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Mothercare reborn and maybe worth a punt now (MTC)     

ainsoph - 10 Feb 2003 09:04

I have been in and out of these a few times :-)) ..... bumping around their bottom but starting to bounce a little ..... closed @ 87/90p on Friday.

They have fallen from grace because of poor distribution probelens caused by poor management and an out of House warehousing system. THis is being sorted and new guys have replaced the old .....

Great brand name and selling could be overdone ..... anyway I am in for a few @ 90p and will let them ride for a while - not a t trade. Recent director buying around this price


ains


bought @ 90p - currently moving up at 141/145p 13/05 = plus 56.66% net


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MTC&Si

goldfinger - 18 Oct 2012 07:47 - 127 of 454

Looks way way to expensive.

A forward P/E of 37.42 to 2013 !!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wouldnt want to buy on that rating.


Far too expensive.

Mothercare PLC

FORECASTS 2013
Date Rec Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Panmure Gordon
15-10-12 SELL 4.99 4.49 15.20
Peel Hunt
12-10-12 HOLD 5.37 4.47 25.11
Seymour Pierce
12-10-12 SELL 8.00 6.70 19.60
Numis Securities Ltd
25-09-12 BUY 8.10 9.10 29.50
Investec Securities
11-09-12 SELL 8.00 6.80 6.00


2013
Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)
Consensus 6.70 5.93 6.00
1 Month Change -0.33 -0.32 0.00
3 Month Change -0.03 -0.16 0.00


GROWTH
2012 (A) 2013 (E)
Norm. EPS 63.81% -72.13%
DPS -22.74% -56.12%

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2012 (A) 2013 (E)
EBITDA £25.88m £28.75m
EBIT £8.57m £11.10m
Dividend Yield 6.16% 2.70%
Dividend Cover 1.56x 0.99x
PER 10.43x 37.42x
PEG 0.16f -0.52f
Net Asset Value PS 26.85p 62.60p

Hems/Premium



skinny - 18 Oct 2012 08:18 - 128 of 454

I'm out of the remainder - good luck Stan.

goldfinger - 18 Oct 2012 08:19 - 129 of 454

First of broker updates in....

18 Oct Mothercare PLC MTC Seymour Pierce Sell 0.00 232.50 145.00 145.00 Retains

145 SP target.

Stan - 18 Oct 2012 08:36 - 130 of 454

Well done Skinny, Surprisingly for me up over 7% so far.

skinny - 18 Oct 2012 08:40 - 131 of 454

Overall I made @17% - now I'm out it should rocket! :-)

Stan - 18 Oct 2012 08:46 - 132 of 454

That's the way to do it.. So some puppet once said -):

goldfinger - 18 Oct 2012 09:16 - 133 of 454

Closed short. called it wrong. Still think they are hiding margin erossion.

Cant win em all.

Good luck to bulls.

Stan - 18 Oct 2012 13:35 - 134 of 454

Pigging ell.. up 14.5% at the mo!

ahoj - 18 Oct 2012 13:40 - 135 of 454

Good for the banks who offered loans, hold shares.

skinny - 18 Oct 2012 14:16 - 136 of 454

Stan - I did the same with HFD recently - played the long game but sold too early.

Still a profits a profit etc.

Stan - 18 Oct 2012 15:16 - 137 of 454

Struggled with that feeling myself in the past but learning to get over it by thinking how I would and have felt had I made a loss.

goldfinger - 18 Oct 2012 16:44 - 138 of 454

Got back in early to cover deficit this morning ...well 400 quid worth down on short deal.

Hope I didnt -iss on your parade skinny. sincere apoligies if i did. Owe you one.

skinny - 19 Oct 2012 07:39 - 139 of 454

Not at all GF - we are all grown ups! :-)

Stan - 19 Oct 2012 07:43 - 140 of 454

.. This is true -):

skinny - 25 Oct 2012 12:32 - 141 of 454

KickYourselfTiny.gifChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MTC&Si

dreamcatcher - 18 Nov 2012 22:07 - 142 of 454

Thursday November 22 =

• The progress of Simon Calver’s drive to turn around Mothercare will be revealed when the baby clothing and equipment retailer posts interim results. In October, Mr Calver said his plans were “on track” after a 0.3pc rise in UK like-for-like sales over the previous quarter. The company’s share price has enjoyed a good run this year , but Mothercare is still in the eye of the high street storm. Analysts at Panmure Gordon are forecasting that Mothercare will post a loss before tax of £4.6m for the first half . They add: “We are not convinced this potential recovery is based on sustainable gross margins, and we are also now faced with a disappointing result in the international division .”

skinny - 21 Nov 2012 16:34 - 143 of 454

Interims tomorrow!

goldfinger - 21 Nov 2012 16:45 - 144 of 454

Yep and this time have to reveal the margins!!!!!

Be carefull guys.

skinny - 22 Nov 2012 07:01 - 145 of 454

Half Yearly Report

Key highlights for first half

* Work on the Transformation and Growth plan is progressing well, with store
portfolio restructuring on track, new store format launched, management team
restructured and strengthened, website relaunched, improved value
proposition, new ranges across all three business segments and improved
focus on customer service
* Worldwide network sales up 2.1% at GBP636.8 million, with International retail
sales up 10.8% and UK retail sales down 8.6%
* International like-for-like sales up 4.4% and UK like-for-like sales
performance improved, with decline reduced to -3.4%
* Group underlying loss before tax reduced to GBP0.6 million (H1 2011/12: loss
of GBP4.4m)
* Net debt of GBP29.8 million, following tight control of working capital and
cash

skinny - 22 Nov 2012 09:02 - 146 of 454

Just closed +22 for a 2 day round trip.
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