goldfinger
- 12 Jan 2010 20:42
theyRwatching
- 12 May 2011 11:12
- 1310 of 3532
Hi chartists,
Would appreciate thoughts on ERMs chart- I think the bearish divergences on MACD and RSI from starting from end of 2009 makes this a candidate for a technical short, what do people think?
goldfinger
- 12 May 2011 17:57
- 1311 of 3532
Sorry Kyle mate but I wouldnt use divergence over such a long period. Meant to be really a short term technical indicator.
You have a symetrical (bullish ) triangle their coiled up in last few weeks but look at low volume. Itl need sommat special to turn it upwards especially in present market climate.
Big fan of this stock myself but its a volatile beast so be carefull.
Chris Carson
- 12 May 2011 18:27
- 1312 of 3532
Interim results 19th May, 'sqeeky bum time' May be worth a punt till then if not a holder target 750.0. Tooo volatile for me though :O)
goldfinger
- 13 May 2011 09:27
- 1314 of 3532
NEX National Express
SP broken out through ceiling of uptrend channel. Very bullish signal. New upleg on way !!
goldfinger
- 13 May 2011 10:27
- 1315 of 3532
BAB BABCOCK...
Done same gone from short to long.
10-May-11 Babcock International Group BAB UBS Buy 651.00p - 770.00p New Coverage
770p SP target.
goldfinger
- 16 May 2011 09:34
- 1317 of 3532
NEX and BAB on course for breakouts.
goldfinger
- 16 May 2011 09:35
- 1318 of 3532
On holiday at moment Investors inteligence will continue when back next monday.
goldfinger
- 16 May 2011 09:36
- 1319 of 3532
Liquidating some June contracts as I go on in next week or so.
skinny
- 16 May 2011 09:39
- 1320 of 3532
Goldfinger - enjoy!
For those that want access to the II news/charts,
this link will work everyday - just click the uk daily hotline link.
goldfinger
- 16 May 2011 10:06
- 1321 of 3532
Just getting gardens sorted out Skinny. On second week now. fed up.
goldfinger
- 17 May 2011 08:52
- 1324 of 3532
BAB excelent results this morning expect Broker upgrades....
BAB Heres last 3 Broker Buy recommendations............
Date
#ADVFN $205 http://t.co/AkdAQI4
goldfinger
- 17 May 2011 09:19
- 1325 of 3532
Blacks Leisure, one to buy into.
BSLA.. Published in
#ADVFN $205 http://t.co/iopUueh
goldfinger
- 17 May 2011 09:21
- 1326 of 3532
BAB storming away this morning. Reckon analysts will be upgrading this over next few days.
Heres last 3 Broker Buy recommendations............
Date Broker name New Price Old price target New price target Broker change
10-May-11 UBS Buy 650.50p - 770.00p New Coverage
09-May-11 Panmure Gordon Buy 632.00p 750.00p - Reiteration
16-Mar-11 Matrix Group Buy 551.50p - 755.00p New Coverage
Expect these to be moved up a lot higher.
goldfinger
- 17 May 2011 09:22
- 1327 of 3532
Thinks this one is going to be a fantastic recovery stock especially when the new CEO takes over in the summer.
Published in Company Comment on 5 May 2011
8 comments With the worst seemingly behind it, is Blacks set to multi-bag?
Back in January 2010, I pointed out that a certain niche High Street retailer appeared to have come back from the dead. Arguing that fortune favours the brave, I pointed out that the shares looked cheap, and that a lot of any likely bad news was already reflected in the price.
Today, I'm going to point out that the shares still look cheap, that a lot of likely bad news seems to be already reflected in the price -- and that once again, fortune favours the brave.
In the meantime, the price in question has slumped from 55p to 15p, and shareholders have been tapped for cash to keep the business afloat.
So stop reading here, if you're of a nervous disposition.
Trainwreck ahead
The niche retailer in question, of course, is outdoorwear specialist Blacks Leisure (LSE: BSLA), which owns the Blacks and Millets retail brands, as well as -- for a few more months -- a handful of Freespirit surfwear stores.
And there's little doubt that management, shareholders and employees have had a torrid time of things over the past three years, with wholesale store closure programmes, debt-refinancing, and the withdrawal from once-promising markets. Corporate turnaround specialist Neil Gillis, chief executive for most of the last three years, has certainly had his hands full.
Yet, as this week's release of its latest results show, he does appear to have wrought his familiar magic. Blacks, in short, was once heading for the buffers -- and Mr Gillis has confounded many by managing to adroitly steer the business around the resulting trainwreck.
And, as he said when presenting the results, "I am proud of what we have been able to achieve, in particular the fact that we have been able to preserve a business which provides the livelihoods of around 4,000 dedicated staff across the British Isles."
For sure, at one point, that seemed a most unlikely outcome.
Painful cuts
There's no doubt that the medicine meted out by Mr Gillis was painful. 112 stores were closed, and a sub-brand put into administration. But new stores have been opened, expensive leases have been renegotiated, and the company has pulled through the worst recession for 60 years.
Highlights of its latest figures:
■Revenues down 16% to 202m
■Loss before tax reduced to 5.3m from 43.6m
■Loss per share down to 6.6p from 108.9p
■New stores performing strongly
■Banking facilities extended to July 2012, and further extended to November 2012 upon the new Chief Executive commencing employment with the Group
Yes, that's right: as had been half-expected, Mr Gillis is stepping down. He is, according to the Financial Times, "famed for his three-year periods of tenure", and the requisite three years ends shortly.
His replacement? Julia Reynolds, currently CEO at Figleaves.com -- and before that, category director at Tesco (LSE: TSCO) responsible for the introduction and subsequent success of the company's Florence & Fred clothing range.
Apart from that, the results look reasonable, given where the company has come from. Certainly, sales that are down 16% in the present retail environment -- and in a period where the company has closed something like a third of its stores -- seems no cause to rush for the exits.
So, is it a buy?
Clearly, this is a ghastly time to be in retail. Especially when what you're selling isn't the basic stuff of everyday life.
And -- as the current worrying slew of consumer confidence and Bank of England agents' reports point up -- the next few months aren't going to be easy.
But Blacks' worst days do seem to be behind it, even though the shares are down 80% from their pre-recession high. And while the shares could join the doomed club of companies that have lost over 90% of their value, that does to me seem to be increasingly unlikely.
In short, if you're looking for a retail multi-bagger that will hit paydirt over the next three or four years, you won't find it in Tesco, Marks & Spencer (LSE: MKS) and J. Sainsbury (LSE: SBRY). But you just might in Blacks.
More from Malcolm Wheatley:
goldfinger
- 17 May 2011 13:01
- 1328 of 3532
Broker upgrades out already on BAB
..Investech raises Babcock International (BAB.L) target price to 700p from 650 and rates buy
* Panmure raises its target price to 780p from 750p and rates buy
* Peel Hunt raises its price target to 735p from 675p and rates buy
goldfinger
- 18 May 2011 08:42
- 1329 of 3532
VT benefits start to accrue for Babcock
Created: 17 May 2011 Written by: Mark Robinson
Though public spending reviews and private sector retrenchment provided the backdrop for much of the past year, a subsequent rise in outsourcing opportunities and the successful integration of VT Group provide grounds for optimism for Babcock International.
During a period of 'tight financial constraints', the acquisition of VT has broadened the range of engineering support services that Babcock can offer its existing and prospective customer base. So, while the group order book has remained stable at around 12bn since the acquisition, Babcock experienced an encouraging 70 per cent rise in its bid pipeline during the second half to 8.5bn.
At constant exchange rates and adjusting for disposals and the 856m nine-month contribution from VT Group, full-year underlying revenues rose 5 per cent. Operating margins rose 1.3 percentage points to 9.9 per cent, reflecting 11.6m of cost savings in the period and growth of higher margin business in support services, defence and security. Cost savings are expected to rise to 50m by 2013.
Investec Securities anticipates current year adjusted pre-tax profits of 280m and EPS of 61p (228m and 55p in 2011).
.
BABCOCK INTERNATIONAL (BAB)
ORD PRICE: 689p MARKET VALUE: 2.5bn
TOUCH: 688.5-691p 12-MONTH HIGH: 693p LOW: 489p
DIVIDEND YIELD: 2.8% PE RATIO: 22
NET ASSET VALUE: 282p* NET DEBT: 71%
Year to 31 Mar Turnover (bn) Pre-tax profit (m) Earnings per share (p) Dividend per share (p)
2007 0.99 57 21.5 8.10
2008 1.56 85 30.0 11.5
2009 1.90 107 37.4 14.4
2010 1.90 129 46.3 17.6
2011 2.76 115 31.3 19.4
% change +45 -11 -32 +10
Ex-div: 8 Jul
Payment: 9 Aug
*Includes intangible assets of 2.09bn, or 582p a share
More analysis of company results
TIP UPDATE:
Buy
Babcock's highly specialised, long-term naval contracts ensure that over two-thirds of its revenues are already contracted for 2011-12, while new business streams are improving. At 689p, Babcock's shares are up 18 per cent on our buy tip (689p, 1 July 2010), but are trading at a modest 11 times forwards earnings and continue to rate a buy.
Last IC view: Buy, 571p, 26 January 2011
http://www.investorschronicle.co.uk/Tips/Buy/TipsOfTheWeek/article/20110517/63fb67f8-807e-11e0-8834-00144f2af8e8/VT-benefits-start-to-accrue-for-Babcock.jsp
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