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How far down will they go (LLOY)     

mojo47 - 16 Aug 2007 13:54

any one got a feelling in their water how far LLoyds will go looking to to buy but just dont know when they are low enough

required field - 18 Sep 2008 18:39 - 130 of 483

A rise tomorrow morning on the cards ?, might depend on the Dow !.

Falcothou - 18 Sep 2008 19:12 - 131 of 483

Well I think there might be a kangaroo's tail on that chart at least I hope so. Hedge funds desperate to recoup their losses on commodities have stooped to attacking the Black Horse! Disgraceful animal cruelty the R.S.P.C.A have been informed.Well it may need some new hooves and some time at the manger but after a few sugar lumps and a good pat this animal will strike back at Hedgestock

spitfire43 - 18 Sep 2008 22:19 - 132 of 483

DOW finnished up 3.9%, so should be blue here tomorrow. I believe lloy were up to 300p in American market when converted from ADRs..

Hopefully I should have a pleasant choice to make tomorrow for a change, having brought today at 251 then 233. Either sell for quick profit, or hold for long term.

Might favour long term, and sell some RBS I brought today, if they also rally.

amardev - 19 Sep 2008 00:45 - 133 of 483

Well done Spitfire43 ........... Looks like you called it near perfect .....

while it looks like I've missed the boat.

All the best for the morrow.
Amar

required field - 19 Sep 2008 08:38 - 134 of 483

Incredible how sentiment changes !, massive increases today.....but for how long ?.

spitfire43 - 19 Sep 2008 08:44 - 135 of 483

Would have been too good to be true if I could have traded in first 10 minutes.

But surprise surprise the trading platform was down.

amardev - 19 Sep 2008 08:44 - 136 of 483

WELL DONE .......... to all those that managed to get in / out ...............
at the right price of course.

You deserve every success.
Amar

Guscavalier - 19 Sep 2008 08:56 - 137 of 483

Well things are looking better today with the following proposals improving sentiment:-

LONDON, Sept 19 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond futures fell more than a full point on Friday in tandem with weaker Treasuries on news the U.S. government was mulling a plan to resolve the credit crisis, prompting unwinding of safe haven positions.

Short-dated debt yield ramped up by a sharp 32 basis points in a 20-basis-point flattening of the 2-10 year yield curve.

A congressional aide said U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson has been touting a proposal to lawmakers that would create an entity to deal with the billions of dollars of bad debt still clogging the financial system.

Bunds also felt pressure from news European exchanges had banned short selling of financial stocks, a strategy alleged to have contributed to the wiping out of half of HBOS shares value earlier in the week before rival bank Looyds TSB stepped in to buy it.

The Financial Services Authority published a list of stocks subject to the temporary short-selling ban while the Irish Stock Exchange said it had banned short-selling of several financial institutions [ID:nWLA9900].

Euro zone bourses were expected to open more than 4 percent higher at 0700 GMT. More [ID:nLJ263546].

Bund futures opened sharply lower compared with the settlement close on Thursday.

'Apart from the short-selling rules and the Paulson credit rescue talk, today we have the triple witching effect in the U.S. with the expiry of stock futures contracts adding to the jitters,' said a trader in London. 'We expect more downside for bonds this session.'

At 0641 GMT, the December Bund future was down 104 ticks at 114.24 since the settlement close on Thursday, having opened at 114.54.

The interest rate-sensitive two-year Schatz yield was at 3.90 percent, up 30 basis points. The 10-year Bund yield was up 13 basis points at 4.15 percent.

'Essentially distressed assets would be moved to the balance sheet of a new institution, broadly speaking a dumping ground for the toxic stuff, and will mean the government taking on more of the private sectors mess-ups,' said Padhraic Garvey, a bond analyst at ING in Amsterdam.

'No doubt more pressure too on the U.S. fiscal position in the years to come, and more immediate pressure on the Fed's balance sheet. But less pressure on the US banks, at least that is the idea,' he added.

Other events markets will watch are European Central Bank Executive Board member Juergen Stark speaking at a conference in Rome at 0715 GMT and Italian industrial orders for July released at 0800 GMT. Keywords: MARKETS BONDS EURO

Guscavalier comment: Moving the "toxic waste" to a separate government entity would effectively be a bail out for know and will enable the wholesale funding market to free up, since banks will begin to trust each other again. However, the cost will probably result in weaker dollar. I expect the US money printing machines will glow red hot.

spitfire43 - 26 Sep 2008 17:52 - 138 of 483

It's interesting to note that Panmure Gordons Sandy Chen, who has been the most bearish of analyist so far, has cut is price target for lloy from 350p to 340p. But has changed is recommendation from hold to buy, saying that funding costs and synergies offer lloy a crucial advantage. And that lloy will have about one third of the retail banking market in the UK, around double that of it's nearest competitor.

It will be a bumpy ride in the short term, but I believe Lloyds will be in a very strong position once markets settle down.

Guscavalier - 26 Sep 2008 23:04 - 139 of 483

Agree, we need to let time pass as, over the short term, Lloy will be hungry for cash while things are sorted out. Can not understand why they just don't pass the dividend instead of issueing shares since everybody is diluted pro rata anyway. Although, thinking about it again there may be some who will wish to sell the additional shares to receive the cash assuming there will be a commission free service provided to do this.

mitzy - 01 Oct 2008 08:59 - 140 of 483

Time to buy ..?



Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=LLOY&S

nordcaperen - 01 Oct 2008 09:35 - 141 of 483

There all going to rocket tomorrow if U.S vote goes to plan tonite- even if it doesn't and that looks very unlikely it will go through eventually. So its a case of picking the best or most undervalued share - Lloyds or Hbos even Rbs, or why not punt on all three, dead certs as they say !!

dealerdear - 01 Oct 2008 09:44 - 142 of 483

anybody who says it is a dead cert on anything in the mkt is asking for one huge fall. Punt on one bank, maybe, but all three. No way!

nordcaperen - 01 Oct 2008 09:52 - 143 of 483

HBOS is my choice, but thats only at the moment, bought back in earlier so obviously would say that !!

dealerdear - 01 Oct 2008 09:54 - 144 of 483

good luck! certainly looking good atm.

I may get in but if I do I would try to take profits before close.

I have far too many dodgy companies atm if it all goes wrong!

Guscavalier - 01 Oct 2008 10:25 - 145 of 483

We still don't know the terms of the US bail out. i.e how will the various toxics be valued and what future obligations will be imposed on the banks. We are not in the Greenspan era now. Moreover, Bush seems to be trying to place more pressure on Congress by presenting proposals to the Senate first which, could backfire. I would tend to be cautious to see how things pan out at this point.

Clubman3509 - 01 Oct 2008 10:31 - 146 of 483

I have gone short on FTSE. Only trade for me today, have got my bucket under my desk. I think banks will lose their opening gain today.

spitfire43 - 01 Oct 2008 10:58 - 147 of 483

nordcaperen

I note your post saying that lloy, hbos and rbs are a dead cert, careful with rbs I have just posted what could be the reason for the weakness, incase you miss the thread I have cut and pasted my post below..............

I was thinking of buying RBS this morning, it was the only bank that hadn't gone up, it does seem very weak against the sector. But I had a nagging doubt about buying, but fortunately I remembered that Fortis which was part of the syndicate that grought ABN Ambro had just been rescued.

After checking the news releases today, I then read that the Dutch Finance Ministry are investigating Fortis, looking at risk which wasn't shown on Fortis balance sheet.

I'm not suggesting that RBS may be in the same situation, but this without doubt is what is holding the sp down. So I will sit on my hands for a while, and await a better entry time.

Clubman3509 - 01 Oct 2008 11:01 - 148 of 483

RBS now 168 Not for me

hangon - 01 Oct 2008 11:31 - 149 of 483

There is a small profit to be made in LLOY/HBOS trading - by buying HBOS instead of whatever you hold in LLOY - but the profit is small and probably not worth the effort if your LLOY holding is less than 5k (now).

From reading the Documents there is a lengthy time when trading will be difficult, (=as the Votes are counted and the Deal goes through) . . . indeed dates go out to Feb09 - so it surprises me this aspect isn't explained in simple language....

The last thing punters need is cash locked-up . . . . . oh deary.












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