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POG CHART. Gold looks like its on the Rise. (POG)     

goldfinger - 06 Aug 2004 16:15

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=POG&SiChart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=POG&Size=http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html

cheers GF.

gold.gif

cynic - 11 Oct 2007 08:53 - 138 of 2076

if gold continues its upward trend as seems most likely, then POG will be a serious beneficiary ..... though there is "Russian risk", POG is one of if not the cheapest producer in the world .... furthermore, it is a solid and very long-established company with an equally long history of dealing with the Russian hierarchy and gov't prevailing

Greyhound - 11 Oct 2007 09:33 - 139 of 2076

Not forgetting the senior management Russians able to oil the wheels...

cynic - 11 Oct 2007 09:39 - 140 of 2076

exactly that .... which is partly why i have gone back into TIO ..... go look

Greyhound - 11 Oct 2007 10:47 - 141 of 2076

Will check it out cynic, although my exposure in that part of the world is perhaps at its maximum.

ZAO Omchak, a venture between POG and Russian miner Susumanzoloto, won an auction to develop a gold deposit in east Siberia. The deposit holds 10.5 tons of gold.

Greyhound - 11 Oct 2007 12:02 - 142 of 2076

Golden Cross now taken place as well to start retargeting the all time highs.

cynic - 11 Oct 2007 12:14 - 143 of 2076

i am not certain of the "potency" of a golden cross (50 dma crossing with 200, both being on an upward trend) but for sure it cannot be bad! .... anyway, i post below the 2 year chart really just to highlight the all-time high at 1700 ...... long way to go, and plenty of sneezes en route for sure! ......

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=POG&Si

Greyhound - 11 Oct 2007 12:35 - 144 of 2076

I quite agree on the long way to go, but have a look at graph from 2002ish, I think this just substantiates a good solid 2/3 year hold and who knows if they get taken out at some point in the future.

Your sentiments on Golden Cross are completely justified, you never know the true effect. This last happened in POG in summer 04 below 6.

Greyhound - 11 Oct 2007 16:14 - 145 of 2076

I can see the headlines, POG Puts on a Pound!

cynic - 11 Oct 2007 16:20 - 146 of 2076

on a very simplistic chart as below, i think there may be some (serious?) resistance at this level, not least because of the headlong upward rush, so i have top-sliced 40% of my holding and banked a very nice profit considering i held that portion for only 10 days

i think sp could quite easily come back to +/-1240 where there is now support purely on profit-taking especially if bullion also reacts a bit

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=POG&Si

Greyhound - 11 Oct 2007 16:34 - 147 of 2076

I agree almost certainly there will be those taking money off the table but the bigger picture with bond funding, newly acquired gold deposit plus development of exisiting mines bodes well. The recent rise has been quick but don't forget the consolidation has been going on a couple of years so the momentum could well continue. The whole sector has had an incredible day, Acquarius Plat up 9%, Rio Tinto some 4% when I last looked and gold up almost $9. Dollar taking another hammering against the EUR and 1.45/1.50 not so far away. Interesting times!

cynic - 11 Oct 2007 16:37 - 148 of 2076

oveer the longer term, i certainly do not disagree, but as a trader and with the markets (over)due for some correction, money off the table is no more than prudent ...... am also now running shorts in both Dow and FTSE, not least as a hedge against my long portfolio

Greyhound - 11 Oct 2007 16:43 - 149 of 2076

Seems entirely reasonable with today's US jobless claims data better than expected (marginally). Maybe those US interest rate cuts won't come as quickly as some predict. I have POG for the long term in part as a hedge to weakness elsewhere in the market.

cynic - 12 Oct 2007 08:24 - 150 of 2076

POG off to a great start again today, though it's far too early to tell whether or not this level will hold - see potential resistance on chart above

Greyhound - 12 Oct 2007 08:47 - 151 of 2076

My interpretation of the charts is a clear break of a highs and lows channel at about 1200p. Personally I don't see much resistance between 1200p and 1650p. Either way I don't mind if it's a steady rise and a period of consolidation but something tells me the picture is changing and we could rapidly be at the highs by year end.

cynic - 12 Oct 2007 08:53 - 152 of 2076

you could easily be right and am still holding what is effectively my "norm" at this morning's price ...... shall be happy to add as/when we have a couple of bad days

Greyhound - 12 Oct 2007 09:01 - 153 of 2076

Either way nice to have this in the portfolio with the rest of the market looking a bit red today.

cynic - 12 Oct 2007 09:19 - 154 of 2076

indeed .... as are my quite heavy short positions in both Dow and FTSE!

Greyhound - 12 Oct 2007 09:53 - 155 of 2076

Yes exactly and US PPI is the one to watch at 1.30pm. MoM expected 0.5%, ex food and energy, 0.2%. YoY 3.7%. Michigan confidence at 3pm expected 84. Good luck!

cynic - 12 Oct 2007 09:57 - 156 of 2076

am substantially in the money on Dow but have put in quite close stops

Toya - 12 Oct 2007 10:00 - 157 of 2076

Cynic: good luck with your shorts - I was a bit concerned for you this morning! I haven't got the hang of CFDs yet - just stick to conventional stock buying. POG could be good but I need to do a bit more homework before I decide when to leap in - haven't been following it for long.
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