cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
Toya
- 19 Nov 2012 10:08
- 9656 of 21973
I've gone short FSTE again at 5658 - an odd number, but it's served me well in the past week - hmm, possibly a bit premature!
Interesting link below - Apple is top of the cash pile!
8 Companies you didn't know had so much money
Shortie
- 19 Nov 2012 10:37
- 9657 of 21973
I think the FTSE has overextended, I'm expecting it to rally back to 5700 then target the 200 DMA approx 5746 at the moment (no signals though). Good luck with your short position Toya.
Toya
- 19 Nov 2012 11:07
- 9658 of 21973
Thanks Shortie! I shall keep an eye on it today and be ready to stop it if it's clear I've made the wrong decision.
I just feel it will be a short-term rally. However, it could all change when US Housing Data is released at 15:00 today
cynic
- 19 Nov 2012 11:12
- 9659 of 21973
can't disagree with shortie's analysis, though "overextended" in my language implies "too far too fast"
Shortie
- 19 Nov 2012 11:25
- 9660 of 21973
We speak the same language then Cynic..
Toya
- 19 Nov 2012 11:31
- 9661 of 21973
On pure logic and charts, I entirely agree with you. However, I also feel that current politics could influence the markets quite strongly:
"Strategists said upside for equities remains limited after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Sunday told a cabinet meeting that the Israeli forces were prepared to significantly expand the offensive against Hamas in the Gaza Strip... Europe’s debt crisis could also move back to the fore, strategists warned, as euro-zone finance ministers prepare to meet Tuesday in another effort to bridge differences over how to achieve a sustainable debt path for Greece."
Shortie
- 19 Nov 2012 11:55
- 9662 of 21973
Also there's the US fiscal-cliff, debt ceiling, potential credit rating downgrade, look at what happened last year after the debt ceiling was raised and the S&P cut the US rating. Further QE, it's long due a knock on USD strength.
Toya
- 19 Nov 2012 11:56
- 9663 of 21973
FTSE clearly is heading higher...
Shortie
- 19 Nov 2012 12:08
- 9664 of 21973
Paragon finals tomorrow, going long I think, they've recently increased and extended their warehouse facility and look set to outperform expectation. With estimated full year profits of £72m I think they should be trading on a PE of 12 which would support a 287p sp.
Shortie
- 19 Nov 2012 12:22
- 9665 of 21973
249.27 Paragon Group Mar 13 Spread Bought.
skinny
- 19 Nov 2012 15:00
- 9666 of 21973
USD Existing Home Sales 4.79m consensus 4.76M previous 4.75M
USD NAHB Housing Market Index 46 consensus 41 previous 41
Shortie
- 19 Nov 2012 15:20
- 9667 of 21973
FTSE hindsight should have gone long as per my posts this morning. I don't like betting against the trend though.... Hhhmmm...
cynic
- 19 Nov 2012 16:49
- 9668 of 21973
shortie - i recollect that 12740 was an alleged dow support .... that being so, you may like to consider shorting now it has reached that level
i shall consider and, on the basis that dow will retrench a little, shall almost certainly shut long ftse which has done me proud today - we'll draw a veil over the last week's performance!
skinny
- 19 Nov 2012 17:16
- 9669 of 21973
AAPL off and running +5%.
cynic
- 19 Nov 2012 17:20
- 9670 of 21973
i know :-) but a lot of ground to make up as far as i am concerned ..... still that is in the past, so one starts again
Toya
- 19 Nov 2012 19:18
- 9671 of 21973
Well, I missed a great opportunity on the FTSE and Dow today - never thought we'd shoot up quite so high so fast! Ah well... another day beckons
cynic
- 19 Nov 2012 20:05
- 9672 of 21973
if dow holds current levels (>12640), then perhaps worth another long ftse for the morning, but be careful of o'night spikes
skinny
- 19 Nov 2012 20:46
- 9673 of 21973
I take it that you mean > 12,740?
skinny
- 20 Nov 2012 09:10
- 9674 of 21973
Bulls, not bears, go into hibernation
LONDON | Mon Nov 19, 2012 5:35pm GMT
(Reuters) - The longest losing streak on world markets since the darkest days of the euro crisis in late 2011 shows how reluctant investors are to trust in any sustained recovery after years of crisis.
Global equity indices on Friday flirted with a record eight consecutive days in the red for the first time in a year. Do a sweep of all related risky assets around the world and there's been a similar pattern of pullback.
Toya
- 20 Nov 2012 10:20
- 9675 of 21973
Interesting article Skinny - pretty much sums things up!