RNS today gives BowLeven's interim results and highlights the following:

RNS Number:2495ABowLeven Plc23 March 2006 BowLeven Plc23 March 2006

BowLeven Plc ('BowLeven' or 'the Company')
Interim results for the six months to 31 December 2005
Bow Leven, the Cameroon-focused oil & gas company listed on AIM, today announces its interim results for the six months ended 31 December 2005.

Highlights include:
* Cash of #62 million
* 3D seismic survey underway on blocks MLHP 5 and MLHP 6 of Etinde permit
* Reserves of 60.3 mmboe remain in place
* Four well drilling programme being prepared for early 2007
* Loss for the period #0.7 million
* Concentration on original strategic plan including implementation of Gas To Electricity ('GTE') Plant in Cameroon


At today's offer price of 195p, the company is valued at 57.7 million. However, they claim to have audited Resources consisting of 60.3 mmboe of Reserves and 58.2 mmboe of Contingent Resources. There is supposed to be a copy of the auditors' report on the website but I can't find it (UPDATE - have now requested this via e-mail) (NEW UPDATE - I never got a reply but the auditors' report can be found in the AIM admission document).

BLVN also has 60 million in cash, which ought to more than see it through its next lot of drilling.

This, however, is scheduled for 2007, which may be one reason why the SP is held back. But to me it still looks cheap. It is almost certainly oversold after the announcement of bad news in the latter half of last year.

Does anyone else have any thoughts on this?

soul - I've been 'diverted' here off the SEY thread, in which co I hold shares.
The previous SEO of BLVN is very determinedly seeking to cause embarrassment to and trouble for his old company. The detail has not been released yet (for legal reasons) so there could be some awkward revelations!
To what extent do you think this could interfere with or affect SEY's interest - if indeed their interest is real and genuine?

Schiff - good to hear from you.

Am not sure what kind of mud former CEO Philip Rhind is trying to sling. This article

http://news.scotsman.com/edinburgh.cfm?id=247602006

mentions that there were a number of issues, but no financial skulduggery. Chairman Terry Heneaghen said the board had "reviewed his performance and his general conduct and concluded they would like him to resign. He didn't want to resign, so the board said, 'We will dismiss you'." He added: "The board simply took the view that he was not the right man for the job. There were a number of issues." Mr Heneaghan said the dismissal was nothing to do with financial matters: "There will be no impact on finances."

At this stage clearly it's difficult to tell what the impact of Rhind's legal action might be. On the face of it, he could just be a troublemaker, in which case the suit would only be a distracting sideshow. All the same, it's not helpful at a time when BLVN might be up for sale.

This article http://edinburghnews.scotsman.com/business.cfm?id=326372006 adds that Rhind >>insisted he still planned to deliver a dossier setting out his concerns about the company's dealings with the board.

Philip Rhind, who was recently dismissed and stripped of his directorship of the firm, said he was "absolutely, 100 per cent going to submit a report" - but did not say when that would be.

His remarks came just days after a court heard the industry veteran had a "red button" at his fingertips to destroy the oil and gas company if he was sacked.<<

Rhind has also been quoted as having threatened to "f***" Bowleven were he to be sacked.

Sounds like the kind of CEO who will go down in history more for his legal battles than for his business successes. I'm not surprised BLVN wanted to be shot of him.

We'll just have to wait and see, I think. On the upside, I would think that any serious bidder for the company will be able to overlook any court case that is purely a "spoiling" action.

The other thing to be aware of is that there seem to be a lot of rumours around the small-cap hydrocarbon industry at the moment. Two weeks ago NOP's broker hitched the company's skirts suggestively and hinted it was ripe for takeover. Now Andy posts on the JKX thread that there was also a "vague rumour" concerning that company. Some of these rumours may be based in fact, others just Chinese whispers.

Personally I'd like to see Black Rock Oil and Gas take over Bowleven in an all-paper deal as Black Rock desperately needs the cash on Bowleven's balance-sheet, but if I start that myth, no-one will believe me :o)

Posted by Seawallwalker on the SEY thread, no. 5698:


>>soul traders, have to agree re blvn.

Mind you any bid now on them would not attract full value unless there are more than one interested parties.

The formula looks similar to the Fusion Oil & Gas takeover by Sterling, in that the Management were seen as the reason why they were not backed by shareholders when the approach was made.

Reckon if there is any truth behind this, and the Sterling sp indicates something is afoot, then blvn will soon be a part of a rapidly developing Company<

Another nice little rise today, seems to be leaving behind the recent lows - I hope!!

Bid: 174.75p Offer: 175p Change: 3.25 The spread is in buyers' favour, too.

MAN sells:

BowLeven Plc - Notifiable Interest
RNS Number:6717BBowLeven Plc19 April 200619 April 2006 BowLeven Plc ('the Company') Notifiable InterestThe Company announces that it received notice on 13 April 2006 that on 12 April2006 Man Financial Limited ('MFL') no longer had a notifiable interest in the share capital of the Company.On 29 March 2006 the Company announced that MFL had an interest in 948,068ordinary shares of 10p each in the Company, representing 3.20% of the issued share capital of the Company.

And Credit Suisse buys:

BowLeven Plc - Notifiable Interest
RNS Number:6718BBowLeven Plc19 April 200619 April 2006 BowLeven Plc ('the Company') Notifiable InterestThe Company announces that it received notification on 18 April 2006 that on 12April 2006 Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Limited ('CSSEL') had a notifiable interest in 1,797,000 ordinary shares of 10p each in the Company, representing 6.07% of the issued share capital of the Company.This represents the entire holding of CSSEL in the issued share capital of theCompany.On 31 March 2006 the Company announced that CSSEL had a notifiable interest in1,622,000 ordinary shares of 10p each in the Company, representing 5.48% of the issued share capital of the Company.

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thanks for your time

up 3.25p yesterday and up 3.5p so far today. unbelievable.

BLVN Bid: 178p Offer: 180p Change: 3.5

When I wrote my earlier post I was struggling to contain my sarcasm, but now this has roared up 7% today.

BLVN Bid: 188.25p Offer: 192.75p Change: 12.75

Has anyone heard anything?

Closed up 11%: BLVN Bid: 193p Offer: 197.25p Change: 20 and my holding is finally in profit!!

Is the run likely to continue tomorrow? The chart looks encouraging.

Making slightly heavier weather today, but the Offer Price has breached 200p, and with a wider spread it appears the MM's are trying to force a few sales. One or two big purchases of 100K went through at 199p though.

The current position: BLVN Bid: 195p Offer: 203p Change: 0.5

Gave up 4 or 5p on Friday, but up again today on turnover of about 60k.

BLVN Bid: 194.75p Offer: 198p Change: 6.25

In post #10, I estimated the company's value: cash balance near to 60 million, plus Resources alone of 60.3 million bbl (leaving out the Contingent Reserves), risked at 10% using $40 a barrel, should be worth 137 million, total NAV 197 million. In spite of this the company's market cap remains around 58 mil (at today's SP of 197p)

Since then I've thought about the maths some more and in view of current oil price strength, on a very optimistic view one could use $60-oil for Resources of 205 million, plus the cash = total 265 million.

Use even a more conservative $50/bbl and you get 231 mil. That's 4 times current market cap. Nearly 8 a share . . . Oh, and you could throw in the P50 contingent resources of 58.2 mmboe for another 166 mil or 550p per share, but we're trying to be conservative and sensible in our estimations, so we won't.

I'm not barking mad, am I?

PDYOR/IMO, etc.

EDIT The scores at close of play today: BLVN Bid: 195.5p Offer: 198p Change: 7.25 Shares moved: 100,955

The Investor's Chronicle of 31st March said that the SP was "high enough" at 178p. Although the SP is up since then, it seems most are reluctant to disagree too much.

Am still umming and aahing about what to do with this one.

A nice bit of a tick-up today, up 2.5p. The day-to-day upwards movements seem to be bigger than the downs at present, which is encouraging.

Am now committed to selling at least two-thirds of my stake in this one to cover other recent trading, but am considering hanging on til next week to see if we can top 200p.

Soul traders I much prefer the Moneyam BB as it's (relatively) free of the dross you get on ADVFN, however have you looked at the comment over there on this stock? All very bullish for the reasons you've disclosed. I personally believe this is set to rocket and am building as oppose to reducing my stake. I think it somehow seems to have been overlooked, probably because of its ghastly record last year, however I have great faith it will come back, the downside is hardly there and the upside potential collosal. Look at the other oil and gas companies and you can see how it compares. As close as you'll get to a no brainer, and 100p easily given a little time. It's already uptrending, and I'm already heavily in profit and compounding my position. Good luck!

Good stuff Chiva20, thanks for the info -will take a look at the other BB.

However, I'm increasingly inclined to look elsewhere as I'm seeing other co's with wider potential. MOG comes to mind - the latest oil-in-place estimates are awesome, assuming they are trustworthy.

It's a toughie - wish I had about twenty grand of free cash to splurge on the latest hot prospects, but I'm going to have to box clever and be patient!

Thanks Soul I've put MOG on the watchlist looks like a great find. Now where's that 20k? ;o)

Hi Chiva, no worries. Actually MOG didn't rocket away in quite the way I had anticipated, but that's investing for you. I am now out of BLVN with a small profit, having spent the bulk of the proceeds on EOG Warrants but will keep an eye on BowLeven for the future. I think my shopping is at an end now as I need to sit back patiently for a while and let some of the potential multi-baggers do their thing.

Good luck, etc.
ST

Soul
I reckon the sp of this stock is low because of the awful reputation the mgt has in running the business.....also attempting to line their own pockets thru an abortive rebasing of options which got bombed out by the major stockholders
As far as the prospects are concerned.....
the sp hs no premium for the potential for finding oil.....which is quite bizarre given the proven reserves were independently assessed

The sp does not even reflect the increase in oil prices over the past 6 months
The next RNS will almost certainly be one of the following........
.......Out of court settlement with sacked CEO Rhind
.......Out of court settlement with former farm in partner suing for return of $3m investment
.......Update re discussion with Cameroon gov re gas / oil power station contract
.......Announcement of deal on farm in partner
.......Resignation of one or more (already discredited) Directors
.......Sale of the Co to a 3rd Party with proven expertise in oil exploration
Most of these Rns announcements will have a positive impact on the sp hence this is a very good stock to get into around 180p where it is covered by cash in the bank
Indeed there is every likelihood that the sp will rise to well over 200p following a positive RNS