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Chinese oil refinery heading for explosive share price performance (HAIK)     

Greyhound - 14 May 2007 08:25

Sharp rise this morning in this Chinese oil refinery company. Tipped over the weekend in Small Company Share Watch to be the next ReneSola. Changes in the way pricing operates since China joined WTO is set to change the company dramatically, plus results in the coming weeks could surprise on the upside.

www.haikechemical.com

Quarter 1 update

First Quarter 2007 Highlights

- Total revenues increased by 28% to US$ (or '$') 73.9m (2006Q1: $57.9m)

- Petrochemical revenues increased by 15% to $56.1m (2006Q1: $48.6m)

- Speciality chemical revenues increased by 87% to $17.0m (2006Q1: $9.1m)

- Biochemical revenues increased by 300% to $0.8m (2006Q1: $0.2m)

- Gross margin improved to 12.1% (2006Q1: 7.2%) to $8.9m (2006Q1: $4.1m)

- Net profit after tax increased by 625% to $5.8m (2006Q1: $0.8m)

- Net profit (after minority interests) increased by 650% to $4.5m
(2006Q1: $0.6m)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HAIK&S



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Greyhound - 10 Jul 2007 11:09 - 103 of 180

Had a good chat with the CFO this morning, catching him in HongKong. Very positive and approachable. Obviously it's difficult to try and get hold of anything new, but I get the impression Q2 has gone well. Q2 is possibly one of the lower quarters with Q4 traditionally being the best. I also get the impression that the new capacity facilities are running slightly ahead of schedule. Specialty chemicals margins quite wide, somewhere between 10-20%. Discussions regarding oil pricing are ongoing and naturally it's all something we would like to see progressed but again I get the impression it's nothing untoward just local bureaucracy. Results Sep. Looking overdone to me here but I'm not concerned.

Greyhound - 31 Jul 2007 13:50 - 104 of 180

After a long profit taking stretch, we're seeing gains two days running. The RSI turns bullish and we jump 8% today. Still believe this is very undervalued.

Greyhound - 02 Aug 2007 08:32 - 105 of 180

Results only a few weeks away and this is picking up again after these topsy-turvy days we're experiencing.

Greyhound - 03 Aug 2007 10:06 - 106 of 180

I had another chat with our CFO as well and whilst naturally there's nothing new, he remains very postive and I believe all is running to schedule for the capacity expansion. We talked about the oil price and the removal of pricing restrictions in China. I understand that Petrofina and Sinopec are also petitioning the government but these things take time. I guess it could happen any day or be months away. That said we wait until 7/9 for the Q2 results and hopefully any pressure being experienced on the petro side will be offset by the high performing specialty chems.

Greyhound - 10 Sep 2007 08:12 - 107 of 180

Another good set of results today coming out of HaiKe. Good all round improvement with excellent gains coming from specialty/bio chemicals. The Petro revenues were better than I had expected but we didn't see the highest crude prices during early Q2.

This stock is now looking very undervalued to me and perhaps we can look to some broker update soon.

cynic - 10 Sep 2007 08:14 - 108 of 180

and it's chinese too!!!

Greyhound - 10 Sep 2007 08:17 - 109 of 180

And on schedule for capacity increase in the autumn.

hlyeo98 - 11 Sep 2007 10:28 - 110 of 180

Don't think Haike will go up...China just announced that its inflation rate is 6%...will have more interest rate increases.

Greyhound - 11 Sep 2007 11:17 - 111 of 180

It's not so much the inflation rate impacting business but the price of crude. As a means of countering this, as indicated in their statement yesterday they are able to focus on the higher margin areas in order to balance the petro side but are still confident of meeting their expectations. The new facility is on track however and price of residual oil is less than crude, so there will be further benefits here.

hlyeo98 - 14 Sep 2007 16:12 - 112 of 180

114p now.

canada1 - 17 Sep 2007 09:08 - 113 of 180

Kin'ell, Eugene Wong knew what he was doing when he sold out at 1.90p, 1.88p and 1.84p..doh!!

cynic - 17 Sep 2007 09:19 - 114 of 180

perhaps i am looking through yellow-coloured glasses, but it does seem that so many of these chinese stocks, so strongly touted by a good number on this BB, are being or already have been walloped - e.g. SOLA, HAIK, WCC and even TAIH ..... i know the markets in general are pretty freaky at the moment, but the low liquidity of these stocks + the (now) general view of chinese stocks makes these reactions of little surprise, to me at least

Greyhound - 17 Sep 2007 09:39 - 115 of 180

It has been a dismal performance but I'm reluctant to go yet despite losses. It's somewhat tempered for me by my gains in shorting Sola. Perhaps hindsight will prove me wrong but I would have thought around here we're overdue a move higher. Having spoken to the CFO I'm still reasonably confident over the medium term. Even holding something like Alliance and Leicester is a risky business these days...

hlyeo98 - 19 Sep 2007 16:45 - 116 of 180

99p today. Time to cut losses.

cynic - 19 Sep 2007 19:56 - 117 of 180

for goodness sake guys!! ..... what is with you?? ..... why did you not cut your losses before? .... the writing has been on the wall for a while .... this is another of these damn chinese stocks into which so many of you have allowed yourselves to be suckered when clearly from day 1 there was limited free market and liquidity.

Greyhound - 20 Sep 2007 08:06 - 118 of 180

I'm already out but should have stuck with rigid stop-loss. C'est la vie!

cynic - 20 Sep 2007 08:11 - 119 of 180

glad to hear it, though i agree it is sometimes tough to obey the discipline ..... could point the finger at myself re TMC which not so long ago was running at a really good profit, but has now been sent to the dungeon to contemplate its sins against humanity.

Greyhound - 20 Sep 2007 08:16 - 120 of 180

I still think it is a good company but generally I'm changing my view from being a bull to thinking that the real turmoil in the markets is yet to happen. Recession maybe.

canada1 - 20 Sep 2007 14:11 - 121 of 180

It doesn't always work to cut your losses, I bailed out of sola when it dropped from 234p to 181p, only to see it go to over 600p !

Greyhound - 20 Sep 2007 14:27 - 122 of 180

True but that was only some 22% fall on thoses prices. I still think the fundamentals are good and the oil price doesn't effect the company as severely as being interpreted but I don't see any support now from a charting perspective. If we do tumble I may revisit....
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