Sharesmagazine
 Home   Log In   Register   Our Services   My Account   Contact   Help 
 Stockwatch   Level 2   Portfolio   Charts   Share Price   Awards   Market Scan   Videos   Broker Notes   Director Deals   Traders' Room 
 Funds   Trades   Terminal   Alerts   Heatmaps   News   Indices   Forward Diary   Forex Prices   Shares Magazine   Investors' Room 
 CFDs   Shares   SIPPs   ISAs   Forex   ETFs   Comparison Tables   Spread Betting 
You are NOT currently logged in
Register now or login to post to this thread.

Falklands Oil and Gas (FOGL) (FOGL)     

Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 04:53

.

required field - 10 Sep 2012 15:40 - 1551 of 2393

Still don't understand why this release...in response to what or why...market speculation ???....the sp has not done anything unusual...so why ?....might has well have waited to results are known...... not happy about this because it is neither one nor the other...

Proselenes - 10 Sep 2012 16:02 - 1552 of 2393

Three Bears (bottom target) is P50 of 1.588 Billion recoverable barrels of which FOGL has 75%.

Thats a good 4 times bigger than Sea Lion for RKH.

cynic - 10 Sep 2012 16:05 - 1553 of 2393

ALWAYS ASSUMING THEY FIND ANYTHING AT ALL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Shortie - 10 Sep 2012 16:17 - 1554 of 2393

Thats right, assuming they do find anything at all... With all those shares Pro you must be feeling rather sick right now, having your unrealised profits slashed by some 50%.

Shortie - 10 Sep 2012 16:18 - 1555 of 2393

And there was me thinking it'd just dip below 78p this afternoon, dream on!

ahoj - 10 Sep 2012 16:20 - 1556 of 2393

looks like Fu..lands oil today.
Why did u sell?

HARRYCAT - 10 Sep 2012 16:20 - 1557 of 2393

At this rate it will be back above 78p by tomorrow afternoon!

cynic - 10 Sep 2012 16:23 - 1558 of 2393

me? for the reason stated

grevis2 - 10 Sep 2012 16:27 - 1559 of 2393

What on earth are we to deduce from this:

"No abnormal pressures have been encountered during the drilling of the well and all operations have been conducted without issue."

Shortie - 10 Sep 2012 16:40 - 1560 of 2393

At best all that can be expected is a trace of oil or gas but nothing commercial, might as well have announced a duster.... Thats how I'm reading this.

Proselenes - 10 Sep 2012 16:42 - 1561 of 2393

From SB on TMF.


............I recall the sequence of events as DES announcing oil AFTER logging but BEFORE sampling. What looked like oil on the logs was actually very fresh water due to the lacustrine depositional environment. Can't blame FOGL for being cautious and saying nowt until both logging and sampling is complete.

I see nothing in the RNS that could lead one to lean one way or the other. The statement about pressure, says nothing about the likelihood of oil or gas being found, it just means the area is normally pressured, which is good news. (IMHO)

Time line as I see it is:

Finish drilling tomorrow Tues, then wiper trip and circulate to clean all cuttings out, and pull out of hole.

Start logging Tues night.
Have all open hole logs done Wed night.
Wiper trip to condition hole for Fluid sampling
Start fluid sampling Thursday. Quite short if not much found in the way of hydrocarbons, but would probably want a sample of conate water even in the event of a duster since it is a new area Could be as long as 3 days if good hydrocarbon zones found.
Condition hole again and take Vertical seismic profile, then sidewall cores.

Once any fluid sampling is complete they will be in position to make an announcement, but they will "know" (well, 99%) as soon as they see the first logging run results...................

Shortie - 10 Sep 2012 17:04 - 1562 of 2393

At the end of June, Falkland Oil & Gas said it had $220m of cash on its books. More importantly, when its current drilling programme is completed, and assuming there are no material overruns, it expects to have around $200m (approx £125m) remaining.

£125m / 320m shares in issue is 39p, shares currently trading at 68p so 29p per share is the premium associated with the current drilling programme call it risked if you wish.

Looks to me like the market is calling this a duster and places a 29p per share premium on the second drill prospect....

cynic - 10 Sep 2012 17:16 - 1563 of 2393

a lot of heavy bear closing at the end, but clearly just precautionary

halifax - 10 Sep 2012 17:34 - 1564 of 2393

cynic your "friend" PP has gone very quiet, are we awaiting another Falklands burst bubble?

required field - 10 Sep 2012 17:40 - 1565 of 2393

Firstly, the company hasn't said anything....if they have found something : they are very tight-lipped about it....I was hoping for some rumours ahead of results but....nothing....this could still come incredibly right.....the good thing is that there are no well problems....I would have thought that it would be incredibly difficult to keep any oil rumours quiet....the sp might rebound back tomorrow...

HARRYCAT - 10 Sep 2012 17:48 - 1566 of 2393

Get set for a turbulent day tomorrow! Might be worth a dabble regardless of imminent news.

blackdown - 10 Sep 2012 17:48 - 1567 of 2393

What's an 'oil rumpur'? Sounds like something you rub on.

chuckles - 10 Sep 2012 17:50 - 1568 of 2393

grannyboy - 09 Sep 2012 18:59 - 1507 of 1563

And like they say you have to be in it to win it!!.. Take it you're not...lmao

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Still laughing your ass off?

Hope for the sake of those who got in too deep or even at all the next RNS is more positive.

And in answer to your question, no, I wasn't in here grannyboy, nor any other wild cat oil exploration company. I prefer to invest in over-sold oil stocks with Proven Reserves, such as XEL, up 61% since I bought back in and BLVN, up 18%.

Overall my spread bet account is up over 100% since the beginning of August, none of which has been achieved by gambling on this type of stock. Not boasting, a simple fact based on simple value investing.


chuckles - 10 Sep 2012 17:55 - 1569 of 2393

Cynic, the reason I mentioned CHAR was that rampers like Proselenes always quote these crazy OIP figures as if it's some kind of guarantee that oil will be found. CHAR were talking about 13 BILLION barrels from seismic which drove the share price up to 350p. So far both of their drills have come up dry, so OIP means nothing, if that makes sense?

required field - 10 Sep 2012 17:59 - 1570 of 2393

Blackdown...it's a new kind of dance...sorry....will correct...
Register now or login to post to this thread.