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Chinese oil refinery heading for explosive share price performance (HAIK)     

Greyhound - 14 May 2007 08:25

Sharp rise this morning in this Chinese oil refinery company. Tipped over the weekend in Small Company Share Watch to be the next ReneSola. Changes in the way pricing operates since China joined WTO is set to change the company dramatically, plus results in the coming weeks could surprise on the upside.

www.haikechemical.com

Quarter 1 update

First Quarter 2007 Highlights

- Total revenues increased by 28% to US$ (or '$') 73.9m (2006Q1: $57.9m)

- Petrochemical revenues increased by 15% to $56.1m (2006Q1: $48.6m)

- Speciality chemical revenues increased by 87% to $17.0m (2006Q1: $9.1m)

- Biochemical revenues increased by 300% to $0.8m (2006Q1: $0.2m)

- Gross margin improved to 12.1% (2006Q1: 7.2%) to $8.9m (2006Q1: $4.1m)

- Net profit after tax increased by 625% to $5.8m (2006Q1: $0.8m)

- Net profit (after minority interests) increased by 650% to $4.5m
(2006Q1: $0.6m)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HAIK&S



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Greyhound - 16 May 2007 16:27 - 13 of 180

Fantastic performance today and yet this is still so in its early days.

dorothyperkins - 16 May 2007 23:11 - 14 of 180

Some posters are banding around targets of 340p to 600p. Think there is defo more to come here

Greyhound - 17 May 2007 08:22 - 15 of 180

dp, I would agree but of course the timeframe could be a couple of years. That said I still think this is still so cheap even at these levels and have now taken four tranches here. The profit growth in 2006 was rapid and the new facilities set to open late this year will change things substantially in my opinion.

Greyhound - 17 May 2007 08:45 - 16 of 180

First quarter results out 24/5

dorothyperkins - 19 May 2007 09:14 - 17 of 180

the day before the last results, these went up 15p (12.5%) from memory. Hopefullywe willget a similar or greater jump this time

Greyhound - 21 May 2007 08:30 - 18 of 180

Good start to the day following Friday's fall of about 8% at one point and coming back to close flat. I expect the move back to 2 could be quick.

Greyhound - 24 May 2007 07:49 - 19 of 180

Q1 results make excellent initial reading:

Total revenue up 28%
Petrochemicals revenue up 15%
Speciality chemical up 87%
Biochemical revenue increaseedd 300%
Gross marging improved to 12.1%
Net profit increased by 625%

Capacity expansion for both refining and chemical plant on schedule.

Should fly?!

Greyhound - 24 May 2007 08:17 - 20 of 180

Agricultural Chemical stocks were featured in the FT this week - re fund managers out performance in China and some were talking about fertilisers being the next major growth. Don't forget our increased production of dimethyl carbonate (agricultural pesticides). This is still dirt cheap in my opinion.

steveo - 24 May 2007 08:29 - 21 of 180

have put it on the radar, well done greyhound...

Greyhound - 24 May 2007 09:25 - 22 of 180

Steveo, I get the impression that not many are watching this yet or are totally unaware of the potential here. With a PE to drop to low single digit figures and sales almost guaranteed (including the expansion volume) for both the oil refining because they are located next to China's second biggest oil field and the chemical side because of the massive demand in rapidly growing Shangdong Province. Seems like a no brainer....but dyor.

cynic - 24 May 2007 10:23 - 23 of 180

just for your info, with no further comment required ......

dramatic Beijing shares crash on way, Greenspan warns ...... sharp rises are "clearly unsustainable"

Greyhound - 24 May 2007 10:33 - 24 of 180

cynic certainly is - however when Greenspan warned of "irrational exuberance" in 1997 the bubble ran another couple of years....to call the top is also dangerous.

cynic - 24 May 2007 11:14 - 25 of 180

merely pased it on for what it is worth .... originally posted it on WCC for certain bad tempered person on their ...... hoping he will eventually rise to the bait like a lazy chub ..... or do i mean chump?

Greyhound - 24 May 2007 11:32 - 26 of 180

no problem cynic, you're quite right to do so...risky old game! When to hold 100% cash is the golden question (and maybe which currency)

hlyeo98 - 24 May 2007 16:47 - 27 of 180

HAIK will go much higher...very good company...Greenspan often gets it wrong too. He is only human. And getting quite old too. Like some of us. ; )

hlyeo98 - 24 May 2007 16:49 - 28 of 180

HaiKe Chemical Group Ltd.
24 May 2007


HaiKe Chemical Group Ltd.

UNAUDITED RESULTS FOR THE FIRST QUARTER ENDED 31 MARCH 2007

HaiKe Chemical Group Ltd ('HaiKe' or the 'Company'), the AIM quoted (AIM:
HAIK) petrochemical and speciality chemical business based in China, is pleased
to announce its unaudited results for the first quarter ended 31 March 2007
('2007Q1').

The results for the first quarter ended 31 March 2006 ('2006Q1'), which are
set out below, are those of the combined results of the Company and its
subsidiaries.

First Quarter 2007 Highlights

- Total revenues increased by 28% to US$ (or '$') 73.9m (2006Q1: $57.9m)

- Petrochemical revenues increased by 15% to $56.1m (2006Q1: $48.6m)

- Speciality chemical revenues increased by 87% to $17.0m (2006Q1: $9.1m)

- Biochemical revenues increased by 300% to $0.8m (2006Q1: $0.2m)

- Gross margin improved to 12.1% (2006Q1: 7.2%) to $8.9m (2006Q1: $4.1m)

- Net profit after tax increased by 625% to $5.8m (2006Q1: $0.8m)

- Net profit (after minority interests) increased by 650% to $4.5m
(2006Q1: $0.6m)

- Basic and diluted earnings per share increased 600% from US 2 cents to US
14 cents

- Successful admission to AIM in February 2007 ('Admission') raising
approximately $17m net of costs and expenses

- Expansion of heavy oil catalytic cracking and isopropyl alcohol production
facilities commenced

Mr. Yang Xiaohong, Executive Chairman, said:

'During the first quarter of 2007, we continued to see strong growth to both
revenues and profits. In order to continue this growth, and as outlined at the
time of our IPO, the construction of the heavy oil catalytic cracking
facilities, together with the expansion of the isopropyl alcohol plant, has
commenced; both are on schedule. We are confident that the increased capacity
brought by these projects will enhance further our growth in the near future.
In addition, we will continue to focus on the high-margin areas of speciality
chemical and biochemical businesses, where we see considerable opportunity to
deliver further growth and value.'

For further information please contact:

HaiKe Johnson Lau, Chief Financial Officer +86 546 8289173
HansonWesthouse Tim Metcalfe / Anita Ghanekar +44 (0) 20 7601 6100
Cardew Group Rupert Pittman / Shan Shan Willenbrock +44 (0) 20 7930 0777


First Quarter 2007 Results

Total revenue increased by 28% from $57.9m to $73.9m in 2007Q1, when compared
with the same period for the previous year. On a segmental basis, the sales of
petrochemical products in 2007Q1 increased by 15% from $48.6m to $56.1m, as a
result of improved operating efficiencies. The sales of speciality chemicals in
2007Q1 grew by 87% from $9.1m to $17.0m due to increased market demand. The
growth in biochemical revenue is significant in percentage terms, if not yet in
overall terms, having increased by 300% from $0.2m to $0.8m in 2007 compared
with the same period for the previous year.

Cost of sales increased by 21% from $53.7m in 2006Q1 to $65.0m in 2007Q1, due to
increased sales volume. The incremental selling prices of the petrochemical
products were higher and this contributed to an improved gross margin in the
first quarter. In addition, the increased weighting of sales towards the
high-margin speciality chemical and biochemical products contributed to the
improved gross margin of 12.1%. Sales and distribution expenses fell by 17% from
$0.7m in 2006Q1 to $0.6m in 2007Q1 as a result of the tightened control over
freight charges and promotion costs for speciality chemical products.
Administrative expenses increased by 33% from $1.2m in 2006Q1 to $1.6m in
2007Q1. The increase included a non-recurring share-based (non-cash) payment for
a director which amounted to $0.2m. Furthermore, additional administrative costs
were incurred as a result of the Company becoming publicly listed on AIM in
February 2007.

Operating profit increased by 169% ($4.4m) from $2.6m in 2006Q1 to $7.0m in
2007Q1, which is in line with the growth in the profit before income tax of
$4.0m or 222%. The gross margin improved from 7.2% in 2006Q1 to 12.1% in 2007Q1.

Tax exemptions were granted for three subsidiaries, Hi-Tech Chemical, Hi-Tech
Spring and Hi-Tech Shengli, following the restructuring of the Company into a
foreign owned entity in late 2006. This resulted in income tax falling by 91%
from $1.1m in 2006Q1 to $0.1m in 2007Q1.

Net profit (after minority interests) attributable to equity holders increased
by 650% ($3.9m) from $0.6m in 2006Q1 to $4.5m in 2007Q1.

Basic and diluted earnings per share increased 600% from US 2 cents in 2006Q1 to
US 14 cents in 2007Q1.

Business Highlights

In the first quarter, we completed Admission to AIM and successfully raised
approximately $17m (net of costs and expenses) for our planned expansion in
petrochemical and speciality chemical businesses. Our successful IPO has not
only enhanced the future prospects of the Company but has also provided the
opportunity to diversify the product range, particularly within the speciality
chemical business.

During the first quarter, we have also acquired additional inventories and have
increased prepayments to secure the sources of crude oil and other materials,
which have resulted in a temporary increase in short-term loans.

We have commenced construction phases of the previously detailed expansion
projects. It is expected that the construction and testing phases will be
completed by the end of 2007 and these facilities are expected to generate
further revenues and profits to the Company in 2008.

Outlook for Second Quarter 2007

Trading in April is in line with our expectations, and on a like for like basis,
the performance of both the petrochemical and speciality chemical businesses are
showing improvements on the comparable period last year.

We are confident of achieving further growth in both revenues and profits in the
remainder of 2007. We anticipate that this growth will be driven principally by
our existing areas of business supported by increased domestic demand for our
products.

soul traders - 24 May 2007 19:42 - 29 of 180

I've had a go at calculating future EPS, based on the current 38.4m shares in issue.

Current EPS would be 11.79 cents/share.

x4 = 47.16 for the full year.

divide by 2.00 for Sterling = 23.58p EPS for full year 2007.

With SP at 200p, that's PE 8.5.

Please feel free to disagree.

Kicking myself for selling (was clearly not having one of my better days when I made that decision!), but might make up for it by having a T+25 play tomorrow.

Funny how the stock traded in a tight range today, though - pretty much within the spread of 196/200.

Good luck to all.

soul traders - 24 May 2007 19:56 - 30 of 180

FWIW, the house broker predicted FY 2007 EPS of 19p a share at the beginning of Arpil. I guess the Q1 results warrant a rerating?

End of waffle - as of tomorrow I'm back on board!

ST out.

fortitude18 - 24 May 2007 20:15 - 31 of 180

7p EPS for Q1 (07) annualised = 28P plus capacity plans completion kicks in around Oct. 07 = full year? = 30p EPS. Petrol price limit removals by state may add around another 2 or 3p to that full year figure. = tops = 32P EPS for 2007. thats a prospective pe of around 6.5 for future earnings growth of around 95%. Cheap as chips. Speciality chemicals side expansion - excellent growth

Current accounts state margin improvements to around 12.5% from 8%..pricing power indications - good sign

debt needs to be paid down this year though - thats the only weakness.

high barriers to entry - high capex.

no position as yet but looking at it seriously

f18

cynic - 24 May 2007 20:16 - 32 of 180

while 8.5 may be a fairly modest p/e, do remember that this just after Q1 so to extrapolate same for full year MAY be brave especially if you think about 300 is the target ..... at least today had good volume to support, which is more than can be said for yesterday (17k!)
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