siwel2
- 17 Feb 2006 10:17
Interesting little company. Did a series of asset swops to leave them with half of the 4th largest Nickel deposit in the world.
The deposit itself is in the Philippines has been known about for 30 years but due to low prices and lack of demand in the Far East it was never exploited. With the explosion in demand from India and China the nickel price has climbed from $2 to $6.50 but oddly enough is still considered low.
The final approval stage for exploitation is just about to be approved and extraction will begin. The company already has one contract with a Japanese smelter and is in discussions with smelters in a series of countries.
Nothing clever about the operation, as the ore is of sufficiently high grade, they dig it up and ship it out. Infrastrucure is already in place for operation.
TMC is currently priced at 18m, the initial Japanese contract is worth 4m and each additional contract will hopefully be at this level or greater.
Final approval turns the company into a producer and each additional contract simply increases their size.
The management is tight with cash and has some good quality mining skills onboard.
The Philippine government is fast tracking the final approval and the company says it expects it shortly.
One to hold for approval and through the series of RNS's as more contracts are won. Company should be worth 50m in 6 months and 100m in 12-18 months.
Buy it, ignore it, just pointing this one out.
cynic
- 09 Nov 2007 11:11
- 812 of 879
many things change and that is why one needs to be nimble ..... I, for one, thought $ would bottom out at 2.07 and that was not just guesswork, but that level was easily breached and $ is now at 2.1130 and still falling.
all i will say to you is never ever forget that things change and can do so with frightening rapidity ...... thus, if you think $ will keep falling ad infinitum and hard commodities strengthen, you could be in for a very rude awakening somewhere down the line.
i am no economist - can't even understand a balance sheet! - but dwell on what is likely to happen to world economies, and thus share prices, if oil continues to escalate and $ to fall.
ahoj
- 09 Nov 2007 11:36
- 813 of 879
If there was no demand, oil, food price and other commodities would fall.
Demand is high, people are richer which result in buying everything at high prices.
Can you dispute this fact?
Money is there to facilitate trades. Value is in asset, but money is a tool to measure asset value.
cynic
- 09 Nov 2007 11:46
- 814 of 879
oil ..... shortage and risk of same no greater than it was 2/3/4 months ago
food prices ..... don't be an ass
hard commodities ...... if world economies falter, and USA in particular, demand will fall
people richer ....... yes, but europe, UK and USA all now feeling the pinch and lack of confidence means people will spend less even if they have it .... look at your high street!
ahoj
- 09 Nov 2007 11:53
- 815 of 879
People in USA, UK and Europe are not getting richer, but they have enough assets to live well above average .... they number is less than 1bln ...
But over 50% of the world (more than 3bln) in China, India etc are getting rapidly richer. The number is more important.
One should remember that value is in assets ... money is a tool to measure asset value. That's too basic but many analysts forget that "money is there to facilitate trades and measure asset value". Money has no value if its not linked to assets. You can say value of a currency is falling or say value of gold is rising ... both are exactly the same. Do you agree?
cynic
- 09 Nov 2007 12:00
- 816 of 879
oh well, you keep piling into the markets then, but i hope your reserves and pockets are deep ..... a bear market looks to be looming ever closer by the day
ahoj
- 09 Nov 2007 12:09
- 817 of 879
That's due to missing the point. You should think where the value is.
Many people are always negative about the future and invest in short positions. Those who are positive prefer to invest in the future. That's life, at the end all are human and spend to live.
cynic
- 09 Nov 2007 12:28
- 818 of 879
at the end is death! ....... i repeat ..... a bear market looks to be looming ever closer by the day ..... as for "value" that is subjective and is only ever relative to the price of items of similar ilk at a given time
ahoj
- 09 Nov 2007 12:32
- 819 of 879
You are thinking of the end for at least yourself. I think that's very negative view, too negative... There might be another life for you...
Thanks God you are not deciding about the other 6bln people.... I'm sure they want to live and enjoy their life.
ahoj
- 09 Nov 2007 13:51
- 820 of 879
The Commerce Department said Friday that the deficit for September dipped by 0.6 percent from the previous month -- to $56.5 billion. That was the narrowest trade imbalance since May 2005 and took economists by surprise. They had been forecasting the deficit would rise.
The improvement came from a 1.1 percent jump in U.S. exports, which climbed to a record $140.1 billion. The dollars' decline against many major currencies has made U.S. goods cheaper and more competitive in foreign markets. For September, sales of American-made cars, computers and farm products including corn, cotton, wheat and soybeans were all up...
Icynic, can we conclude that import was up, but export improved more than import...
You don't see a reduction in consumption, do you?
People are alive and enjoyng their life dear.
cynic
- 09 Nov 2007 14:01
- 821 of 879
for goodness sake! ...... i thought i was unsophisticated (dense!) ..... there is always a (considerable) lag between falling demand and the impact on the various composite and contingent parts ...... to use a very simple and simplistic example ..... uk interest rates have risen significantly in the last 12 months, but the impact on demand and buying power is only now starting to be felt and has much further to go ..... hence the fear about house prices and mortgage delinquencies
ahoj
- 09 Nov 2007 14:24
- 822 of 879
So impact of rate cut in US has not been felt yet.
cynic
- 09 Nov 2007 14:29
- 823 of 879
indeed not other than it gave some liquidity between the banks ..... nor, for that matter and of course, has the long term effect on inflation yet been felt ..... and it is also almost inconceivable that the current very high crude prices, if maintained for say the next 6 months, will not also have a significant impact
ahoj
- 09 Nov 2007 16:24
- 824 of 879
You should look at the positive side of the story. High price shows affordability.
We are talking about high growth for 3bln people against slower growth for 0.5 bln people.
cynic
- 09 Nov 2007 16:40
- 825 of 879
whatever!
halifax
- 09 Nov 2007 16:52
- 826 of 879
What has all this to do with TMC?
cynic
- 09 Nov 2007 16:55
- 827 of 879
f'all
mtld1
- 12 Nov 2007 23:09
- 828 of 879
Maybe I have missed previous posts, but has no-one noticed the potential impending Golden Cross on the 50 & 200 MDA chart ? Cynic - surely you are sleeping on the job ! You are generally ''on the ball'' on the charting side of shares !
BigTed
- 13 Nov 2007 08:56
- 830 of 879
Actually i feel a lot happier to hold, after seeing the latest chart, the rush back up from 160p to 300p was too far too fast but it certainly seems to be building support on a rising basis and heading back to test 300p again...
halifax
- 13 Nov 2007 11:59
- 831 of 879
Should have a progress report at the AGM tomorrow.