diamonds
- 19 Jan 2007 16:58
from w-w-bb:
19.01.2007 - Total Rocketscience
The third and final company making up our Risk / Reward trilogy on shares for 2007 has so many investment negatives that most observers might not even give it more than a cursory glance. Although quoted on the London AIM market, it is based on the other side of the World, has reported revenues and cash flow of diddly squat and, more importantly, operates in an area of expertise so deep in boffinland that you need to be at least a 5 star techie to venture anywhere near it.
What originally persuaded us to give it a second look was the fact that legendary Stockmarket investor, Jim Slater, was pouring money into it via several successive rounds of financing. As we all know, Mr. Slater is a qualified accountant and hugely experienced corporate financier but clearly he is more at home in leafy Surrey than in the technologically rarified atmosphere of Southern California. However, he must have gleaned enough about what the company actually did to get extremely excited about it. In fact, by last Autumn, he had grown to like it so much that, to paraphrase the immortal Victor Kiam, he bought the remaining 51 % of the company that his vehicle, Original Investments, didn't already own.
The company in question was VIALOGY and, ever since it was fully reversed into Original just before Christmas, Slater's loyal band of followers have seen their highly speculative penny punt move on to the calculated risk category and been duly rewarded with a 50% shareprice improvement. We first latched on to this situation last April when we wrote a piece entitled The Cisco Kid ( see news archive ). To recap briefly, the company was set up by some brainboxes who had earlier worked together on supercomputing projects for NASA. Led by Dr. Sandip Gulati, the team appeared to have perfected software to detect and enhance extremely weak signals previously obscured by background noise. This may not seem particularly earthshattering to the layman but, apparently, the applications for this technology are not only revolutionary but almost limitless which suggests that an exponential rise in licensing income could well lie ahead.
Big news clearly travels fast on the Eastern seaboard because global behemoths Cisco and Boeing have already enlisted Vialogy to work on 2 major government inspired projects and these are just the ones that the company have been allowed to talk about publicly. As we reported in April, Cisco has contracted Vialogy to help with its IPICS programme which seeks to make sure that all emergency services and government agencies can communicate with each other quickly via computers and phones. The need to address this obvious requirement was highlighted by 9 / 11 when communications between different departments with different systems proved chaotic.
For its part, Boeing has recently confirmed that Vialogy has delivered a tenfold improvement in the accuracy and efficiency of the types of gyroscopes it uses in spacecraft and missile navigational systems. It is also known that both Cisco and Boeing see a major role for the technology in such areas as border controls and missile defence systems. Elsewhere a much smaller Texan company, Evolution Petroleum, is applying the technology to improving seismic evaluation of oil and gas deposits.
This initial clutch of applications is almost certainly just the tip of a very large iceberg that is going to float into view over the next few years and all that is required is a little patience. At todays price of 5.5p, Vialogy is valued at a mere 22m. To justify this valuation, the company would have to be earning say 2 million pretax. With cash reserves of 3 million and its heavyweight partners funding the projects it is involved in, Vialogy should be able to get through to breakeven without further recourse to shareholders. We would expect this stage to be reached sometime over the next 12 months. Thereafter, profits could / should escalate very dramatically as new applications and licensing income start to snowball.
On a two year view, shareholders could be rewarded extremely handsomely indeed. Vialogy is in so many ways akin to last weeks selection, CORAC. Both are now moving from the development stage to commercialization with the scales tipping away from blue sky risk towards the reality of cash flow. Both have mindblowing upside potential yet both have current shareprice action that makes drying paint look positively orgasmic. Although this presents an opportunity for latecomers, it is a frustrating byproduct of both companies involvement with highly sensitive technology and powerful, publicity shy partners. Moreover, the present lack of any meaningful numbers together with the sheer scale of future potential makes any serious stockbroker research well nigh impossible. All this will resolve itself in due course but, as they say in the Grolsch advert, all good things come to those who wait.
2517GEORGE
- 11 Jun 2009 12:14
- 934 of 1209
I'm not saying it isn't, but if capital raising was imminent the sp would weaken I'd have thought.
2517
HARRYCAT
- 11 Jun 2009 12:24
- 935 of 1209
EK is not a great lover of this company. He doesn't really understand what they do (much like the rest of us!) and he constantly implies that they are a 'jam tomorrow' kind of company, which to be fair, is correct so far.
notlob
- 12 Jun 2009 09:22
- 936 of 1209
RHPS Verdict: I have seen plenty of exciting
scientific innovations in my time, but nothing to
beat this. The scale of the opportunity is
enormous, and so is the value of Vialogys
revolutionary QRI software. High Risk BUY.
Name: Vialogy
EPIC: VIY
Exchange: AIM
Bid/Mid/Offer: 4.20p, 4.00p, 3.80p
52 Week High/Low: 6.38p/1.50p
Market Cap: 23.88m
Buy Limit: 7p
12 Month Target Price: 20p
http://www.fsponline-recommends.co.uk/i/pi/1294449427/3oilstocks.pdf
halifax
- 12 Jun 2009 12:11
- 937 of 1209
Suggest you visit their website to obtain a clear understanding of their technology.
notlob
- 12 Jun 2009 12:50
- 938 of 1209
this might help
http://www.vialogy.com/pdfs/QuantumRD_2009_overview.pdf
notlob
- 13 Jun 2009 13:29
- 939 of 1209
read about the QRI Space scanner here!
'This is one of the most astounding profit opportunities Ive come across this century.'
don't sit on the fence, then!!!!!!
http://www.fsponline-recommends.co.uk/page.aspx?u=rhpoils&tc=ERHPK615&PromotionID=2147066175&u=350966&g=0&o=70594&l=169221&
fliper
- 15 Jun 2009 13:53
- 940 of 1209
Lots of blue today ? good news on its way ?
notlob
- 15 Jun 2009 13:59
- 941 of 1209
news on new customers expected, also further wells to be drilled and news on the other techs also.
notlob
- 19 Jun 2009 12:17
- 942 of 1209
going nicely today, rumours abound of new customers, further wells to be drilled and a possible partner for the pipelline application.
Toya
- 22 Jun 2009 07:02
- 943 of 1209
Sp a pleasant surprise on my return from a few days away - glad you've been keeping an eye on this for us all Notlob!
Toya
- 07 Jul 2009 10:18
- 944 of 1209
porky
- 07 Jul 2009 13:42
- 945 of 1209
Not exactly an enthusiastic response to the good news.
Toya
- 15 Jul 2009 09:44
- 946 of 1209
RNS today:
Buckingham Group Contracts ViaLogy to Develop Multiple
Buckingham CEO Darryl Buckingham commented, 'We are encouraged by the technology ViaLogy has introduced to the industry and expect that it will mitigate risk and provide us with a critical advantage.'
mwoolgar
- 15 Jul 2009 10:02
- 947 of 1209
Whereas these recent RNS messages are all positive news, I feel the financial benefits will come once these companies start production.
Therefore firstly its better for VIY shareholders to receive good postive news and secondly its better to be in now, rather than when revenue actually starts coming in from any deal VIY has with its Partner.
halifax
- 15 Jul 2009 16:15
- 948 of 1209
Moving up nicely, a few more contract announcements and 10p can be achieved.
notlob
- 15 Jul 2009 17:42
- 949 of 1209
more great news from VIY, these guys would appear to have something the Texans want, and that should make it worth a lot of money.
BigTed
- 20 Jul 2009 22:23
- 950 of 1209
A positive result from Escondido and the market has to rerate this co in line with the recent additional partners gained, and the fact this is only the start, we know they stated 'interest from several companies in the states and europe, this has to snowball from here, VIY simply dont need any of their other projects to be a success over and above QRI, but of course they should also come good in time...
Kind of exciting, huh?! its difficult to talk about this co, without sounding as if your ramping, but the fact they have signed two new partners last week adds further endorsement of the tech, plus i dont think it was posted on here, but as i understand it VIY recommended to Atascosa not to drill a certain location - this, i feel is just as important - ok, without drilling we will never know if that info was correct, but to my mind it sounds like they really get a clear picture of what lies beneath!
Dyor etc - (i have a large holding!)
niceonecyril
- 20 Jul 2009 22:36
- 951 of 1209
Best of luck Ted myself a modest holding.
cyril
Balerboy
- 20 Jul 2009 22:42
- 952 of 1209
Boasting again Ted, you sound like Cynic. lol
mwoolgar
- 21 Jul 2009 10:25
- 953 of 1209
even more good news
Yet another contract win and if their product proves itself there is no telling how high share price could go.
Plus Barclays increase their holding again