HARRYCAT
- 01 Jan 2009 15:10

Floated in may '08 at a share price of 525p. Shares in issue Dec '08 717,160,000.
Based in Mexico & listed on the LSE FTSE 250 index. (FTSE100 March '09)
Miner of Gold, silver, Zinc & Lead in Mexico
Produces approx 3m Oz silver, 280k Oz gold, 20k tons Zinc, 17k tons lead p.a.(2008)
Fresnillo has three producing mines, all of them in Mexico - Fresnillo, Ci�nega and Herradura; two advanced development projects - Fresnillo II, Soledad & Dipolos; and three exploration prospects - San Juan, San Julian, Orysivo, as well as a number of other long term exploration prospects and, in total, has mining concessions covering approximately 1.3 million hectares in Mexico.
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goldfinger
- 15 Jan 2015 11:28
- 140 of 290
Moving up nicely, breakout confirmed now.
HARRYCAT
- 15 Jan 2015 11:54
- 141 of 290
Part of the Numis note today:
"We revise our recommendations and target prices on the back of our new commodity price forecasts. Our ongoing caution on the mining sector appears well founded as price plunges continue unabated. 2015 looks set for another year of pain as a headwind of weak prices bite into company profits, despite some saving grace from lower oil and other input costs. As we highlighted in our last sector piece, downgrades, cost cuts, dividends and asset revaluations are likely to be atheme through this year as miners struggle to operate in a lower price environment.
On a longer term view, there is value to be had by sticking to quality names and avoiding risk, perceived or otherwise. We continue to recommend a more defensive stance with Acacia, Fresnillo and Petra our picks.
● Growth, Quality & Management. We stick with our defensive criteria; we move Acacia to a pick, replacing a fully-valued Randgold, a quality company which still has to prove its stripes, but has potential for high reward. The share price has been strong and looks overbought at these levels but we see plenty of room to deliver. Alongside Fresnillo and Petra, these all have superior growth profiles to counteract flat to falling commodity prices, high quality assets to weather any downturn and strong management to deliver on business plans. We have no copper pick given price headwinds, limited growth and short term challenges. Berkeley and Highfield are our favoured juniors, with quality projects in excellent jurisdictions and recovering commodities. Many other covered stocks have attractive investment opportunities but in subdued commodities which are struggling to see a positive price response.
goldfinger
- 15 Jan 2015 16:27
- 142 of 290
Harry excelent broker note, do you subscribe to money ams broker site ?
goldfinger
- 15 Jan 2015 16:28
- 143 of 290
From tuesday....... just found this on advfn.....
Motley Fool today > With profit having fallen over the last couple of years and its share price being 52% lower than three years ago, it's been a tough period for Fresnillo (LSE: FRES). Still, its shares continue to trade on a very rich multiple of 31 and, looking ahead to its growth forecasts, they seem to be worth it.
That's because Fresnillo is expected to increase its bottom line by 51% in the current year, followed by 34% next year. Part of the reason for this is its ultra-low cost base that, as the largest silver producer in the world, allows it to maintain relatively high levels of production while many of its rivals struggle to turn a profit.
As such, its bottom line looks set to benefit and, with a PEG ratio of just 0.6, investors in the company could benefit from a higher share price moving forward, too.
HARRYCAT
- 15 Jan 2015 16:38
- 144 of 290
Nope. I just trawl around for info. I find most info is available without paying for it!
goldfinger
- 15 Jan 2015 16:38
- 145 of 290
I hold Acacia aswel, but HOC is well worth a look especially the chart.
goldfinger
- 15 Jan 2015 18:52
- 146 of 290
cheers Harry.
goldfinger
- 16 Jan 2015 08:21
- 147 of 290
Yesterdays Guardian.......
Randgold and Fresnillo rise as gold and silver benefit from Swiss move
Investors seeks havens as Swiss decision to remove euro peg causes market havok.
The shock move by the Swiss Bank to end the currency peg against the euro has sent the euro tumbling, put markets under pressure and sent investors scurrying for havens for their cash.
So inevitably gold is benefiting, rising 2% to a 12 week high of $1259 an ounce while silver is up from $16.8 to $17.1.
Michael Hewson at CMC Markets said:
The ripple out effect of [the Swiss move] is likely to be hard to quantify, and we could well get a lot more volatility as investors and markets in general try and work out what this sudden change in policy means for future central bank promises going forward, but it seems likely that the US dollar could well benefit, as well as gold, as investors look again at the more traditional havens.
This morning’s moves also highlight how fragile financial markets still are nearly six years after the financial crisis despite trillions of dollars of central bank largesse and the risk is that markets start to lose faith in these new masters of the universe as investors look at central bank promises with large dollops of scepticism.
The gold and silver move has also benefited precious metal miners, with Randgold Resources rising to the top of the FTSE 100, up 215p to £51.65. Mexican miner Fresnillo is close behind, 28p better at 844p.
Overall the FTSE 100 is currently down 39.31 points at 6349.15, having trading in a 172 point range in a volatile morning.
The Swiss stock market, meanwhile, is now down 11% and on course for its worst daily performance on record.
goldfinger
- 16 Jan 2015 13:51
- 148 of 290
Warming up now.
Great hedge against stocks going down.
Bought HOC on the pull back this morning.
goldfinger
- 16 Jan 2015 15:26
- 150 of 290
Gold through 1270 resistance level.
This is getting interesting.
Already in profit with HOC.
Balerboy
- 16 Jan 2015 16:31
- 151 of 290
goldfinger
- 16 Jan 2015 17:20
- 152 of 290
Good site that BB, cheers Ill save it to favs.
Been a corker for gold and silver today.
goldfinger
- 17 Jan 2015 11:45
- 153 of 290
London’s leading gold forecaster: gold to average $1321 in 2015
By Tom Winnifrith | Saturday 17 January 2015
Over the past 15 years Ross Norman of Sharps Pixley has been the forecaster with the best record in the LBMA for predicting gold price moves so you should take his gold price forecasts seriously. Ross writes, "We are going out on a limb this year." Indeed.
AVERAGE : $1321
HIGH : $1450
LOW : $1170
If markets move on what you don't know today, but will know tomorrow then it follows that many factors such as a US interest rate rises should already be factored into the current price... it also begs the question what the new drivers for 2015 will be. We see ongoing declines in economic growth prompting central banks to fight deflation by resorting to inflationary pressures in H2.
If our outlook for gold in dollar terms is bullish, in emerging currencies it may be even more so as investors seek to insure or hedge against currency debasement. As such, we foresee good demand for the physical.
Most annoyingly for bulls in 2014, gold exhibited 'rally fade' despite a global economy that was as fragile as ever. Our forecast is predicated on gold becoming price inelastic (as it was in the early 2000's) and able to sustain the momentum. I say annoyingly because arguably never before have savers potentially so needed an asset with the wealth preservation qualities that gold provides ... yet the price performance these last few years has disappointed.
In short, we see gold demonstrating that it has turned a corner and investor flows return with a vengeance, aided by short covering and fresh longs in the futures markets. Perhaps most disappointingly though we are unlikely to see runaway prices beyond the $1450 level without either significant new product innovations or without the sort of black swan events in the economy that few of us would wish for.
SILVER
AVERAGE : $18.56
HIGH : $21.75
LOW : $14.50
With a firm outlook for gold, it follows that our expectations for silver would be similar ... and a little more so... such is silver's propensity to follow gold in a exaggerated fashion. Investors will take comfort from
silver ETF holdings which have remained firm (unlike gold) coupled with retail sales of the physical coins and bars which have remained robust.
Even mine production looks set for a modest decline back to levels last seen in 1999. With 75% of silver being produced as a by-product of base metals mining, the weaker global economy may well prompt some cut-backs in mining those host metals. Equally, demand from industrial applications will be correspondingly weaker, but investors (... or more likely speculators) are normally on hand to fill the void.
Like gold, silver does seem to struggle to sustain momentum to the upside as it experiences 'rally fade' for this reason we do not see the likelihood of runaway prices just yet.
goldfinger
- 18 Jan 2015 21:36
- 154 of 290
Gold miners are starting to look good again – but expect a rough ride
By: Dominic Frisby
14/01/2015
http://moneyweek.com/gold-miners-look-good-again-but-expect-a-rough-ride/
goldfinger
- 19 Jan 2015 09:12
- 155 of 290
CHARLES STANLEY BROKERS
Commodities
Gold (1279.81) – the surge in the gold price continues, aided by the Swiss currency move
(the Swiss are widely seen as buyers of the precious metal) and by its safe-haven
characteristics. Last week’s 4.66% advance is notable for the fact that it resulted in a clear
move above the long-term downtrend and the extent of the break has changed the basis
somewhat, to the extent that further strength now appears to be a realistic expectation
(notwithstanding the fact that the price has become somewhat overbought of late). The next
upside target is last August’s intermediate high, at $1313 or so.
doodlebug4
- 19 Jan 2015 16:42
- 156 of 290
doodlebug4
- 19 Jan 2015 17:06
- 157 of 290
BMO Chief Economist Doug Porter warned that interest rates could move higher sooner rather than later in 2015. His 2015 outlook for gold is that it will trade, broadly speaking, where it is today. His assumption for next year is $1,190 per ounce. If the market perceives inflation is becoming a concern, it would be constructive for the gold price. (source)
Erica Rannestad, senior analyst, precious metals demand, Thomson Reuters GFMS, agreed that gold prices will likely be lower in the first half of the year because of the Fed’s expected action, which she called “the top driver” for gold-price direction. She said gold prices will likely consolidate in 2015, and lists and a 2015 average price $1,175, with prices trending higher in the second half of the year. (source)
Rob Haworth, senior investment strategist, U.S. Bank Wealth Management, said the following: “Looming Federal Reserve interest rate increases in the second half of 2015 and the stronger U.S. dollar will keep pressure on gold prices through the year. The gold market could see rallies if demand improves for physical gold, but weaker growth in much of the world will temper such prospects.” (source)
TD Securities said gold prices in the first half of 2015 could also find pressure from the slow growth in China and Europe, along with the sharp drop in crude oil prices, which is disinflationary. “Less inflation tends to lift real rates and reduce demand from investors, who buy gold and silver as a hedge. Lack of investable petrodollars, after the recent oil price collapse, also negatively hit demand for real assets and may lift Treasury yields just as the Fed will no longer be there to pick up the slack now that it ended its QE-inspired asset purchase program.” (source)
Citi Research estimates the average price for gold at $1,220 in 2015.
TD Securities lists its average 2015 gold price at $1,225.
Natixis forecast gold at $1,140.
JP Morgan revised its gold price forecast 4% lower to $1,220 per ounce, citing lower inflation, reduced inflation expectations, higher US interest rates and a stronger US dollar. “While seasonal, physical buying emerged in Asian markets in September after a drop in price, many headwinds strengthened at the same time. The Asian gold consumer – a major supportive factor last year – proved to be very price sensitive and has been unwilling to step into the market at prices above $1,260. Gold investors, in both Western and Asian countries, have also been largely absent from the market for the majority of this year.” (source)
In an interview with Mineweby, S&P credit analyst Jarrett Bilous said: “We have a relatively stable gold price at $1,200 through 2015-16, and that incorporates our expectation for relatively modest US inflation below 2% through 2016. But we also believe that gold prices will remain particularly susceptible to shifts toward higher US interest rate expectations and a stronger US dollar. We are not forecasting a gold price below $1,200, but there’s certainly the potential that prices could weaken given that, at $1,200 per ounce, the price of gold is close to 50% higher than it was in 2008 when the US started cutting interest rates to support the US financial system. We are expecting at that price, gold will remain highly volatile. It is certainly possible that gold will drop below $1,100. But below that level there’s a lot of capacity in the industry that would not be profitable and would be generating negative free cash flow. So it’s questionable how long certain mines would remain open if prices were to remain consistently below that level.”
goldfinger
- 19 Jan 2015 17:10
- 158 of 290
Fresnillo : *UBS CUTS FRESNILLO PRICE TARGET TO 950 PENCE - 'BUY'
more or less in line with my Chart target.
doodlebug4
- 19 Jan 2015 17:17
- 159 of 290
Looks like post 153 is a load of nonsense.