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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

capetown - 19 Mar 2008 09:49 - 1588 of 2350

Lets hope the SP HOLDS,

relishing - 19 Mar 2008 11:55 - 1589 of 2350

Lots more info on the website http://www.seftonresources.com/news/press_releases/20_Mar_08.asp

Pictures of drilling logs etc - may be meaningful to any experts on here? I sure can't read them!

relishing - 19 Mar 2008 12:38 - 1590 of 2350

Highlights for me:

"Recent drilling since November, 2007 has significantly improved cash flow
and the four additional wells should add to this improvement."

"All four wells had excellent mudlog oil shows while drilling, with oil in the
rock cuttings and drilling mud. Wireline logs in all wells displayed resistivity readings indicative of oil productive sands. These appear equal to, or better than, TEG USA's other development wells drilled in the field over the past two years."

"steam testing will yield results shortly"

"We are extremely pleased that, with successful drilling results at Tapia and
improved cash flow, Sefton and its subsidiaries are now in the position of being
able to be flexible in deciding how to:
*Complete the full development of Tapia Field
*Further develop Eureka Canyon Field, and
*Initiate a pilot drilling programme within its Kansas CBM acreage."

rhino213 - 19 Mar 2008 12:56 - 1591 of 2350

and the SP slips back to where it was this morning. I'm getting pretty p1ssed off with this.

capetown - 19 Mar 2008 13:00 - 1592 of 2350

Same here rhino,
This is the great news we have all been waiting for,
Oil at an all time high,yet the sp is way down on previous high,what does it take!

relishing - 19 Mar 2008 13:00 - 1593 of 2350

I hope it doesn't rhino!

capetown - 19 Mar 2008 13:04 - 1594 of 2350

At the end of the day the sellers are choosing to sell,and the mms know if they up the price the sells will outstrip the buys,still not enough demand for these despite the great news.

relishing - 19 Mar 2008 13:13 - 1595 of 2350

In general I think the only increased demand that appears in less than 6 hours will be from jump-in-and-out pseudo-trader types, exactly what we don't want as this causes the spikes up and sharp drops back down.

The smart new investor money that we want will come in gradually in the days and weeks and months ahead.

What we really want I believe is a sustained rise, not a sharp increase on the day of an RNS then a drop back.

Experienced investors will usually wait for a fall-back as impulse-traders sell anyway, before buying in at a better price.

capetown - 19 Mar 2008 13:22 - 1596 of 2350

Agreed,where are they?,its a great RNS!!!

relishing - 19 Mar 2008 16:14 - 1597 of 2350

Nice bit of buying just now capetown?

Its those smart investors getting in :)

capetown - 19 Mar 2008 16:39 - 1598 of 2350

Lets hope so,it will be better if the sp HOLDS at these levels and buying continues.

relishing - 19 Mar 2008 16:44 - 1599 of 2350

Yep. A rise tomorrow rather than a fall would mark a change from the old pattern here. Lets all pray for one tonight.

driver - 19 Mar 2008 17:57 - 1600 of 2350

The other half dragged me round Harrods all day so only just read RNS a lot to take in 100% better than we all thought it would be, never seen so much volume it now looks like we are finely on our way about time.

relishing - 19 Mar 2008 18:01 - 1601 of 2350

It's very solid isn't it. And all those juicy numbers still to come!

driver - 19 Mar 2008 18:04 - 1602 of 2350

relishing
Will leave the numbers for you to sort out but at a glance it looks better than we first thought.

relishing - 19 Mar 2008 18:30 - 1603 of 2350

I meant the actual production rates from the 4 new wells that are "equal or better to wells previously drilled" which we still have to look forward to in the coming week or so :)

relishing - 20 Mar 2008 10:26 - 1604 of 2350

Oh dear what caused that 7.7% drop?

Looks like we didn't pray hard enough!

capetown - 20 Mar 2008 10:29 - 1605 of 2350

NOT enough buyers!

relishing - 20 Mar 2008 10:30 - 1606 of 2350

And there was decent buying volume this morning as well - and the last 2 trades showing were 50k buys. No doubt we will see a large delayed sell at around 11:05am to explain the 7.7% drop then.

kkeith2000 - 20 Mar 2008 15:25 - 1607 of 2350

Yesterdays rise almost gone now, not even taken as some positive news in the update
Looks like we may have to wait for the next one now
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