Thought I'd start a new thread as this is going to be a major talking point this year...have not made up my mind yet...(unlike bucksfizz)....but thinking of voting for an exit as Europe is not doing Britain any good at all it seems....

A Capital & Conflict MoneyWeek publication:
17 March 2016

A “Make or Break” Time for Britain

Powerful elites are lining up to support the ‘stay’ vote in the June 23rd decision on Britain’s future in the European Union. In this report, you’ll learn how the EU referendum could be your last chance to foil a 40-year campaign against your personal freedom. You’ll see…

Why it’s not an exaggeration to call the EU: a blueprint for slavery
The three ways the EU controls you every day
What “Brexit” will do for the UK economy

You may find some of what follows controversial. You may even disagree with it whole heartedly. But you owe it to yourself to hear both sides of the story before you cast your vote.

Ultimately the most important vote you end up making will be with your money. This report will also show you how to stay informed as the Brexit vote approaches. The risks, the consequences, the opportunities… all the economic and financial repercussions will be discussed in detail, on an almost daily basis.

But first, to learn why the stakes are so high, and how we reached this crucial moment of national decision, let me show you how we got here. It begins with a plan.

The EU: A Blueprint for Slavery

First let's begin with an important point. Being against the European Union doesn’t mean you hate Europe. The EU is an organisation that’s trying to increase its power, in the name of promoting unity in Europe.

For instance, you may well have voted in the 1974 referendum, held during Edward Heath’s government. If you did, you’ll remember that the choice back then was to become a part of a common European market… not the European Union as we know it today.

Britain chose to join a club based on free trade, only to find that the rules could be changed without our agreement… and that it’s nearly impossible to leave. What began as an amiable and beneficial trading accord has morphed into a proxy parliament… and now into a prison.

The illusion of freedom and democracy remains… but the reality of the EU has always been opposed to these values. The same is true across Europe. Take the Treaty of Lisbon. Its first incarnation was the EU Constitution in 2005.

The people of France rejected it. So did the Netherlands.

And then what happened? Did the EU respect the decision of the people?

Nope. The legislation was recycled into the Treaty of Lisbon, and passed in 2009.

The idea that an unelected organisation can reach into the heart of a sovereign state’s inner workings and DEMAND that the laws of the land change is reprehensible.

But that is what is laid out in the EU’s operating manual… a recent issue of the European Yearbook, published by the Council of Europe, states that:

The centre of decision of economic policy will be politically responsible to a European Parliament...

These transfers of responsibility represent a process of fundamental political significance…

Handing the control of your affairs to a stranger is a recipe for disaster… whether that’s the UK’s political leaders abdicating power to bureaucrats in Brussels, or you as an investor handing control of your money to someone else. It’s a bad idea either way.

The critical moment is right now…

Not once in the history of the EU has a nation like ours stood up and said we’d be better off outside of it.

That is what our referendum is: a challenge.

It’s a direct threat to the EU’s real agenda – which is to concentrate political and economic power in the hands of unelected elites.

That’s why our challenge terrifies them.

Right now, we’re at a critical stage. There is no way to maintain the status quo. We are at a fork in the road.

A ‘stay’ vote commits to the EU in ways we will never be able to undo. Over the years, it will continue to centralise power, like a black hole sucking everything towards itself, to strip us of our autonomy piece by piece.

A ‘no’ vote is the ultimate threat to the EU.

The EU already influences a minimum of 13% of British laws directly… and perhaps as many as 64%, depending on where you get your figures.

It already regulates certain foods, important financial matters, climate change rules, how many migrants can cross our border… and the list goes on. In fact, the 100 most burdensome regulations cost the UK £33 billion a year. It commandeers between £8 billion and £20 billion of taxpayer money – your money – every year.

No matter what our politicians say, a ‘stay’ vote gives the EU a mandate to reach across the channel and strip our nation of its sovereignty.

It happens with one little law… one obscure regulation… one indecipherable directive at a time… until, one day, in the near future, the ideas of freedom and liberty that Britain has stood by for centuries will have been destroyed.

It’s only then that people will wake up and realise what the EU really is: a blueprint for slavery.

The Three Ways the EU is Gaining Control

The EU may not openly control what Britain – or any other state – does, but it advances its agenda subtly… largely unseen… and without restriction. There are three particular methods the EU uses to increase its power. Remember, it’s all about control.

Control #1: the money

As any Greek, Cypriot, Portuguese or Irish citizen will tell you, debt forces nations to do things they’d never freely choose to do otherwise.

And it’s why the creation of the European Central Bank – and ultimately the Euro – has been vital in helping the EU acquire power, something Margaret Thatcher warned of in 1979:

“[In] that kind of Europe,” she said, “[there] is no democracy.” The point is “having a single currency, a monetary policy and interest rates which take all political power away from us.”

Thatcher was right then. But today, the EU’s control of the finances also affects you on a much more personal level.

For instance, did you know that at the start of 2016 the amount of money you have guaranteed in any UK bank dropped from £85k to £75k, entirely to bring it in line with EU ‘standards’?

It might seem innocuous now. But as the Cyprus “bail-in” showed, allowing the EU to dictate the financial laws and regulations between you, your bank and your government can have disastrous consequences.

Control #2: law making

Our elected Parliament should have the ultimate power to make laws in Britain.

The EU has turned that rule on its head.

The European Court of Justice asserts its own supremacy over and above the role of national parliaments. The UK’s parliamentary website explains:

“Provisions of EU law that are directly applicable or have direct effect, such as EU Regulations or certain articles of the EU Treaties, are automatically… incorporated and binding in national law without the need for a further Act of Parliament.”

This idea has been challenged in court in several nations across Europe. But the EU still asserts its own law-making supremacy above that of national member state parliaments.

Again, it did this without the people of the EU ever having the choice.

But it’s the third control that causes the greatest concern.

Control #3: the language

Vladimir Lenin once said: “A lie told often enough becomes the truth.”

Take the Treaty of Rome. If you’re unfamiliar with this, it’s generally seen as the official beginning of the EU in 1957 (or the European Economic Community, as it was known back then). It committed the states to “ever closer union among peoples.”

Those five innocuous-sounding little words gave generations of European elites the weapon they needed to keep pushing for more Europe, closer ties and more centralisation of power.

The EU charter nearly prevents any member nation from being able to leave without receiving approval.

Consider Article 50.2 of the Charter:

“A Member state which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union.”

In other words, the rules state that we must negotiate our way out if we decide to leave the EU. That means we sit at a table with the European Council… and we cannot leave until they “agree” to terms acceptable to them.

In short, it means that even if we vote to leave, the European Union can dictate the TERMS we leave on.

In 2008, the people of Ireland clearly and decisively rejected the Treaty of Lisbon.

But again, instead of listening to the people’s choice and dropping the bill, the Irish were told to go back and do the vote again!

This time, in 2009, the ‘correct’ result came in.

That’s almost certainly what will happen if we vote to leave the Union. At first we’ll be told: “Go back and do it again.”

If that doesn’t work, the recriminations… sanctions… and heavy handed negotiations will begin.

What Brexit Will Do for the Economy

A more entrepreneurial, less bureaucratic British economy should be good news for our economy.

But the reality, as Vicky Redwood of Capital Economics says, is that both the purported gains and losses from Brexit are overstated.

Even if the EU imposed tariffs on UK exports, “this 4% cost would be fairly easily absorbed” while any hit to EU trade would be offset “over the long-term by the extra opportunities to boost trade with emerging economies.”

There’s also the £10bn-odd in savings that the UK would make on its contributions to the EU.

A big player in the debate is Britain’s finance industry.

The City itself is split on our membership of the EU. And while the press tends to assume that they act out of self-interest, a vocal minority speaks from the heart.

For example, talking to hedge-fund manager Crispin Odey (an Outer), he’s less concerned with the impact on his business one way or the other, than with a desire to see British democracy fully restored.

But as far as the risk to the City goes, Michael Petley, chief executive of investment manager of the ECU group, points out that the City was 100 years or more in the making and has huge competitive advantages over potential post-Brexit rivals.

London is a world leader in accounting, financial technology, regulatory matters, banking and capital markets.

Petley reckons it would take 25 years to create a financial hub to replicate this. On top of that, London’s success has brought in hundreds of thousands of expatriates and their families from around the world.

A major financial centre needs schools, housing, hotels and an airline hub. The population is 8.5 million, but it touches a multiple of that each day. London is more than a city, it is a network – and that is irreplaceable.

Another big concern is trade.

The UK has a trade deficit with Europe – we buy more from them than they buy from us. So a trade war is no more desirable for Europe than it is for Britain.

And sure, new trade deals would have to be struck. But as Jonathan Lindsell of the Civitas think tank points out: “Swiss negotiators close more deals than the EU does, often with larger economies.”

Business for Britain has put together a detailed analysis of how a new trade deal with the EU could be pre-negotiated before any Brexit. The rest would quickly fall into place.

Steve Baker MP, head of Conservatives for Britain, notes that Britain is already a member of the World Trade Organisation (WTO).

Under these rules, Europe must offer us “most favoured nation” trading status. As a result, says Baker, “our membership of the WTO defrays even the worst-case scenario of trade barriers being erected under WTO rules if we left”.

More broadly speaking, global trade tariffs have been falling under globalisation.

Free trade benefits all involved, so it is in no one’s interests to reverse that. In any case, the EU promotes the trade in goods over services – it wasn’t built for Britain, a world leader in services. And overall, the EU is becoming less important in our overall trade mix.

The Office for National Statistics states that the EU’s share of global GDP has fallen from 30% in 1993 to 24% in 2013.

That reflects the growth of the emerging markets. The proportion of trade accounted for by the EU “has fallen consistently since 1999”, reports the ONS. In fact, as MEP Daniel Hannan points out, “Britain is the only EU state that sells more outside the union than to other members.”

Conclusion: We Should Go on Alone

We do not hate Europe... but we don’t have to like the EU.

Winston Churchill believed in a united Europe.

He wanted to see the free movement of goods, capital and labour, and believed that free trade would bind nations together and create a lasting peace.

But as he once said, “if you make 10,000 regulations you destroy all respect for the law.” Excessive rules feed a bulging bureaucracy; they don’t create a better European economy.

While the EU may have embraced free-market ideals early on, it has moved away from them.

The EU’s actions and structures drive its members towards a centralised social and political model, fed by high taxation.

In turn, that means that power will always flow towards and serve the interests of the biggest, most influential partners in the EU – Germany and France.

That attitude is holding back the rest of Europe, particularly those countries locked into the euro. That’s a great pity. But we don’t have to remain part of that.

There is no doubt that Britain would thrive alone. The EU in its current form serves neither Britain nor Europe. It must undergo radical change. And if it can’t or won’t, then Britain should go it alone.

i'll read the rest of the article above in due course, but i can tell from the opening sentences that it is heavily biased, which i find singularly annoying

i want to make up my mind properly, which means balanced and intelligent reporting

Everything you read is biased, one way or the other.

Peeps believe what they want to believe, and disregard the rest.

Cynic of course it's biased ,it's for the out case ,you can find plenty of other reporting out there .

Another fudge of a remedy to the immigration catastrophe that's enveloping the West, and created by Frau Merkel and other weak western leaders, has been announced.

the problem with the referendum result, whichever way it goes, is that the long-term effects are all guesswork
there are good arguments and credible heavy hitters on both sides

Well i know that if there is a vote to stay then the weak reforms that Cameron came back with, will over a short period be totally left by the wayside by NEW rules which will overide camerons 'reforms', that's how the EU works.

The eu will feel they can then bring in much, much closer intergration, and that would mean the UK HAVING to take their share of the uncontrolled mass immigrants flooding in from Turkey and from North Africa......

Granny,

Perhaps, even an immigrant moving next door to you.

Better start putting the bolts on the doors.

It won't be AN immigrant moving next door to you , it will be a Multitude of freeloaders make no mistake .

Vicky and JB.

I live with an immigrant, who probably is more fluent in English than either of you will ever be.

Are both of you frightened of ghosts as well as immigrants?

-=-=-

Ps,

Do you have black shirts in your bottom drawers?

Manuel.

Point taken.

8-)

------

EU referendum: Households 'worse off' after Brexit
18 March 2016


If the UK leaves the European Union, British households could be on average as much as £1,700 a year worse off, a think tank has said.

In the longer term, the average cost to households could be up to £6,400, according to the Centre for Economic Performance.


It says a decline in trade would cost the economy "far more" than would be gained from lower EU contributions.

But Vote Leave described the claims as "ridiculous" and lacking "credibility".


The Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) is a think tank based at the London School of Economics.

In reaching its conclusions, the CEP starts from the standpoint that about half of the UK's trade is with the EU and that as a member of the EU the UK benefits from there
being fewer barriers to trade.

It says post-Brexit the UK would do less trade with the EU because there would be higher tariffs on goods. But also there would be other non-tariff barriers to trade, such as British exporters to the EU having to prove their goods were made in the UK.

Also in the longer term the UK would get less benefit from future market integration within the EU.

Best case scenario

According to the researchers, in the best case scenario the UK negotiates a deal with the EU similar to Norway's.

Norway is a member of the European Economic Area and has a free trade agreement with the EU, so there are no tariffs on trade between the two.

However, there are some non-tariff barriers to trade. After deducting the savings that would be made by the UK no longer having to make contributions to the EU budget, the researchers say there would be a fall in UK income of 1.3% - which equates to £850 a year per household.

Fred1new (268)

Granny,

"perhaps, even an immigrant moving next door to you."

fred1new, Not exactly next door but there is Hindu's and sikh's living close by, ALL here came by the legal route, and NO rapes or abuse or religious indoctranators from these fine upstanding citizens, who have intergrated wonderfully into the British way of life...They don't threaten to blow us up or chop our heads off, or have the flag of isis flying over Downing St..

London School of Economics and the CEP is a Left wing EU funded organisation and made up of Left wingers who's ideology is on the principle of a european socialist dictatorship..


And a short history on the incompetant CBI....


The CBI has a long history of blunders, the CBI's predecessor the Federation of Brtish Industries backed British membership of the International gold standard which led to HUGE unemployment.

A study said the Federation supported economic appeasement with Nazi Germany, 'because they recognised the benefits(LOL!) to the trading community.

The CBI backed the exchange rate mechanism in 1987, it called for full UK membership , arguing that it could increase Britains share of world trade. In fact it led to interest rates hitting 15% with millions of home owners going into negative equity...

In 1999 the CBI argued that joining the euro would deliver significant benefits to the UK economy.

The CBI has consistently supported transferring control from the British Parliment and courts to EU intsitutions..... (Published in the DM)

Wasn't that in the heyday of Tory Government mismanagement?

Wasn't there a fellow called Norman and another Walter Mitty figure pursuing their ideology?

Another C+P.

"On the 8th of October 1990, Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher entered the pound into the ERM mechanism at DM 2.95 to the pound. Hence, if the exchange rate ever neared the bottom of its permitted range, DM 2.773, the government would be obliged to intervene. With UK inflation at three times the rate of Germany's, interest rates at 15% and the "Lawson Boom" about to bust, the conditions for joining the ERM were not favourable at that time."

YES but the europhile CBI wanted to join the ERM just like they wanted the UK to take up the euro...They are incompetent when it comes to most of their threats and predictions.

Britain's NHS can't survive staying in the European Union

Do you prefer the EU or the NHS? The referendum gives us a chance to keep our national health service alive, safe from open door immigration and TTIP




By Louise Bours MEP, Ukip's health spokesman

10:48AM GMT 21 Mar 2016




Anyone inclined to stay in the EU needs to ask themselves this one simple question. "Do I prefer the EU or the NHS?" because we can’t have both, and I’ll now prove it.


The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership will change our NHS from being about public health to being about private wealth.


It’s not just Ukip that know it, trade unions, health workers, and even a top EU law QC knows it, along with the public who have signed anti-TTIP petitions in their hundreds of thousands.


At its core is a series of rules to protect the investment of American health corporations; you know the ones, they make billions of dollars of profit in a country where it’s easier to get shot than get medical care.



More: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12196908/Britains-NHS-cant-survive-staying-in-the-European-Union.html

LEAVE odds as low as 13/8 but generally 7/4 & 15/8. Three weeks ago they were generally 11/4.

REMAIN odds are steadyish around 4/9 & 2/5
2517

The problem is that the common market is one big f----p......we all know it.....well there we are DC has given us the opportunity to exit ....frankly I think he's bonkers to have brought this referendum forward...so what to do....?....I'm seriously considering voting to exit...I would feel better with myself......but remain in two minds....

.