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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

Fred1new - 09 Oct 2006 11:36 - 982 of 1009

I dropped another half of original hold and bought chunks of AHT and ADN (worth a look.) could be 30-40% up on them in short term (2-3mths). Also punted a small amount (V.Small) on SEO.

pachandl - 09 Oct 2006 13:11 - 983 of 1009

I have been in and out of SEO, with some reasonable profit. I will check ADN, thanks. Currently looking at getting back into FTO (once sp has stabilised).

pjstanton - 11 Oct 2006 13:52 - 984 of 1009

Just received the "Recommended Proposal" document.

So, just 205 pence in cash. Had expected more, but honestly I will be glad to be rid of them.

Peter

Douggie - 14 Nov 2006 17:48 - 985 of 1009

Seen 3 graphs all show close at 205.75p ????????? ...............!

Fred1new - 14 Nov 2006 20:25 - 986 of 1009

Checked the range for to-day and 202.5p was the high for the day.
I sold this a while back and moved on as I think while you may get another 1.5% you have to wait for your money and possibly pick another share which will return more while you wait, especially as the market is rising.

Douggie - 18 Dec 2006 09:04 - 987 of 1009

Mourning All .... ;o/

there we go it's all over bar the pay cheque !!

thanks to all for such a good thread for so long

Best of seasons greetings

Doug

Fred1new - 18 Dec 2006 09:52 - 988 of 1009

Douggie, You can have that Turkey on that long wanted holiday now!

8-)

Douggie - 18 Dec 2006 10:58 - 989 of 1009

Hi Fred just back from 2wks Costa Del Sol .... off with Saga 4 nights over Christmas

then to Madera 2wks end Jan. :o))

so wasting profit before I've banked it

Very best wishes

Doug

Mantis SG - 18 Dec 2006 12:56 - 990 of 1009

Hi, this is my first post. I am a very amature trader hoping to get a bit more clued up. I have shares in RTD, I was expecting the price to go up to 205p at the close on friday (15/12/06) but they have opened this morning still at the 203.5 mark. Any ideas what is going to happen, will the share price continue to stay at 203 now, should I sell? Thanks very much. Sean.

boxerdog - 18 Dec 2006 13:01 - 991 of 1009

Sean, i continue to hold to get full 205p. which if i'm correct you will acheive very early 2007.

Mantis SG - 18 Dec 2006 14:08 - 992 of 1009

Thanks Boxerdog.

Fundamentalist - 18 Dec 2006 16:43 - 993 of 1009

well done to all who continued to hold up until the takeover.

Sad to see this share disappear from the markets though it certainly doesnt owe me (or many others on here) anything

Fred1new - 18 Dec 2006 18:26 - 994 of 1009

Mantis, you will be paid the 205p eventually, but may have to wait for the settlement.

I sold out the last part of my holdings at 199-201.5. Reckoned I could make more than 2.5% with the cash in the market. But it is swings and roundabouts and also depends on dealing costs.

Personally, when a take over gets to the price I figured or I hoped for I tend to cut and run, especially worried that the books may not live up to expectations and the while waiting in a bull market I am loosing the growth rate in other shares.

That is what I think Fundy did at earlier on. But he made up for it on Dana. Which is giving him about 40% per annum over the same time period.

Fundamentalist - 18 Dec 2006 18:50 - 995 of 1009

Fred i sold out pre consolidation but did pick a few up on the initial takeover rumours. I sold them in the high 190s

Yes Dana still doing me proud and still the biggest part of my portfolio :-)

Douggie - 29 Dec 2006 17:14 - 996 of 1009

Happy New Year to All

I guess this is the last goodbye ..... GOODBYE ... ;o((

I find the proceeds of the sale of RTD are now in my dealing acc.

sooner than expected .... can have cash by 04/01 ... :o))

Fred1new - 29 Dec 2006 17:36 - 997 of 1009

Douggie, Buy some RTD I have been told it's a winner.


8-)

Douggie - 29 Dec 2006 19:14 - 998 of 1009

Thanks Fred .... how many you got ............. ;o)

Fundamentalist - 31 Dec 2006 16:29 - 999 of 1009

you guys just cant let go can you :-)

Douggie - 04 Jan 2007 10:49 - 1000 of 1009

HI Fundy ............. nope ...........very best wishes always found your postings helpful

latics3 - 15 Jan 2007 17:27 - 1001 of 1009

douggie..where have you put your're Rtd profits!!
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