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Petroceltic International, Good prospects 25pence soon (PCI)     

inbs - 23 Dec 2003 22:02

New Projects and good prospects. will be the winner in 2004. IMO
25p in early 2004

m100 - 05 Jan 2005 08:28 - 1017 of 1258

.."could do better" - still holding large sum - expect 3-4 months gradual recovery, suspect pci will only release good news from now on

m100 - 07 Jan 2005 16:05 - 1018 of 1258

lots of blue on there.. !

moneyman - 08 Jan 2005 19:58 - 1019 of 1258

Looks as though the recovery is now underway. EVO have a 10p value and they still have to complete the exploratory drilling in Tunisia.

Someone seems to be accumulating too which is always a good sign.

scotinvestor - 08 Jan 2005 21:02 - 1020 of 1258

i cant get excited about it moneyman as i bought in at 16.5p last august.

Big Al - 08 Jan 2005 21:30 - 1021 of 1258

IMO it looks precarious from both a TA and fundie view.

No position and unlikely to have one in the immediate future. There's better prospects about.

moneyman - 09 Jan 2005 00:25 - 1022 of 1258

Petroceltic International (PCI) Add (from)
Mkt cap: 54m Net cash: 13m Drilling news Price/Target: 9.75p/10.9 p
ST-3 well fails to test hydrocarbons in main reservoir
Petroceltics failure to test hydrocarbons is a major blow for the NAV in the
short term. Removal of the risked exploration value of ST-3 cuts our NAV
from 32p to 10.5p/share, a value underpinned by core value
Petroceltic announced on Friday that their ST-3 well failed to recover
hydrocarbons from the main reservoir horizon. Although oil & gas shows were
recorded over a 177m interval (1023m to 1300m) - in line with expectations.
Reservoir quality was always the main risk in this exploration test, the fractured
quartzites ability to flow being identified as the major risk risked at only a 40%
chance of success in our note of October
Although the well is suspended, as the company would like to investigate
hydrocarbon shows in a higher interval (835m-900m) at a later date, we have
removed the total value of this prospect from our NAV for the time being.
We estimate the core value of the group is around 10.9p/share consisting of
0.2p/share for the Celtic Sea royalty, 8.6p/share for existing reserves in Algeria
and 2.1p/share cash on the balance sheet
Petroceltic - Summary NAV
Value p/share
Celtic Sea Royalty 1.5 0.2
Algeria existing Sonatrach reserves (380bcf) 53.0 8.6
Balance sheet cash 13.0 2.1
Core NAV 67.5 10.9
Risked exploration
Algeria (HTT 1 in 4)) + oil potential (1 in 10) 145 23.5
Italy (1 in 4) 46.4 7.5
Ireland ( 1 in 5) 17.0 2.7
Total NAV including risked exploration 275.9 44.6
Source: Evo Securities
There is still a great deal of exploration upside in the stock in Algeria and Italy (at
least 33p/share), but we wait until we have firm drilling plans before we push our
target price higher.
ST-3 encounters shows but fails to
test
Reservoir quality was always the main
risk
We are removing Tunisia from our
NAV for the time being
Core value of 10.9p/share
but lots of upside in exploration
when drilling plans firm
PETROCELTIC
FROM 3/12/03 TO 3/12/04 DAILY
DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
x10-2
35.50
36.00
36.50
HIGH 0.36 3 /12/03 L OW 0.36 3 /12 /03 LAST 0.3 6 Source: DATASTREAM
6 December 2004

m100 - 11 Jan 2005 08:12 - 1023 of 1258

moneyman thanks for the info - interesting reading even at 10.5p some profit there as its at 8ish currently - like most am in it c17p for medium term

seawallwalker - 11 Jan 2005 08:19 - 1024 of 1258

EVO Broker note is brutally honest.

No position and not likely to have for a while.

iturama - 19 Jan 2005 11:52 - 1025 of 1258

Starting to pick up steam. News coming?

dexter01 - 19 Jan 2005 12:01 - 1026 of 1258

Hope so,Just bought a few!!!!!!!

rooandu - 19 Jan 2005 12:05 - 1027 of 1258

lot of discussion on other sites... positive news might be with us very soon!!

rooandu - 19 Jan 2005 12:06 - 1028 of 1258

who knows???

iturama - 19 Jan 2005 12:16 - 1029 of 1258

Despite some hefty sells, the MM's haven't shifted. Still all blue at level 2. Wouldn't be surprised to see it blow thro' 10.

grevis2 - 19 Jan 2005 12:31 - 1030 of 1258

iturama: Look at the transaction times; those are big buys!

iturama - 19 Jan 2005 12:33 - 1031 of 1258

Crumbs! Quite right, thought the MM's were being unusually generous!

m100 - 19 Jan 2005 12:50 - 1032 of 1258

typical pci - does nothing for ages so you ignore it and it kicks off! boats, missing, steaming come to mind. (iturama - see you have CDN?)

iturama - 19 Jan 2005 13:02 - 1033 of 1258

m100.
Yes, I have quite a few CDN. Be interesting to see how DYG does this afternoon. The shares are currently valued (fully diluted with outstanding options and warrants) at $7 per oz of drill identified gold resources. Very low.

grevis2 - 19 Jan 2005 13:22 - 1034 of 1258

Top % Gainers
# EPIC Name Price Chg %
1 DBE Dunham-bush Ord 2.5p 2.0 0.875 77.78
2 IGA Ingenta Ord 1p 4.225 0.875 26.12
3 EVS Envesta Ord 1p 2.9 0.55 23.4
4 EIC Eicom Ord 0.5p 0.575 0.1 21.05
5 NMT Nmt Group Ord 4 67.5 11.5 20.54
6 MCR Mercator Ord 1p 9.5 1.375 16.92
7 PMG Pc Medics Grp Ord 0.25p 0.7 0.1 16.67
8 AXO Axon Grp. Ord 1p 173.5 23.5 15.67
9 OXB Oxford Biomed. Ord 1p 22.25 3.0 15.58
10 RBI Redbus Interhse Ord 1p 17.0 2.25 15.25
11 LEG Legendary Inv. Ord 0.1p 0.2 0.025 14.29
12 FAR Farsight Ord 1p 1.05 0.125 13.51
13 MSR Mediasurface Ord 1p 10.5 1.25 13.51
14 DTK Dmatek Ld Ord Ils0.01 119.0 14.0 13.33
15 LSMO Eni Lasmo Opsus Oil Production Stk 10p 45.0 5.0 12.5
16 HYG Honeygrove Grp Ord 10p 7.125 0.75 11.76
17 FMJ Formjet Ord 0.2p 6.0 0.625 11.63
18 PCI Petroceltic Ord Eur0.0125 9.875 1.0 11.27

gavdfc - 19 Jan 2005 14:23 - 1035 of 1258

So what's all the excitement here about now? Down to the Libyan round of licences at the end of the month? Thoughts anyone?

grevis2 - 19 Jan 2005 15:04 - 1036 of 1258

Hi gavdfc: Have you held through thick and thin? I've bought back in today after seeing those 1 million buys go through. Someone must be in the know me thinks but what's to know I have no idea at this stage. Just going with the flow so to speak. Good luck!
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