From
http://www.thetimes.co.uk
Natural selection benefits Borders in Darwin gas find off the Falklands
Borders seems to have struck lucky in the Falklands even if it didn’t strike oil
Market report Billy Ehrenberg, Gary ParkinsonLast updated at 33AM, August 24 2012
It has been a long time coming, but the wait is finally over for shareholders in Borders & Southern Petroleum.Nearly five months after the disappointment of striking gas condensate, not oil, off the Falkland Islands, the exploration company has at last published the results of tests on what it found.And the results were good. In fact, they were very good. Not only is the gas condensate of sufficiently high quality to be used in plastic and fuel, but there looks to be enough to make the discovery commercially viable.
Panmure Gordon, Borders’ broker alongside Ocean Equities, had pencilled in a discovery of 160 million barrels as the minimum to make the Darwin field in the Falklands commercial.
There are between 130 million and 250 million present, Borders said, with 190 million barrels the “mid case”.Not only that, those who watch the exploration industry closest reckon the news makes Borders’ other prospects in the region much more exciting. It has ones of similar size and seismic profile to Darwin and a lone discovery would be rare indeed, experts opine.
Late last month, the company revealed that its efforts to discover more natural resources there were over for this year at least. Availability of a rig means Borders does not expect to resume exploration until 2014.Between now and then, the company intends to compile more seismic data and process what it has.
Borders is also looking at ways to lay hands on the estimated $2.9 billion (£1.8 billion) that it will take to commercialise a discovery of Darwin’s size.That will include bringing in a bigger partner with deep enough pockets to pick up the bill, in return for a hefty stake in the discovery.
Falkland Oil and Gas, drilling next to Borders and 7¼p higher at 95p, recently brought in America’s Noble Energy and Edison International to do just that.All of which spurred Borders shares 12p, or 58.5 per cent, to 32½p — though that is still well below the 131p mark at which they changed hands in April after almost doubling over four days when the bulletin boards on financial websites lit up with rumours, unsubstantiated, as it turned out, of a huge oil find.
Panmure lifted its target price for the shares from 61p to 68p, and still rates Borders a “buy”