of being right?
Wish I knew...:-)
spitfire43
- 30 Jan 2008 09:33
- 791 of 21973
Morning all, FTSE seems to be in fairly small trading range of 30 points, markets waiting for the FED decision expected at 16:00 GMT. I can't see a cut less than 0.50bps, unless they go for broke with 0.75bps.
We had a trading update from Oakdene (small housebuiler in southeast ) this morning, which was awful, makes interesting reading. Because with the recent relative strength from BDEV & PSN, it may be worth looking at a short after the FED rate decision.
steveo
- 30 Jan 2008 10:03
- 792 of 21973
I'm not so sure, with the possible over-exuberence of the emergency cut in the light of soc-gen write down, they might be tempted to show a bit more steel and just do a 25point cut.
However this is helicopter Ben we are talking about, and he'll do anything to avoid a crash, just hope he remembers today in a couple of years time when inflation is ther problem and he raises aggresively again with the same results as this time round.
Most markets seem to be waiting and watching.
steveo
- 30 Jan 2008 10:08
- 793 of 21973
decision announcement is at 19:15 GMT
spitfire43
- 30 Jan 2008 10:22
- 794 of 21973
19:15 GMT will be watching with interest, I would think Bernanke would want 0.25 cut, and I believe this would be the right thing to do. But the markets will influence him to cut more than he would like.
I noticed we had negative notes about RBS and Barc today from citigroup and panmure gordon, citigroup said both are a sell, I had to laugh with citigroups recent track record, but I guess they should know. Or are we just seeing some sour grapes.
BigTed
- 30 Jan 2008 10:30
- 795 of 21973
Currently cant make head nor tail of new CFD account, would poss like to short the DOW later, anyone else use TDW...? help???!!!
halifax
- 30 Jan 2008 10:32
- 796 of 21973
All US banks/investment houses are vulnerable after their massiv writedowns takeover activity is likely, before long Citigroup could well be a target.
explosive
- 30 Jan 2008 10:38
- 797 of 21973
I'd wait as shorting DOW today very risky, shares like Experian are doing very well and their core business is the banking sector suggesting somethings cooking. Look back and you'll see that the increase in interest rates made the credit house share price fall, a lower rate could indicate more credit coming back onto markets.... IMHO..
spitfire43
- 30 Jan 2008 14:32
- 798 of 21973
Hi Big Ted - When you have the trading screen on TDW it will open in the popular share screen. Dow is shown, and can press either the trade button or the order button. I find it best to use Order, if you wish to short you can click in the Limit Sell. Then you can set the price you wish to enter the market, followed by your stop/loss, then your target price in the next box. Then press the place button and the order will be in the system waiting for the price to move your way.
You can change the stop/loss or limit prices at any time using the edit button, when you open active orders or open positions.
Be careful today and if you are going to trade, I wouldn't leave a position open while the FED are making the interest decision. (very risky)
Good Luck
cynic
- 30 Jan 2008 14:46
- 799 of 21973
very very tricky isn't it ..... i have current profitable shorts in SOLA and AL. but am wondering whether or not it would be prudent to take profits in some of my long positions
BigTed
- 30 Jan 2008 14:47
- 800 of 21973
thanks for that, as i figured to be fair, but couldn't see if i could use a guaranteed stop, appears not???
explosive
- 30 Jan 2008 15:36
- 801 of 21973
I have no open positions today, FTSE trading in a small range as will DOW untill news breaks... Have taken all profits as not worth the risk IMO should no further reduction come, also 25 basis points will do little for confidence...
BigTed
- 30 Jan 2008 15:37
- 802 of 21973
Ok so i know i should be asking someone at TDW, but does each order always require 10% of total placed, cleared in account, cos i haven't transferred any across yet, just tried a dummy run and it didn't suggest how much the order would cost me...
Also when using trade button typically to deal on DOW CFD, when it asks you number of CFD's? what do they cost? is it same as points? ie around 12440p per CFD at present? sure thats wrong!!!
cynic
- 30 Jan 2008 16:58
- 803 of 21973
would it not be nice to have accurate foresight, even if only for this evening ..... one could then make a bundle on the Dow as it gyrates wildly, as i am sure it will ..... i cannot even begin to envisage to where it will peak or trough ... could easily be 200 points in either direction from the present, or even both