overgrowth
- 12 May 2005 22:21
Mediwatch is a small
company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is
out.
Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics
equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK,
Canada, Europe, India and Japan.
That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until
you remember the good ol' US and China.
These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's
export client portfolio by the end of 2005.
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The company is currently
heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is
not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively
to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions
affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing
in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate
as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.
Mediwatch normally
supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements.
They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known
US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical
who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated
sales team.
US FDA approval was
gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year
of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner
for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This
distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant
effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues
as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus
is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August.
In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They
have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment
distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the
markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber
stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up
to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even
more good news coming soon this year.
Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.
If that's not enough
to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also
developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing
some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at
very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology
to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next
few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going
to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours
too.
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banjomick
- 01 Feb 2006 23:34
- 870 of 1497
Treble,Nothing wrong with offering words of caution,this is the AIM market after all!
I would be very surprised if we did not see a much improved increase in revenue in the next results,the last interim results were up to 31st October 2005 and MDW have made the most important announcements after that date which also include further sales.
You pays ya money and take your chance at the end of the day,MDW are now heading where they said thay would be a year ago...a bit late but they are getting there-imo
banjomick
- 01 Feb 2006 23:46
- 871 of 1497
The quick recovery,hope it lasts,was very welcome
banjomick
- 02 Feb 2006 21:14
- 872 of 1497
A bit more upness today
banjomick
- 07 Feb 2006 01:35
- 873 of 1497
Before i go to bed,I'm still puzzled why MDT haven't put an announcement out regarding the Multiscan distribution deal,they put announcements out left right and centre after all!
From the Interim Report:
"Further developments with PSAwatch(TM) have lead to two further papers being
presented at the forthcoming meeting of the European Urological Association
(EUA) conference in April and one paper at the American Urological Association
conference in May.
Following the successful clinical evaluation of the system, the Company has
commenced work relating to obtaining regulatory approvals in Europe and the USA
and anticipate releasing this ground breaking system to the market later this
year."
So from the above,I would guess approvals to be in place by August,if not before, of this year with some feedback after giving further details in April & May of this year to the bodies mentioned in the Interims.
Very exciting times ahead me thinks,too many to write down at this time of night but would expect updates on PSAwatch(TM)and BioScan(TM) Reader as well as their other products new,old and revamped.
If,nay when MDT see fit to announce the MDW contract then MDW becomes a world wide specialised company in various forms of the Urology market and for all to see-imo
The above,imo begs the question,are MDT waiting for the PSAwatch(TM)and BioScan(TM)reader to get USA approval before announcing the Multiscan deal....quite probably-imo
As I have said before,why would a big company like MDT negotiate a distribution deal for a bog standard scanner type device,unless, if the added ancillary devices ie PSAwatch(TM) and others which make the system as a whole stand out from the crowd and lets get to the facts .....make MDT money!!
Happy to hold,Just me thoughts!
banjomick
- 07 Feb 2006 01:36
- 874 of 1497
and while i'm at it.....talking of course!This part of the Interim Results is worth repeating:
Outlook
The directors believe there is optimism for 2006 and beyond.
Much had been achieved over the last few months. The recent commencement of the
Medtronic relationship and the continuing success of the relationships with C R
Bard and GE significantly strengthen the Company's position.
The excellent relationship with the Company's marketing associates coupled with
the recent introduction of the Multiscan, the advanced stage of development of
the Multiscan desk top derivative which, together with the second generation of
the Portascan, is planned to be launched mid 2006, and the expected completion
of the first phase of the PSAwatch(TM) and BioScan(TM) system, also anticipated
for release to market later in the summer, provide strong prospects for the
future.
The recent placing, raising 470,000, together with flexible borrowing
facilities arranged with its bank, places the Company in a good position to
benefit from the opportunities ahead.
banjomick
- 07 Feb 2006 01:39
- 875 of 1497
Recent drop was due to low volume sells after Interim Report and people expecting PSAwatch getting a more positve mention!!
Very exciting times for the next six months-imo
banjomick
- 07 Feb 2006 01:40
- 876 of 1497
Time will tell
banjomick
- 07 Feb 2006 22:55
- 877 of 1497
Something to read while we are waiting:
That is why PSA monitoring is so important every 30-45 days during the first 6 months of any type of testosterone augmentation therapy. If an underlying prostate cancer is detected because of testosterone therapy, it is usually treatable by nonsurgical means.
link
banjomick
- 14 Feb 2006 11:47
- 878 of 1497
while we are waiting,some reading matter:
Sen. John Kerry and television evangelist Pat Robertson recently announced that they have been diagnosed with prostate cancer. Health correspondent Susan Dentzer reports on the new debate over the benefits of prostate screening.
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/health/jan-june03/prostate_2-13.html
banjomick
- 15 Feb 2006 19:48
- 879 of 1497
very very good article,me thinks:
Market growth for prostate cancer screening is likely being driven by repeat, rather than first-time, testing in the United States. Conversely, low rates of repeat testing are constraining market growth in the United Kingdom. The results of large randomized clinical trials (RCTs) due in 2008 may give more insight on the optimal frequency of PSA testing. The trials alone will not determine test frequency or changes in policytheir results will likely give additional information for critical appraisal by international experts.
Sales of PSA diagnostics are likely to grow rapidly in Japan through 2010. According to the Japanese Foundation for Prostate Research, 36% of local authorities operate mass screening, and a further 17% plan to implement screening programs in the near future. Penetration of the Japanese market likely represents a significant growth opportunity.
http://www.prweb.com/releases/2006/1/prweb337533.htm
andysmith
- 15 Feb 2006 20:02
- 880 of 1497
I'm still here too banjo, holding onto my shares but then I have a personal reason for wanting them to succeed, I will keep adding on the lows although hope we see breakthrough into profit this year.
banjomick
- 15 Feb 2006 23:26
- 881 of 1497
Evening Andy,
Me too,for testing purposes in near future and my Father at the present time.He's on a 3 monthly check at the moment and the next test is next week after the last one rose a little...not much mind but enough to worry them both.
Looking very good for MDW this year.
leedslad
- 16 Feb 2006 13:28
- 882 of 1497
Good posts banjo
topped up again today. Buying cheaper than directors now :-)
dthomson014
- 21 Feb 2006 06:27
- 883 of 1497
VERY exciting news!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I am not sure if I should be telling you this - but I am going to anyway. Guess what my hospital has just ordered - a PSA Watch machine and sticks! Oh yes - it is now available and on sale. This is the beginning of a HUGE increase in revenue since this is going to have the biggest impact on prostate cancer diagnosis / monitoring since PSA was invented. Machine cost 1200 and 20 sticks is another 110.
Now is the time to get in. The market have diddly squat idea about prostate cancer, and more importantly the potential revenue stream from this. AUA is in April and BAUS is in June by which time the marketing will presumably be up and running. There is a period of presumably 2 or 3 months before a licensing deal is sorted.
Of course they may wibble a bit between 9 and 10 - but this time next year we will be laughing about MDW at 10p.
petralva
- 21 Feb 2006 07:46
- 884 of 1497
ah.....willydoctors alias eh........... this has got to be a ramp........fda approval hasn't even been granted.......and mdw stated that in there 2005 results that it won't be available till Q2-3 2006
banjomick
- 22 Feb 2006 10:08
- 885 of 1497
petralva,
Never assume :-)
banjomick
- 27 Feb 2006 08:43
- 886 of 1497
MDW are back on course,should be a very exciting year me thinks
Minder
- 27 Feb 2006 09:57
- 887 of 1497
Bought some more on Friday, with approvals and product launches happening from now until late Summer the low SP looks undervalued.
With Multiscan available Q1 and the huge US market to sell into using the might of Medtronic's sales force, Chinese sales to start rolling in and PSAwatch getting closer to market with every week that passes, holders will soon see a rerating of the Price.
leedslad
- 27 Feb 2006 10:37
- 888 of 1497
Dead right Minder huge potential here.
Growth stock for the next 5 -10 years with PSA test alone.
leedslad
- 27 Feb 2006 12:20
- 889 of 1497
MM's short of stock?