Hi All,
I think these are nearly ready to start going back up again, DPRK is in 6 nation talks, it is very likely that an agreement will be made, where DPRK will agree to stop it's nuclear ambitions.
South Korea has offered DPRK enough electricity to run the whole country, so long as DPRK stop their nuclear plans. DPRK would be daft not to take such an offer.
Aminex are currently worth 7m !!!! absolutely mad, when you look at the valuation of PET and other non-producing companies, and Aminex has possibly 10Bn barrels in Bohai Bay.
Bohai Bay Reserves !!!!
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/english/doc/2004-12/23/content_402814.htm
A very good interview with the CEO by a South Korean news website
http://www.korea-is-one.org/article.php3?id_article=1449
A Proven High Impact Oil & Gas Explorer Without the Froth
By Stephen Clayson
12 Jun 2005 at 01:45 PM EDT
LONDON (ResourceInvestor.com) -- Aminex plc [LSE:AEX] is that rarest
of things, a junior oil & gas prospector with a proven record of
exploration success and interesting new prospects in its portfolio,
plus a small production base to help sustain its current programme.
Most notably, the company is currently in prime position to gain
access to North Korea's highly prospective offshore exploration
acreage.
Provenance
Previously, Aminex has successfully developed hydrocarbon assets in
the former Soviet Union, the divestment of which began in 2001, when
the company sold its Russian interests to Lukoil for $38.5m, resulting
in a payout to shareholders of $7.5m. This was followed in 2004 by the
sale of the company's interests in Tatarstan, a Russian autonomous
internal republic, to Tatneft.
The company's Chief Executive, Brian Hall, says the decision to sell
out of Russia was partly a strategic one, in anticipation of a
deteriorating operating environment for western companies as their
presence declined in importance to the Russian authorities following
the rise of domestic players.
However, Aminex then ran into trouble in its next primary exploration
area, Romania, after drilling Nyuni-1, the country's first recent
offshore well in conjunction with what was at that time Romania's
state oil firm, Petrom. The latter proved a less than perfect partner,
flatly refusing to pay its full share of the costs of Nyuni-1, which
had in any case escalated beyond expectations due to technical
difficulties. Extensive legal wrangling ensued before Petrom, now
privatised, elected earlier this year to settle the dispute out of
court for a sum in excess of $4m.
The upshot today is that the settlement with Petrom, plus the
fortuitous disposal at the end of last year of an ageing and high cost
oil field in the US for a good price, has transformed Aminex's
financial position, and coupled with the recent placing of over 6m
worth of shares will allow it to move decidedly forward again in
Tanzania, and perhaps most interestingly, in North Korea.
North Korea
Aminex is now preparing to begin exploration in North Korean waters,
and hopes that its advantage as the sole foreign oil & gas company
active the country will allow it to make the first major discovery
there. The company's relationship with the North Korean government
charges it, under a 20 year agreement, with the creation of a
significant oil & gas sector in the country, to be achieved through
the establishment of a regulatory environment conducive to the
involvement of other foreign firms. In return for this, Aminex has the
right to choose the exploration acreage it deems most attractive for
itself.
Any output that might result from the agreement in the future would be
covered by a relatively conventional production sharing arrangement
that the company hopes will soon be finalised, and is described in
essence by Hall as 'fair to both parties' in its terms. Significantly,
Hall expects the production sharing arrangement to grant Aminex the
right to sell output at world prices, and envisages provisions for a
tax holiday and relief from customs duties.
Prospectivity for oil & gas off both the east and west coasts of North
Korea is widely accepted by geologists, but dealings with the pariah
state would likely be too daunting for many and are forbidden to
American companies, both of which partly explain how Aminex has been
able to secure such a potentially lucrative position in the country.
The company works closely with the North Korean cabinet minister
responsible for economic development, and finds the country's
administration to be both competent and sincere to deal with. North
Korea desperately needs to alleviate the dire domestic shortage of
hydrocarbon resources that coupled with a sanctions enforced lack of
trade and hence foreign exchange for imports limits it economically
and militarily, and seemingly realises that the most expeditious way
of doing this is via foreign expertise and investment in the sector.
There are obviously pitfalls to be encountered while operating in a
country as shrouded in secrecy and mystique as North Korea, but on the
whole, the political risk to Aminex of working there is arguably less
than that of most African, Latin American or Central Asian nations.
Indeed, Hall reports little hostility or consternation regarding
political risk from the array of City of London institutions that have
subscribed for shares in Aminex's recent placing.
Much time and effort has been expended by Aminex on the reprocessing
of existing North Korean seismic data, as a precursor to the shooting
of new seismic in order to follow up interesting areas. This could
plausibly be followed by the drilling of an initial exploration well
by the end of 2006.
Ultimately, Aminex will be looking to involve partners in its North
Korean endeavours, there being far too much prospective offshore
acreage off both coastlines for a single company of its size to
handle. The key benefit therefore of Aminex's perseverance in North
Korea over several years, which has culminated in the 20 year
development deal, is the access it hopes to gain to the country's most
attractive acreage, and hence the chance to reap the rewards of this
even as larger European or Asian players become involved.
Tanzania
In Tanzania, Aminex hopes to be able to drill a second exploration
well within 18 months or so. The company has reanalysed the results of
Nyuni-1, which suffered from inadequate flow rates, and come to the
conclusion that they are more encouraging than it had previously
thought. The source rock of the hydrocarbons that were encountered by
the well is now thought to be of Jurassic age, which indicates that
they may in fact be quite widespread, leaving open the possibility of
a substantial discovery in the area.
Despite the logistical difficulties of operating offshore Tanzania,
Hall feels that it is 'only a matter of time' before oil is discovered
there, in addition to the producing natural gas reserves that have
already been discovered in the vicinity by others. To this end, Aminex
will be shooting new seismic over the next few weeks in order to gain
a clearer understanding of the complex geology close to the site of
the Nyuni-1 well, which was drilled atop a tiny coral island in the
Indian Ocean. After interpretation, this should facilitate the
selection of a site for the second well.
The company also has a larger, onshore licence in Tanzania, for which
it is currently looking to bring in partners to help defray the
comparatively high expense of shooting seismic onshore, where
population and other obstacles pose problems not encountered offshore.
According to Hall, several established oil and gas firms may be
interested in a deal regarding shared exploration of this acreage.
Other Activities
Future involvement by Aminex is identified by Hall as a possibility in
Madagascar, Sudan, and in a cooperative venture with a company whose
technology liberates stranded natural gas, should suitable projects
become available.
Meanwhile, production is being largely maintained and some
expansionary investment made in Aminex's US interests, though there is
scant possibility of any extraordinary growth being derived from this
area of its business. The company's US operations provide a solid,
moderate revenue stream, but being in a mature hydrocarbon province do
not merit a core development focus when higher impact projects are
available.
From an Investment Perspective
Aminex has been devoid of the hype that has surrounded many companies
in the junior oil & gas sector in recent months, and ergo has been
much less affected by the recent share price boom, albeit followed by
a subsequent decline in many cases, that has been exhibited by others.
Indeed, lack of near term excitement has contributed to a significant
decline in Aminex's share price since October of last year, when it
stood at just over 17p shortly after the announcement that the 20 year
deal had been signed with the government of North Korea, and today the
shares are level at approximately 9p.
While the news that really gets the market excited, that of drilling,
is not due from Aminex until 2006, given the high prospectivity of its
ground in North Korea and Tanzania, and the likelihood that today's
prevailing buoyant oil price will remain so, at least in the medium
term, then in the same term, shares in the company may have a lot of
growth potential.
http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=10516
http://www.kimsoft.com/korea/nk-oil.htm
North Korea has published three documents on its hydrocarbon reserves:
General Information on North Korean Oil Fields
East Sea (See of Japan) Reserves
West Sea (Yellow Sea) Reserves
These documents indicate oil reserves of 8-10 billion tons. This
information was released at Rajin-Sonbong seminars held in Japan and
reported by Sankei-Shinbun, a major Japanese newspaper. Jo-Chong-Ryon
(General Association of Koreans Resident in Japa n) has published a
lower figure of 6 billion tons.
A Japanese petroleum engineer has examined samples provided by North
Korea at a Rajin oilfield and determined the crude to be of high
grade. North Korea is looking to joint-venture with major oil
exploration companies to co-develop its hydrocarbon reserves as part
of the Rajin-Sonbong Free Trade Zone.
====================================================
http://www.rmfdevelopment.com/political/NorthKoreaOil.htm
North Korea has significant, but quite unmeasured reserves of offshore
oil. Many countries have lined up to help them extract it but little
oil drilling has yet to be done. The official DOE summary of North
Korean oil is probably out of date. The kimsoft.com estimate talks
about 10 billion tons. A ton contains 7.33 barrels of oil so 7.33 * 10
billion = 73 billion barrels. For a country about the size of
Pennsylvania, this counts as a lot.
====================================================
http://www.oilbarrel.com/home.html
Search news and articles on Aminex
15.06.2005
Pioneering Aminex Picks Its Spot In North Korea Where It Aims To Shoot
Seismic Later This Year
Aminex plc could be on the ground and shooting seismic in the
Democratic People's Republic of Korea as early as the end of this
year. The London and Dublin-listed company has submitted an
application for an exploration licence in the West Sea and hopes to
get approval in the next couple of months.
"We see it as an offshoot of the Bohai Bay in China, which has tens of
billions of barrels, so it's very prospective," said chief executive
Brian Hall. "The water depths are 50 to 80 metres, so it's nice
jack-up country, there are no terrible storm seasons and it's
reasonably good working conditions."
The signing of an exploration agreement with the secretive North
Korean regime - a member of US President George W Bush's infamous
"axis of evil" - will mark a real coup for the London-headquartered
oil junior. Hall reports that even the North Korean ambassador in
London is unsure how to respond when his foreign ministry asks why
Aminex is being afforded first-mover advantage and not a BP or Shell?
Hall told oilbarrel.com that he has advised the ambassador to ask
where were BP and Shell when the country was looking to develop its
oil industry?
That remark refers, of course, to the twenty-year petroleum agreement
between Aminex and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, signed
in September 2004. That agreement aims to develop the impoverished
country's indigenous oil industry by drawing on the British firm's
technical and legal expertise. In return Aminex will receive a royalty
on hydrocarbons produced from any new drilling in the country and be
entitled to a carried interest in any new wells drilled by incoming
companies. Aminex was also granted the right to explore anywhere in
the country: it has picked the West Sea as its first choice. The
British firm later cemented its relationship with the DPRK by agreeing
to take a stake in Kobril, an international natural resource vehicle
controlled by the pariah regime.
Since then Aminex has worked hard to get to grips with the existing
seismic and well data covering the country and has helped draft a
model production sharing agreement.
"The PSA is simple and workable, about 20 pages long," said Hall.
"They've accepted it and the only changes now are cosmetic ones."
If Aminex's application for the West Sea acreage is accepted, then the
company will be the first to sign up to the new PSA terms. It would
hope to shoot seismic in the fourth quarter of this year, with
drilling pencilled in for the following year.
Aminex's survey of North Korea's prospective oil areas identified
three main basins: the West Sea, near China's Bohai Bay; the onshore
Pyongyang Basin, where there have been oil shows and surface seeps;
and the East Sea on the Japanese side.
"The East Sea has some quite interesting geology and, even though it's
1,200 miles away, it's not dissimilar to Sakhalin Island," commented
Hall, referring to the oil and gas rich Russian territory that has
attracted multi-billion dollar investments from the world's
supermajors. "It might be the longest shot but it might also be the
most interesting."
Elsewhere, the company is planning to shoot seismic over its acreage
in Tanzania in East Africa. The company will target the area near its
disappointing Nyuni-1 wildcat of 2004 and the acreage near to the
now-producing Songo Songo gas field. "It's almost unimaginable that
Songo Songo doesn't extend into our licence," said Hall. "We are going
to do a little bit of "closeology" and get in close to it."
The seismic shoot was due to be getting underway now but has been
delayed by the weather: it's now slated for the third or fourth
quarter. With two-and-a-half years left to run on its licence, and two
obligation wells still to drill, Aminex can't afford too many more
delays here.
The company's efforts in North Korea and Tanzania will be funded by a
6.6 million share placing now underway: the company has its
commitments from the institutions and the open offer to shareholders
closes on the 28th. Hall described this as a "vital shot in the arm".
Aminex is also set to enjoy a boost from its onshore Texan properties,
where the GU-35 well on the South Weslaco field recently hit
commercial amounts of gas. Aminex has a 25 per cent stake in the
project, which is operated by Stalker Energy. The well has yet to be
completed due to a shortage of completion units in the booming
resources sector of the Lone Star state but Aminex hopes to get it
completed by the end of the month. In total four development wells
will be drilled in Texas this year. This drilling programme should
replace the production lost by the disposal of the Vinton Dome
project, sold in December 2004 for US$5 million.
In the meantime, the company is keeping its eyes open for new
opportunities to add to its small but eclectic portfolio. It has
applications outstanding elsewhere in East Africa and is also keen on
Egypt.
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http://www.oilbarrel.com/news/article.html?body=1&key=oilbarrel_en:1095897653&feed=oilbarrel_en&searchterm=aminex
http://www.oilbarrel.com/news/article.html?body=1&key=oilbarrel_en:1104973211&feed=oilbarrel_en&searchterm=aminex
http://www.oilbarrel.com/news/article.html?body=1&key=oilbarrel_en:1109120400&feed=oilbarrel_en&searchterm=aminex
http://www.oilbarrel.com/news/article.html?body=1&key=oilbarrel_en:1117504800&feed=oilbarrel_en&searchterm=aminex
http://www.oilbarrel.com/news/article.html?body=1&key=oilbarrel_en:1118802000&feed=oilbarrel_en&searchterm=aminex
Cheers,
PM