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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

driver - 01 Nov 2007 15:02 - 1139 of 2350

Mine Man
I agree, it would be nice to get to 7.1 where my breakeven is.

SECRUOSER - 01 Nov 2007 15:06 - 1140 of 2350

I wish they would narrow the reported spread.

Buyers have now been deliberately deterred by the hike in the offer to 6.5, but you can still buy some 50k at 5.8p and sell at 5.5p, so the real spread is 5.5/5.8p

capetown - 01 Nov 2007 15:09 - 1141 of 2350

Thats nothing new for this stock,looking better though.

Mine Man - 01 Nov 2007 15:12 - 1142 of 2350

Whilst I will be as happy as the next man when this decides to surge, I begrudge waiting over two years for it, to see people buying in on the day at what I paid all that time ago lol! Lets get over 6p on the bid so we get a slightly better "feel good" factor than the rest!

That rig MUST be at least on it's way by now surely and the steamer waiting for the champagne bottle!!!

SECRUOSER - 01 Nov 2007 15:15 - 1143 of 2350

Well if you want that bid to rise you know what to do Mine Man,

p.s. 50k shares on offer at 5.8p...

Mine Man - 01 Nov 2007 15:20 - 1144 of 2350

I think I have done my bit over the years!!!!!!!!!!

capetown - 01 Nov 2007 15:41 - 1145 of 2350

Sellers sooooh ready to get out of this,soon as there is a slight tick up they come out in force!!

Mickey Take - 01 Nov 2007 15:55 - 1146 of 2350

capetown- I can understand pi's offloading since SER has never maintained any rise without a serious retrace

SECRUOSER - 01 Nov 2007 15:59 - 1147 of 2350

Serious retrace? It would need a serious rise first..

MM's seem keen to hold this rise though. Fingers x'd..

Mine Man - 01 Nov 2007 15:59 - 1148 of 2350

Well, one things for sure Mickey, with whats in the pipeline, if they end up back at 5p on announcement of steaming and drilling it's gonna be one long haul! I would imagine an awful lot of earlier investors have been unloading over the past year on the occasional peaks, it may actually have been a small benefit in that there will be less now dropping loads on the rise!

SECRUOSER - 01 Nov 2007 16:03 - 1149 of 2350

2 sells in 2 hours.. hardly a mass exodus is it.

Mine Man - 01 Nov 2007 16:17 - 1150 of 2350

Jim said "As far as the drill rig is concerned this is still currently drilling the final section of a hole for its current operator" over a week ago, so unless they are drilling through solid bedrock with a blunt bit, then they should have completed that by now surely! Unless the well is 10,000ft and they just have a 1000ft to go lol!

SECRUOSER - 01 Nov 2007 16:21 - 1151 of 2350

We also know from Harry Barnum's short paragraph on the 5th October website update that rig teardown and mobilisation takes around 3 days.

Update tomorrow or Monday?

Mine Man - 01 Nov 2007 16:27 - 1152 of 2350

Presume setting up is along the same timetable too, maybe longer to comply with safety checks etc. Saying that, we could be looking for an announcement/update on the rig arrival and steam generation with a commencement of drilling date?

REDHILL - 01 Nov 2007 17:41 - 1153 of 2350

I need 6.4 to break even.

maggiebt4 - 01 Nov 2007 18:13 - 1154 of 2350

You're lucky! I need 11 to break even, bought on a high thinking it was a breakout - That and I liked the picture at the top of the thread. Hope I'm not going to be disappointed.

dropside - 01 Nov 2007 20:12 - 1155 of 2350

Thought I'd take a trip over to the dark side...seems a breath of fresh air actually..

Well I need 6.7 to break even. After being in since Feb 06 it would be nice to see some movement up, this has been dead money for too long. Still confident this will be a VERY good investment if I have the patience to let things develop. Should hear an update very soon (I reckon, I haven't been told!), the newsflow has been excellent of late. They must be torn though about switching off Yule 7 for steaming -at these oil prices it is worth $1700 a day! Just have to bite the bullet I guess, anyway oil could go higher still- low US inventory stocks going into the winter plus Iraq, Iran, PKK as 'bull market' factors.

SECRUOSER - 01 Nov 2007 21:10 - 1156 of 2350

Hi dropside,

Well you know what they say, you can't make an omelette without breaking a few eggs.

The end result should make $1700 seem like varmint feed.

Relishing it..

driver - 01 Nov 2007 21:14 - 1157 of 2350

Oil prices, this from

Brian O'Connor, Daily Mail 29 October 2007, Talking on (Glowing times ahead for uranium)

Like it or not - and many do not - nuclear power is hard to ignore as the world runs short of oil and gas, and the crude oil price rises above $90 a barrel. This week Germany's Energy Watch Group argued that global oil production has already peaked, and will halve by 2030.

That is more pessimistic than other forecasts, but if correct, oil could pass $100 and head for $200. EWG points out that the average size of a new oil find has plum- meted from 527m barrels in the 1980s to 20m recently.

maestro - 01 Nov 2007 21:15 - 1158 of 2350

switched to MRP..better bet
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