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Image Scan Holdings: Check your bags in for take-off in 2004 (IGE)     

garth - 04 Jan 2004 21:06

Well, this is my share for 2004.

The grounding of BA flight 223 to Washington has been all over the news this week. Along with the pictures of police armed with semi-automatic weapons and demands for armed rangers on planes the question of flight security is firmly back on the agenda.

Enter 7m British company Image Scan Holdings whose 3D X-ray baggage handling technology represents a 'Best of Class' solution to problems of baggage screening.

The advantage of Image Scan's machine over convential 2D machines is that it provides a 3D view of a scanned bag - providing psychological depth clues which have been shown to be important in identifying threat objects. 3D views are currently provided by CT scanners but these are slow and expensive. Image Scan's machine provides comparable results using X-ray. It is much less expensive and involves no loss of speed over conventional 2D scanners

baggage_2.jpgzoom1.gif

Contracts are being signed and some major OEMs are trialling Image Scan's cameras in their own systems.
Broker forecasts are for EBITDA breakeven this year and eps of 6p in 2005 (shares are currently 39p to buy). The market Cap is just 7m

The FAA (now TSA) are swimming in grants with $Millions and $Millions being awarded to security companies. They have purchased two machines from Image Scan (machines are also on trial at Heathrow and Midlands airports) and have paid ISH for the development of 3D Image Threat Projection software which has been installed in beta form on these machines. Threat Image Projection(TIP) software should become compulsory on all machines during 2004. It trains bagage handlers and screens their performance by introducing threat images (knives, guns etc) into the image captured by the X-ray scanner.

What is better, they are not a 1 product company. The pipeline is exciting. They have a range of 3D solutions for industrial non-destructive testing available now, medical applications are ivolved in development of an automated system related to cervical smeer test screening expected 2005- currently the only unautomated major screening programme in the UK... And they are developing a 3D scanner for examining occluded electrical components post-assembly. Key IP is in the area of X-ray examination of plastic and non-magnetic components.

Image of an all-plastic inhaler pump
using ISH's DEX camera for industrial/medical
non-destructive testing:
foto_ish_5.jpg
(Key IP is in the area of x-ray imaging plastics and non-magnetic metals)

Look a very interesting prospect for 2004, IMO. The share price slid relentlessly last year but enjoyed a bounce last month. That trend re-commenced last week. Sitting on 1.4m cash (having raised fresh funds in the summer) and having now transitioned from pure r&D into a company actively marketing its commercial products there appears little downside in the price (the FD was buying at 35p). Upside looks considerable.

Durlacher published a research note in November - well worth getting hold of a copy. A couple of snippets:

"International legislation has delivered the security sector its most significant boost for almost a decade with the entire security industry looking set to become a hot sector for the next couple of years"

"We believe the Image Scan instrument to be 'best in class' and currently the only real time 3D X-ray device in the industry"

"Growth in the security sector has been in excess of 50% pa over the last 2 years....with equipment replacement cycles falling from an average 6 years to nearer 4."

Order potentially worth 1m from Scanna expected shortly...

"We believe Image Scan presents an immediate and unique opportunity to invest in the rapidly expanding global security markets"


To take just one element of what ISH are involved in, the importance of the 3D TIP software is conveyed in this extract:

p.32-33
"Following the September 11th attack, Dillinghams testimony [22] was provided before the Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation, US Senate to discuss security concerns with:
i) aviation-relatedcomputer systems;
ii) airport access controls and
iii) passenger andcarry-on luggage screening including how the USA differs from other countries.

This committee had earlier reported in the year 2000 that there were several weaknesses found with screeners in tests in the USA. In 1987, screeners missed 20% of potentially dangerous objects and recent tests approximating real threats showed that the performance degrades even further.

The main problem is because of less experienced staff, large turnover because of low wages, limited benefits, and repetitive nature of the work. In addition, the amount of work at airports makes it impossible to check every bag (over 2 million passengers and their bags must be checked per day in USA alone).

Air carriers can use their own employees to conduct screening activities but mostly they hire security companies to perform screening. In the USA, Federal Aviation Authority (FAA) monitors the performance of screeners by periodically testing them with FAA special agents posing as passengers.

Two important reasons explain why screeners fail: rapidscreener turnover and inadequate attention to human factors.
From May 1998 to April 1999, screener turnover averaged 126% in 19 major airports in the USA, 200% at five airports andone with a turnover of 416%.

FAA has been recommended to use threat-projection systems that place images of dangerous objects on the monitors of X-ray machines to keep scanners alert and monitor their performance and a certification program to make screening companies accountable for the training and performance of the screeners that they employ.

The threat-projection systems are useful as they monitor screener performance, and help train them to identify more diffcult objects for the future.
It is expected that FAA will deploy this technology in airports by 2003 and also more FAA security screeners will be used."


This represents my opinions only and is not advice to buy or otherwise. Do your own research!

Happy new year.

G.

garth - 24 Feb 2004 07:35 - 13 of 71

"Image Scan Holdings Plc (IGE LN), the provider of 3D and X- ray technology, added 4.5 pence, or 13 percent, to 40, the biggest gain since December. The company said its technology is used in Rapiscan Security Products Ltd.'s new screening system. "

bl.berg

cchart.php?epic=IGE&height=152&width=245

7m Market Cap and with IP and a pipeline that is set to punch with style through 2004/5

http://www.advfn.com/cmn/fbb/thread.php3?id=5390142

DYOR

G.

garth - 24 Feb 2004 09:16 - 14 of 71

She's going for it :-)

garth - 24 Feb 2004 09:55 - 15 of 71

No takers?

smithy - 24 Feb 2004 10:42 - 16 of 71

I've bought some although not many others have this morning. The price is up nevertheless.

garth - 24 Feb 2004 13:25 - 17 of 71

Hi Smithy,

Not a bad number notched up now - highest volume for some time!

G.

vasey - 24 Feb 2004 14:17 - 18 of 71

Hello Garth, saw you started a thread on IGE, took a small punt this morning and now starting to do more serious research......and noticed the AGM is on Thursday 24 March....I might go and check out the management at the same time as doing a quick resume.....what do you reckon?

garth - 24 Feb 2004 14:36 - 19 of 71

Hi Priscilla,

A pleasure to see you here! :-)

I emailed NP - didn't know if he'd be interested in the DEX technology for testing the Carolite components - core IP is in X-ray of plastics and non-magnetic metals.....
I see Surface Transforms had results today - busy day for you.

IGE CEO Nick Fox invited me to go and have a look round at an analysts/shareholders tour & presentation they are doing. Unfortunately its term time and so thats a no-can-do, but I'd loved to have gone. I can't remember the date but I'm sure they'd welcome you along - and I'd certainly be very keen to hear your comments. It may be the day of the AGM.

Louise George is company secretary. The number is on the corporate website at www.ish.co.uk

If you are in the mood for serious research then there's a fair bit now tucked away in the ADVFN thread - I'd be interested in hearing your thoughts - both positive and negative!

Warm regards,

G.

vasey - 24 Feb 2004 14:49 - 20 of 71

Just rung them and none of them are around today. But I like people called 'Nick' ....so I might try my luck with him on Friday when he is due to return. Could you please enable your e-mail user settings so I can send you a private email via MoneyAM?

garth - 24 Feb 2004 16:48 - 21 of 71

Priscilla,

I've changed my settings :-)

Thanks.

G.

vasey - 24 Feb 2004 22:53 - 22 of 71

message sent 22.53

8 Ball - 24 Feb 2004 23:50 - 23 of 71

Hello Vasey

Nice to see you have seen this one.

That Garth is great to have on a thread.

Bit more action on the other board Pricilla.

Good rise again today, lets hope for a few press tips on the back of the Rapiscan deal.
An IC tip would do wonders for the price, just wish I had bought more.......

garth - 25 Feb 2004 06:50 - 24 of 71

8ball :")

G.

vasey - 25 Feb 2004 07:18 - 25 of 71

Thanks for all your amazing hard work Garth.

garth - 25 Feb 2004 07:34 - 26 of 71

Priscilla,

Sorted. Thanks,

G.

vasey - 25 Feb 2004 10:27 - 27 of 71

Spoke to 'the-other-Nick' (CEO) and I'm down on the list of those attending the upcoming AGM on Thursday 25th March. Post your questions here!

garth - 25 Feb 2004 16:57 - 28 of 71

Great. I'll get somequestions together :-)

G.

8 Ball - 26 Feb 2004 23:14 - 29 of 71

A little surprised we dropped back to 40p.
Lets hope this becomes our support level and we bounce back.

Vasey... I Would be interested in their opinion on competition.
Also if they have any need/plans to raise cash.

garth - 01 Mar 2004 18:43 - 30 of 71

8ball, looks like it might be :-)

8 Ball - 01 Mar 2004 22:46 - 31 of 71

Yes Garth looks like it.

I was hoping for a bit more press coverage.
Still very pleased with my investment and happy to wait.

Is Vasey the only one here going to AGM.......

Dunskey - 02 Mar 2004 12:45 - 32 of 71

Vasey

Can you ask what their budget for Sales in the current year and next. Don't suppose they would tell you in open forum but may give you a pointer privately.
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