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IQE - Silicon is the future (IQE)     

Master RSI - 03 Feb 2003 11:56

IQE is the leading global outsource supplier of customized epitaxial wafers to the semiconductor industry.

Their technology is of most advanced like AFM means Atomic Force Microscopy and moves a minuscule cantilever over an objects surface, a sharp tip passes over dips or rises punched in the surface and reads out digital information. This technology is not going to slow down it is going to speed up and has to replace most existing forms of memory storage by virtue of capacity and size.

The future of nano-technology, these tiny/minute robots would need very small processors and most sure strained silicon could provide these.

The low share price is due to uncertainty as to when the cash will run out, but I don't think this will happen as cash is of 12 to 15M and NAV of 30p, and losses are going to drop on the next 3 month and we could have profits on the Q4 2004.

Latest news from the Chairman were" The Group remains confident that it is in a strong position within the outsourcing market, although the protection of its cash position is paramount.
With a broad product portfolio allowing the customer base to use IQE as a 'one stop shop', a large available production capacity and a strong balance sheet, the Board believes the Group will benefit strongly as the overall semiconductor industry recovers and will continue to strengthen its position as the leading outsource supplier of advanced wafer products to the sector. "

Nearly all the recent results have been encouraging. Q4 accounts are being completed (30th Dec 2002). IQE know where they stand, if things had got worse their would have been a trading statement by now, and with Amberwave (IQE's partner) increasing its Asian presence, this is a bullish trend and a good point to pick up the shares @ 4.25p

Intraday
Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=IQE&Size=


5 month MA and Indicators


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=iqe&Si

Juzzle - 28 Oct 2017 12:07 - 1186 of 1520

For short term spreadbets (with IG mainly) I have used a mix of daily rollover bets and fixed-term bets, depending on my intended timeframe. The small interest charge applicable to a rolling daily spreadbet works out cheaper than a fixed-term bet, as long as the daily rollover bet doesn't last longer than about 17 trading days. Anything longer than that a term bet (quarterly or whatever) is cheaper.

cynic - 28 Oct 2017 13:42 - 1187 of 1520

17 trading days is very short
no wonder so many lose money

Chris Carson - 28 Oct 2017 15:33 - 1188 of 1520

cynic, surely that is the whole point of using spread bets as a tool short term. What are you wittering on about? I believe you use CFD's, do you still have to pay tax on your profits or have they changed the rules. If I was using spread bets for a longer time frame than I agree with Juzzle above, better using quarterly contract. I have opened and closed daily rollover bets twice this week within three days. :0)

Juzzle - 28 Oct 2017 15:48 - 1189 of 1520

At the moment I am not using spreadbets (mainly because i use them for very short timeframes measured in minutes, hours or days, and at present I am away for several days at a time so cannot track them and react). But more than two thirds of my bets have been well within 17 days, making daily rollover bets the logicl tool.

cynic - 30 Oct 2017 08:34 - 1190 of 1520

IQE - rocking along once more and 149 as i write :-)

cynic - 30 Oct 2017 08:44 - 1191 of 1520

i have used s/b in the past and now cfd and also buy outright (of course) for my sipp

for mys sins, i have plenty of old capital losses to use up, though much if not most of those will be swallowed up in this current fiscal year

- 30 Oct 2017 10:59 - 1192 of 1520

Next 2 weeks

sweenoid - 30 Oct 2017 - 08:04 - 8150 of 8168 - 31
I am optimistic we will be crossing the 'Rubicon' of 150p this week...and hopefully staying there. Certainly the news-flow over the next 2 weeks should reinforce and support IQE's business model

A lot of newbies on this thread , this may be of interest to you, or maybe not.LTBH people this should at least help you to focus on news events that matter.

The next 2 weeks or so will feature a host of earnings and industry news that have a direct impact on IQE, here is the timetable, and the reasons why each is important, and furthermore, what to look out for.( I intend to comment on each after the news is out).

31st October- 11-V1 earnings and CC - our biggest competitors, important to keep an eye on them. I am totally aware of the term 'confirmation bias', don't worry , I intend to be TOTALLY aware of threats to IQE, as I set out in my recent SWAT analysis.

1st November, a BIG day
earnings from our 2nd biggest customer in 'wireless'. Qorvo , who are also big on GAN,so their comments will be useful.

Oclaro also announce earnings, a big customer for our InP products - ignore the comments on 'China weakness'- nothing to do with us, concentrate on their comments on data centre and cloud storage .

The BIG event this day, is the Lumentum earnings due 1.30 our time , then most importantly the CC that will be broadcast live at 2-2.30pm, the analysts will be all over their comments in the 3D sensing sales, we should glean a lot of information on orders :-) , they WILL be positive, it's the clearest indicator of IQE sales in this sector.

November 2nd Apple earnings- of no real relevance to us , what WILL be interesting are their comments on iPhone X orders and MOST importantly their 'supply- side' issues, this will be a major area of questioning in the CC and the analysts will insist on clarity on this matter as they can't do Q4 estimates without a meaningful idea of supply and demand of the X.
Of course the next day the iPhone X actually goes on physical sale- supplies WILL sell out at the Apple stores within minutes of opening, Apple are kings of PR - they will milk the queues and the razzmatazz, so will we 🤤

6th November- our biggest customer -Skyworks report , for obvious reasons we want a positive forward looking statement

9th November - Himax earnings , this is going to be very interesting, once again it's ONLY the CC that we are interested in , Himax are providing their wafer level optics solution to Qualcomm, which will be used as part of their new Snapdragon chip ( will it be the 845 or the 2019 855, Himax say it will be ready Q1 2018 )to provide what is likely the 1st major Face ID/ recognition solution for Android phones, will it be ready for the new Galaxy S8 touted for March release?, can't see it myself, I think it's too early.The KEY here is what lasers are Himax going to use , in the last CC their CEO stated their solution would use EE rather than VCSELS BUT on questioning he confirmed they could use EITHER,I want the update on that, if they are favouring VCSELS ( they already say some customers are requesting VCSELS) any sign that they are moving to VCSELS would be massive news for us.( regardless of what they say, I think their final solution WILL be VCSELS - it just makes sense IF they can procure enough supply that is 😉😆

Have a look at this, for more information.

hTtp://www.himax.com.tw/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/HIMAX-and-Qualcomm-Jointly-Announce-High-Resolution-3D-Depth-Sensing-Solution_PR.pdf

14th November- Macom earnings and CC - all important EXCEPT weakness in long haul metro ( as per Oclaro) Macom is a BIG VERY IMPORTANT customer, we again want to hear that their data centre and cloud InP markets are doing nicely. Macom will be THE key customer to use our GAN on Silicon for RF GAN basestations and GAN Power, RF GAN solutions have at last been qualified, I am hoping for more clarity as to when Macom expect to start shifting volumes of these products, :-), if they are already receiving orders in 2017 that would be sensational, no- one is expecting earnings here till 2018.

I am upgrading my SP expectations for the end of 2017 to 175p , The chart looks fabulous , the IMS will come on 12th or 13th December and imho is going to be incredibly bullish, add in the ongoing iPhoneX 'story' and good news-flow from above , then I am confident. I don't like talking about the shorter funds , but I think any sustained move above 158p will see that those positions decreasing . Given sustained positive momentum combined with positive sentiment, hopefully no severe macroeconomic calamities and it should be a very good Xmas for IQE shareholders.

S

robinhood - 30 Oct 2017 15:49 - 1193 of 1520

Useful write up on factual data Redin. (A lot better than someone who calls himself "mentor" (says it all)

cynic - 30 Oct 2017 16:10 - 1194 of 1520

mentor is assuredly no friend of mine, but he is not interested in investing ...... he only trades over a very period ..... for all that, some of what he says can be quiteb interesting

robinhood - 30 Oct 2017 16:29 - 1195 of 1520

when he says "buy but only when I say so" you got to be so up your own .... (another inch and he might explode)

robinhood - 30 Oct 2017 16:30 - 1196 of 1520

(would be good for halloween night though)

skinny - 31 Oct 2017 09:45 - 1197 of 1520

A bit of a "Grand old Duke of York" couple of days.

p.php?pid=legacyintra&epic=iqe&type=3&si

HARRYCAT - 31 Oct 2017 10:27 - 1198 of 1520

More slightly worrying news (not necessarily impacting IQE directly) from Apple today might have been the cause of the drop.

skinny - 31 Oct 2017 10:33 - 1199 of 1520

From the Trader's thread - Apple earnings: iPhone X supply is the question, but the answer may not matter

skinny - 31 Oct 2017 10:54 - 1201 of 1520

Not really relevant to IQE? Although possible market reaction?

AAPL are currently up 0.34% and Qualcomm flat.

HARRYCAT - 31 Oct 2017 11:00 - 1202 of 1520

I agree it won't impact IQE directly, but it highlights the route that Apple seems to be taking, preferring to have direct control over it's supply chain.

skinny - 31 Oct 2017 14:45 - 1203 of 1520

Qualcomm down 6.8%.

HARRYCAT - 31 Oct 2017 17:48 - 1204 of 1520

It's seems a bit complicated, but one of the modem chips supplied by Qualcomm is suitable for the Verizon network and the chip supplied by Intel is suitable for the AT&T network. I think the Intel chip can be made generic though......I assume by a software change which is under Apple control. I wonder if this makes other suppliers or potential suppliers a bit nervous about dealing with Apple?

Juzzle - 01 Nov 2017 08:25 - 1205 of 1520

".. The BIG event this day, is the Lumentum earnings due 1.30 our time , then most importantly the CC that will be broadcast live at 2-2.30pm, the analysts will be all over their comments in the 3D sensing sales, we should glean a lot of information on orders :-) , they WILL be positive, it's the clearest indicator of IQE sales in this sector..."

That is from the bigger Sweenoid post pasted above. I am not sure if he is right on the clock times (US don't set their clocks back till next weekend), but sometime today we see Lumentum's latest statement, and Lumentum is a key IQE customer.
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