Gold near $411 on Greenspan remarks
Copper futures up 3%, edges closer to seven-year high
By Myra P. Saefong, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 2:11 PM ET Feb. 11, 2004
SAN FRANCISCO (CBS.MW) -- Gold futures closed higher Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the Fed could be patient about interest raising rates, sending the U.S. dollar sharply lower.
Gold ends near $411 on Greenspan talk
Greenspan's comments to a House panel also raised the prospects for "sustained robust growth" in the economy, providing the support copper futures needed to move closer to a seven-year high. Key indexes for metals mining shares also rose, reaching their highest levels in a month.
Gold for April delivery climbed to a New York Mercantile Exchange session high of $412.50 an ounce. It closed at $410.70 an ounce, up $3.70 -- its highest closing level since Jan. 28.
Greenspan told lawmakers that the U.S. central bank can be patient when it comes to raising interest rates because inflation remains low. See full story.
The comments sent the euro and the yen higher against the dollar, boosting gold's investment value. See Currencies Report.
At the moment, "gold prices aren't too confident that the U.S. dollar will end its slide anytime soon," said Erik Gebhard, president of Altavest Worldwide Trading.
"The trend in gold remains higher and picking a top in the yellow metal isn't an endeavor for the faint of heart," he said, noting that support for the market lies in the $395 area, with the "next layer of heavy resistance" in the $415 range.
Greenspan will offer the same prepared testimony but face a new round of questions when he returns on Thursday to address the Senate Banking Committee, also at 11 a.m.
Fortune-telling
Peter Grandich, editor of investment publication, The Grandich Letter believes the gold market's strength in the last several months reflected accurate assumptions on the dollar.
"The gold market sense[d] a dramatic change in the United States dollar policy and began rallying long before it became apparent that the [President] Clinton days of openly advocating and taking actions that keep a strong dollar, had disappeared on [President] Bush's watch," he said.
Gold has also found strength from the "long-term assumption that in the end, the U.S. will aggressively reflate and that is really the ultimate selling point on why one should own gold," he said.
Mining equities head higher
In equities, key indexes for metals mining shares rose to their highest level since mid-January on the back of gold's sharp gains.
Tracking the sector as a whole, the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index ($XAU: news, chart, profile) moved 2.3 percent higher at 103.7. The CBOE Gold Index ($GOX: news, chart, profile) was up 2.5 percent at 88.73 and the Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI: news, chart, profile) tacked on 2.3 percent to reach the 237.09 level.
Among the biggest index-component gainers, shares of Coeur d'Alene Mines (CDE: news, chart, profile) climbed were up 29 cents, or 4.4 percent, at $6.66. Shares of Harmony Gold (HMY: news, chart, profile), Placer Dome Gold (PDG: news, chart, profile), and Freeport-McMoRan Copper and Gold (FCX: news, chart, profile) were all up more than 3 percent.
In the industrial metals sector, Noranda (NRD: news, chart, profile) rose more than 3 percent after the Canadian company reported fourth-quarter results.
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