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GEONG - new Chinese software provider just being discovered (GNG)     

rivaldo55555 - 22 Nov 2006 22:47

I bought some GNG recently at 18p (price now up to 26p) given:

- excellent trading update giving a current year P/E of 8 or 9 on likely 3p-3.5p EPS
- 2.6p historic EPS to 31/3/06 and a historic P/E of 10
- contract wins announced post-IPO in June 2006
- 1.9m of net assets, with 820k of cash, against a 6.8m m/cap
- results to be announced 28th November following the trading update

Here's the trading update:
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20061031080000P4198

I gather GNG's CEO and CHairman (both superb English speakers) will be over here next week to tour the City, give press interviews etc.

GNG intended to raise $7m at IPO, but raised only 500k due to terrible matket conditions at the time in June. Despite this they've now announced that they're almost going to meet the broker's estimates as calculated on raising the full $7m.

GNG should now be on course to make around 3p-3.5p EPS this year to March'07. This leaves them on a current year P/E of only around 8 or 9.

Heres their IPO RNS from 23rd June 2006 (the Board of Directors is extremely impressive):

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20060623081500PF52B

This is what GNG do:
GEONG has established itself as one of the market leaders in the Peoples Republic of China in providing content management solution software products and related services for large enterprises. GEONG's flagship product range, the GEONG PortalAge series, is used by the top 5 Chinese banks and 12 out of the top 20 securities firms in China. It is an enterprise server software product which combines a number of optional business solution components and customisation modules that can be used to provide individual solutions for a range of industries including those that require real-time or time critical applications such as internet banking.

Note the wording a range of industries.

In slightly more detail, GNG has a 6.8m m/cap, with 26.12m shares in issue.

GNG made $1.28m post-tax profit for the year to 31/3/06. At $1.87 that's 685k, or 2.6p EPS, for a historic P/E of just 10.

The brokers forecast on IPO was for $1.89m post-tax profit this year to 31/3/07, or around 3.7p EPS, for a P/E of just 7.

And per the pro forma in the prospectus GNG had at 30/4/06 1.9m of net assets, including 820k of cash, against the current 6.8m m/cap. Thus the continuing business making a $1.28m historic profit after tax is valued at just 4.9m.

The prospectus noted that GNG are trading in line, and there's been some excellent announcements post-IPO at the end of June to indicate that things are continuing to go well:

July : a $350k contract win with Huawei-3Com, who employ more than 4,500 people worldwide:
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20060724074128PFD9C

October : a $500k contract win with Air China:
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20061018071237PC25A

In the same RNS, GNG stated that their solutions "are already being used by Shanghai Airlines and China Travel International and will allow us to gain a larger share in this fast growing sector."

October : core supplier status from IBM:
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20061018071206PB237

November : new contract win with China's Bank of Communication (one of China's "Big Four" banks):
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20061121070205P7788

The reason for the post-IPO fall is some of the pre-IPO $300,000 loan note holders from late 2005 turning their converted stock for a quick profit, and a complete lack of PR. GNG also raised less than they hoped for on IPO because they floated just after the FTSE had dropped calamitously from 6,100 in May to 5,600 - this of course also contributed to the artificial fall in the share price post-IPO.

Note also from the prospectus that 80.16% of the shareholders, including the directors, are locked in for from 6 months to a year, so there are only 5.2m shares in free float, or around 1m worth.

On a 6.8m m/cap, a company making 1m post-tax profit could have rather a long way to go imo. DYOR etc.

Corporate website : http://www.geong.com/Site/Home/EN

soul traders - 28 Mar 2007 12:54 - 142 of 382

Good stuff. Nice post, Riv.

I thought SmartBox would be inherently less valuable in revenue terms as it is an off-the-peg solution (correct me if I'm wrong about any of this!).

However, the contract sounds like a very decent endorsement of GNG's product, and is clearly a good one for Geong to point at when asked "Who are your customers for this product?"

PDYOR, etc.

micky468 - 28 Mar 2007 13:14 - 143 of 382

i'll back you up on that med / long trem but i also think 65p friday

soul traders - 28 Mar 2007 13:28 - 144 of 382

LOL - full marks for your persistence! All right, we'll see. :o)

HARRYCAT - 28 Mar 2007 14:03 - 145 of 382

Do we have a broker target price for this stock.?
I have re-read all the previous posts, but not found any mention.

rivaldo55555 - 28 Mar 2007 16:08 - 146 of 382

Soul Traders, not sure I agree there - SmartBox is imo the product that could transform GNG as it's a mass-market product with instantly recognisable profits as opposed to PortalAge's spread of revenue over a period of time. The amount of small and medium-sized businesses in China which must need modernisation and efficient content management is mind-boggling, and hopefully GNG have the commercial and governmental contacts to make SmartBox work.

By the way, I've never seen a broker price target for GNG - maybe after a 31/3 trading statement or the year end results?

moneyplus - 28 Mar 2007 16:21 - 147 of 382

rivaldo don't overlook vialogy-it's just as exciting as gng. I hold both.

ValueMax - 28 Mar 2007 18:20 - 148 of 382

Smartbox will bring in a greater % profit but, per unit, will bring in less than PortalAge.

soul traders - 28 Mar 2007 19:10 - 149 of 382

Thanks Riv, I sit corrected :o)

Yep, I would expect a price target after the FY results. however, you know how it is with these smaller co's - many get overlooked by the analysts.

soul traders - 13 Apr 2007 09:30 - 150 of 382

Having a nice recovery this morning after recent profit-taking: GNG Bid: 55p Offer: 59p Change: 5 only 20K traded so far, and no news that I can see.

soul traders - 23 Apr 2007 16:15 - 151 of 382

Putting on a spurt suddenly at the end of the afternoon: GNG Bid: 60p Offer: 63p Change: 4

moneyplus - 23 Apr 2007 17:59 - 152 of 382

results soon maybe?

soul traders - 25 Apr 2007 13:07 - 153 of 382

Probably sometime in May, MP.

Meanwhile, how about this?

Geong International Limited - Contract win

Embargoed: 07.00am, 25 April 2007

GEONG INTERNATIONAL LIMITED

CONTRACT GAIN

GEONG SUPPORTS OLYMPIC 2008 SPONSORS

GEONG International Limited ('GEONG' or 'the Company'), the AIM listed, Beijing
based, provider of content management software and solutions, announces that it
has signed an annual contract to provide its PortalAgeTM software and services
to Lenovo Group Limited ('Lenovo') which the Directors estimate has the
potential to be worth between US$1,860,000 and US$2,620,000.

Lenovo is the third largest PC supplier in the world employing 24,500 people
and supplying PC's to over 160 countries. Under the terms of the contract with
Lenovo, GEONG will design, build, deploy and operate a bespoke system based on
its leading PortalAgeTM Enterprise Content Management software establishing a
worldwide dealer communication and management system.

The system will be an extension of the ThinkWorld Users Club system which was
designed by GEONG and has been used by IBM PC/Lenovo since 2003. GEONG intends
to seek further agreements of this kind and further applications for its
PortalAgeTM software.

Commenting on the contract, Wang Weidong, Chief Executive Officer of GEONG,
said: 'The contract signed with Lenovo highlights the calibre of our software
suite, the quality of our services and the successful execution of our
strategy. I am delighted that PortalAgeTM will be used to support Lenovo in
their global operations and key strategic decisions.''Companies are looking to make the most of the increase in revenue that will
come as a result of the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games and we are seeing an
increase in demand for our software and services. GEONG has now signed
contracts with a number of leading sponsors including Lenovo, Bank of China,
Air China and FAW Volkswagen.

-ends-

soul traders - 25 Apr 2007 13:08 - 154 of 382

Up again today:
GNG Bid: 63p Offer: 66p Change: 3

291K traded. 18 mil mkt cap.

moneyplus - 25 Apr 2007 16:12 - 155 of 382

This is just the early days in what looks to be a potential giant of a company. It has most of china's blue chip companies as clients and is a long term hold for me!

soul traders - 25 Apr 2007 16:36 - 156 of 382

MP, I like the way this one is shaping up, too, and may top up the next time it hits a trough. I was back up to double money briefly this morning, so that was nice :o)

moneyplus - 25 Apr 2007 16:47 - 157 of 382

soul-what do you think of my new selections on drivers tips? I'm also waiting to buy some SFT sold at a loss but now coming back, Tol and I like SGI very much. sold prty and bought EPY for my isa today as I think that one is coming back now.
nice day today!!

soul traders - 25 Apr 2007 17:04 - 158 of 382

MP, I think EPY may well be heading in the right direction - I'd call that a pretty stunning upturn in revenues and earnings, however, I haven't done more than scan the highlights in the last results.

When you say "nice day" I assume you don't mean the weather! I had a good one too. Have been experimenting with momentum trading and chart-watching, using T+20 or T+25 settlement. Today I bought LVD when it was up approx 40p, so I have done nicely there. Sold my WGB for 5% profit in 8 days. Also got into CCT which I think is primed to go higher.

NOP seems to be a good buy-and-hold. Got back into this yesterday.

By the way, do you subscribe to "Momentum Investor" or any of the tipsheets? good luck with all of yours.

ST.

moneyplus - 26 Apr 2007 12:25 - 159 of 382

Hi soul yes I take red hot penny shares but not very impressed with it and I signed up to Lemming investor.com well worth 60 as I have made more from that than ever before. just about every share they research has done very well eventually--they did TMC and I didn't buy until yesterday kicking myself for leaving it so long!
epy I found myself. I've just been pointed in the direction of cdn--again left it late but I'm now in. I also look carefully at the first page of the other side and pick up some shares that seem to be causing great excitement-certain posters I respect are good at telling each other to check out certain shares.I tag along as well!

rivaldo55555 - 26 Apr 2007 12:33 - 160 of 382

Hi folks - not a bad contract yesterday was it? Only Lenovo, one of the biggest companies in Asia, and only achieving around 20% of the forecast turnover to March '08 in just one contract, that's all...

I've just come across this which hasn't been posted before from earlier this month.

Note that they expect a "rapid revaluation" from 64.5p....and this was written before yesterday's news:

http://www.growthcompany.co.uk/market-research/254572/gall-eke-corporate-partners.thtml

"Gall & Eke Corporate Partners
Companies: GNG
03/04/2007

Gall & Eke reckons that investors should take a look at Geong International. It is a leading provider of content management software and solutions and possesses the second-largest market share of collaboration software products in China, according to the China Centre of Industry Development. Geongs products are provided to a wide range of companies including the top five Chinese banks and two of the top three Chinese futures exchanges, as well as multinational corporations such as IBM and Dell.

Geong recently strengthened its core market through contracts with Haitong Securities and China Asset Management and has reached agreements with Volkswagen and Shanghai General Motors deals that mark its expansion into the automobile sector. Geongs first half results were also impressive, with gross profit up 51 per cent to $1.55 million. The multitude of recent contract wins, coupled with the companys impressive results, demonstrate strong growth potential. Currently trading at a 12-month rolling forward p/e of approximately 11, with earnings growth of 22 per cent, the stock is attractive.

The markets within which Geong operates are forecast for strong growth, particularly Chinas information and technology sector. Gall & Eke believes that this, when combined with the implementation of Geongs strategy to gain penetration into the second tier of Chinese banks, will provide a catalyst for rapid revaluation of the shares. (Gall & Eke associates are holders of this stock.)

GEONG International AIM 16.96m 64.50p"

moneyplus - 26 Apr 2007 12:57 - 161 of 382

Rivaldo is definitely one to take notice of-he talks about some good companies.
I'm pleased to say I beat him too it on this one!
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