Sharesmagazine
 Home   Log In   Register   Our Services   My Account   Contact   Help 
 Stockwatch   Level 2   Portfolio   Charts   Share Price   Awards   Market Scan   Videos   Broker Notes   Director Deals   Traders' Room 
 Funds   Trades   Terminal   Alerts   Heatmaps   News   Indices   Forward Diary   Forex Prices   Shares Magazine   Investors' Room 
 CFDs   Shares   SIPPs   ISAs   Forex   ETFs   Comparison Tables   Spread Betting 
You are NOT currently logged in
Register now or login to post to this thread.

Computer Software Group - Undervalued (CSW)     

PapalPower - 07 Jun 2006 08:18

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Size=283*18Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=csw&Size=big.chart?symb=uk%3Acsw&compidx=aaaaa%3A

Computer Software Group EPIC : CSW

Shares in Issue : 56.79m

Web Site : http://www.computersoftware.com/

E-Mail : investors@computersoftware.com

Broker Forecasts :

Seymour Pierce 28th Feb 2007 BUY

2007 PTP 8.3m
2007 EPS 9.7p

2008 PTP 9.6m
2008 EPS 10.7p



Company Overview

Computer Software Group (CS Group) has been delivering innovative business solutions for more than 30 years. With 13 offices in the UK we are a leading UK software house focusing on the development of fully-integrated solutions for British and International companies. Today CS Group helps over 2500 companies, including many market leaders, in a wide variety of industry sectors.

CS Group is listed on the London Stock Exchange (CSW) and our impressive client list includes: Blick UK, CBI, Cembre, Chesterfield Borough Council, Connaught, Electrolux UK, Manchester City FC, Morphy Richards, RNLI, Rocom and Thomas Plant among many others.

Why Computer Software Group?

There are many reasons why our customers choose Computer Software Group and our solutions:

-We are the leading UK IBM iSeries software house offering a completely integrated and vertically-focussed solution portfolio from the web and mobile-enabled front-office systems through to back-office accounting and payroll. CS Group solutions have successfully been deployed by more than 25% of the IBM UK iSeries installed base.
-30% of Premiership football clubs run their business with our software. Our leading-edge integration with smartcard technologies has extended our capabilities to include access control integrated with ticketing, CRM, websales, merchandising and corporate sales.
-Our acquisitions of Pinnacle, Advatech and Prolog position us as a leading solution vendor in the Field Service sector with more than 25% market share and with more than 1200 combined customers. Our rich solutions portfolio, extended with new capabilities, is able to address the needs of any service management company.
-We are a leading supplier of membership software and fund raising software to the Not For Profit sector, offering web-based solutions to professional bodies, trade associations, charities, unions, NGOs and sports governing bodies.
-Our acquisition of Transoft have extended our solutions suite to offer application modernization, integration and migration. These specialist products and expertise enable organisations to evolve new IT solutions from their existing ones, allowing companies to deliver improved business processes faster, with less risk and with lower costs.
-CS Group solutions can be purchased or rented on an applications on demand basis for a low, fixed monthly fee.

PapalPower - 07 Jun 2006 08:18 - 2 of 64

RNS Number:7997D Computer Software Group PLC 31 May 2006

Computer Software Group plc
Preliminary results

Computer Software Group plc, ("CS Group" or the "Company"), the AIM-listed niche
software consolidator, is pleased to announce its preliminary results for the
year ended 28 February 2006.

Financial Highlights

* Turnover up 79% to 25.2m (2005: 14.1m)
* Gross profit margin improved to 85% (2005: 80%)
* Operating profit before amortisation of intangible fixed assets has
increased 141% to 5.3m (2005: 2.2m)
* Profit before tax of 2.35m (2005: 0.93m)
* Adjusted* earnings per share rose to 7.85p (2005: 6.41p)
* Net cash inflow from operating activities of 3.2m (2005: 1.2m)

*pre amortisation of intangible assets

Operational Highlights

* Focus on revenue generation and cost synergies
* Following the recent acquisition of AIM Group Holdings Limited, the
Company now comprises three divisions: Business Solutions, Not for
Profit and Professional Solutions
* New customers have been won across all divisions including Corus,
Boeing, Balfour Beatty, eSpeed (part of Cantor Fitzgerald), St Austell
Breweries, Paymaster, Inspace and the National Association of Head
Teachers.

Michael Jackson, Chairman of CS Group, said,

"These results reflect a combination of both organic and acquisitive growth.
They are also evidence that our corporate strategy of maximising returns from
existing core businesses and identifying value-enhancing acquisition
opportunities in niche markets has been successful."

Vin Murria, Chief Executive, commented:

"We began the year with ambitious growth plans and a determination to deliver
another year of record profits and I am pleased to report that both of these
goals have been achieved. Trading in the current year has, across all divisions,
met expectations and we are confident that we will achieve another year of
strong growth.

"This year has seen a major step forward for the Group. We have realised good
organic growth and proven our ability to find, acquire and successfully
integrate well-judged acquisitions. We believe that our investment in new
products and new vertical markets will enable us to continue to achieve
excellent results and provide ample growth opportunity."

PapalPower - 07 Jun 2006 08:19 - 3 of 64

Recent Director Buying too :


RNS Number:0807E
Computer Software Group PLC
05 June 2006

Computer Software Group plc
Director's Shareholding

The Company was informed on 5 June 2006 that Richard Hargreaves purchased, on 31 May 2006, 10,000 of the Company's shares at 85p per share and purchased on 2
June 2006, 50,000 of the Company's shares at 92p per share. Richard Hargreaves
is now beneficially interested in 295,576 ordinary shares in the Company
representing 0.5% of the Company's issued share capital.

This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

PapalPower - 08 Jun 2006 03:18 - 4 of 64

Major Holders

Northern Venture M. Ltd @ 12.00%
Bank of Scotland @ 8.36%
G Iles @ 6.33%
Elderstreet D. VCT PLC @ 5.86%
Michael Baggs @ 5.47%%
Elderstreet C.P. & A.F. @ 4.42%
Royal Bank Investments @ 4.23%

Directors

Michael Edward Jackson @ 1.106%
Richard Lawrence Hargreaves @ 0.520%
David Andrew Lowe @ 0.325%
Barbara Ann Firth 0.008%

PapalPower - 09 Jun 2006 03:40 - 5 of 64

From this post at iii, CSW has been tipped :

Just been tipped - screwem

by T1ps.com as a buy with a one year target of 1.49p...very new to this share but thought you long term holders would be interested in this.

PapalPower - 10 Jun 2006 02:16 - 6 of 64

Nice write up in SCSW this weekend.

PapalPower - 10 Jun 2006 23:49 - 7 of 64

From AFN :

Welsheagle - 10 Jun'06 - 19:02

Mentioned in the Daily Mail today in the 'broker buys' section.
Seymour Pierce's recommendation is mentioned.

PapalPower - 21 Jun 2006 16:43 - 8 of 64

Nice moves today.

PapalPower - 23 Jun 2006 11:26 - 9 of 64

Post from AFN :

acumen - 22 Jun'06 - 10:17 - 23 of 23

Favourably mentioned in both Guardian and Times today.

Apparently a large US investment fund met CSW last week and were presumably impressed. They picked up 2m of CSW yesterday,their first investment in CSW.
Its the fact that they were happy to pay 10% above the mid-price, at a time of market uncertainty, that impresses me most.

Now,how many other insts will be looking to do similar having read through the recent results.

Greyhound - 23 Jun 2006 11:31 - 10 of 64

PapalPower - as it's just you here at the moment, thought I'd join in if only to say I have been watching this and looking to add.

PapalPower - 23 Jun 2006 13:38 - 11 of 64

Hi Greyhound, certainly looking healthy now on the price front after some large institutional buying to get rid of the overhang and seller.

PapalPower - 26 Jun 2006 07:23 - 12 of 64

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=200606260700391223F


Computer Software Group PLC
26 June 2006
Computer Software Group plc
Acquisition of Laserform International Limited for 4.8 million

Computer Software Group plc ('CS Group'), the AIM-listed niche IT software
consolidator, is pleased to announce the acquisition of the whole of the issued
share capital of Laserform International Limited ('Laserform'), a leading
provider of specialist documentation and practice management software, for a
total consideration of 4.8 million. This has been satisfied by 4.3 million of cash provided from an additional banking facility, and also by the issue of
474,712 ordinary shares in CS Group, credited as fully paid. On completion of
the acquisition, Laserform had cash reserves of 1.5million.

Following the acquisition of AIM Group Holdings Limited in April 2006, this
transaction represents CS Group's second acquisition of a specialist software
company servicing the legal sector.

With offices in central London and Lymm in Cheshire, Laserform is a leading
provider of forms software to the legal sector. In an industry affected by ever changing regulations, its software is used widely in the legal sector.
Laserform has a client base of over 2,000 firms which includes 80 of the top 100 legal practices in the UK. Recurring revenues account for approximately 70% of total sales.

Laserform's subsidiary, LFM Partnership Solutions Ltd ('LPS'), supplies practice management software, and synergies are planned with AIM Group Holdings Limited,which operates in the same niche market.

Laserform's audited but not consolidated accounts to 30 September 2005, and
those of its subsidiary company LPS, recorded combined sales of 4.1 million and EBITA of 0.5 million. The combined net assets of Laserform and LPS as at 30 September 2005 were 0.4 million.

The Chairman and majority shareholder of Laserform, Barry Hawley-Green will
retire from the business upon acquisition. The remaining six executive directors will continue to be responsible for the day to day operations of Laserform.

Commenting on the acquisition, Vin Murria, Chief Executive of CS Group, said:
'I am delighted that we are announcing this acquisition less than two months
since we first entered the legal market. Laserform is a key component of our
strategy to establish a strong position in the legal software sector, which we
are well on the way to achieving. Laserform's products and services will enable us to maximise cross-selling opportunities across the legal sector and its practice management software will integrate well with our existing AIM Group business.'



- Ends -

PapalPower - 29 Jun 2006 11:24 - 13 of 64

Full article at : http://www.growthcompany.co.uk


Computer Software Group

STRONG BUY 27/06/2006

Niche IT software consolidator CSG one of Growth Company Investors picks for 2006 at 68p has made a further move into the legal sector through the acquisition of Laserform.............................
Companies: CSW

PapalPower - 30 Jun 2006 17:35 - 14 of 64

Another nice day

PapalPower - 04 Jul 2006 09:01 - 15 of 64

100p on the bid now :)

PapalPower - 04 Jul 2006 10:33 - 16 of 64

On todays free email from http://www.uk-analyst.com

Buy Computer Software Group at 100p

Says Tom Winnifrith of http://www.t1ps.com

I first encountered Computer Software (CSW) when I heard that it was trying to buy the company now known as Rivington Street Software, which builds the t1ps.com websites. Computer Software and its CEO Vin Murria seem to be hard cookies. They tried to knock the price down at the last moment and I am in no doubt that had they bought RSS they would have slashed costs (yes, staff) ruthlessly. As it happens, on that occasion Computer Software overplayed its hand and RSS found a more enlightened owner in t1ps. But a string of 11 acquisitions made since its August 2001 float show that Computer Software is THE consolidator in its sub-sectors of the IT market. There is no doubt that Vin has bought well and integrated skilfully and ruthlessly. And the company is - as recent results showed - growing organically and converting a very high percentage of profits into cash. Such a strong and consistent performance is not discounted in a February 2008 PE of less than 10. Even at my one year target price of 149p the stock would trade on a PEG of just 0.65 - hardly demanding.

The shares are a buy at 100p with a 149p one year target. Of course, if Computer Software had products and staff as good as those of Rivington Street Software my target would be even higher. Perhaps I am biased. But I am in no doubt that these shares are hugely undervalued.

The Business

As you might expect, the company has a half-decent website at http://www.computersoftware.com 30 years old and operating from 13 UK offices from which it services 2,500 clients it tackles certain niche parts of the IT solutions market providing completely integrated packages from web and mobile enabled front end systems through to complex back end payroll and membership systems. Whilst it cannot be said to dominate any given niche it has a very strong presence in certain areas notably soccer clubs (it serves a third of the Premiership), Field Systems and the Not For Profit (charity market). It is in this - highly fragmented and pretty much recession resilient market that Computer Software encountered RSS. Though it dwarfs it in size it must have been turned on by its cutting edge MRS system and will no doubt be equally wowed by the recently launched don@tion charity fund raising package. The company operates through three divisions: Business Solutions, Not for Profit and Field Systems.

Each part of the business has been built by a combination of organic growth and acquisition. In buying a rival IT firm the clear aim is to bolt its support contracts and other almost guaranteed income onto your top line but to support those contracts largely using your existing workforce and infrastructure. Occasionally a purchase will bring significant new products to your portfolio but if you have those support contracts that may not be needed. It is worth noting that as things stand more than 40% of the forecast sales for this current year comes from annual support contracts which most clients tend to renew usually with a price increase which, at least, maintains the real value of the contract. Another 40% of the forecast comes from repeat business from existing clients.

The IT services market, especially in the NFP niche, is highly fragmented with many small private companies still in the game. Such private companies can usually be bought for pretty modest multiples meaning that the deals can be earnings enhancing from day one. The issue for Computer is that as it grows in size, acquisitions have to b e larger to be meaningful and larger prey may be both more expensive and also more difficult to integrate and to subsume. The most recent large acquisitions (the Care Group and AIM Group) set Computer Software back 8.2 million pounds. Those deals dwarf the transactions of a few years ago. Then just last week it snapped up Laserform. If one strips out the cash in that business Computer paid 3.3 million pounds for a business making an EBITDA of 500,000 pounds but once Vin has slashed costs this will be shown as yet another low PE deal.

Growth

Most existing clients of Computer Software will have ongoing needs for system upgrades and modifications which fall outside the terms of the annual support contract. And moreover every half decade or so most organisations will look at a major upgrade of their IT infrastructure. Unless the incumbent has goofed in a big way or there is some other special factor at play then they must be favourite to undertake that upgrade. Thus there is a really very high degree of visibility of the revenues from support contracts but also from repeat business with existing customers. So where does the growth come from? The launch of new products helps. And there is always scope to sell more products to existing clients - Computer Software is good at that and recent management appointments suggest that its sales focus will grow stronger over the coming year. But there is also an industry dynamic which favours companies such as Computer Software. Just as the IT services providers are fragmented so too are customers, especially in the charity sector but increasingly the larger and medium sized customers will seek out suppliers who can offer complete solutions and that has to freeze out smaller players.

Last year half of Computer Software's growth was organic. The rest came from acquisitions. This year acquisitions will be the main driver of growth. the purchase of AIM gave Computer Software a foothold in the legal sector while Care Business strengthened its NFP presence. There will be other acquisitions. Computer Software ended the year to February 28th with net debt of 200,000 pounds but the two acquisitions made in May were cash funded. However cash flow broadly matches profits which means that if the company meets my forecasts then by the end of the current financial year it will have net debt of just 1 million pounds. It is pretty obvious that Computer Software could borrow significant sums to do further acquisitions. In the current year its operating profits will be 8 million pounds so if one assumes that it could borrow at 6% it could happily take on 30 million pounds of debt and still enjoy interest cover of more than 3 times even if the cash was simply poured down a drain. I am not suggesting that such a large acquisition is on the cards merely stating that the company could do such a deal.

Management

Vin Murria, the CEO was formerly COO of Kewill and has been with Computer Software since 2002 ands is the key figure in the company's growth. But she has able support. The chairman is Michael Jackson who is also chairman of Sage and CFO Barbara Firth has over a quarter of a century of accounting experience. I have not found the Computer Software management getting their PR firm to badger me which is a good job as I regard the firm they use to put out their results as a resting home for posh young buffoons. My point is that this is not a management team which is overly obsessed about the share price, instead it gets on with the real job of driving the business forward.

Forecasts and Valuation

In the current year to February 28th 2007 sales should rise from 25.2 million pounds to 35.5 million pounds with 39 million pounds on the cards for the following year. These forecasts assume that Murria et al manage not to do any more bolt-on acquisitions, a scenario which I find very hard to imagine. But I am being conservative in my assumptions. I expect that pre-tax profits, excluding goodwill amortization, will increase from 5.1 million pounds last time to 7.5 million pounds this year and that they should hit 8.6 million pounds next time. That equates to earnings of 9.1p this year, up from 7.8p; despite the tax rate more or less doubling to 28%. Next year (to February 2008) I assume that earnings will hit 10.3p. Computer Software will not pay a dividend, arguing, correctly, that the cash it generates is better reinvested on acquisitions.

So what should such a business be valued at? At 100p the stock trades on a current year PE of 10.9, falling to 9.7. For a company delivering such strong organic and in organic top line growth, such strong bottom line growth, which is generating cash and which has such a high degree of earnings visibility that is far too low. I am pretty certain that over the next 12 months my earnings estimates will be increased but even on the basis of my current numbers I expect a re-rating. In a year's time as the market looks forward to 2008 earnings of 10.3p, is a PEG of 0.65 for such a company really that demanding? I think not and thus my target price is 149p. And at100p - with the company valued at 57 million pounds - the stock is a buy.

PapalPower - 21 Jul 2006 03:42 - 17 of 64

Could be a blue day ahead on CSW methinks ;)

PapalPower - 01 Aug 2006 08:00 - 18 of 64

1 August 2006
Computer Software Group plc
Acquisition of Videss Limited for £7.07 million

Computer Software Group plc ('CS Group'), the AIM-listed niche IT software
consolidator, is pleased to announce the acquisition of the whole of the issued
share capital of Videss Limited ('Videss') for a total consideration of £7.07
million. The consideration was satisfied by a payment in cash of £6.57m,
provided by an additional banking facility, and the issue of 518,135 ordinary
shares in CS Group, credited as fully paid. At completion, Videss had cash
resources of approximately£2.80 million.

This transaction, following the acquisitions of the AIM Group in April 2006 and
Laserform in June 2006, represents CS Group's third acquisition in the
specialist software market servicing the legal sector.

With offices in Leeds and Swindon, Videss is a provider of software and related
services to over 180 medium to large firms in the legal sector. Within this
client base Videss software is accessed by over 10,000 users and the value of
annual support contracts exceeds £2.0m.

Videss's audited accounts to 31 March 2006 recorded sales of £4.97 million and
profit before taxation of £0.43 million. The net assets of Videss at 31 March
2006 were £1.77 million.

The founder and chief executive of Videss, Paul Sanderson, together with his
wife Sonja, currently finance director, will retire from the business on
acquisition. Chris Rose (48), who has been with the business for over 22 years,
will continue in his role as sales director.

Commenting on the acquisition, Vin Murria, Chief Executive of CS Group, said:

'Videss joins recent acquisitions AIM Group and Laserform in our Professional
Solutions division to enable us to build a strong position in the legal software market. We now have a range of software products and services that can service both large and small members of the legal sector. '

Application has been made for the consideration shares to be admitted to trading on AIM and admission is expected to commence on 7 August 2006.

- Ends -
Contact:
Computer Software Group plc 020 8879 3939
Vin Murria, CEO
Barbara Firth, CFO

Financial Dynamics 020 7831 3113
Giles Sanderson / Juliet Clarke / Hannah Sloane

PapalPower - 03 Aug 2006 12:07 - 19 of 64

Another attempt at breaking through the 100p level and staying above :) ?

PapalPower - 18 Aug 2006 09:40 - 20 of 64

Looks like some news coming, or as CSW been tipped somewhere ? or will be tipped somewhere ?

PapalPower - 05 Sep 2006 01:17 - 21 of 64

Looking very good, we could/should finish a bit ahead of forecasts then :)

Computer Software Group PLC
04 September 2006
Computer Software Group plc
AGM Statement
Computer Software Group plc ('CS Group' or the 'Company'), the AIM-listed niche IT software consolidator, announces that at the Annual General Meeting of the Company, which was held today, all resolutions proposed at the meeting were duly
passed.

At the meeting, Michael Jackson, Chairman, made the following statement to shareholders:

'Trading has been satisfactory during the first half year and we are well on the way to successfully integrating our four latest acquisitions. Full year results look set to be comfortably in line with market expectations.'

- Ends -

PapalPower - 06 Sep 2006 11:44 - 22 of 64

Getting some more interest again :) It should, given the forecasts and the AGM statement.

PapalPower - 06 Sep 2006 11:44 - 23 of 64

Getting some more interest again :) It should, given the forecasts and the AGM statement.

PapalPower - 18 Sep 2006 09:03 - 24 of 64

Broker target price of now 150p and upgrades aplenty.

Looking very strong.

PapalPower - 25 Oct 2006 16:05 - 25 of 64

Seymour Pierce 20th Oct 2006 BUY

2007 PTP 8.4m
2007 EPS 10.1p

Company says they are comfortably in line with forecasts, plenty going on and results due 30th November. Certainly is a bargain at present prices IMO.

PapalPower - 25 Oct 2006 19:24 - 26 of 64

This was the write up from http://www.growthcompany.co.uk back in June at 99p and also prior to the forecast EPS upgrades for the current year which now stands at 10.1p forecast EPS for 2006 (to be reported 30th Nov). A major event, IMO, after this was not only the acquisition, but also in August a director buy of 100K shares at 100p, which tends to support that they expect strong growth ahead.


http://www.growthcompany.co.uk

Computer Software Group - STRONG BUY
Companies: CSW
27/06/2006
Niche IT software consolidator CSG one of Growth Company Investors picks for 2006 at 68p has made a further move into the legal sector through the acquisition of Laserform. Weve now done two deals in legal, and you can expect more, teases chief executive Vin Murria.

Cash generative CSG has paid 4.8m 4.3m in cash from banking facilities, the rest in shares for Laserform, a provider of documentation and practice management software. It boasts over 2,000 clients, including 80 of the top 100 UK legal practices, and great levels of revenue visibility. If you factor in the 1.5m of cash on Laserforms balance sheet, the true enterprise price paid was lower at 3.3m.

Laserform sported sales last year of 4.1m last year, making 500,000 at the EBITA level. As such, it should enhance CSG earnings this year. If Murria can turn a profit at AIM Group, the legal software venture she bought in May for 5.3m, this intriguing niche could become increasingly important for the company

Analyst Derek Brown of house broker Seymour Pierce has upgraded his February 2007 numbers from sales of 36m to 38.8m, up from last years 25.2m. Those revenues should deliver adjusted pre-tax profits of 7.8m and 9.4p of earnings, figures that place the shares on a forward p/e of 10.2. That rating looks miserly, given earnings are forecast to burgeon by 20.5% in the current year. This group is a strong buy.

PapalPower - 26 Oct 2006 07:44 - 27 of 64

Lets hope some coverage from TW along with SCSW (both have it as a buy as well as GCI) will raise the profile of CSW into their results.

PapalPower - 27 Oct 2006 12:48 - 28 of 64

3 MM moves up today, L2 now 2 v 1 @114/117

Rolll on the 30th Nov and results.

PapalPower - 27 Oct 2006 17:21 - 29 of 64

From the Daily Express this morning as reported by a post on AFN. Cannot not agree, the results should be very impressive as well as the outlook statement :

SHARE WHISPER.
Aim Listed software firm, COMPUTER SOFTWARE GROUP, gained 4.5p to 115.5 yesterday as traders bet on a strong half years results due on November 30, after it bedded in several acquisitions.Impressive intrim figures could lead to a share re-rating.

PapalPower - 28 Oct 2006 20:16 - 30 of 64

One thing I like about them is the management team. Vin Murria, the CEO has been with CSW since 2002 and was in the past the COO of Kewill and is a key figure in the CSW's growth. The chairman is Michael Jackson and he is also chairman of Sage. The CFO Barbara Firth has more than 25 years of accounting experience. Its a good team in place and one that is going to be taking CSW places in the near term and over the long term.

The are getting a reputation now for earnings upgrades, and that adds to the appeal for me.

goldfinger - 29 Oct 2006 02:00 - 31 of 64

Ive got a few here PP, should have some excelent results.

I suggest you putting them in your compo portfolio over the road, so that I can overtake you.

Nudge nudge, wink wink.

PapalPower - 29 Oct 2006 07:10 - 32 of 64

goldfinger, got a bagful in both mate :) real and the competition. Trouble is those percentages get put back to zero later next week, so got to make all those gains again........

Everyone is looking forward to interims late Nov, and the company says comfortably in line, so should be a cracker.

PapalPower - 29 Oct 2006 07:17 - 33 of 64

o/t in case anyone is wondering, its this competition : http://212.26.134.247/Competitions.aspx

PapalPower - 30 Oct 2006 10:01 - 34 of 64

Post from AFN, the current year 11.5x is very undemanding, as is their target price of 14.5x current year (07) EPS imo. :


edcrane - 30 Oct'06 - 09:40 - 162 of 162


New research note out this morning from Collins Stewart .....

" ...... currently trades on a P/E multiple of 11.5x FY07E adjusted EPS, a discount to software comparables. However, we believe that current growth rates and cash generation justify a narrowing of the discount to a P/E multiple of 14.5x. This is supported by the improving trend in ROCE and our DCF analysis, which suggests a fair value of 156p. A potential catalyst for re-rating is earnings upgrades, driven by cross selling and increased cost savings. We therefore initiate coverage with a BUY recommendation and a 145p price target."

PapalPower - 30 Oct 2006 15:50 - 35 of 64

.

PapalPower - 31 Oct 2006 09:49 - 36 of 64

Strengthening up begind the scenes, few MM moves up today on L2, its now 3 v 3 @117/120

PapalPower - 15 Nov 2006 13:10 - 37 of 64

180K X trade.

Looks like its been decided to clear the seller out then, positive sign and we could be on for a new higher trading range after a breakout later this month imo.

Reason would be that results are due late this month, and with FY expecation of over 10p EPS for this current year, CSW is undervalued imo, by some mark.

PapalPower - 21 Nov 2006 09:50 - 38 of 64

Now is the ideal time for anyone wishing to add or buy, to add or buy IMO.

Nicely set now for a run into and out of results.

Given they said "comfortable" I expect results to be slightly, ahead, and given the potential for over 10p EPS this current year, and yet more growth for next year, we should be heading for the 150p price soon enough.

Perhaps the market is waiting for proof of the potential for 10p EPS at full year, with the interim results ? Well, Interim results are due Thursday 30 November 2006.

016622 - 21 Nov 2006 13:21 - 39 of 64

;-))

PapalPower - 23 Nov 2006 12:19 - 40 of 64

Run up to results looks like its starting. They should be very impressive given the trading update.

L2 presently all blue 2 v 2 @115/117

016622 - 23 Nov 2006 16:59 - 41 of 64

I have level 2 thanks papalp....

whats your target? i'm looking at 1.50??

PapalPower - 23 Nov 2006 18:50 - 42 of 64

I'll work on some valuations tomorrow, in the meantime :

Couple of media articles on CS Group :

http://sourcewire.com/releases/rel_display.php?relid=28116&hilite=

http://www.servicemanagement365.com/Call_Centre_Helpdesk_Software/Article411085.aspx

016622 - 24 Nov 2006 09:25 - 43 of 64

thanks

also watch sqs. (dyor)

PapalPower - 24 Nov 2006 10:06 - 44 of 64

I am watching that :)

Esimtate and pricing, well we expect this year to be over 10p EPS, and around 20% growth would give 12p EPS for next year. CSW is cash generative and growing.

How should it be priced, well if you were very conservative and said 15 times current year forecast EPS, you are looking at 150p. But why should a company thats based in the UK, growing and with a low PEG rating be valued as such ? Therefore, if you based this on 15 times next years earnings you get around 180p fair value. The low PEG rating should in fact make 20 times next years EPS not overvalued, and thats 240p.

Therefore, at sub 150p I would consider CSW as undervalued. 150p to 180p fair value (at the moment pending upgrades) and up to 240p nice for holders.

The real plus sides are the growth and the cash generation.

I am not going to worry too much short term, as in the mid term and longer term the value here will surely out.

016622 - 24 Nov 2006 11:47 - 45 of 64

interesting... also in for the long ride

PapalPower - 27 Nov 2006 09:01 - 46 of 64

4 MM's up this morning so far, L2 now 5 v 1 @117/121, Interim results this Thursday.

016622 - 27 Nov 2006 09:47 - 47 of 64

calm down pp!

PapalPower - 27 Nov 2006 10:21 - 48 of 64

Not getting excited, just reporting whats going on behind the scense, as has always been done and will continue to be done :)

PapalPower - 28 Nov 2006 09:45 - 49 of 64

The little sell off late yesterday has offered a chance to buy sub 120p.

Results Thursday, should be strong, and I retain that sub 150p is undervalued going forward.

PapalPower - 28 Nov 2006 12:35 - 50 of 64

Nicely up today, now 3 v 3 on L2, all blue and @119/123

PapalPower - 29 Nov 2006 10:12 - 51 of 64

.

PapalPower - 30 Nov 2006 07:36 - 52 of 64

Superb results and should lead to current full year upgrades IMO :)

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=200611300701049622M

Computer Software Group PLC
30 November 2006
Computer Software Group plc
Interim results

Computer Software Group plc ('the Group'), the AIM-listed niche software
consolidator, is pleased to announce its interim results for the six months
ended 31 August 2006.

Financial highlights

Turnover increased 77% to 19.4m (H1 2005: 11.0m)
5.2m from acquisitions
Recurring+ revenue represents 80% of total revenue
Adjusted* operating margins improved to 21%
Adjusted* operating profit up 85% to 4.1m (H1 2005: 2.2m)
Adjusted* diluted earnings per share up 69% to 5.28 pence (H1 2005: 3.12
pence)
Profit before tax up 80% to 1.7m (2005: 0.9m)
20m credit facility arranged with Barclays Bank to support further
development of the Group

+ comprising support fees, upgrades and cross-sell

*before amortisation of intangibles and share based payments

Operational highlights

Acquisition of Care Business Solutions Limited ('Care') in March 2006 for
2.85m, strengthening the Not for Profit division
Acquisition of AIM Group Holdings Limited ('AIM') in April 2006 for 3.7m,
Laserform International Limited ('Laserform') in June 2006 for 4.8m and
Videss Limited ('Videss') in July 2006 for 7.1m, establishing a
Professional Solutions division

Vin Murria, Chief Executive and Michael Jackson, Chairman commented:

'We are pleased to report the results of Computer Software Group plc for the six
months ended 31 August 2006, which clearly demonstrate we have maintained the
momentum of the previous financial year. We have achieved growth both
organically, through sales and cross-selling initiatives, and by the acquisition
of businesses with a strategic fit and opportunity for improved margins.

We have established ourselves as a major supplier in our niche markets and have
acquired a leading position in the legal software sector. We believe
opportunities exist for further market consolidation and entry into
complementary markets and expect to continue our acquisition programme by
targeting businesses with a broad, good quality customer base and strong
recurring revenues'.

016622 - 04 Dec 2006 09:40 - 53 of 64

beautifull rising pennant....should take us to 135 short term dyor

PapalPower - 06 Dec 2006 13:20 - 54 of 64

L2 now 4 v 2 @115/119

Looks like the short termers are all now out, and people buying the fact that the results were very good, and the outlook is very positive.

Should be trading 150p to 180p range IMO, pending further news.

PapalPower - 07 Dec 2006 09:06 - 55 of 64

It does look like those big trades yesterday cleared any overhang and also confirmed a demand for stock. If we are now clear, then small demand should see this move up rapidly.

L2 now 3 v 3 @116/120 after the tick up.

PapalPower - 07 Dec 2006 16:00 - 56 of 64

I keep saying it, its cheap under 150p imo.

L2 presently 1 v 1 @122/125

016622 - 07 Dec 2006 17:36 - 57 of 64

and I'm still listening...

PapalPower - 07 Dec 2006 19:44 - 58 of 64

Well we are now on a breakout, and its start well. The indicators say its got plenty of legs left, so if we can break though 130p and leave it behind, we might be near to 150p before some consolidation.

PapalPower - 07 Dec 2006 22:17 - 59 of 64

From AFN :


Mike111D - 7 Dec'06 - 22:06 - 367 of 367


Not sure if you have seen it but there was a piece on CSW in Shares Magazine today.

In summary it reads:

- the last trio of acquisitions are proving their worth
- strong cross selling achieved
- very respectable organic growth at 7%
- they are not just about buying businesses on low PE ratios and stripping out costs
- keen to add further businesses, leveraging their strong free cashflow and a 20m loan facility with Barclays
- CSW can identify 25 opportunites over the next 3 years i.e. not short of options

Share says - the shares may be near their 12 month highs but there is more to go. Buy

PapalPower - 08 Dec 2006 15:49 - 60 of 64

Post from III

Investors Chronicle - Decmber 8th 2006 Croyde

Computer Software's (CS) strategy is to identify software market segments where it sees opportunities, and then set about buying up a significant market share in those sectors. It has, for example, rapidly built market-dominating positions in business solutions software, the not-for-profit sector (which includes charities) and, most recently, professional solutions for the legal sector.

Its acquisitions led to a rise in borrowings, which stood at 13.2m at the half-year-end, but cash-generation was strong, with free cash flow of 2.4m in the period. A new 20m credit facility with Barclays suggests more acquisitions are in the pipeline, although chief executive Vin Murria says that valuations in the software sector have risen, which could slow the pace down. On an adjusted basis, EPS increased by 69 per cent to 5.28p and, for the full-year, house broker Seymour Pierce forecasts EPS of 10.1p.

The shares have performed well since we recommended buying them at 94p (21 July 2006). Now trading on 11.7 times forward earnings, we reiterate that advice. Buy.

Regards,

Croyde

PapalPower - 15 Mar 2007 12:37 - 61 of 64

On the move again, are we going to get some news on a new acquisition soon ?? Who knows...

PapalPower - 15 Mar 2007 13:56 - 62 of 64

YES YES YES


Computer Software Group Plc
15 March 2006


Computer Software Group Plc ('CS Group' or the 'Company')

Response to Share Price Movement

The Board of CS Group notes the movement in the Company's share price and
confirms that it has received an approach from a third party which may or may
not lead to an offer being made for the Company. If an offer were to be
forthcoming, it is expected to be at a price of 150 pence in cash. There can be
no certainty as to whether or not an offer for the Company will be forthcoming.

A further announcement will be made in due course.

PapalPower - 15 Mar 2007 15:32 - 63 of 64

Looks pretty much a done deal at 150p. Hopefully, it is :)

PapalPower - 15 Mar 2007 22:45 - 64 of 64

This should slowly rise to near to 150p now imo
Register now or login to post to this thread.