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Falklands Oil and Gas (FOGL) (FOGL)     

Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 04:53

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grannyboy - 25 Jul 2012 07:32 - 1013 of 2393

Thanks for your thoughts Proselenes, as to the clues in the name that been a timely reminder to the pi's who wondered what the Gas at the end meant...

FOGL is speculative and risky like all oilers, especialy in the FI's, but the POTENTIAL is massive...:D))

Proselenes - 25 Jul 2012 10:03 - 1014 of 2393

GB, you have to remind people - they are looking for oil AND gas, hence the name. Loligo is so big its massively commercial on a gas strike alone.

Some muppets have been posting elsewhere that gas is not good for FOGL, total idiots to suggest that.

cynic - 25 Jul 2012 11:37 - 1015 of 2393

stop grasping at straws ..... the full name of the company is irrelevant ..... if they don't find oil, the share price will be massacred ..... gas except in almost unimaginable quantities will be pretty much useless

Pessimism Sauce - 25 Jul 2012 11:44 - 1016 of 2393

Commercial amounts of gas will still be a decent find. Whether or not the market will think that...we'll find out!

cynic - 25 Jul 2012 11:49 - 1017 of 2393

"commercial" in FI will need to be very significantly more than if found in easier waters ..... further, the market is really only interested in OIL

markymar - 25 Jul 2012 12:45 - 1018 of 2393

Cynic is totally correct on this one

BOR have found gas just look at the share price it’s at an all time low. Still over priced as well.

BOR are a dead duck as have little money left

To raise money to do more drilling means more dilution in its share price who will lend them the money?

If the gas find is commercial where are they going to find the 1.5 billion plus to set up the infrastructure to get it out?

If RKH are talking 2017 to get oil out it could be 10 years away for gas.

Any gas find from FOGL will have the same negative problem, where is the money coming from to extract it, who is the partner with large pockets taking a huge slice of FOGL as a company for a return.

In these markets it isn’t going to happen.

I hold FOGL but all so can see the down side of it.

grannyboy - 25 Jul 2012 13:11 - 1019 of 2393

So cynic in your view what would be significant?.

markyman "where is the money coming from to extract it". Well seeing as you've stated the negatives(ie they only find gas) what about the possible positives, as Proselenes states over 10TCF and its well worth commercialising, add on finding oil lower down then it'l be the icing on the cake, Then funding won't be such a big problem,and who knows what the price of oil/gas will be if your timetable is correct, 2/3 years down the road before they start producing...But as they say "the oils/gas is not going anywhere...

PS as to your holding FOGL but only seeing the negatives, why the hell are you invested here?..

markymar - 25 Jul 2012 14:05 - 1020 of 2393

Because i think when they drill the price will go higher....a lot higher as such a huge target.

lots of people will jump on the bus for the ride but i will be getting off well before any result are known......i might hold a few thousand on the results just in case.

Am here to make money and i think i can make some money here,i am down at present on my holding of FOGL.

pro states a lot of things on many threads about 6 which i know of....IFs and BUTs

cynic - 25 Jul 2012 14:32 - 1021 of 2393

what's this about prostates? :-)

GB - i haven't a clue about gas ..... imho (yuk! hate that acronym), i think it would have to be almost of qatar-size to support any excitement ..... while LNG is certainly a power source of the future, most wells continue to flare it off, which gives you an idea of its commerciality.

Proselenes - 25 Jul 2012 14:48 - 1022 of 2393

cynic.

Have you not read the FOGL presentation ?????? I have posted in lots of times.

South Falklands 5 TCF recoverable is commercial for gas.

South Falklands 10 TCF recoverable is very attractive to develop - lots of profit.


Loligo is targetting 25 TCF recoverable on a P50 basis.


5 times larger than the minimum needed for commercial gas development.

Proselenes - 25 Jul 2012 14:51 - 1023 of 2393

For the blind and for those who REFUSE to accept....... or those who are just plain deramping and know they are ;) LOL


South Falklands 5 TCF recoverable is commercial for gas.

South Falklands 10 TCF gas recoverable is very attractive to develop - lots of profit.


Loligo is targetting 25 TCF gas recoverable on a P50 basis.


fglg.jpg

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Proselenes - 25 Jul 2012 14:52 - 1024 of 2393

As it says at the bottom, MINIMUM is 5 TCF.

Loligo is targetting P50 gas recoverable of 25 TCF..........

blackdown - 25 Jul 2012 17:07 - 1025 of 2393

zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.................................

blackdown - 25 Jul 2012 17:12 - 1026 of 2393

By the time FOGL gets to the production stage, the USA will be self-sufficient with regard to gas anyway, so the price will drop significantly.

halifax - 25 Jul 2012 17:19 - 1027 of 2393

look at the price of gas in the US PP is up to his usual ramping trick ....think of a number .... 10 trillion sounds good.

Gerponville18 - 25 Jul 2012 17:49 - 1028 of 2393

We could sell the Gas to the Argentinian at a premium.........Assuming there is gas of course!

markymar - 25 Jul 2012 18:38 - 1029 of 2393

so much for not posting Pro .....every day ramp after ramp......its the same stuff

agree with blackdown zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

required field - 25 Jul 2012 19:21 - 1030 of 2393

The fact remains that this next well is very exciting !.....and the following one as well : it would be extremly odd if Sealion was a sole commercial discovery around the Falklands ; I believe that there are a lot more hydrocarbons to be discovered east of RKH's find.......a little bit of luck is needed here but there is also Scotia and Nimrod that provide good backup if this next well is unfortunately a duster....though I believe that something within commercial limits is going to be found .....gas or oil.....that seismic is special.....just have to hope it's not water...

cynic - 25 Jul 2012 19:35 - 1031 of 2393

Mr Prostate - as and when SFI proves commercial ANYTHING i shall be truly delighted ..... only a week or two back you were singing a similar loud anthem about BOR, and what a load of total crap that proved to be, though you subsequently tried to pretend that you had written no such rubbish ..... FOGL arguably has better prospects, but only time will tell

Gerponville18 - 25 Jul 2012 19:46 - 1032 of 2393

My belief is that there is commerciality in the Southern waters of the Falklands.

I also believe, that there will (is) hype building up........Papers are using words like;

• The Next North Sea

• Potentially the biggest find for many a year

• Share price could be this and that price

• Thousands could be millionaires overnight.

So, the share price is going to rise, that's for sure.......I am assuming no one has paid more than £1 per share.........As a minimum, the share will rise to beyond £1.50 per share that's during the drilling. I see this is where the skill will be with a canny trader, which we all are, albeit semi-skilled (which I am)………..Try to have your investment double, take ones original stake out…..Then there’s the gamble…….Is there Oil/Gas or not. That’s my strategy………Hope I am right? Good luck everyone.
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