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WPP worth a lot more .... (WPP)     

paulmasterson1 - 19 Aug 2005 11:23


From Cazenova just now .... DYOR .... but quick :)

WPP - upgrade to OUTPERFORM - interims due 26 Aug which we expect to be strong, reflecting gd Q2 fig's already reported by peers. We see potential for EPS upgrades of up to 5%-10% N/T (combination of top line, margin & US$). L/T we expect EPS growth of up to 17%-18% pa before maturing at 11%-12% pa. Key risks are (1) further M&A (2) prem valuation (17.1x 06 EPS before any upgrade), representing a 31% prem to UK mkt & 33% to UK media sector. Despite this we still believe it has room to outperform. Our DCF valuation gives 760p, 28% upside from here.

paulmasterson1 - 22 Aug 2005 14:12 - 10 of 155


Daws Hi,

Excellent posts, keep 'em coming :)

Cheers,
PM

dawsinho - 22 Aug 2005 22:58 - 11 of 155

Bit boring today! buys outweighted sells and what was significant was most of the sells we're small tiddlers but some of the buys we're rather chunky. Anybody else intrested in this? Nobody's posted on the advfn thread for months - now that must be a good sign... lol

Daws

paulmasterson1 - 23 Aug 2005 08:12 - 12 of 155


Daws Hi,

Looks like being pushed down towards the results (by the MM's/shorters ??), crazy really, as the Cazenova DCF is 7.50-ish, the results will make the price go up big time on friday anyway, hopefully :)

These are the realm of funds, institututions, and big P.I's, not small cap pump n dumps for advfn muppets :))))

Cheers,
PM

dawsinho - 23 Aug 2005 09:29 - 13 of 155

Paul,

Price is pretty stable, nothing to worry about really. Expecting a blue day on Friday and a gradual rise next week, whilst the results set in :-)

Daws

queen1 - 23 Aug 2005 13:04 - 14 of 155

There has been some upwards movement in the sp over the last couple of weeks, due I suspect to the anticipation of good results on Friday. Could we therefore be disappointed with no push next week as the good news may already be factored in?

dawsinho - 23 Aug 2005 21:24 - 15 of 155

Queen1, hard to tell until we see the results i guess. The sp hasn't really moved with any significance and has been keeping with the trend since May.
I'm very hopeful of a move above the 610 range, which should signal an attack on this years previous high (625) and then onwards and upwards. In the short/medium term the trend is very much our friend. The company seems to be heading in the right direction and all signs are good.

Daws

dawsinho - 25 Aug 2005 15:26 - 16 of 155

Afternoon,

Last chance for people to buy before interims tommorrow. Could see some decent buying before the bell.

Daws

dawsinho - 25 Aug 2005 21:10 - 17 of 155

more good news ahead of tommorrow

Broker snap: WPP on good form

Date: Thursday 25 Aug 2005

LONDON (ShareCast) - Ad agency WPP was on top form today after ING turned buyer on the stock ahead of first half figures due tomorrow.

ING upgraded WPP Group to 'buy' from 'hold' saying it sees no room for disappointment concerning the figures, unlike next weeks European rival TF1.

ING said that since full-year results were published six months ago, WPP has underperformed Publicis and the FTSE 100 though this trend is now expected to reverse.

ING raised its price target for the advertising group to 710p from 600p.

paulmasterson1 - 25 Aug 2005 21:59 - 18 of 155


Daws Hi,

Lets hope the figures live up to all the expectations :)

Cheers,
PM

dawsinho - 26 Aug 2005 07:50 - 19 of 155

Paul,

Things look very good! Couldn't find any issues at all. No point posting the interims (very long read!) But anybody is interested i think you should take a look.
Price targets are being raised left right and centre and we're bound to get some good weekend press.

Daws

Profits soar at WPP
MoneyAM
WPP Group, the world's second largest advertising services group, reported a sharp rise in pretax profits.

The group said trading prospects for the full-year remain good.

WPP, which owns businesses including advertising agency Ogilvy & Mather Worldwide and public relations company Buchanan Communications, said headline pretax profit before goodwill amortisation for the six months to June 30th rose 32% to 254.8m, compared to the analyst average forecast of 250m, from 193m a year earlier.

Revenue rose almost 22% to 2.47bn, from 2.02bn in line with the analyst forecast 2.4bn.

paulmasterson1 - 26 Aug 2005 07:53 - 20 of 155



Hi All,

Reuslts are out, profit up 32% just like Cazenova suggested two weeks ago, which was the reason for me startting this thread. It took a while for the other analysts to upgrade WPP, they only did that yesterday !

Lets hope the S.P flies up to 7.50 over the next few days :)

Another PM1 success ????

Cheers,
PM


WPP reports sharp rise in H1 profits

LONDON (AFX) - WPP Group PLC, the world's second largest advertising
services group, reported a sharp rise in half-year pretax profits in line with
expectations and said trading prospects for the full-year remain good.
WPP, which owns businesses including advertising agency Ogilvy & Mather
Worldwide and public relations company Buchanan Communications, said headline
pretax profit before goodwill amortisation for the six months to June 30 rose 32
pct to 254.8 mln stg, compared to to the analyst average forecast of 250 mln
stg, from 193.0 mln stg a year earlier.
Revenue rose almost 22 pct to 2.47 bln stg, from 2.02 bln stg in line with
the analyst forecast 2.4 bln stg.

paulmasterson1 - 26 Aug 2005 07:54 - 21 of 155


Daws Hi,

SNAP !!!!

I only saw your post appear after I posted :))))

Onwards and upwards :)

Cheers,
PM

dawsinho - 26 Aug 2005 07:57 - 22 of 155

LOL - cracking set of results, looking forward to some blue days ahead. Can't wait for all that tasty weekend press, which includes Monday!

Daws

paulmasterson1 - 26 Aug 2005 08:02 - 23 of 155


Just topped up :)

Cheers,
PM

paulmasterson1 - 26 Aug 2005 08:05 - 24 of 155



Compare the Cazenova forecasts to the results, and even they were conservative ....

WPP - upgrade to OUTPERFORM - interims due 26 Aug which we expect to be strong, reflecting gd Q2 fig's already reported by peers. We see potential for EPS upgrades of up to 5%-10% N/T (combination of top line, margin & US$). L/T we expect EPS growth of up to 17%-18% pa before maturing at 11%-12% pa. Key risks are (1) further M&A (2) prem valuation (17.1x 06 EPS before any upgrade), representing a 31% prem to UK mkt & 33% to UK media sector. Despite this we still believe it has room to outperform. Our DCF valuation gives 760p, 28% upside from here.


WPP

2005 INTERIM RESULTS IN ACCORDANCE WITH IFRS
---------------------------------------------

Billings up almost 24% at #11.3 billion
-----------------------------------------
Reported revenue up almost 22% to #2.5 billion
-----------------------------------------------
Like-for-like revenue up 6%
----------------------------
Headline operating profit up over 31% to #300 million
------------------------------------------------------
Headline profit before tax up 32% to #255 million
---------------------------------------------------
Diluted headline earnings per share up almost 28% at 13.8p
-----------------------------------------------------------
Net earnings up over 45% to #135 million
-----------------------------------------
Interim ordinary dividend up 20% to 3.00p per share
----------------------------------------------------

paulmasterson1 - 26 Aug 2005 08:09 - 25 of 155


Get the profit takers out of the way, and let the institutions and funds pile in, they know what WPP are worth, and the growth, and they would love 25% profit from these, even if it takes them a few months or up to a couple of years to get it, that would still make it a good performer for them.

They don't pile in until a few days after the news ....

Cheers,
PM

dawsinho - 26 Aug 2005 08:11 - 26 of 155

Paul, bit surprised by the markets reaction. Still expect to finish the day blue, the results are there for everyone to see!

Daws

ptholden - 26 Aug 2005 08:35 - 27 of 155

Not sure there has been a rash of profit taking Paul, the SP has been under selling pressure prior to the results. Sometimes there is no explaining the Markets reaction to a good set of results. On this occasion I don't think that the good news was already in the SP, so therefore we should see some healthy rises over the coming weeks. Fully agree Daws and would expect to finish in the blue, at the very least in the region of 590, trendline support.

pth

dawsinho - 26 Aug 2005 09:56 - 28 of 155

Pth,

590 appears to be the bottom of our recent trendline, so could be a great buying opp. Good to see Merrill Lynch reiterating its buy stance and 690p price target.

Daws

ptholden - 26 Aug 2005 10:07 - 29 of 155

Daws

Opened a long about a week a go, which is looking a tad sad at the moment, but averaged down with two more longs this morning. Trend is up and 590 looks like the trend support so hopefully the dip is now complete and next week should see the up trend resume.

pth
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