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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

Seymour Clearly - 16 Apr 2008 10:47 - 9704 of 11056

That's me out by limit for 100 pips @ 1.9783 :-)

FreemanFox - 16 Apr 2008 10:51 - 9705 of 11056

I think both Euro and cable look like they have further to go, but am happy with my profit too. Only 95 pips for me though ;-)

FreemanFox - 16 Apr 2008 10:57 - 9706 of 11056

Having a great day here.

U2 playing in background and my USD/CHF short limit just triggered for another 100 pip profit.

It's great when it's like this!!

hilary - 17 Apr 2008 12:26 - 9707 of 11056

1.9831 looks to be today's magic number. Has it got the legs to clear it this time?

MightyMicro - 17 Apr 2008 12:38 - 9708 of 11056

If not Hil, I'm sure you have ;-)

hilary - 17 Apr 2008 12:43 - 9709 of 11056

These legs, MM? I've given up the fitness regime and let myself go a bit since I last saw you.

MightyMicro - 17 Apr 2008 13:12 - 9710 of 11056

Those are indeed the legs, Hil. I have mixed feelings about the boots, though . . .

hilary - 17 Apr 2008 14:08 - 9711 of 11056

Yeah, ride on cowboy.

Inflation to remain above target next year as well: Weber


Buba chief Weber continues to burn up the wires, saying the G7 statement on FX speaks for itself. "Some" FX moves are of concern, he says, and that excessive FX volatility is not good for growth. The market is seizing on the hawkish bits, as usual, as Weber says that inflation will likely stay above 2% in 2009 by a significant margin, implying rate cuts are off the table for the remainder of the decade, if taken at face value. EUR/USD is on the rise again, amid reports of buying by a Mid East account. It trades at 1.5910.

hilary - 17 Apr 2008 14:12 - 9712 of 11056

Portrait of a EUR/USD short-seller on the G7 statement


A reader was kind enough to send along photographic evidence of his experience after selling EUR/USD Monday morning following the shift in rhetoric from the G7 on currencies.

Seymour Clearly - 17 Apr 2008 16:16 - 9713 of 11056

Isn't the edit button useful Hils ;-)

That outfit's a bit too revealing for my liking.

hilary - 17 Apr 2008 17:59 - 9714 of 11056

I'm not quite sure what you mean, Seymour. What edit button?

:o)

MightyMicro - 17 Apr 2008 18:16 - 9715 of 11056

That edit button, Hil ;-)

Seymour Clearly - 17 Apr 2008 23:37 - 9716 of 11056

Cable next target 2.0110? (H4 chart btw)

Photobucket

chocolat - 18 Apr 2008 10:23 - 9717 of 11056

LONDON (Dow Jones)--Rolling 24-hour chart levels:


Forex spot: EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD USD/CHF

Spot 0850 GMT 1.5945 102.39 1.9959 1.0060
3 Day Trend Bullish Bouncing Bullish Neutral
Weekly Trend Bullish Capped Capped Neutral
200 day ma 1.4538 110.95 2.0125 1.1257
3rd Resistance 1.6050 103.60 2.0047 1.0150
2nd Resistance 1.6012 103.20 2.0011 1.0115
1st Resistance 1.5980 102.95 1.9985 1.0094
Pivot* 1.5929 102.41 1.9946 1.0057
1st Support 1.5875 102.25 1.9922 1.0040
2nd Support 1.5812 101.97 1.9884 1.0015
3rd Support 1.5780 101.50 1.9843 0.9960

Intraday EUR/USD: The euro still eyes Wednesday's $1.5980 new all-time high, a break above which will have $1.6012 minor resistance in sight. Provided the pair remains below it, however, minor support around $1.5875 is just as likely to be revisited in the days to come.

Weekly chart EUR/USD trend: Bullish.


Intraday USD/JPY: The dollar is likely to remain below Y102.95 minor resistance, and to retrace towards Y102.25 minor support, and, if breached, Y101.97 minor support. Resistance above Y102.95 is found around Y103.20.

Weekly chart USD/JPY trend: Capped.


Intraday GBP/USD: Sterling is advancing and nears $1.9985 minor resistance, which is likely to cap it. A retracement back to $1.9922 minor support seems probable for Friday. Further support comes in around $1.9884, Friday's intraday low, and at $1.9843, the April 10 high. Resistance above $1.9985 comes in around $2.0011.

Weekly chart GBP/USD trend: Capped.


Intraday USD/CHF: The dollar is slipping back towards CHF1.0040 minor support, a decline through which has CHF1.0015 support in view. First minor resistance around CHF1.0094 is expected to continue to cap the currency pair.

Weekly chart USD/CHF trend: Neutral.


Forex spot: EUR/GBP EUR/JPY EUR/CHF AUD/USD

Spot 0850 GMT 0.7989 163.26 1.6040 0.9389
3 Day Trend Capped Bullish Bullish Bullish
Weekly Trend Bullish Bullish Bouncing Bouncing
200 day ma 0.7230 160.92 1.6320 0.8853
3rd Resistance 0.8038 164.39 1.6089 0.9466
2nd Resistance 0.8012 164.08 1.6066 0.9435
1st Resistance 0.7998 163.55 1.6047 0.9405
Pivot* 0.7987 163.16 1.6021 0.9382
1st Support 0.7972 162.90 1.6020 0.9360
2nd Support 0.7951 162.35 1.5994 0.9347
3rd Support 0.7932 161.75 1.5958 0.9301

Intraday EUR/GBP: The euro lost around one pence versus sterling Thursday before stabilizing at GBP0.7972. It currently nears GBP0.7998 minor resistance. Above this, GBP0.8012 resistance may also be reached. Minor support below GBP0.7972 stands at GBP0.7951.

Weekly chart EUR/GBP trend: Bullish.


Intraday EUR/JPY: The euro nears Y163.55 minor resistance. In case of a break above this, Y164.08 resistance, the Dec. 26 low, will be targeted. Minor support is found around Y162.90 and at Y162.35.

Weekly chart EUR/JPY trend: Bullish.


Intraday EUR/CHF: The euro is oscillating between CHF1.6047 and CHF1.6020 Friday morning. In case of an advance above CHF1.6047, CHF1.6066 and then CHF1.6089 resistance will be in focus, whereas a decline through CHF1.6020 would have CHF1.5994 minor support in sight.

Weekly chart EUR/CHF trend: Bouncing.


Intraday AUD/USD: The Australian dollar is taking another run at US$0.9405 minor resistance. In case of a continued advance, US$0.9435 minor resistance will be eyed. Minor support stands at US$0.9360, Friday's intraday low, and around US$0.9347, the March 19 high.

Weekly chart AUD/USD trend: Bouncing.

* The pivot is the sum of the high, low and close divided by 3.


For more technical analysis see: Dow Jones Newswires, N/DJTA; Bloomberg, NI DJTA; and Reuters key word search "INSI-DJN"

FreemanFox - 22 Apr 2008 11:04 - 9718 of 11056

Morning All,

Does anyone have any experinces, good or bad, with Tradestation? I'm thinking of opening an account with them.

Platform looks fairly good and they seem to have reasonable spreads on Forex. Also I could use it for trading options and US shares as well. So everything I need under 1 additional platform. Interested in anybody's comments ...

johngtudor - 22 Apr 2008 12:45 - 9719 of 11056

FF,


I use Tradestation all the time, love the Tick charts they provide. Do not use them as a Broker though. However if you place a minimum number of trades with them each month you can get the platform for free. Hope my comments help.


JT

hilary - 22 Apr 2008 12:55 - 9720 of 11056

Sterling lending rates post negligible drop

Three month sterling libor has fallen by a negligible amount today, disappointing anyone who expected lending rates to come down swiftly after the Bank od England's emergency measures announced on Monday. This won't sit kindly with Chancellor Darling who is meeting the Council of Mortgage Lenders today and he will have been further frustrated by the news that Abbey have just announced a further increase to their mortgage rates. Cable has performed well this morning re-establishing itself above 1.9800 as some Eur/Gbp selling has pushed the cross down to 0.8020. Look out for a speech by BOE member Timothy Besley which is due at 12.15 GMT.

FreemanFox - 22 Apr 2008 13:01 - 9721 of 11056

Thanks JT,

Have you ever used Tradestation as the broker or just prefer someone else?

Yes, getting it for free is a bonus which I'll easily do each month. I can't see why anyone would want to go with someone else, like e-signal for example, and pay for their platform when you can get it from elsewhere for free.

hilary - 22 Apr 2008 13:38 - 9722 of 11056

The time is wrong in this piece. It should read 13:00GMT.

12:33 GMT, Apr 22 2008 | Posted by Jamie Coleman from Boston
Forward-looking BOC set to trim 50 bp


With its biggest customer sucking wind, the BOC is set to trim its bank rate to 3.00% this morning to get in front of the slowdown in growth that the Governor of the BOC has been telegraphing since taking office earlier this year. Don't expect too much of a reaction if the BOC give the market what it expects, but expect a violent USD slide should the BOC unexpectedly take a go-slow approach on rate cuts. CAD crosses would likely benefit dramatically from an unexpected 25 bp cut as well. The rate move will be announced at 14:00 GMT, just under a half hour from now.

Otherwise, expect more 1.0000/1.0150.

hilary - 23 Apr 2008 09:06 - 9723 of 11056

06:59 GMT, Apr 23 2008 | Posted by Mark Mitchell from London
Some people just don't get it


Another Jean-Claude (there are a lot of them around) is speaking on the wires. This time it's Luxembourg Prime Minister and and Eurogroup President Jean-Claude Juncker who bemoans the excessive volatility in fx at the moment. When asked about Euro FX, he says markets should focus less on short-term info and that it was not the intention of the G7 to have led to results on FX we see today. Questioned specifically on the pricing in of an ECB rate rise in FX he said "I don't like the way things are developing" With 21 members on the ECB council, the ECB need to quickly get back to the days of "we speak with one voice"
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