markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
robertalexander
- 20 Oct 2010 21:24
- 5022 of 6492
decided to sell at 92p[buy triggered at 75p]. a profit is not a profit unless its banked. now do i top up with RKH as they have oil or not, that is the question?
GLA to all that are brave enough to keep the faith
Alex
robstuff
- 21 Oct 2010 11:15
- 5025 of 6492
oh my word how volatile is this. Have held for near on 15yrs now with a core holding again 5figs but am extremely nervous now. Its make or break - if this next one comes up dry its game over and the sp will be 20p, if its a great result then who knows? Marky you must be getting the same feeling, I know you have held a sizeable amount for similar period. We cannot sell as it could be like losing your winning lottery ticket of sorts but surely if the tech is so good and they must have started with the most likely strikes first, each negative result significantly adds to the risk and reduces the potential. In a way it was easier to hold before any sign of drilling but this is the yr for DES if it is to happen at all. In retrospect should have sold half few weeks ago but i was so confident this would be the one and bigger than RKH's. The sp has halved on each dud but with fewer left this next one could wipe us out but also significantly affect RKH aswell as there is a lot of hope value in there for future finds too! Come on DES find that elusive black stuff
cynic
- 21 Oct 2010 11:32
- 5026 of 6492
you are right to say that if DES comes up with yet another dud, sp will be massacred ..... however, RKH will be relatively unscathed other than from a knock-on effect in general sentiment
imo, anything other than modest exposure in DES is akin to betting your house on the roulette table
cynic
- 21 Oct 2010 12:35
- 5028 of 6492
with DES they are patently NOT ..... it's even very questionable whether or not the odds are as short as evens
HARRYCAT
- 21 Oct 2010 12:42
- 5029 of 6492
"if i play roulette its either black or white or odd or even but only bet when odds in my favour." I don't mean to disillusion you marky, but the odds are NEVER in your favour if you play roulette. The best you can get is 50/50 (red or black); the house always has the odds in it's favour on any other bet.
dealerdear
- 21 Oct 2010 12:55
- 5031 of 6492
Sorry to be pedantic but actually you don't get 50/50 because of the 0 number.
Hence the odds are always stacked in favour of the house.
HARRYCAT
- 21 Oct 2010 13:05
- 5032 of 6492
dd, yes you are correct.
Marky, the odds are still not in your favour.
cynic
- 21 Oct 2010 13:16
- 5034 of 6492
the classic gambler's error on how to blow all your money
dealerdear
- 21 Oct 2010 13:28
- 5035 of 6492
It's the way I used to do it but the minimum bet is 5 and without doing the maths here, by doubling-up each time it goes against you, within about 6 rolls you are putting something like 300 on the table just to break-even or win a fiver.
Makes life fun ....
cynic
- 21 Oct 2010 13:40
- 5037 of 6492
chances of you hitting the jackpot again in your life are not quite as remote, but damn long nevertheless ..... moral - bank a large slab of your profits before they blow away
HARRYCAT
- 21 Oct 2010 13:50
- 5038 of 6492
The only way of making those odds zero, marky, are to never walk under a window. ;o)
avsec
- 21 Oct 2010 14:08
- 5039 of 6492
Marky - you have been one of the stalwarts here and I can understand your passion for 'making the dream come true'. However there is a time to let the head rule the heart.
I too have been a very long time holder of FI shares since inheriting Coalite (now FCL) shares over 20 years ago; the oil side has come in later. I still hold FCL.
As for DES I bought steadily during the past couple of years and I have only just sold half my holding to a level I can accept (albeit that it will hurt). I remain firmly commited to RKH.
Good luck with whatever way you go - unless it is back down the mine in earnest!
markymar
- 21 Oct 2010 14:48
- 5040 of 6492
Avsec a tip my hat to you Sir.
http://www.diamondoffshore.com/ourFleet/rigStatus.php
October update
Ocean Guardian 1,500' Falkland Is.
Current Contract AGR/Desire/ Rockhopper Eight firm wells plus two remaining optional wells mid 240's mid Feb. 2010 late Jan. 2011
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