zarif
- 09 Sep 2003 06:09
how do you see the dow index going today
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zarif
- 09 Jul 2004 11:29
- 1981 of 2279
Morning all:
Tom Hougaards thoughts for the market for today.
rgds
zarif
Good morning,
The odds are strongly favouring more downside, but you know as well as I do that the markets dont move down in a straight line. That is one reason why I give key levels every day. The strategy today will to biased short below 1118 in the SP500, and maximum short below 1112.
Stocks like EBay got hammered yesterday and we are short those glamour names. There was a big cycle turn last night but it remains to be seen if it will generate higher prices today. We closed at the lows last night and there is little buying interest in Europe this morning. Below yesterdays low should lead to the first square root target of 1095 off the highs.
The model for the year is supported by the 20-year cycle which points to a low into 26th July. From then on a strong rally will develop.
If any of you follow the TRIN signal we are in the territory which is usually associated with previous lows.
I got today as moving higher off the open, but only momentarily. From then onwards the market points lower the rest of the day. The odds remain high for further downside and a test of the 1100 area in the September SP500 futures.
Have a nice weekend
Tom
zarif
- 09 Jul 2004 12:36
- 1982 of 2279
Below is an image of the market cycles and to date has been following well
i reckon 10250-10260 tops and then down to atleast 10130 ish lets see what happens -this is my view yours may be different
rgds
zarif
daves dazzlers
- 09 Jul 2004 15:43
- 1983 of 2279
bloody hell,the dows up,,,,,,,,,,,,make`s a change.
MM
- 09 Jul 2004 20:47
- 1984 of 2279
Zarif- thanks for the charts and views. spot on on the upper limits, and scalping was all I could do to-day. have a good weekend .MM
zarif
- 09 Jul 2004 21:29
- 1985 of 2279
MM: Funny sort of day -same as you kept scalping the dow. Had a small short on the EuroDoll which came good and than reversed it which also came good. The cable shorted it a few times and was alright then i took a long and it was just stuck in a 6-10pt range for a while than at 8.35-8.52pm was tuck at aroung 1.8588 and than at 8.59 went like a rocket to about 1.8610 ish giving me a total of 50pts for this one. So a good weekend is in order.
rgds & goodnite
zarif
zarif
- 13 Jul 2004 14:31
- 1986 of 2279
afternoon all:
Just i time for the Ym open.
Reckon its going to make a move up or down? All will be revealed but me i am still shorting the mini rallies that it has. I reckon will have aturn at about 3.30pm. So going to watch at first
good luck and trade wisely
rgds
zarif
zarif
- 13 Jul 2004 18:56
- 1987 of 2279
I have got a small long on tm on the dow and most probably there will be a trek northbound around 7.15-7.30pm. lets see what happens.
Melnibone
- 13 Jul 2004 19:01
- 1988 of 2279
Intel will decide it after the bell, Zarif.
What's putting me off shorting the NDX at the moment, is that
there's a gap open lower to fill from the 06 July in the 1480/1470
area.
Not sure whether to go for the long to close the gap and then short
at 1480 or wait to see which way Intel swings the Naz after hours.
Melnibone.
Melnibone
- 13 Jul 2004 19:06
- 1989 of 2279
Zarif, would you do me a favour, please?
Have a click on the Indices tab above and tell me which Ticker
symbol MoneyAm uses for the NDX (Nasdaq100) charts.
The ones I use on other chart sites don't seem to work on MoneyAm,
they must use their own symbol.
Melnibone.
zarif
- 13 Jul 2004 20:50
- 1990 of 2279
IXND Nasdaq 100
QQQ Nasdaq 100
IXIC Nasdaq Composite
melnibone is that what u r after. regarding longs i am taking small scalps and going hard on the shorts when they arise.
rgds
zarif
zarif
- 13 Jul 2004 21:10
- 1991 of 2279
Melnibone another brainwave - On the Dow header if you click the DOWJONES@LIVECHARTS it has a lot of info and charts in the graph if you left click it will will give you an array of charts and u can add studies etc and type of graph eg pnd bar cndl etc etc
goodnite for now
rgds
zarif
Melnibone
- 14 Jul 2004 09:15
- 1992 of 2279
Many thanks, Zarif, IXND was the one.
Different sites seem to use different Ticker Symbols.
Glad they don't do it with shares as well. :-)
Melnibone.
zarif
- 14 Jul 2004 14:24
- 1993 of 2279
Ym auction about to open i feel we will most probably have a pop up and then down most morning.
lets see what happens!!!
rgds
zarif
zarif
- 14 Jul 2004 15:53
- 1994 of 2279
managed a long on the dow currently +72pts and locking in profits.
zarif
- 14 Jul 2004 16:57
- 1995 of 2279
closed the long earlier at 72pts profit. Now seems to be hanging about after closing the gap and will see what happens after the Europe closes. I have taken out a short atm.
rgds
zarif
zarif
- 14 Jul 2004 17:23
- 1996 of 2279
What do you guys/gals reckon the dow will do? My idea is that it will trail down between 6pm-8.15 time frame in a slow zigzag.Thats my opinion yours may be different.It takes two views to make a market.
MM
- 14 Jul 2004 18:17
- 1997 of 2279
Well done Zarif. Just logged in, must have missed the best moves.MM
zarif
- 14 Jul 2004 18:34
- 1998 of 2279
MM: I think it will zigzag down till about 8.15pm then track nortwards ar the end. Thats my opinion so watch and see what happens. The short which i took out earlier is 50pts positive atm.
so lets see what happens now.
rgds
zarif
orky1963
- 14 Jul 2004 19:18
- 1999 of 2279
Can anybody advise me why the Dow moved so much up after dropping first thing this afternoon
Orky
zarif
- 14 Jul 2004 19:57
- 2000 of 2279
closed the short 90pts in profit now waiting to see moves after 8.15pm.
orky -pure manipilation most probably.