inbs
- 23 Dec 2003 22:02
New Projects and good prospects. will be the winner in 2004. IMO
25p in early 2004
Big Al
- 21 Dec 2004 14:33
- 1006 of 1258
This thread has gone a bit quiet. Has everyone lost interest? I've no position at present, but keep an eye on it.
iturama
- 21 Dec 2004 14:45
- 1007 of 1258
I e-mailed them asking if they could outline their plans for the coming months, or point me to a statement from them that would help. No answer so I assume they haven't any.
Kivver
- 21 Dec 2004 14:59
- 1008 of 1258
peeyam - we've heard it all before on pci and pet and most of us are out of pocket.
chinapete
- 21 Dec 2004 16:33
- 1009 of 1258
Just been quoted 8p to buy, an original target of mine, but now not convinced they won't drift lower.
Big Al
- 04 Jan 2005 21:10
- 1010 of 1258
Blimey, had to go 3 pages to find this thread.
Thoughts anyone?
amberjane
- 04 Jan 2005 21:29
- 1011 of 1258
Hiya Big Al......Still on my watch list.....wont be able to leave this one all year I know that much!
seawallwalker
- 04 Jan 2005 21:39
- 1012 of 1258
This stock needs REAL news before I climb back on board, and then only when it has upward momentum.
There are better ones out there.
Any ideas which ones they are Big Al?
I still have SEY and HNR for Q1 or Q3 2006.
It's a game plan at least!
gavdfc
- 04 Jan 2005 21:45
- 1013 of 1258
Al,
Can't see me being in any hurry to come back in here. At most, I might look to come back in with a short term trade, but won't be holding on like last time for any drilling results. Think there are a lot of unknowns still regarding what happened with Sidi and my confidence in PCI has long gone. However, should things change then I may change my outlook.
A happy New Year to you all.
Cheers
Gav
Big Al
- 04 Jan 2005 21:48
- 1014 of 1258
amber/sw - how you both?
Not looked at much as yet for the year and currently a bit ambivalent on oils. Don't envisage the sector performance of last year, but you never know.
PCI needs good news. Still maintain management made a complete hash of last month's well. Chart says short, but not playing at present. Feel fiasco will take a long time to wear off.
amberjane
- 04 Jan 2005 22:02
- 1015 of 1258
Yep here here Al, didnt say when but im sure there will be some opportunities, but as sww says - there are better stocks to play with at the mo...Wishing you skill and courage for the new year (well just that luck didnt help me much in '04) :>0
seawallwalker
- 04 Jan 2005 22:17
- 1016 of 1258
I good thanks Al :)
Not doing much, seem to be backing the wrong horses just lately. (damn it!)
Exercising a little patience and watching others, like the PET holders and daves dazzlers who has made a few quid on that stock. (series of longs and shorts, a real master!)
m100
- 05 Jan 2005 08:28
- 1017 of 1258
.."could do better" - still holding large sum - expect 3-4 months gradual recovery, suspect pci will only release good news from now on
m100
- 07 Jan 2005 16:05
- 1018 of 1258
lots of blue on there.. !
moneyman
- 08 Jan 2005 19:58
- 1019 of 1258
Looks as though the recovery is now underway. EVO have a 10p value and they still have to complete the exploratory drilling in Tunisia.
Someone seems to be accumulating too which is always a good sign.
scotinvestor
- 08 Jan 2005 21:02
- 1020 of 1258
i cant get excited about it moneyman as i bought in at 16.5p last august.
Big Al
- 08 Jan 2005 21:30
- 1021 of 1258
IMO it looks precarious from both a TA and fundie view.
No position and unlikely to have one in the immediate future. There's better prospects about.
moneyman
- 09 Jan 2005 00:25
- 1022 of 1258
Petroceltic International (PCI) Add (from)
Mkt cap: 54m Net cash: 13m Drilling news Price/Target: 9.75p/10.9 p
ST-3 well fails to test hydrocarbons in main reservoir
Petroceltics failure to test hydrocarbons is a major blow for the NAV in the
short term. Removal of the risked exploration value of ST-3 cuts our NAV
from 32p to 10.5p/share, a value underpinned by core value
Petroceltic announced on Friday that their ST-3 well failed to recover
hydrocarbons from the main reservoir horizon. Although oil & gas shows were
recorded over a 177m interval (1023m to 1300m) - in line with expectations.
Reservoir quality was always the main risk in this exploration test, the fractured
quartzites ability to flow being identified as the major risk risked at only a 40%
chance of success in our note of October
Although the well is suspended, as the company would like to investigate
hydrocarbon shows in a higher interval (835m-900m) at a later date, we have
removed the total value of this prospect from our NAV for the time being.
We estimate the core value of the group is around 10.9p/share consisting of
0.2p/share for the Celtic Sea royalty, 8.6p/share for existing reserves in Algeria
and 2.1p/share cash on the balance sheet
Petroceltic - Summary NAV
Value p/share
Celtic Sea Royalty 1.5 0.2
Algeria existing Sonatrach reserves (380bcf) 53.0 8.6
Balance sheet cash 13.0 2.1
Core NAV 67.5 10.9
Risked exploration
Algeria (HTT 1 in 4)) + oil potential (1 in 10) 145 23.5
Italy (1 in 4) 46.4 7.5
Ireland ( 1 in 5) 17.0 2.7
Total NAV including risked exploration 275.9 44.6
Source: Evo Securities
There is still a great deal of exploration upside in the stock in Algeria and Italy (at
least 33p/share), but we wait until we have firm drilling plans before we push our
target price higher.
ST-3 encounters shows but fails to
test
Reservoir quality was always the main
risk
We are removing Tunisia from our
NAV for the time being
Core value of 10.9p/share
but lots of upside in exploration
when drilling plans firm
PETROCELTIC
FROM 3/12/03 TO 3/12/04 DAILY
DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
x10-2
35.50
36.00
36.50
HIGH 0.36 3 /12/03 L OW 0.36 3 /12 /03 LAST 0.3 6 Source: DATASTREAM
6 December 2004
m100
- 11 Jan 2005 08:12
- 1023 of 1258
moneyman thanks for the info - interesting reading even at 10.5p some profit there as its at 8ish currently - like most am in it c17p for medium term
seawallwalker
- 11 Jan 2005 08:19
- 1024 of 1258
EVO Broker note is brutally honest.
No position and not likely to have for a while.
iturama
- 19 Jan 2005 11:52
- 1025 of 1258
Starting to pick up steam. News coming?