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FALKLAND OIL & GAS (FOGL)     

smiler o - 18 Jul 2007 14:07

STRATEGY

•FOGL seeks to add shareholder value by pursuing an aggressive exploration programme in its licences to the south and east of the Falkland Islands. Exploration drilling will continue in the deep water areas of FOGL’s licences in the first half of 2012. If successful, this drilling could lead to the development of a new hydrocarbon province in the South Atlantic.

Next Phase of drilling

In the first half of 2012 FOGL is planning to drill two wells in the deep water area of its licences.
FOGL has contracted the Leiv Eiriksson rig to undertake this drilling programme. The rig is due to arrive in the Falklands in early 2012 when it will initially drill two wells for Borders and Southern Plc (B&S), before commencing the FOGL drilling programme. The B&S wells are to be drilled on the Darwin and Stebbing prospects. The results of these wells will be of interest to FOGL, because we have similar plays and prospects within the southern part of our licence area.

The first well to be drilled in the FOGL programme will be on the Loligo prospect. A number of options exist for the second well, including potentially a well on Scotia, a prospect within the Mid Cretaceous Fan Play. The final decision on which prospect will be targeted by the second well will be guided by the results from Loligo.

Funding

As at 7 September 2011 FOGL's available funds, including the BHP Billiton settlement, were $150.8 million. The Company is debt free.


2012 Drilling Programme

The Leiv Eiriksson a harsh environment rig has been drilling wells offshore Greenland for Cairn Energy. That campaign is expected to finish by the end of November 2011 after which the rig will head south to the Falkland Islands. The rig will first drill two wells (about 90 days drilling) for Borders and Southern Plc (B&S) before moving on to the FOGL programme. The transit time from Greenland is expected to be approximately 60 days.

A great deal of work has gone into the planning of the FOGL drilling campaign and over the preceding years a large amount of data has had to be collected to so that the drilling can take place.

Seismic data was acquired from 2004 to 2007 and again in 2011, CSEM in 2007, site surveys in 2009 and 2011 and metocean data, from permanent current meters, in 2009/10. Well planning essentially started in 2009 with the drilling of three, 200m deep, geotechnical boreholes. This data helped with the planning of the shallow section of the Toroa well (FI 61/05-1) and has been extensively used in the planning of the deep water programme.

The first well in the FOGL programme will be on the giant Loligo prospect. A second well will also be drilled by FOGL using the Leiv Eiriksson and site surveys have been acquired over the following prospects: The Nimrod Complex and the Vinson prospect in the Tertiary Channel Play, the Scotia or Hero prospects in the Mid Cretaceous Fan Play and the Inflexible or Endeavour prospect in the Springhill Sandstone Play. Options that are currently being considered depend upon the results of the first well on Loligo. The final play in the FOGL acreage is in the Fold Belt in the south west of the FOGL acreage. This play is being tested by B&S at their Stebbing prospect. Similar features exist within the FOGL acreage and the results of the well will be closely monitored. In addition the B&S, Darwin well is targeting a tilted fault block which again shows great similarities with several prospects in the FOGL portfolio (Inflexible, Thulla etc.). Depending on the results of Darwin FOGL may consider a well on Inflexible as the second well in the programme.

FOGL’s main focus is on the two younger plays, the Tertiary Channel and the Mid Cretaceous Fan play. FOGL has been working on the Mid Cretaceous play for some time but it was only in late 2009, when the seismic data had been fully reprocessed, that it became clear that this major new play was viable. The play is analogous to the ones being successfully targeted in West Africa (the Tullow Jubilee field in Ghana and other discoveries along that margin) and the general geology, depositional setting and even the AVO response (Class II response over Scotia and Hero) are remarkably similar. The two main prospects, Scotia and Hero, both contain prospective resources in excess of 1 billion bbls. One of the key features that makes this play so attractive is that the reservoir sands sit directly above the mature Aptian oil source rocks which were sampled in the DSDP wells to the East of the FOGL acreage.

2012 DRLLING TARGET LOLIGO

The shallowest target alone covers an area of over 600sqkm. The Loligo prospect was first mapped in 2006 and has been re-mapped and re analysed several times since then. It is a large stratigraphic trap which is supported by a very consistent Class III AVO response on the seismic data. It is an ‘easy to map’ anomaly which stands out clearly above the background seismic responses when compared to the entire basin. In addition, it sits directly above an old high which used to separate the Southern basin (Fitzroy sub-basin) from the Northern basin (Volunteer sub-basin). This old high seems to be acting as a focus for hydrocarbon migration from deeply buried source rocks in each of the sub basins.

Beneath the southern part of Loligo several other prospects within the Tertiary Channel play, overlap and may be penetrated by one carefully located well. The deeper prospects (each covering an area similar to Loligo) have been called Trigg and the Three Bears. Together these prospects are called the Loligo Complex. The prospective resources (recoverable oil) associated with the Loligo complex, are in excess of 4 billion bbls of oil or over 25tcf of gas.




FOGL is focused exclusively on offshore oil and gas exploration in the Falkland Islands.

We are pursuing an aggressive exploration programme that could lead to the development of a new petroleum province in the South Atlantic. The joint venture operations have now moved into the drilling phase.

Most prospects in 2,000 – 4,500 feet water depth (610 – 1372m)


Target horizons: 6,000 – 13,000 feet below sea bed lever (1829 – 3962m)


Falklands weather is similar to West of Shetland


Remote location but there were no major issues during 1998 drilling campaign


Anchored semi-submersible or drillship for exploration drilling


Tried and tested technology for developments



Falkland Oil and Gas Limited Licence area.




FINANCIAL SUMMARY http://www.fogl.com/fogl/en/Investors/performance

FOGL HOME http://www.fogl.com/fogl/en/home

http://www.stockopedia.co.uk/content/falkland-oil-and-gas-2012-its-time-63024/


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=FOGL&SChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=FOGL&S

smiler o - 15 Aug 2007 08:49 - 110 of 1211

can sell 4000 ok !!

HARRYCAT - 15 Aug 2007 10:00 - 111 of 1211

Looks like it may have been a temporary problem. Now offering max trade of 15000 shares.

smiler o - 15 Aug 2007 10:47 - 112 of 1211

Of Interest :

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

OPEC hikes 2007 demand forecast: Oil prices climb

LONDON: Global oil prices rose on Tuesday after crude producers cartel OPEC upgraded its estimate for 2007 world oil demand growth, despite the current turmoil gripping world financial markets.

The price of Londons Brent North Sea crude for September delivery added 20 cents to $70.43 per barrel. New Yorks main futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in September, gained 42 cents to reach $72.04 per barrel.

http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2007%5C08%5C15%5Cstory_15-8-2007_pg5_13

smiler o - 19 Aug 2007 19:09 - 113 of 1211

Of Interest :

Oil prices rebound as storm menaces energy installations


AFP, NEW YORK
Sunday, Aug 19, 2007, Page 10
Oil prices rebounded on Friday on news of US Federal Reserve action to ease a credit crunch and a major hurricane plowing toward the Gulf of Mexico, home to critical energy installations.

New York's main futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in September, climbed US$0.98 to close at US$71.98 per barrel.

In London, the price of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery rose US$0.67 to settle at US$70.44 per barrel.

Oil prices endured a volatile week, rebounding on Friday after the US Federal Reserve moved to ease a credit crunch crisis that traders fear will cause a global economic slowdown.

Worries about the credit crisis roiled the oil market this week because any slowdown in economic growth reduces demand for oil.

In a move aimed at boosting the liquidity of commercial banks, the US central bank slashed its discount rate -- the short-term loan rate it charges banks -- to 5.75 percent.

"Any Fed move that weakens the dollar adds support to oil prices. The good news, if any, is that the problems in the US economy rule out a decrease in OPEC production and boost the probability of an increase," WTRG Energy Economics analyst James Williams said.

Fears that Hurricane Dean could damage energy installations in the Gulf of Mexico next week also drove prices higher. The storm intensified into a major, category-three hurricane as it moved across the Caribbean in the direction of the gulf.

"According to some of the models, it has the potential to swing into the Gulf of Mexico and threaten the western gulf oil and natural gas assets into the middle of next week," MF Global analyst John Kilduff said.

"It looks like it's going to be a monster storm, a huge hurricane that could present the potential for tremendous damages the way Katrina and Rita already did two years ago," he said.

Still, some analysts warned that prices could drop again next week in a continuation of volatile trading conditions.

"If by some miracle the damage from Dean is not that bad and the stock market is lousy we could see a big drop in [the crude] price next week," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Alaron Trading.

It was a roller-coaster week for oil prices, in line with disruptions on other markets as the US credit worries spread around the world. Crude prices plunged on Thursday as hefty declines on world stock markets left traders fretting about potentially risky investments in the commodities markets.

The US Department of Energy said on Wednesday that US crude inventories slumped by 5.2 million barrels last week -- more than double a fall of 2.5 million forecast by analysts.

On Tuesday, OPEC increased its forecast for world oil demand growth this year. OPEC said in a monthly report that it would hit 1.3 million barrels per day, "slightly higher" than the estimate given last month.
This story has been viewed 474 times.

flash123 - 20 Aug 2007 12:39 - 114 of 1211

I see Tom Bulford the penny sleuth is now saying buy FOGL!!!

smiler o - 20 Aug 2007 12:47 - 115 of 1211

THE way I see it we should get the news on the major in 3/4 weeks,the CSEM UPDATE by November 07 !!! So we may see a nice tic up if all goes well !! ..



smiler o - 22 Aug 2007 08:27 - 116 of 1211

Britain's hidden oil supply is located deep beneath The Falkland Islands.

A place described in 1770 by MP Dr Johnson as "thrown aside from human use, stormy in winter, barren in summer, an island which not even the southern savages have dignified with habitation"...

If only he'd known the truth!

Today, across 65,354 sq km of east Falkland seabed, hundreds of probes and receivers are busily scanning and imaging the rocks along some of the earth's deepest fault lines.

Under the direction of this brilliant British firm, each one constantly streams back data to floating vessels above, where the information is stored and analysed for the location of the best potential drilling sites.

Bottom line: The existence of oil source rocks in the area has been proved.


So why has this never been drilled?


A fortune in oil revenue has been trapped underground for centuries.

How could it not have been seen... or extracted?

Well, let me explain...

The Falklands Plateau Basin lies along one of the deepest and most complex geological fault lines in the South Atlantic. Locating the wells containing enough commercially viable crude has proved a long and expensive task.

But the British government always knew that they were sitting on a fortune - as soon as someone figured out how to drill it... That's why they've always been DESPERATE to hold onto the territory - some have even speculated that this "trapped oil" was the REAL reason Argentina invaded in 1982!

In 1993 geologists Dr Phil Richards and Dr Nigel Fannin of the British Geological Survey published an extensive report claiming that the area could potentially contain up to 60 billion barrels of oil.

With oil hitting $75 dollars a barrel, the chaos in the Middle East and doubts over Russia's reliability, our old sources of cheap black gold have become unstable. This is why the Falklands are now the ace up Britain's sleeve.

And it's why I'm so excited to be writing to you today.


Profit from the ignorance of the crowd


At this company's May AGM analysts revealed that a one billion barrel oil field could be worth $7 billion, using an oil price of 40 per barrel...

Well right now the oil price is nearer $80 so you can JUST IMAGINE what the value of almost 10 billion barrels will do to this little company's stock price, let alone 60 billion!

I'd like to send you full details on one of the best ways you can invest in the Falklands and get in on the oil bonanza set to make the islands the playground of the rich. Plus the lowdown on why buying this share not only puts you in the running for some spectacular gains, but a unique way to considerably lower the risk usually linked with small exploration companies.

Once this story hits the mainstream press in the next few months, these shares will be thin on the ground - and expensive to buy - so it's crucial you ACT NOW.


Because developments that actually make
the share price soar are coming thick and fast!


http://www.fsponline-recommends.co.uk/page.aspx?u=rhtbfl0807&tc=f2RHTc8n&PromotionID=2147065005&

Should have topped up @ 109 !!

smiler o - 23 Aug 2007 09:00 - 117 of 1211

still good progress in the last 3 days !!

smiler o - 23 Aug 2007 13:17 - 118 of 1211

I smell news soon me finks ! :))) (pos farm in)

scottinvestor - 23 Aug 2007 13:35 - 119 of 1211

me too.

i bought in today at 127p when it was 125p............i think it will go 2 in next week or so

smiler o - 23 Aug 2007 13:38 - 120 of 1211

I have been very positive of that as you can see from my past post's , 200 is possible on news of a major with drilling in 08 !!

smiler o - 23 Aug 2007 16:28 - 121 of 1211

11% up today :) and PI's still buying at 138/139 !! Did you get in at 110 cynic ?

stockdog - 23 Aug 2007 20:14 - 122 of 1211

If we can break above 2005's peak, there will be a direct route through to last Spring's 180p (when I should have sold ready to buy back in at sub-80p, of course - hindsight being a wonderful skill - lol!)

smiler o - 30 Aug 2007 12:16 - 123 of 1211

Looking good ! not long to wait now !!

smiler o - 30 Aug 2007 17:02 - 124 of 1211

good tic up today,nice to see buying @141 !!

cynic - 30 Aug 2007 20:58 - 125 of 1211

hi smiler .... no, in a word .... have been away cycling in Burgundy for last week, and was amazed to find portfolio worth more on my return than when i left .... FOGL has certainly performed well as has PET, and as MXP has most decidedly not!

my concern about FOGL and PET and similar is that they are still effectively trading on blue sky and rumour .... while there is certainly (good) logic to buy or sell on impetus, the current state of the market does not fill me with any confidence.

however, i shall continue to watch, but certainly shall not buy until my tiny brain pretends it is back in tune with the market, at least to some extent.

smiler o - 31 Aug 2007 08:58 - 126 of 1211

looking good this morning !! imo with the right news we could still see 180 + !!

smiler o - 31 Aug 2007 09:04 - 127 of 1211

Prospect
of oil is
as good
as it gets

April 07

The Falkland Islands may not
have joined the ranks of oil
producers yet but it is only a
matter of time.
Oil companies that have reviewed
the territorys geological
data say the prospects are
as good as it gets, according
to Chris Simpkins, the Chief
Executive.
The oil is certainly there in
commercial quantities and it is
now a question of bringing in a
drilling rig to continue exploratory
work.
When the first drilling work
was done in 1998 the world oil
market was radically different
from today. The pressure to
find more oil has increased
exponentially and the market
is very tight, with most rigs
fully engaged.
Before the turn of the century,
rigs cost about $180,000
(92,000) a day, now they cost
$400,000 a day, exclusive of
delivery costs. About three
months work is required in
Desire Petroleums field to the
north of the Islands, so initial
investment will be substantial.
The best hope, says Phyl
Rendell, the Falkland Islands
director of mineral resources, is
that a rig will be available for
the northern field next year,
while the Falklands Oil and
Gas Company hopes to drill in
the south and east basins,
about 130km offshore, in 2009.
Its pretty exciting, Rendell
says.
The administration is determined
that it will not let any oil
bonanza distort the economy
or disfigure the landscape. All
oil will be loaded offshore



http://www.falklands.gov.fk/focus/times-48.pdf



greekman - 31 Aug 2007 09:25 - 128 of 1211

Smiler O,

And with the oil prospects of Iraq looking a bigger risk day by day, with Russia frightening oil companies off re further development there, (Kazakhstan also pushing the threats) the Falklands look the next place to be.
Not wanting to start a British/Argentina debate, but would this country with it's present forces commitment want to or even be able to defend the oil rights.
That in my opinion is always a risk/doubt.
Not in Fogl went for Fkl instead. Looks like as they are both connected, either is a good bet.

Not one to tip the markets in general (who can at the moment) but on Hols Sunday for 2 weeks, and over the last 6 Hols have always come back to a portfolio loss. Be nice to see a rise on return for a change.

smiler o - 31 Aug 2007 09:30 - 129 of 1211

would be nice ! At a guess News could be anyday now,(I still say BHP Billiton,or ConocoPhillips at a guess) lets hope its good news, and it will be good for all the falkland oilers !
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