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VOLEX...... Cheap And Going For Growth..... (VLX)     

goldfinger - 02 Jun 2010 08:33

No updates yet but expecting one any time. Looks way too cheap on a forward P/E of just 8.6 for 2011 and 6.6 for 2012.

Volex Group PLC

FORECASTS 2011 2012
Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Edison Investment Research
19-05-10 None 11.91 15.70 14.91 19.70

The Royal Bank of Scotland NV [R]
04-05-10 BUY 11.61 13.63

Charles Stanley Securities
20-04-10 BUY 12.60 17.63 17.00 23.33

Milkstone Ltd [R]
15-04-10 BUY 13.01 15.47

2011 2012
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 12.23 16.58 0.00 15.86 21.36 0.00

1 Month Change -0.37 1.11 -1.13 -1.97
3 Month Change -0.16 1.93 0.00 -1.13 -1.97


GROWTH
2010 (A) 2011 (E) 2012 (E)

Norm. EPS 31.41% 14.77% 28.81%
DPS % % %

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2010 (A) 2011 (E) 2012 (E)

EBITDA m 17.13m 20.14m

EBIT m m m

Dividend Yield 0.00% % %

Dividend Cover x x x

PER 9.86x 8.60x 6.67x

PEG 0.31f 0.58f 0.23f

Net Asset Value PS p 29.53p 52.55p

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=VLX&SiChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=VLX&Si

goldfinger - 02 Jun 2010 08:54 - 2 of 105

1/6/10(Hoodless Brennan):-

VOLEX GROUP (VLX, 139.5p, 79.27m) Final results to 4th April 2010 saw revenues of 228.99m (265.12m) with improved gross profits of 46.16m (42.15m), or gross margins of 20.2% (15.9%), increased underlying operating profits of 13.35m (11.18m) and underlying PBT of 10.93m (8.61m) with adjusted EPS of 14.8p (10.9p).

The group ended the period with net debt of 7.57m (14.79m), gearing down from 236% to 60%. The group saw a sequential increase in quarterly revenues across each quarter of the year.

The group was reorganised along market sectors and its HQ relocated to London in July 2009. The group ended the period with capacity utilisation at its manufacturing plants around 50% and further implementation of LEAN manufacturing will see a further 30% released suggesting plenty of scope for growth before major capital requirements.

The group did not propose a dividend due to negative distributable reserves but it expects to restructure the balance sheet in 2011 increasing the potential of it joining the dividend list.

The new team has achieved much and deserves further backing, we move back to a BUY from a Hold with a 160p price target.

goldfinger - 02 Jun 2010 10:45 - 3 of 105

Buy note out today from Charles Stanley (they are broker).

Price target 2

Some snippets:

"strong progress"
"net cash by end FY11"
"scope for considerable improvement"
"strong operational gearing"
"cheap compared to peers"

goldfinger - 02 Jun 2010 20:26 - 4 of 105

I see smirkey Robbie Burns has tipped them today..........

Same comment with Volex (VLX) where I topped up with another 2,500 at 135p. Great statement yesterday bodes well for a possible 200 later this year - already up 40% on the original buy.

skinny - 03 Jun 2010 07:53 - 5 of 105

goldfinger, can you put a chart(s) in the header please.

goldfinger - 03 Jun 2010 11:38 - 6 of 105

Will do skinny.

goldfinger - 03 Jun 2010 12:45 - 7 of 105

Volex Group PLC
FORECASTS 2011 2012

Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Charles Stanley Securities
02-06-10 BUY 12.60 17.47 17.00 23.53

goldfinger - 03 Jun 2010 15:39 - 8 of 105

Broker Eddison June INSIGHT article just out this afternoon.......


VOLEX VLX

Sector: Electrical Equipment

Price: 138.5p..................now 165p
Market cap: 79m
Forecast net cash (m) 1.9
Forecast gearing ratio (%) N/A
Market FULL

Company description

Volex is a leading global provider of
power products and interconnect cable
assemblies. It supplies to large OEMs of
consumer electrical and electronic
devices, data and telecom equipment
and healthcare and industrial products.
Price performance
% 1m 3m 12m
Actual (0.4) 36.5 119.8
Relative* 7.5 48.5 85.0
* % Relative to local index
Analyst
Toby Thorrington

Volex Group (VLX)

INVESTMENT SUMMARY

This new management/corporate change story is yet to be fully appreciated by the wider
market. Actions taken are already producing an improved pattern of profitability without any
assistance from underlying markets. New management has addressed legacy issues, achieved
stability in the ongoing businesses and is now beginning to establish growth credentials. FY10
results matched our estimates and gave rise to a 9-10% increase in our pre-tax profit
estimates (+12-14% at the EPS level).

INDUSTRY OUTLOOK

A sharp downturn in consumer demand subsequently yielded some healthy year-on-year
percentage increases for electronics companies in the early stages of recovery. These rates
are flattening out now and observers are gauging whether the momentum will be sustained
over and above a re-stocking phase. Similarly, corporate capex spend slowed - especially in
regional wireless infrastructure roll out - and there will be an element of catch up as capital
programmes are reinstated.

Y/E Mar Revenue EBITDA PBT EPS P/E P/CF
(m) (m) (m) (p) (x) (x)
2009A 265.1 14.0 8.3 11.0 12.6 4.6
2010A 229.0 15.6 10.3 14.8 9.4 4.9
2011E 250.8 17.8 13.1 17.9 7.7 5.2
2012E 266.7 20.3 16.2 21.9 6.3 4.5
3

goldfinger - 04 Jun 2010 08:26 - 9 of 105

Dynamic Growth ahead.......

Volex ForecastsYear Ending Revenue (m) Pre-tax (m) EPS P/E PEG EPS Grth. Div Yield

31-Mar-11 251.04 12.39 16.28p 10.1 1.0 +10% n/a 0.0%
31-Mar-12 270.00 15.77 21.51p 7.7 0.2 +32% 0.55p 0.4%

goldfinger - 15 Jun 2010 11:47 - 10 of 105

Volex Group - Strategy in motion Click for report

http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch.co.uk/researchreports/Volex040610update.pdf

FY10 results confirmed that management actions are taking root. Sound foundations have been laid and the next phase of development is well under way. The scale of management ambitions should become increasingly apparent as growing financial flexibility feeds existing business momentum. We have raised earnings estimates by over 10%, giving growth rates in excess of 20% for the next couple of years, leaving forward multiples looking very undemanding.
Volex is a leading global provider of power products and interconnect cable assemblies. It supplies to large OEMs of consumer electrical and electronic devices, data and telecom equipment and healthcare and industrial products.
Year
EndRevenue
(m)PBT
(m)EPS
(p)DPS
(p)P/E
(x)Yield
(%)
03/09 265.1 8.310.9 0.015.1N/A
03/10 229.0 10.314.5 0.011.4N/A
03/11e 250.8 13.117.9 0.0 9.2N/A
03/12e 266.7 16.221.9 1.1 7.5 0.7

Volex Group is a research client of Edison Investment Research.

goldfinger - 16 Jun 2010 12:50 - 11 of 105

Good time to top up here, cant see this hanging around at these low prices with Brokers upgrading.

goldfinger - 21 Jun 2010 02:07 - 12 of 105

Today's Share of the week......


Volex-Striking a cord or two.



Ticker-VLX

Sector-Electronic and electrical equipment
Price-157

Market Cap-94m

Dividend-None






An old favourite of the Dot Com boom where its shares topped 2000p Volex has since fallen to as low as 18p in early 2009. There is a distinct flavour of a recovery story here as Volex appears to have been punished with the rest of the ebbing market during 2008. Orders dried up and the share price crashed.



Since then Volex has recovered to the current price and is a specialist in the production of power cables and assemblies. If you look around the house you will see Volex products on DVD players and other electrical equipment. Clients include Cisco, Dell and Samsung. They also sell via Screwfix.



Volex has been in an established upward trend since leaving the 20p range. It is forecast to be debt free by 2011 and the last results reported a 19% increase in profits and an EPS increased from 10.9 to 14.8. It is due to enter the FTSE Small Cap index on the 18th June 2010.



As China is the worlds fastest growing economy it would be prudent to have a stake in this flaring market. Volex has recently signed a partnership with Huawei Telecommunications supplying standard and bespoke assemblies for building a 3G/4G network.



Brokers price targets

RBS:270

Charles Stanley:200



Directors buys

CEO-40000 shares in March 2010







Major Shareholders



NR Investments Limited
15,082,434
25,036,840

GoldenPeaks Active Value Limited
11,178,454
18,556,234

Gartmore Investment Limited
5,411,620
8,983,289

Cadmus Capital Management
4,600,000
7,636,000






Hot forum

Well supported by other PIs very few negative comments on any forums. Common consensus that this is an overlooked share.

http://www.playersnet.co.uk/index.php

goldfinger - 05 Jul 2010 11:37 - 13 of 105

Volex VLX going well this morning was up 111% at one stage.

Wondering if its been tipped.

goldfinger - 07 Jul 2010 23:49 - 14 of 105

Smirkey Burns talking today.......

And talking of those kind of companies Volex (VLX) continues to be a dream trade. After very decent statement from peer XP Power it's been rising strongly and I picked up another lot, this time 2,000 shares at 173. Target 250 stop 130.

I've already nearly doubled on the shares I bought earlier in the year and profits of nearly 5,000 now. 200p will be an obvious barrier but 250 looks easy if it can break up through 200. It's come back today on not surprising profit-taking but I'm staying with it for another bounce up. When it moves up it motors and there is a bit more re-rating of VLX to come I think.

goldfinger - 04 Nov 2010 09:32 - 15 of 105

http://www.sharecast.com/cgi-bin/sharecast/story.cgi?story_id=3795122

LONDON (SHARECAST) - Power cords and cable assemblies supplier Volex has managed to increase sales without increasing its fixed costs and that has enabled it to quadruple interim profit.

Revenues jumped 43% to 157m in the six months to 3 October 2010, while pre-tax profit soared from 1.7m to 7m. Part of that improvement came from a sharp reduction in restructuring costs. Volex does not strip out these costs any more but they effectively reduced from 2.66m to around 600,000.

All the companys divisions are winning new business but the main growth is coming from the consumer side thanks to peoples appetite for gadgets. The second quarter is normally the strongest but the division continues to grow. Healthcare growth is steady as new customers are added.

The industrial sector has been boosted by telematics and agricultural equipment demand and this division is growing strongly from a small base it is still less than 7% of revenues.

The main disappointment was the telecoms division, which grew but with no help from India. There are delays in Indias 3G roll out and the government is re-certifying equipment because of concerns about Chinese spyware. There is pent up demand for 3G equipment and this could start to come through in the second half.

Volex says that its full year profit is likely to be modestly ahead of previous guidance and Charles Stanley has edged up its profit forecast from 13.6m to 14.4m.

Net debt is 10.1m. The operating cash inflow fell as higher sales led to increased working capital needs. The net debt figure will be similar at the end of the financial year.

A capital reorganisation will enable Volex to return to paying dividends next year.

A restructuring of the supply chain should enable Volex to use up more of its tax losses.

porky - 16 Dec 2010 19:30 - 16 of 105

A very satisfying performance today.
Outlook said to be very positive.

goldfinger - 14 Apr 2011 16:22 - 17 of 105

Forgot to mention went long of VLX volex this morning. Copper prices coming down is good news for them. Good update today aswel.

goldfinger - 22 Jul 2011 09:29 - 18 of 105

Way too cheap this stock. A P/E of just 10 to 2013, historicaly they are giving it away.

Volex Group PLC

FORECASTS 2012 2013
Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

FinnCap
20-07-11 BUY 17.70 24.40 3.00 22.00 30.70 5.00
The Royal Bank of Scotland NV
19-07-11 BUY 17.70 24.00 3.00 23.50 31.86 5.00
Edison Investment Research
11-07-11 None 17.70 23.50 3.10 22.23 29.50 3.30
Charles Stanley Securities
01-06-11 BUY 18.50 24.88 3.00 22.00 29.52 3.33
Milkstone Ltd
27-05-11 HOLD 18.20 24.25 1.00

2012 2013
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 17.91 24.17 2.74 22.43 30.42 4.20
1 Month Change -0.21 -0.20 0.32 -0.34 -0.31 0.01
3 Month Change -0.03 0.30 0.92 0.43 1.23 4.20


GROWTH
2011 (A) 2012 (E) 2013 (E)

Norm. EPS 26.00% 32.60% 25.86%
DPS % % 53.26%

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2011 (A) 2012 (E) 2013 (E)

EBITDA 17.37m 22.60m 26.67m
EBIT 15.16m m m
Dividend Yield % 0.89% 1.36%
Dividend Cover x 8.81x 7.24x
PER 16.90x 12.74x 10.12x
PEG 0.65f 0.39f 0.39f
Net Asset Value PS 29.87p 56.36p 79.65p

Hemscott premium

goldfinger - 25 Jul 2011 08:06 - 19 of 105

Fantastic results from VLX.......

http://moneyam.uk-wire.com/cgi-bin/articles/201107250700089331K.html

goldfinger - 26 Jul 2011 08:14 - 20 of 105

http://www.iii.co.uk/articles/16392/stock-watch-volex

Stock to Watch: Volex
Tue, 26/07/2011 - 00:00 | Edmond Jackson

This article is for information and discussion purposes only and does not form a recommendation to invest or otherwise. The value of an investment may fall. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

Strong revenue growth continues at Volex (VLX), the global provider of electrical and optical connecting solutions, which derives just over half its sales from Asia - serving various technology providers.

Its latest Interim Management Statement (IMS) cites like-for-like normalised revenue up 10% for the 16 week period to 25 July, a firm gross margin of 19.0% leading to a 21% rise in operating profit to 4.1 million.

Adverse currency translation clipped the reported revenue/profit rises to 2% and 3% respectively but in underlying terms this is impressive growth in challenged times. It is broad based across four sectors - consumer, telecom/datacom, healthcare and industrial - and could have shown 12% revenue growth excepting delays in the recovery of an Indian business.

This affirms continued success with a recent restructuring after Volex reported a 64% rise in operating profit on revenue up 38% and earnings per share up 130%, in prelim results to 4 April, announced early June. Now Volex is better positioned, it should be worth watching for further progress.

It also shows how "small cap share" does not necessarily mean a high-risk investment: Volex has withstood the downturn relatively well, with normalised pre-tax profit slipping only slightly from 5.1 million to 4.8 million over 2007-08, otherwise profit and earnings per share grew strongly to 10 million and 14.5p by 2010. Management says it continues to improve the sales mix with new products also efficiencies towards improving the margin.

Company REFS shows recent broker projections for about 18 million normalised pre-tax profit and earnings per share of 24p in the current financial year to 1 April 2012, rising to about 23 million and 30p respectively in 2012/13. The main risk factor looks to be general fears of a double-dip recession although management appears to have sufficient visibility of orders to assert in the IMS it is confident of meeting market forecasts for the current year.

With consumer products representing nearly two-thirds of revenue and profit, growth in internet-connected TV, living-room gaming consoles, tablet computers and smart phones are key drivers helping withstand recession. As was the experience of the early 1990s recession, it is possible for a few companies to stand out when they are geared to a technology watershed especially. It helps explain Volex's 41% increase in revenue to 196 million for its consumer products side in the last financial year, although industrial also did very well to double its revenue to 22 million.

Top-line progress like this really classes Volex as a growth share although the market is likely to be wary of cyclicality in electrical components/connectors (as we have seen with Premier Farnell (PFL) and Electrocomponents (ECM)) - which most likely explains the modest, forward price-earnings multiple of about 13 times falling to 10.5, with the shares currently at 320p.

Edmond covered the fortunes of Premier Farnell in a recent Stock to Watch.

Volex's financial track record and forecasted earnings growth also qualify the shares for the price-earnings to growth - or PEG - factor, which works out at an appealing 0.4 times. Generally with growth shares, a ratio less than one is considered attractive. It appears the company is benefiting "top-down" from this growth trend in consumer electromics, and "bottom-up" from a restructuring last year - to achieve a more streamlined business according to market sector and functional lines.

"We can now implement coherent, global strategies that cross geographical boundaries," management said on completion a year ago.

So it is quite ironic how the share price chart shows a roller-coaster ride - from 206p in 2007, below 100p at end-2008 with the financial crisis, then a strong recovery to 377p by end-2010. It would appear the market's fear of "small cap cyclical" was more irrational than justified by fundamentals, although lots of good shares were hard hit in the 2008 downturn.

Rising input costs as raw material prices go up, are another factor to watch. Copper is particularly significant for Volex although management has been adept at aligning copper costs in customer and supplier agreements, with hedging of remaining exposure such that the current financial year should be quite protected.

For more on the outlook for copper, read: Copper revival set to continue in second half.

Probably the difficult context for stockmarkets right now, over debt issues, explains Volex's muted response to a strong trading update, the shares rising only about 15p to 320p on small volume. The market is liquid enough to enable trades of 5,000 shares within the market spread, however.

Volex has not made dividend payments in recent years, a factor which may have contributed to share price volatility as you are essentially judging the earnings trend and how it is likely to be rated. Even with an intended payout of 2.0p a share, to be paid soon and marking the resumption of dividends, the prospective yield is negligible. Brokers target 3p to 5p a share in future years however, with substantial cover of about eight times, hence scope to increase.

The balance sheet has only a small element of goodwill/intangibles, the assets are mainly current - inventories and trade receivables - also 12.7 million cash. Borrowing of 17.1 million compare with 23.8 million net assets and a refinancing of bank facilities has helped to slightly improve net debt to 4.6 million; however net assets per share work out only at about 38p so again you need to be confident about earnings.

Overall, the risk-reward profile looks to favour upside, with a return to 350p and better. Volex is well-positioned to key drivers of consumer electronics change and with sensible diversity, now seeing the rewards of its repositioning which should have further to run. While forecasts already assume significant growth over the next 18 months or so, its rating is fundamentally modest - yet should improve to the lower mid teens at least, implying nearer 400p as a medium-term target.

For more information see volex.com.

goldfinger - 26 Jul 2011 08:18 - 21 of 105

Overall, the risk-reward profile looks to favour upside, with a return to 350p and better. Volex is well-positioned to key drivers of consumer electronics change and with sensible diversity, now seeing the rewards of its repositioning which should have further to run. While forecasts already assume significant growth over the next 18 months or so, its rating is fundamentally modest - yet should improve to the lower mid teens at least, implying nearer 400p as a medium-term target.

mitzy - 18 Sep 2012 09:04 - 22 of 105

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=VLX&Si

goldfinger - 18 Sep 2012 09:13 - 23 of 105

Some over road say they have lost Apple as biggest customer!!.

Not in but interesting to watch how this plays out if the above is correct.

dreamcatcher - 18 Oct 2012 16:26 - 24 of 105

Meanwhile, looking at the small-cap end of the market, Volex is having a dreadful time. The maker of connectors, wiring assemblies and related products saw its shares fall off a cliff in September when the firm issued a profit warning due to an unexpected fall in demand from one of its biggest customers.

Since then the shares have fallen further, reaching a new 163p low today. So what is the future looking like? Well, with ongoing fears that we might not have heard the worst, the firm's forward P/E rating of 7.6 is perhaps understandable. But there's still a very well covered, if modest, dividend of 2.5% expected.

hlyeo98 - 14 Dec 2012 11:29 - 25 of 105

2nd profit warning today... 95p.

HARRYCAT - 15 Jan 2013 12:53 - 26 of 105

StockMarketWire.com
Volex said it has acquired Applied Micro Circuits Corp's active optical technology platform for about $2 million.

Under the agreement, AppliedMicro has agreed to a five-year, non-compete in connection with the marketing and sale of active optical cables, transceivers, modules and related assemblies.

The companies would share ownership of the associated active optical patent portfolio, allowing each company to continue development of the technologies, and forming the basis for the two companies to collaborate on next generation optical interconnect products and solutions.

dreamcatcher - 24 Jan 2013 14:24 - 27 of 105

These look interesting, could they regain their spark.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=VLX&Si

dreamcatcher - 24 Jan 2013 15:37 - 28 of 105

In the short term the company has hit a rocky patch. Again a risk but the rewards can be huge. The £61 million cap manufactures fibre optic cables and connectivity components for smartphones, tablets, pcs, printers, tvs, etc. Manufactures have delayed and pulled orders amid delays to new device launches. Hence profit warnings
last year. Shares have fallen from 274p to below 100p.

In the short term struggle imply earnings will fall from 26.5p to just 5.7p this year
EPS is anticipated to double to 11.3p in 2014 and than advance to 16.4p the year after. That would take the PE from over 17 to 8.7 and then to a mere six. The sector average PE is 15.5 at this time. So a re-rating to just ten times within the year would target a share price of 160p for a 60% upside. Also a predator could be drawn on this lowly valuation.

dreamcatcher - 12 Feb 2013 07:22 - 29 of 105

Interim Management Statement
RNS
RNS Number : 6408X
Volex PLC
12 February 2013





12 February 2013

VOLEX plc



Interim Management Statement

Volex plc ('Volex' or the 'Group), the global provider of electrical, digital and optical connections, today releases its second Interim Management Statement for FY2013, covering the 19 weeks to 11 February 2013.

Group trading

Trading conditions have remained challenging, as previously reported in our 14 December 2012 update. Despite the background of macro-uncertainty and general softening of demand, we have won new business with a major global technology company. We are making good progress with our restructuring programme. Our sales and finance functions have been strengthened and are more closely aligned with our sectors. Production cost and operating expense savings are being delivered as expected. Accordingly, management expects full year revenue and operating profit* for the year ending 31 March 2013 to be in line with revised market expectations**.

Update on improvement plan

Management is focused on a number of initiatives to improve performance and consequently rebuild shareholder value. These include strengthening the senior sales leadership team and the effectiveness of our sales organisation, executing our cost reduction initiatives and accelerating the Group's move to a higher margin product portfolio. While there is still much to do we have made good progress.

Daniel Abrams joined the Company, as Chief Financial Officer on 17 December 2012. We have reorganised the sales and finance functions to better serve key accounts, improve alignment with our sectors, and strengthen our forecasting processes. We have also appointed Roger Wendelken as Senior Vice President, Sales and Marketing. Most recently Roger was SVP Worldwide Sales at SMSC prior to its acquisition by Microchip and he has also held senior sales roles at Applied Micro Circuits Corporation (AMCC), Marvell Semiconductors and IBM.

We are on track to deliver the targeted cost savings of an annualised $10m. We have also increased production efficiency and lowered scrap rates.

On 14 January 2013, the Company successfully completed the acquisition of the active optical technology platform from Applied Micro Circuits Corporation, based in California. The acquisition of a patent portfolio, technology and product designs for active optical cable (AOC) assemblies provides Volex with accelerated entry into the multi-billion dollar AOC and optical transceiver market. It represents a modest yet important step towards developing new technological capabilities to drive higher margin revenue growth.

Financial position

Net debt at 31 December 2012 was $14.8m (31 March 2012: net cash $3.6m).





Outlook

Trading conditions have remained challenging in the early part of 2013. Management expects full year revenue and operating profit* for the year ending 31 March 2013 to be in line with revised market expectations**.

- END -

goldfinger - 15 Feb 2013 15:23 - 30 of 105

Gone long. These director buys suggests confidence going forward.

goldfinger - 18 Feb 2013 14:00 - 31 of 105

Going like the clappers up over 8%.......NICE.

dreamcatcher - 18 Feb 2013 15:46 - 32 of 105

Thought it would, up just under 12%

goldfinger - 18 Feb 2013 15:54 - 33 of 105

Loads err money.

goldfinger - 18 Feb 2013 16:46 - 34 of 105

VOLEX

I love GAPS. No resistance until 140p. What a beut. Added again later today.

Another 30k director buy aswel.

Its a giveme.

p.php?pid=legacydaily&epic=L^VLX&type=4&

dreamcatcher - 18 Feb 2013 16:47 - 35 of 105

Volex: Canaccord Genuity reduces target price from 116p to 97p and retains a hold recommendation. ?

skinny - 18 Feb 2013 16:55 - 36 of 105

Another one of 'those' charts - a bit late to the game here and my limit didn't get hit, so I'm still watching.

dreamcatcher - 18 Feb 2013 18:40 - 37 of 105

Closed up 15.46% :-))

goldfinger - 19 Feb 2013 08:26 - 38 of 105

Off to a flyer. Sold 1/2 at 120p waiting to get back in and buy. reckon anytime now.

skinny - 19 Feb 2013 08:29 - 39 of 105

Sod it!

goldfinger - 19 Feb 2013 08:57 - 40 of 105

Did you miss the pullback skinny?.

skinny - 19 Feb 2013 08:58 - 41 of 105

Yes - I'll keep an eye for now.

goldfinger - 19 Feb 2013 09:01 - 42 of 105

Still think youve got plenty of time. Another massive gap after 1st one. 140p SP target first up.

My second one is a spread bet.

goldfinger - 19 Feb 2013 10:04 - 43 of 105

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2ad23294-4847-11e2-a1c0-00144feab49a.html#axzz2LG4Uwstj

Industrial takeovers on the cards for 2013


Michael O’Brien, analyst at Canaccord Genuity, believes that competitors with stronger balance sheets could be tempted to bid. “Volex’s strong market position in the sectors in which it operates, opportunities to diversify out of consumer, and concentrated shareholder base in our view makes it vulnerable to take-out,” he says.

goldfinger - 19 Feb 2013 10:08 - 44 of 105

Most brokers got a hold on the stock.

But the forward P/E of just over 9 to
2014 gives a clue that Directors know something
not yet out in the public domain.

Looks far too cheap.

Volex PLC

FORECASTS 2013 2014
Date Rec Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)

N+1 Singer
18-02-13 HOLD 4.77 4.90 3.22 9.47 11.40 3.54
Canaccord Genuity Ltd
18-02-13 HOLD 4.64 6.44 8.70 12.88
FinnCap
12-02-13 HOLD 5.11 5.24 3.19 6.00 7.21 3.83
Milkstone Ltd
05-02-13 HOLD 7.37 9.66 4.76 7.75 11.88 5.72
Investec Securities [W]
28-01-13 HOLD 17.35 26.14 2.77 5.11 6.99 3.08
Peel Hunt [W]
17-12-12 HOLD 13.73 19.18 4.37 19.34 26.58 5.62
Charles Stanley Securities
31-10-12 UREV 19.59 17.72 1.93 22.32 20.19 2.28
Edison Investment Research
05-07-12 None 22.71 32.55 3.21 26.41 37.17 3.53

2013 2014
Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 5.44 6.51 3.00 8.00 12.06 3.45
1 Month Change -2.64 -4.07 0.07 -2.89 -4.11 -0.02
3 Month Change -8.62 -11.75 -0.71 -13.43 -15.86 -0.97

Notes to forecasts
(18 Sep 2012) W flag refers to outlook


GROWTH
2012 (A) 2013 (E) 2014 (E)

Norm. EPS 35.13% -72.64% 85.20%
DPS % 35.50% 15.22%

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2012 (A) 2013 (E) 2014 (E)

EBITDA £19.83m £12.58m £17.93m
EBIT £17.57m £7.73m £11.27m
Dividend Yield 1.97% 2.68% 3.08%
Dividend Cover 10.77x 2.17x 3.49x
PER 4.70x 17.20x 9.29x
PEG 0.13f -0.24f 0.11f
Net Asset Value PS 41.66p 48.64p 53.94p

HARRYCAT - 19 Feb 2013 10:59 - 45 of 105

Max quantity that Selftrade will offer at the moment is 1000 shares. Anyone know if these are historically difficult to trade or just a temporary glitch?

goldfinger - 19 Feb 2013 13:06 - 46 of 105

Difficult Harry. Best get them in tranches.

HARRYCAT - 19 Feb 2013 14:01 - 47 of 105

Thanks, so presumably difficult to offload as well?

skinny - 19 Feb 2013 14:12 - 48 of 105

Harry, I've just been offered 5k @113.8p

HARRYCAT - 19 Feb 2013 14:17 - 49 of 105

Cheers skinny. I assume they weren't on E-Bay??? ;o)
Think I might just watch for the moment, but tempted to buy a few for a punt!

skinny - 19 Feb 2013 14:26 - 50 of 105

Yes me too Harry - glad I didn't chase them this morning.

Was that your 1 share purchase @114.25 just now? :-)

BAYLIS - 19 Feb 2013 14:27 - 51 of 105

iChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=VLX&Si

goldfinger - 19 Feb 2013 16:01 - 52 of 105

Strange SP action. Wonder if the MMS have a big buyer or for that matter a big seller who was asleep yesterday.

Lord Gnome - 19 Feb 2013 16:48 - 53 of 105

Not too late yet skinny. The market could give you another chance. I reckon this rally has fizzled out and the price could pull back a bit. I wouldn't mind a few, but what would I sell? Difficult question.

skinny - 19 Feb 2013 16:52 - 54 of 105

Yes - last look I was offered 5k @111, which I didn't take, I have a limit in @109 which I'll check/revise pre-market.

skinny - 20 Feb 2013 09:49 - 55 of 105

Revised my entry to a quid.

HARRYCAT - 20 Feb 2013 09:53 - 56 of 105

You think more downside to come then? Like you, am glad I stayed out yesterday.

goldfinger - 20 Feb 2013 10:09 - 57 of 105

Wonder why directors bought before closed period comes into being before next update?.

skinny - 20 Feb 2013 10:17 - 58 of 105

Harry - I don't know enough about it and haven't got the time for the next couple of days to research - the press driven fizz has all but reversed - look at the (lack of) volume today.

goldfinger - 20 Feb 2013 10:21 - 59 of 105

Needs a broker note or two.

goldfinger - 20 Feb 2013 14:30 - 60 of 105

Wakening up guys beware, when it flys it bloody well flys.

goldfinger - 20 Feb 2013 14:37 - 61 of 105

And it has up 6% already, yeee haaa got in again just before the rise.

dreamcatcher - 20 Feb 2013 16:54 - 62 of 105

Closed up 5.23%

goldfinger - 20 Feb 2013 16:57 - 63 of 105

Nice.

dreamcatcher - 20 Feb 2013 17:00 - 64 of 105

Could turn very nice. :-))

goldfinger - 20 Feb 2013 17:06 - 65 of 105

Very nice indeed.

dreamcatcher - 20 Feb 2013 17:07 - 66 of 105

Shut uuuuup. lol

goldfinger - 21 Feb 2013 08:37 - 67 of 105

LOL, tipped in Shares Mag as takeover candidate this morning.

Added some more.

goldfinger - 21 Feb 2013 11:24 - 68 of 105

Messing with spread today.

skinny - 22 Feb 2013 09:21 - 69 of 105

Whore's drawers of a chart this week.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=VLX&Size=

goldfinger - 22 Feb 2013 09:24 - 70 of 105

You in this one yet skinny?

skinny - 22 Feb 2013 09:25 - 71 of 105

No - I keep looking.

HARRYCAT - 22 Feb 2013 11:20 - 72 of 105

I have had two buys on the system this week, both have expired yet the sp has closed lower than my buy price on the same day. I wonder if Lady Luck is trying to tell me something?

goldfinger - 22 Feb 2013 11:50 - 73 of 105

Harry, stick to real time buys and sells.

Its a set up mate putting in all these other fancy orders. ( certainly IG)

And dont forget Ive worked in the business.

dreamcatcher - 22 Feb 2013 16:18 - 74 of 105

Covered both in Shares and IC this week . Will keep hold.

goldfinger - 26 Feb 2013 15:26 - 75 of 105

Starting to move up guys.

Keep a close eye out here.

Once it moves it motors.

PS Harry did you get in?

HARRYCAT - 26 Feb 2013 17:51 - 76 of 105

No, not yet.

dreamcatcher - 26 Feb 2013 19:19 - 77 of 105

As of Feb 25, 2013, the consensus forecast amongst 5 polled investment analysts covering Volex PLC advises investors to hold their position in the company. This has been the consensus forecast since the sentiment of investment analysts deteriorated on Feb 12, 2013. The previous consensus forecast advised that Volex PLC would outperform the market.




http://markets.ft.com/research/Markets/Tearsheets/Forecasts?s=VLX:LSE

HARRYCAT - 28 Feb 2013 15:02 - 78 of 105

Historically this has flatlined for quite long periods, so still watching but not yet convinced the time is right.

HARRYCAT - 07 Mar 2013 09:19 - 79 of 105

Hmmm.... looking like sub 100p on the cards, imo.

goldfinger - 07 Mar 2013 09:37 - 80 of 105

No no Harry, volex is the Dogs bollex.

HARRYCAT - 07 Mar 2013 09:43 - 81 of 105

Dogs quite often have their b*llocks removed, causing them to be less interested in rising to the occasion, a bit like the VLX sp atm!

skinny - 07 Mar 2013 09:45 - 82 of 105

No - this is the dog's ....

dogsbollocks.jpgViewImage.aspx?TableName=Drinks&IdColumn

goldfinger - 07 Mar 2013 10:00 - 83 of 105

he he.

HARRYCAT - 08 Mar 2013 10:38 - 84 of 105

Sub 100p! It would appear the dog has nothing left to lick! ;o)

skinny - 14 Mar 2013 07:13 - 85 of 105

Director PDMR Shareholding



Volex plc (the "Company") announces that on 13 March 2013 Ray Walsh, Chief Executive Officer, purchased 32,286 ordinary shares of the Company, par value £0.25 ("Ordinary Shares"), at a price of 97 pence, representing 0.052% of the issued share capital of the Company.

Following this purchase, Mr Walsh now holds a total of 250,000 Ordinary Shares of Volex plc, representing in aggregate 0.40% of the ordinary issued share capital of the Company.

This announcement is made in accordance with the requirements of the FSA Disclosure and Transparency Rules 3.1.2 to 3.1.4.

- END -

dreamcatcher - 14 Mar 2013 08:15 - 86 of 105

Kept hold of these, looking better this morning.

dreamcatcher - 14 Mar 2013 13:43 - 87 of 105

choo, choo :-))

irlee57 - 14 Mar 2013 14:13 - 88 of 105

topped up at 99p this morning, has you say dc choo choo))

dreamcatcher - 15 Mar 2013 18:49 - 89 of 105

Lol iree57. A couple of good days. Perhaps finally doing what it said on the tin.


As of Mar 15, 2013, the consensus forecast amongst 5 polled investment analysts covering Volex PLC advises investors to hold their position in the company. This has been the consensus forecast since the sentiment of investment analysts deteriorated on Feb 12, 2013. The previous consensus forecast advised that Volex PLC would outperform the market.



dreamcatcher - 18 Mar 2013 17:14 - 90 of 105

Another 6% today

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=VLX&Si

dreamcatcher - 02 Apr 2013 15:20 - 91 of 105

Sold my holding.

HARRYCAT - 02 Apr 2013 15:38 - 92 of 105

Got nervous dc? Hasn't quite performed as hoped imo, so stayed out.

dreamcatcher - 02 Apr 2013 15:40 - 93 of 105

Perhaps it will motor now I'm out HC . :-))

irlee57 - 10 Apr 2013 08:41 - 94 of 105

trading update tomorrow.

goldfinger - 10 Apr 2013 08:49 - 95 of 105

Fingers crossed its going to be a close thing I reckon, mind directors have been buying big.

My biggest holding at the moment.

skinny - 11 Apr 2013 07:08 - 96 of 105

Trading Statement

Trading Statement

Volex plc ('Volex' or the 'Group'), the global provider of electrical, digital and optical connections, today releases its Trading Update for the year ended 31 March 2013 in advance of preliminary results that are expected to be announced on 29 May 2013.
Full year revenues and operating profits* for the year ended 31 March 2013 are anticipated to meet market expectations**.

Net debt at 31 March 2013 was less than $20m (01 April 2012: net cash $3.6m).
The Group-wide restructuring initiative that was announced in September 2012 is proceeding to plan. Restructuring costs, which will be taken as an exceptional charge, are expected to be approximately $7m. Further details will be provided at the time of the announcement of results.

- END -

goldfinger - 11 Apr 2013 08:50 - 97 of 105

Yep a big let down.

Sold 90%.

Keeping my cheap tranche just in case.

irlee57 - 02 May 2013 14:16 - 98 of 105

something going on here?

goldfinger - 02 May 2013 15:20 - 99 of 105

Wonder if Shares mag has tipped it. Look at them buys. Added a few to my last tranche.

Bones - 08 Jun 2013 23:05 - 100 of 105

The new CEO has bought a few to be going on with last week, and the departing one recently bought. I also added at 98 and 102 last week. Holding these until there is an update but it seems the management are clearing out the deadwood efficiently and the recovery could be spectacular if all goes to plan and they avoid another screw up with their big clients. I think they have learned their lessons though.

dreamcatcher - 04 Aug 2013 12:15 - 101 of 105

24 Jul Jefferies... 130.00 Buy


Up 40% on Friday. Jumped to early. :-((

skinny - 04 Aug 2013 12:34 - 102 of 105

Not convinced the chart is correct.

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=UK%3aVLX&uf=p.php?pid=legacydaily&epic=L^VLX&type=1&

dreamcatcher - 04 Aug 2013 12:48 - 103 of 105

The sp did fall skinny, had to look on another site. Data here is getting awful. Thanks.

skinny - 04 Sep 2013 14:35 - 104 of 105

Good day here - a bit prone to volatility and low volume.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=VLX&Si

halifax - 14 Nov 2013 10:54 - 105 of 105

RNS poor interim results sp 88p down 25% ceo steps down.
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