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Coffee Heaven - A heavenly share for penny punters ? (COH)     

overgrowth - 06 Oct 2003 22:47

underground01_2.jpgA busy day in the Warsaw Underground ! Not just another coffee shop chain - this one is a brand leader and is only trading in Eastern/Central Europe (i.e. the countries recently admitted to the EU destined for substantial business growth). The company is creating new outlets at a fair old pace and take a look at their website - these are quality stores in high-profile locations like major airports, railway stations etc. Website: http://www.coffeeheaven.eu.com

APRIL 2006 TRADING UPDATE!!! Total Gross Revenues for 12 months to 31st March up 66% to £6.3M (2005: £3.8M) Lots more info. on new markets and stores click here to read the full details. Stores: 43 (up from 32) stores currently trading (Poland: 30 (up from 23), Czech Republic: 6 (Up from 2), Latvia: 7 with a further 5 units under construction including Bulgaria and sites secured in Romania (subject contract). Bulgaria & Romania are seeking to join the EU from January 2007. Sites located in key high street, shopping malls or Airport locations. Company growth target: increase number of units by at least 20 units to some 63 units by 31 March 2007. Aim being to achieve this level of growth within present Cash resources.Cash balances at 31 March 2006 were approximately £2.9M (2005: £0.7M). Debt was nil (2005: £ 2.5M): Nil Debt! Positive EBITDA: For the year ending 31 March 2006, Group EBITDA expected to be firmly positive after charging UK and new market development costs but before exceptional costs relating to the cancellation of bonds (previous Debt). Forecasts: Based on present trading conditions and current exchange rates we anticipate indicative sales of £9.3M for the year to 31 March 2007. This includes indicative sales of £0.4M from Bulgaria, which will be reported but not consolidated. From Richard Worthington (Chairman and Chief Executive): ‘The new financial year has started well. There is no doubt that the significant economic improvement in our markets is feeding through to consumer confidence and spending. The strength of the coffeeheaven brand ensures we are ideally positioned to benefit from our customers' increasing prosperity.’

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=COH&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=COH&Si

proteus - 29 May 2007 12:30 - 907 of 2037

I'm just trying to educate you.Look at last years figures and divide that by the number of stores. Now we worked out a forward sales range so you can do the same calculation for margin / store.Which part gives you technical problems ?

proteus - 29 May 2007 12:58 - 908 of 2037

Don't want to spoon feed you too much ,you don't learn that way.Pull up last years accounts.You can read how many stores they had. Then move down the page and you will find different profit figures.Note them down and I will tell you which one to use in the calculation.

David10B - 29 May 2007 13:22 - 909 of 2037

No I need to be spoon fed please.

I need to know each individual store's Nett Profit please.

Can you help, OR NOT?

ptholden - 29 May 2007 13:32 - 910 of 2037

10B

Why is the individual store profit so important? Surely the overall profitability or lack of is the most important factor. If COH management have anything about them they will have identified non-profitable outlets and will either address the issue or axe.
Do WH Smiths or Tescos etc provide individual store breakdowns - No.
This is just a smokescreen in order to 'bash' COH in the same way you ramp MLR.
I can understand the frustration of genuine holders when faced with the constant stream of crap that you post.

pth

David10B - 29 May 2007 13:50 - 911 of 2037

On the contrary Sir, if you were familar with investgative stock research you would know where I am heading!

However you are getting close.

COH has long standing poor performing outlets, and far from what you claim have neither taken action to address thes issues or AXE them.

But then why should they when there is so much easy shareholders funds available to prop them up.

Ok my game is up!

What I wish to estbalish is the quality of the COH management, and in order to start to do so I need the ratio of COH paying coffee outlets and those loss making outlets.

Anyone want to help me with this quest, seeing as I like to be spoon fed.

Once a COH shareholder has provided me with these figures all will become crystal clear.

Have a really nice day.


PS Mr Holden, if Sir it is indeed cr%p that I post then surely that should not be a cause for concern, just a need for toilet paper.

Also kindly define what you mean by the word "RAMP"

proteus - 29 May 2007 14:14 - 912 of 2037

The quality of COH management is shown in the growth of the company and it's share price which so far have been fine.Now the profit of each individual store is irrelevant it is the overall portfolio that counts.If there are too many unprofitable stores the overall figures show a weakening performance and so far this has not happened.Asking for profit by store is pointless no company produces that type of figure.You may as well ask what did they make on Wednesdy in a store in Latvia.So are you interested in the average figures,I can help you understand the accounts .It's not too difficult and really helps you to make better decisions.

cynic - 29 May 2007 14:21 - 913 of 2037

excuse me girls, but perhaps you would like to swap e-mail addresses and continue your conversation through that medium

proteus - 29 May 2007 14:31 - 914 of 2037

If there is a hole in the accounts I would like to find it.I'm sure an analysis would help everyone.So come on 10B where are you heading I can work through the figures with you ?

cynic - 29 May 2007 14:33 - 915 of 2037

BY E-MAIL PLEASE!

bmw325 - 29 May 2007 14:43 - 916 of 2037

proteus

Carry on m8...you are showing the prat what he is once again...AN IDIOT.

David10B - 29 May 2007 16:31 - 917 of 2037

Hardly old chap I am headed to show you all--once and for all that this is a poor management in action, who have opened and kept open loss making stores as to close them would cause so many problems.

Firstly they paid too much for them.

And secondly to close them in such a short time period would be a loss of business confidence.

Empik has the lenght and breadth on COH and it not my fault that you can not see that.

Since I sarted posting here in respnse to AdieH blantant ramping of this share it has gone the only way it can.

Sure Mr Worthington has done a good marketing job that has influence the SP, but that has to be supported and its not the sare price is now reacting and today its down just as I said it would be,

IT HAS TO FALL AS THERE IS NOTHING TO HOLD IT UP---JUST WATCH.

CYNIC

I REGRET BEING A PAIN IN THE BUTT, BUT I DID SAY AGES AGO TO LET THE SP DO THE TALKING!

BUT THEY WERE NOT CONTENT AT THAT AS ITS BEEN TELLING THEN SINCE ITS IS DOWNER----THEIR POSTS NOW ARE JUST RED HERRINGS.

ptholden - 29 May 2007 16:42 - 918 of 2037

10B

I think it would be fair to point out that your constant references to MLR on this thread constitute ramping and that your long repetitve negative posts on COH constitute bashing.

But, whatever, just adding a little grist to the mill :)

pth

David10B - 29 May 2007 17:13 - 919 of 2037

Yes you are right Mr Holden perfectly right.

I am indeed bashing COH.

I think its an opportunist company that is taking too much off its loyal shareholders and its going to crash.

That is my honest opinion and the SP tends to support it.

You see for despite all the news the SP is still being gravitated toward the 20s


-------------------------------------------------------------------

MLR, how can you posibly ramp up a company than has given its shareholders almost 100% sustainable growth in less than a year.

How can you ramp a company that has just done a cracking deal which has seen its profits rise?

How can you ramp a company that has first class products, top quality management, well respected international markets and some of the most highly respected associates in the business--------How can you ramp such a company?----you tell me please.

I think the company speaks for itself, I just make a few fully justified attention drawing comments being the sharholder and supporter that I am as like a little jam on all tasty things.

How many shareholders invite other people to find a fault with their particular share and then further ask them to come on this BB knock it.( you wont find a lot of that on any BB, where people are unjustly protective of their investment and immediately knock anyone who has a bad word or perhaps even an innocent question)

I can, and I did and so far there are no replies as anyone with any understanding of these things can see a real solid company and a massive upside.

MLR WILL STAND BOLDLY ON ITS MERITSI

MLR is a millionaire maker.

COH, well perhaps that too could make you a nillionaire, its all your choice.

But time will tell-- as it always does.

ptholden - 29 May 2007 17:16 - 920 of 2037

You answered your own questions!

bmw325 - 29 May 2007 17:30 - 921 of 2037

pth

He has been slagging off COH since they were 18p....LOL.

David10B - 29 May 2007 17:31 - 922 of 2037

Nothing like being open.

bmw325 - 29 May 2007 17:33 - 923 of 2037

...and being a lying towrag.

proteus - 29 May 2007 17:34 - 924 of 2037

So to sumarise where we are 10B.
You say the price is going to drop but you have provided no figures to back up your claim.Indeed you say you would look a fool if you tried ! I have tried to help you understand the accounts and help you with your difficulties and eventually you pick on a figure you that no company provides and isn't necessary and say that figure is your ' proof '.Do you understand what an average means,do you want help with that as well ? Strange call to say ' I don't know what the figure is but it is the corner stone of my arguement.' Before we move on are there any more figures that you have no idea about but back up your beliefs ?
O/T If your analysis is so weak why should anyone look at another company you're promoting.If you cannot provide figures you are enticing people to do no more than take pot luck.You may get lucky once or twice based on others analysis but long term you will lose money.

AdieH - 29 May 2007 18:38 - 925 of 2037

SQUELCH HIM FOR YOUR OWN PEACE OF MIND, THE GUY IS A CRETIN AND A FOOL AND SHOULD BE REMOVED BUT THE FACILITATOR IS FAILING TO DO HIS JOB. REGARDS. PROBABLY ALSO IN SEO BUT WON'T ADMIT IT NOW THAT IS A FAILING COMPANY...

David10B - 29 May 2007 19:04 - 926 of 2037

Yes of course you are right its all pot luck and I know nothing so I just come along and guess the SP will fall.

No bad is it.

And yes I need help as I cant read the COH accounts so please continue to do so.

I really know nothing about COH what so ever.

But what I do know is that based on a family member having a few fast food franchises is that if they do not make the magic 1000 pounds a week nett then they can not get any quality franchisors interested in investing .

How COH investors seem quite content to throw their money into COH' coffers unquestioning is beyond me and I guess they must still be in a fantasy heaven.

There is good reason why COH has not made any profit since its conception and that is that its all wrong...Empik thought so and walked and they are there on the ground.

To me it looks like Mr Worhting failed in the UK, then took as much as he could, and went to Poland, then after a few years there and a mountain of debt in high interest bearing notes as he was only buying leases and bank perfer freeholds, then came back for more money to pay then off and the shareholders gave it to him. At that time COH had not made a profit, it was all a gamble.

But then I know nothing.

According you COH shareholders I am a cretin, a lying towrag and whatever else you like to say or call me.

So with all that done a dusted. I know suggest that we leave the SP do both the talking and proving.

Frankly now I have lost interest in COH, although that said its a lucky company to have such blind loyal shareholders. But I am not interest in you lot.

Its the uninitiated newcomers I feel a pity for, like those who listened to the incessant ramping and bought in a 50p and there were loads of them

Those buying in over 40p are in for a tough time as the competition is coming and growing.

Those buying in around 50p have my condolences

Indigenous local and Turkish coffee chains are enetering the market place. Starbucks, CFE and many more will be there soon. COH with its few outlets will struggle to make ends meet.

My opinion is that its a loser.

If I am wrong then I am wrong.

However, if I am right press button B to try to get back what money you can.

Its darts tonight, have fun and dont worry to much, I will and I dont.

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