Alkane Energy - Back to 100p
Says Zak Mir of Zaks-TA.com
The stock market is full of hyperbole, especially from tipsters. I chanced upon Alkane Energy today and my immediate reaction was that it is the best stock chart I have ever seen.

This may sound somewhat melodramatic, but I do not think that it is an exaggeration. As all traders know (including Nick Leeson if you are reading), the way to make real money is by betting the bank on the really big calls. That is the aim of my site. Nick, if you're still there, now is the time to go long of Alkane Energy - it has to be a better bet than a Nikkei arbitrage.

Although a chartist is fully allowed to ignore the fundamentals and look purely at the technicals, the fundamental background to Alkane is a company that declared losses of 284,000 pounds in its last set of results versus 20 million pounds in the previous year. This is a great recovery situation just in financial terms and the hopes of the bulls are carried in the form of a very extended base on the chart below 20p that was in place for nearly three years. The charting rule is that the longer the base, the bigger and more powerful the eventual breakout. This would imply that we are looking at the possibility of a full return to the highs seen at the start of the decade towards 100p.

Only an end of day close below the 10 week moving average on the weekly chart at 19p would even begin to cast doubt on the upside. The minimum expected target in the near term would be the 40 week moving average now running through 40p.

I think it needs a big player involved to really get this business moving.Someone with real drive and political clout.One factor could be that methane is the most poluting of greenhouse gases.Even on a small scale this business can do more for the enviroment than say wind power.If fully developed the gains could be massive.

IF IT gets too cheap eggbert- could certainly interest some predators. i'm holding through this -who knows where it will go sh/term but still remain positive for a med long term recovery.

makes you wonder if someone like bp would not be looking to buy into companies like alk?. still spitting blood with the management.

Too rite!

You would not really think the big players would be bothered with Alk.But it could give them an instant new energy source.Alk also hold the licences for any future developments in this field.
I was holding the share because i was confident good results were coming.I will continue to hold in the hope of some kind of buyout.I don't think this management can do any more with the business.

the buy v sell ratio is interesting somebody still believes in them (as i do). could it be a bargain here?>

still fuming at the rns- after waiting for news for MONTHS- i do however think this fall is overdone and still believe in the comany. for this reason i bought more @23p. am i mad?.

Yes . Most probably. But fear not . For it be a collective thing and affects both Kings and beggars alike ........l used to have an antedote called alcohol. The rest is irrelavent .l dont have a position in this stock myself but even i admit the market has overpunished it . ......or rather the management which are utter PANTS ..,,@+ J

Some big buys late yesterday lizard.I bought a few more myself.

We either need a takeover or better news when the results are released.

the fall yesterday was justified but imo overdone- looking at 30p mark. this could be a blessing and give them a kick up the a***!

reading on another thread that Gartmore have increased holding with further 4m purchase- not on this news or the other thread news service?.

your right lizard,Gartmore now hold 16.4 %.Has been going up steadilyall year.Lets hope they come in for the kill.

i'm interested to see what results are like?- why would gartmore make such a substantial holding increase after this news AND before results. maybe the results will be more optimistic?. brewin dolphin estimated 700k profit- obviously we won't get that BUT are they in profit for the first time?>

Profit warning from Alkane
MoneyAM
Alkane Energy said its full year resutls will be below expectations and that it expects to show a pre-exceptional operating loss.

However, the outlook for mine gas power generation in the UK is 'excellent,' it said in a trading update.

The economic and political climate remains very favourable for the renewable electricity and carbon credits markets in which Alkane is a growing force, it said. Both these markets are expected to be strong drivers for sales and service over the next few years.

Alkane Energy builds, operates and services climate change reduction and renewable energy plants.

I'm sorry to upset the equilibrium with this post. I feel sorry for Alkane holders, I've been there before with disappointing results from Tadpole and superscape before, always promising the earth "this time". They might go up, but you don't need the hassle really. There's so many companies out there making profits or hidden gems on low PEs that you don't need to invest in such companies, you don't owe them anything, all these companies talk about product innovations etc but what about profits, that's all investors should be interested in. I'm sorry to come onto your board and be negative, i have no interest in shorting alkane or buying it or anything, I just get fed up with these companies that promise the earth and
deliver losses.

If you look at the forward statement in the preceeding post it's very nebulous. Very general relating to the whole renewable climate as opposed to their performance specifically. If it's going to be a winner then you'll have plenty of upside when it starts to make profits and get stronger you don't need to take the risk beforehand.

It may go up now, a dead cat bounce?, but I wouldn't place too much emphasis on Gartmore's holding. Gartmore are being put up for sale as we speak by their American owners because they've been doing so badly. Gartmore also had large holdings in Langbar and Superscape, fund managers can be as stupid as the rest of us.

correct me if i'm wrong but didn't UBS increase their holding last week AFTER this news and before results on the 22nd. now their not doing badly are they!.

long term hold for me!. to confirm my belief increased holding @23p, a level at which imo vastly undervalues the company!.

yes maybe
but then UBS bought about a 'trillion' shares in Fortune Oil at 9p a year or so ago

and that hasnt done them any good at all

not looking that great atm- imo any buyers are waiting to results to see how bad or not so bad they are?. that is the question.

;

Have you all deserted? Results not that bad. Plenty of buying today!!

yes- not as bad as i thought- a 200k loss is better than a 700k loss. so heading in the right direction albeit slowly. in profit next results is my target!.