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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

Shortie - 16 Nov 2012 15:39 - 9648 of 21973

5625.5 FTSE100 gone long

cynic - 16 Nov 2012 17:22 - 9649 of 21973

what a crazy day on Dow

Chris Carson - 16 Nov 2012 17:46 - 9650 of 21973

Shortie - Would I be right in saying your long based on breach of bollanger band oversold, so looking for a retrace to test 5660 - 5700? Then a sell off into the close to resume trend.

cynic - 16 Nov 2012 18:20 - 9651 of 21973

5680 is the probable resistance ..... however, with dow flying around all over the place, it's anyone's guess where it'll finish tonight

Chris Carson - 16 Nov 2012 18:29 - 9652 of 21973

Aye cynic, not sure I would want to be long over the weekend, but wtfdik,if in doubt stay out good for me. :O)

cynic - 16 Nov 2012 21:05 - 9653 of 21973

strange evening with dow hopping around all over the place, albeit within fairly narrow margins .... i'ld guess monday will open strong, but not brave enough to open any position in anticipation

skinny - 19 Nov 2012 09:46 - 9654 of 21973

Apple has lost £104 billion from its market value since mid September - quite amazing!

Shortie - 19 Nov 2012 10:03 - 9655 of 21973

Apples market valuation of no surprise to me Skinny, premium brand, recession, competition catching up, value for money..... I could go on..

FTSE long closed... Yes bought as viewed the FTSE as oversold and was looking for a retrace. This wasn't based on bollinger brands though as I rarely use them when trading 10, 15 and 30min charts.

Toya - 19 Nov 2012 10:08 - 9656 of 21973

I've gone short FSTE again at 5658 - an odd number, but it's served me well in the past week - hmm, possibly a bit premature!

Interesting link below - Apple is top of the cash pile!
8 Companies you didn't know had so much money

Shortie - 19 Nov 2012 10:37 - 9657 of 21973

I think the FTSE has overextended, I'm expecting it to rally back to 5700 then target the 200 DMA approx 5746 at the moment (no signals though). Good luck with your short position Toya.

Toya - 19 Nov 2012 11:07 - 9658 of 21973

Thanks Shortie! I shall keep an eye on it today and be ready to stop it if it's clear I've made the wrong decision.

I just feel it will be a short-term rally. However, it could all change when US Housing Data is released at 15:00 today

cynic - 19 Nov 2012 11:12 - 9659 of 21973

can't disagree with shortie's analysis, though "overextended" in my language implies "too far too fast"

Shortie - 19 Nov 2012 11:25 - 9660 of 21973

We speak the same language then Cynic..

Toya - 19 Nov 2012 11:31 - 9661 of 21973

On pure logic and charts, I entirely agree with you. However, I also feel that current politics could influence the markets quite strongly:

"Strategists said upside for equities remains limited after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Sunday told a cabinet meeting that the Israeli forces were prepared to significantly expand the offensive against Hamas in the Gaza Strip... Europe’s debt crisis could also move back to the fore, strategists warned, as euro-zone finance ministers prepare to meet Tuesday in another effort to bridge differences over how to achieve a sustainable debt path for Greece."

Shortie - 19 Nov 2012 11:55 - 9662 of 21973

Also there's the US fiscal-cliff, debt ceiling, potential credit rating downgrade, look at what happened last year after the debt ceiling was raised and the S&P cut the US rating. Further QE, it's long due a knock on USD strength.

Toya - 19 Nov 2012 11:56 - 9663 of 21973

FTSE clearly is heading higher...

Shortie - 19 Nov 2012 12:08 - 9664 of 21973

Paragon finals tomorrow, going long I think, they've recently increased and extended their warehouse facility and look set to outperform expectation. With estimated full year profits of £72m I think they should be trading on a PE of 12 which would support a 287p sp.

Shortie - 19 Nov 2012 12:22 - 9665 of 21973

249.27 Paragon Group Mar 13 Spread Bought.

skinny - 19 Nov 2012 15:00 - 9666 of 21973

USD Existing Home Sales 4.79m consensus 4.76M previous 4.75M

USD NAHB Housing Market Index 46 consensus 41 previous 41

Shortie - 19 Nov 2012 15:20 - 9667 of 21973

FTSE hindsight should have gone long as per my posts this morning. I don't like betting against the trend though.... Hhhmmm...
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