The STRONG Support will be if gap is fill @ 125?

But GAP's not always get fill, specially if they are so far away down

The only reason the share price has fallen for the last couple days is for the news of the placing, otherwise everything is OK with the company, and even today the OIL price is rising to new highs

intraday resistance @ 145p

That will be the figure to look for, already reached once and fallen again
It was ( looking at the intraday chart ) the price the Market Makers drop to at the start of the day
once it get over that then time to look forward to stronger bounce back

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

WTI Crude futures are up almost 6%, spiking above $48.50 into the close and options expiration… no fundamental catalyst for now… Once again, crude futures have been ‘spoofed’ all day so this is hardly a surprise.

Mootley Fools have fallen to its depths as no writer has any credibility for some time now and certainly this one falls into that category..................

Why Ophir Energy Plc Is Plunging Today… And Why I Would Sell!
By Motley Fool | Thu, 30th April 2015 - 10:41

It's not a great a time to be invested in small oil and gas producers, and today's news about Ophir Energy's (LSE:OPHR) placing just reinforces that view. Its shareholders were the biggest losers in the FTSE 250 on Thursday at the time of writing.

The Placing

Ophir announced today that Kulczyk Entities, its second-largest shareholder, had sold 56.6m shares at 140p apiece for about £79.3m. Following the completion of the placing of its 8% stake, Kulczyk Entities will not hold any ordinary shares in the company.

This is a big problem, for two reasons. First, Ophir loses credibility and a key, cash-rich shareholder at a critical time when relationships are vital to its success, particularly when it comes to looking for new partnerships.

Second, it loses a possible source of cash: Ophir is solid financially, and has cash on the balance sheet, but may need to raise funds in the next 36 months if its assets do not produce the required level of cash flows.

Inevitably, the shares were hammered in early trade today, having lost 11% of value so far. More pain may lie ahead, and here's why you'd do well to cut your losses if you are invested.

My Take

If weakness in oil prices persists, the oil and gas producer could become less comfortable with its cash position, as heavy investment remains core to its strategy.

As I recently argued, the good news is that Ophir's balance sheet isn't stretched, but to fund its ambitious expansion plans, it may need up to $500m a year in heavy investment -- and those are funding requirements for much bigger players.

Ophir, whose core assets are based in Africa, has recently announced to have almost halved its capex programme to $250-300 million, but nobody really knows if it'll manage to stick to the plan as it needs investment to grow as a profitable entity.

Opportunity/Salamander/Oil

If you think this is a good opportunity to snap up the shares, also consider that Ophir has lost about $250m in the past three years, and is unlikely to report meaningful economic profits at least until 2017.

M&A is also core to its strategy, which heightens the risk of the investment.

When Asian oil explorer Salamander Energy was bought at the end of 2014, the all-stock deal held a "compelling strategic logic", according to management, but only analysts seem to have bought into such an argument. It has yet to be seen whether the deal makes any sense financially and economically.

The acquisition of Salamander, which was completed last month, hasn't done much to lift spirits, and Ophir stock has gone nowhere since November, in spite of bullish price targets from analysts, according to which Ophir should now be worth more than 200p a share, rather than 143p.

Ophir remains a "high-risk/uncertain-return" investment -- one for which you may record hefty losses if Brent stays below $65 per barrel into 2016.

It looks like the buyback is completed. Lets see how the share behave without the buyback........

Buyback of Own Shares
London, 1 May 2015: Ophir Energy plc (the "Company") announces that it has purchased the following number of ordinary shares

Date of purchase
1 May 2015
Number of shares purchased
393,612
Daily VWAP (pence)
144.49

The purchased shares will be all held as treasury shares. Following the purchase of these shares, the Company holds, or will hold 40,858,062 of its own shares in treasury.

This purchase completes the US$100m share buyback programme announced on 29 August 2014.

Was that some very good news ?
1 - 67000 boepd
2 - number of development wells required for first production from seven to three
3 - and capital expenditure have been reduced by $200 million

Ophir Energy Plc - 05 May 2015

Appointment of Golar LNG as Midstream Partner for Fortuna FLNG Project in Equatorial Guinea

Ophir Energy plc ("Ophir" or "the Company") announces it has signed a binding heads of terms for a midstream chartering and operating services agreement with Golar LNG ("Golar") with the agreement of GEPetrol, its partner in Block R in Equatorial Guinea, who will formally ratify it next week. This agreement establishes the key commercial terms for Golar to build, operate and maintain the floating liquefaction and storage vessel and facilities at Ophir's operated Fortuna floating liquefied natural gas (FLNG) project in Block R, Equatorial Guinea. The vessel to be used will be Golar's Gimi FLNG vessel.

Nick Cooper, Chief Executive of Ophir Energy, commented:

"Finalising our midstream partner is a significant step forward for the Fortuna FLNG project. This agreement accelerates the date of first gas and reduces costs in a critical part of the value chain. We believe the terms of the agreement allow the project to deliver LNG at attractive returns into both Pacific Basin and Atlantic Basin LNG customers. The agreement completes the value chain economics and allows Ophir to confidently plan for first gas, and c. 67,000 boepd of production by mid-2019.

At a time when many other greenfield LNG projects are decelerating, Ophir has elected to accelerate the Fortuna FLNG Project to secure what we believe will be a better market opportunity at first gas, and to lock in anticipated reductions in upstream development costs. We will now move immediately into the define phase of the upstream and midstream projects with a view to reaching Final Investment Decision ("FID") by mid-2016.

We are pleased to have secured Golar as a partner; the firm is a leading provider of FLNG solutions and the flexible, competitive commercial terms we have agreed will ensure that FID can be taken at current LNG prices. Ophir sees many parallels with the emergence of leased FPSOs approximately 25 years ago for oil developments. The re-fitting of vessels and leasing them to independent E&P companies in an oil field context both unlocked a series of oil assets and also provided competitive advantage to those early adopters of the technology. Ophir believes that the same is now about to happen in a gas field context for FLNG."

Golar will operate the Gimi under a twenty-year charter term. During this period it will be responsible for the sub-sea well control, receiving, liquefying and offloading the gas to LNG vessels. Ophir, as the operator of the Upstream component of the project, will lease the Gimi. Ophir's responsibility will be to construct and build the sub-sea facilities, drill the development wells, manage the performance of the reservoirs and, together with the Ministry of Energy and Sonagas, to market the gas on behalf of all upstream parties.

Golar, with its partners Keppel Shipyard ("Keppel") and Black and Veatch have previously committed to the Gimi FLNG conversion in December 2014. Keppel is a global leader in the conversion of floating production, storage, and offloading vessels and floating storage and re-gasification units. Keppel, which has a track record of close to 120 conversions, already working with Golar to convert a similar LNG vessel for use offshore Cameroon. Black and Veatch is a leading provider of proprietary liquefaction technology.

The Gimi is expected to have an annual average capacity of 2.2 mtpa at a reservoir production rate of up to 400,000 mscfd (c. 67,000boepd) with first gas expected mid-2019. Ophir and Golar have agreed a vessel charter rate that is competitive with US liquefaction tolls and that ensures that the Fortuna LNG project is delivered at the low end of the cost curve for LNG projects.

The Fortuna FLNG project will now move into the full definition phase and Ophir has recently appointed Worley Parsons as Owners Engineer to the project. The midstream Front End Engineering and Design ("FEED") is expected to be completed by end-2015 and the upstream FEED is expected to be completed in Q2 2016. The project is planned to reach FID by mid-2016, at which point Ophir, Golar and GEPetrol intend to have signed a fully termed charter agreement based upon these heads of terms.

The flow rate established by the Fortuna drill stem test ("DST") conducted in late 2014 has resulted in a reduction in the estimated number of development wells required for first production from seven to three. As such, upstream capital expenditure to first gas is currently forecast to have been reduced by $200 million to around $800 million. Further savings are expected to be identified as the project moves through FEED. In keeping with its strategy of self-funding its development projects through selling down equity in the asset, Ophir will now turn its attention to bringing an upstream partner into the project, as well as reviewing options for incorporating the Fortuna LNG project into the Group's debt structure.

The previous agreement between Ophir and Excelerate Energy has been terminated by mutual agreement.

That was intended at 9.37am today........ now around 146p +2p, has been to 147.60p not long ago

re : intraday resistance @ 145p

Strange but true
New highs for the Year at both Oil crudes, but unable to break the 145p, other stocks on the same sector have been rising well for the last couple days.
PMO @ 184p, 10 days ago we were neck and neck on the same price
share price has gone over 145p as typing, but very volatile, maybe today will be the day

I had a go at what overage price was the cost of buying back $100,000 of shares

We know the total amount of shares bought 40,858.062 shares
and the amount paid $100,000

now the exchange is more difficult so I have to take middle price of about $1.55 to £1
From the $1.64 at 2nd September when the first by of 185k shares at 237p
to $1.51 on 1st of May of 393K at 144p
$1.46 was the low around end of April

Calculation
$100,000 : $1.55 = £64,516
£64,516 : 40,858.062 shares = 157.90p
157.90p is the overage price paid (1)



(1) What has made the overage so high compare with the price now is the 3 month after starting buying aroung 9M shares were bought from 237p to 160p

this weeks shares mag (page 34) rabbits on about this stock and its t/o possibilities
the chart is truly vile (see header), so either shares mag has an inside line or the market knows what it's talking about .....

my money goes with the latter, but i'm very happy to hear a contrary view

Odd one Cyners. I bought 2000 at 138p a few weeks ago but seem to have lost the plot. Stop loss set at 118p so thats my view. A weak buy!

i was very surprised that shares mag did not highlight either PMO or TLW as good t/o targets ..... they're not bad on fundies either

Yes TLW especially! I only hold 1000 just to keep my toe in!!

Trading Update

Ophir Energy plc ("Ophir") provides an update on activity for the first half of 2015 on entering a close period prior to publication of interim financial results on 13 August 2015.

Operations

Production during the first half of 2015 averaged 14,600 boepd, the Bualuang field in the Gulf of Thailand contributing 12,600 boepd. Production is on track to meet expectations for the full year.

Ophir continues to advance and significantly de-risk the Fortuna FLNG project in Equatorial Guinea. The selection of Golar FLNG as the midstream partner lowers the capital intensity of the project, with upstream capex to first gas expected to be c. $800 mm, and accelerates the lead time to first gas. Both upstream and mid-stream FEED studies are commencing this quarter with a Final Investment Decision in mid-2016 and delivery of first gas in mid-2019.

In Thailand, rig discussions are at an advanced stage ahead of a drilling campaign in the second half that will include two exploration wells on the G4/50 licence - the specific prospects high graded for drilling will be detailed in due course.

Operations elsewhere are progressing to plan. The Group has recently completed the acquisition of 10,800 km2 of 3D seismic data offshore Myanmar. In Indonesia, mechanical completion of the Kerendan Gas Project in Kalimantan is forecast to complete this month and the development remains on schedule to start delivering 20 mmscfd in 2H 2016.


Cost Reductions & Synergies

The integration of Salamander Energy plc's operations and of the Niko asset package has progressed well during the first half of 2015. Management has implemented a company-wide cost rationalisation programme which is now delivering $60 million per annum of ongoing pre-tax G&A cost savings and synergies (excepting one off restructuring costs) across the combined business.

These G&A cost savings are driven by removal of overlapping activities, by streamlining of operations and via lower Group headcount and contractor staffing. Ophir is in the process of closing five of the eleven offices either owned by the Group, or inherited at the time of the Salamander acquisition in March. The remaining six offices have also been scaled back to reduce costs and improve efficiency.


Balance Sheet

The Group's balance sheet remains strong with $720 million of cash on the balance sheet at end June. Approximately $180 million of the debt acquired with Salamander, principally the Convertible Bonds and $45 million of the Unsecured Bonds, has been repaid since acquisition; resulting in a net cash position of ca. $405 million as at 30 June 2015. The Group plans to review the debt portfolio in the second half of 2015 to capture the improved credit profile of combining the Salamander assets into the broader portfolio.

Group revenue, cash flow and capex are expected to be in line with expectations and the cash at year end 2015 remains as previously forecast at $700-750 million with a net cash position of $350-400 million.

Within the current year's budget, and the three year plan, there is significant financial flexibility. Ophir has only $100 million of contractually committed exploration and appraisal expenditure in the remainder of the 2015 to 2017 period. Furthermore the carrying costs of the Tanzania LNG project are comfortably manageable with around only $40 million of spending across 2H 2015 and 2016.

Ophir's robust financial health and high degree of discretionary expenditure provide the Board with considerable financial and strategic flexibility at this point in the commodity cycle. The Board nevertheless remains committed to disciplined capital allocation and to managing the portfolio to optimise returns to shareholders across the asset life cycle.

Nick Cooper, Chief Executive Officer of Ophir commented:

"This is a tough time in the commodity cycle but Ophir has a strong balance sheet and minimal capex commitments. Our financial flexibility provides a competitive advantage and Management is actively screening opportunities to enhance shareholder returns.

"The integration of Salamander is progressing well: we are delivering cost savings of $60 mm, which exceed the previously identified synergies. Even after the partial deleveraging in the first half of 2015, the cash flow from our producing assets will return Ophir to a similar cash position by end 2016 to that which the Group expected to have had pre-acquisition.

"In its operations, Ophir has had a successful first six months to 2015. We delivered production as forecast and all development activities are progressing to plan. In particular, the Fortuna FLNG development in Equatorial Guinea is passing its mid-stream and FEED milestones, and is significantly de-risked ahead of a mid-2016 FID. All the Group's activities, strategic and operational, underscore our commitment to preserve financial strength and drive growth in NAV per share."

Certainly not holding but interesting to see when the fall gets to an end and then use the cash. Oil prices has fallen heavily this afternoon and the reason for the DOW to drop 166 points
------------

Why Are Ophir Energy Plc, Circle Oil Plc And Tullow Oil plc In A Slump This Week?
By Motley Fool | Wed, 19th August 2015 - 16:05

The oil and gas business is in a slump for sure, but over the past week or so the decline has been accelerating for some in the sector, through no apparent fault of their own.

Look at Ophir Energy, (LSE:OPHR), for example. A broker downgrade at the start of the week possibly triggered the latest fall, with the share price now having lost 23% over the past five trading days, to 88p as I write -- and over 12 months, Ophir stock has crashed by 58%.

The latest dip comes after first-half results released on 13 August, which looked reasonable. Ophir is not expected to deliver any profit this year, and in fact recorded a pre-tax loss of $123m in the half, but it's expected to just exceed break-even in 2016. So, the question is whether the firm has the cash needed to get that far.

Looking safe

And the answer seems to be that it does, easily, with net cash of $392m on its books and CEO Nick Cooper saying that "Ophir continues to differentiate itself through the robustness of its financial position". And if that's not enough, the company was able to complete a $100m buyback of its own shares in the half.

Turning to the smaller oilies, we see the £35m Circle Oil (LSE:COP) in a similar position, with its share price heading further down recently, to bring in a 65% fall over the past 12 months to just 6.2p. Forecasts suggest that Circle will be close to break-even in 2016, so again we're looking at a similar liquidity question.

At year-end in December (not reported until June), Circle told us of total revenues of $85m, down 9% due to falling oil prices, though the firm had available cash of $34.5m -- although net debt was up to $59.2m by the end of May 2015. But with a four-year reserve-based debt facility having been agreed only in March 2014, which could provide up to $100m, and with Circle enjoying relatively low production costs in Egypt, I see no imminent danger.

I'll finish with a look at Tullow Oil (LSE:TLW), which has seen its share price fall 10% in the past five days, and by a whopping 71% in 12 months -- and an eye-watering 86% since February 2012! Tullow has had a couple of painful years, with earnings per share falling by three quarters in 2013, followed by a bone-jarring $2bn pre-tax loss in 2014.

Set for a nice recovery?

But the firm's restructuring and cost-saving was bearing fruit by the mid-way point this year, and though Tullow was facing net debt of $3.6bn, it still had a cash and debt headroom position of $2.3bn. And in an operational update last week, CEO Aidan Heavey told us that Tullow "continues to make good progress [...] with continued emphasis on managing costs, capital expenditure and the balance sheet".

There's a small profit on the cards for Tullow this year, but a significant rise forecast for 2016 would being the P/E down to about 16 -- and a continued recovery could make Tullow a good investment for the stout-hearted.

Time to take stock in @ 90.55p ( 90.40 / 90.70p )

Most oil stocks have move up for the last couple of day but OPHR has been left behind as is forming a bottom on the latest drop.

Today the order book is much stronger now a DEPTH of 97 v 81 and has the up and downs as usual but on the uptrend form on moving over 90p the latest intraday high

funny old stock this
it gets regular puffing press but has signally failed to perform, as of course is common right across the oilie board

whether or not its sector is irrelevant and it's just a good trading stock on chart pattern, as mentor suggests, may be another matter

OIL stocks

How are other shares on the sector are performing today, OPHR is the worse so far
on % terms

OPHR OPHIR ENERGY
+2.18 2.47% 90.12

ENQ ENQUEST
+1.50 4.92% 32.00

GKP GULF KEYSTONE
+3.00 11.11% 30.00

PMO PREMIER OIL
+6.95 7.41% 100.70

Even contracts in the 2022 to 2023 time frame are selling in the $63 range.


http://www.wallstreetdaily.com/2015/08/17/u-s-shale-oil-overproduction/

I don't see any upside in oilers from here to be honest. GLA.

I am looking for a short term bounce not next year or 2022 though $63 would be a 60% rise for the Texas oil

you can not trust MAM this days with the charts or anything else for the purpose

share price gone to 92.05 "AT" as high of the day after making a lovely Intraday BOWL and at the end moving higher than this morning 91.70p