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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

john50 - 01 Nov 2007 22:22 - 1161 of 2350

lol

SECRUOSER - 01 Nov 2007 22:38 - 1162 of 2350

The nearby forest fires are yesterday\'s news maestro - all 100% contained and reduced to a few smoking embers. It\'s a shame nobody told you before you \'switched\' lol.

And anyway, the fires helped clear the land of varmints and scrub thus making oil exploration easier :)

SECRUOSER - 02 Nov 2007 09:41 - 1163 of 2350

Those sellers still out in force I see........

capetown - 02 Nov 2007 09:44 - 1164 of 2350

Dont you worry soon as it ticks up,they will be here,and the spread will get wider.

SECRUOSER - 02 Nov 2007 09:50 - 1165 of 2350

If it ticks up the spread will get narrower capetown.

capetown - 02 Nov 2007 09:53 - 1166 of 2350

I hope you are right,then we may get some decent trading.

SECRUOSER - 02 Nov 2007 09:57 - 1167 of 2350

The MM\'s hiked the offer up to 6.5p for no real reason yesterday. They are still offering 50k for 5.8p. They have done this every time when the price moves up around this level on some decent trading and it stops the trading (buying) in its tracks. Then, with the spread so wide, we get a trickle of sellers and no buyers and the price retraces. Its an easy game for the MM\'s to get a bit of beer money.

This frustrating pattern will only be remedied with news on progress.

Come on Sefton, we want to hear that the rig is on site and you\'re starting the steamer up middle of next week.

halifax - 02 Nov 2007 10:10 - 1168 of 2350

On these volumes must be a really Mickey Mouse MM!

SECRUOSER - 02 Nov 2007 10:11 - 1169 of 2350

The other way is for buyers to ignore the spread and buy in anyway of course :)

ps Can\'t buy at 5.8p anymore. 6.0p now.

capetown - 02 Nov 2007 10:22 - 1170 of 2350

And the sellers keep appearing

SECRUOSER - 02 Nov 2007 10:23 - 1171 of 2350

halifax,

I would imagine computers do a lot of the work, so one Market Maker employee would handle a bunch of stocks.

SECRUOSER - 02 Nov 2007 10:23 - 1172 of 2350

capetown,

Yes, any more of these 30 sellers and we are doomed!

(lets ignore the 100k buy)

capetown - 02 Nov 2007 10:31 - 1173 of 2350

Come on you know thats not the case,am just really tired of this share being rammped only to see it going nowhere,it would be great to see it climb as and when.

SECRUOSER - 02 Nov 2007 10:36 - 1174 of 2350

I know what you mean. I just like to try and enjoy the rare moments when this share looks like it's about to go up!

capetown - 02 Nov 2007 10:40 - 1175 of 2350

Well lets hope so.good luck.we will know soon enough

aldwickk - 02 Nov 2007 11:37 - 1176 of 2350

high volume is what narrows the spread.

SECRUOSER - 02 Nov 2007 11:38 - 1177 of 2350

And a wide spread deters high volume..

Other stocks sit with no volume all day and have a 0.25p spread.

The wide spread on this stock is the MM's default comfort position. Yesterday, when volume stepped up (particularly buying volume), rather than narrow the spread they widened it!

I think the problem is the MM's don't have much stock on their books, but don't want to risk walking it up by going short, and neither do they want to risk taking much stock on. This will change soon enough.

aldwickk - 02 Nov 2007 12:22 - 1178 of 2350

It also depends how tightly the shares are held .

aldwickk - 02 Nov 2007 12:25 - 1179 of 2350

But in SER case the market is awash with them.

SECRUOSER - 02 Nov 2007 13:12 - 1180 of 2350

Yes, historically there have been a majority of flaky PI's in this stock since the HB and CE emergency funding days 3-4 years ago. Thankfully since then more and more stock has found it's way into tighter hands. I've lost track of the number of people who claim to hold over 1m, or even 2m+. I myself hold 0.5m. A few dozen of these holdings and that's 30% of the issued stock accounted for. And people holding these sorts of amounts aren't the sort to bail out willy nilly - most have been accumulating patiently over the years with the intention of gaining significant profits.
I have also observed that in the last month or so as the newsflow has become more informative and frequent, and it is obvious that drilling and steaming are going to happen after all, the number of sellers is starting to reduce significantly.
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