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Highland Gold (HGM)     

keith thomas - 17 Jan 2004 21:29

Anyone have any views on whether this share is going anywhere??


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HGM&Si

goldfinger - 25 Nov 2008 15:10 - 16 of 181

price of gold $830 got to help the Sp going forward.

jkd - 25 Nov 2008 15:21 - 17 of 181

i've been looking for some longs to offset my short stance.
this might fit the bill. will buy on dip. lol do i sound like a journalist?
regards
jkd

goldfinger - 25 Nov 2008 15:30 - 18 of 181

100 million to 120 million cash says you buy quicker than you thought.

regards Gf.

jkd - 25 Nov 2008 16:00 - 19 of 181

dont think so gf
if it gets away from me, then so be it.
regards
jkd

goldfinger - 25 Nov 2008 16:42 - 20 of 181

It has come down a couple of points at the close.

jkd - 25 Nov 2008 17:54 - 21 of 181

gf
so how much you owe me?
lets split the difference and say 110 mil how you want to pay? cash or cheque? you did say cash.
regards
jkd

goldfinger - 26 Nov 2008 01:21 - 22 of 181

LOL, Cheque.... but make sure i dont sign it mickey mouse.

steveo - 04 Feb 2009 21:08 - 23 of 181

Really surprised that no one seems to be too bothered by this one, have made 2 lots of 35% profit on this in last 4 months, will be getting its new mine on line in next few months after a delay, sp has risen from a good support at 31p recently, not in it at the moment but looking for a fall back before getting in again, could be a good punt when it gets back down around lower 40s, stick it on your watch list.

Balerboy - 05 Feb 2009 10:55 - 24 of 181

In H2 2008 Mnogovershinnoye (MNV) produced 90,002 ounces of gold bringing the yearly production to 158,885 ounces which is within the forecasted range and exceeds the 2007 production figure by 1.5%
At the end of 2008 due to the fall in metal prices and to conserve cash it was decided together with our joint venture partner to delay the commissioning of the Novoshirokinskoye mine, and to slow down the development of the Mayskoye and Taseevskoye projects
All the works at the exploration sites of the Company planned for 2008 have been accomplished
Chairman, Duncan Baxter said, We are maintaining our cautious approach to expenditure while the markets remain volatile. When a sustained recovery is apparent, we will reassess this situation and consider the resumption of activities that have been slowed down or put on hold. During the last three months of 2008 the new management team has put in substantial efforts to reduce costs which should positively affect the Companys performance in 2009. Work on increasing the Companys efficiency will continue. We would also like to note that the recent recovery of the gold price is encouraging and the Board continues to keep a close eye on potential acquisitions of producing assets.

Financial results for the year to 31 December 2008 will be announced late April 2009.

steveo - 05 Mar 2009 17:17 - 25 of 181

Any idea why Goldman downgraded this recently, other than it being overbought, now it's starting to look oversold considering the expected Gold bull market IMHO, especially if the new mine goes into production.

If the bounce in the gold sp holds I'm getting back in, will wait another day or two though, can't really see why this shouldn't go back to 60p or more in the next two to three months.

Goldman probably wanted some for themselves!!

cynic - 05 Mar 2009 17:18 - 26 of 181

how deep are Mr A's pockets and how much is he already hurting?

goldfinger - 28 May 2009 17:25 - 27 of 181

Corker of a base wedge/triangle pattern set up which should result in a big breakout and move north especially with gold sp on the rise........

goldfinger - 29 May 2009 00:28 - 28 of 181

Backed by broker Buys aswell.

cynic - 29 May 2009 06:46 - 29 of 181

using a more simplistic chart, i think i would want to see sp move sharply above 55 before a breakout can be called ..... that said, downside looks fairly limited

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HGM&SiChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HGM&Si

goldfinger - 29 May 2009 08:14 - 30 of 181

Nice charts old mate. Nice to hear from you again.

Not been here as much as would have liked as per usual making 'loads err money'.

Happen to think its one of the best patterns ive seen for many a month, look at the time it took to form, thats the clue as to how strong the breakout will be.

cynic - 29 May 2009 08:22 - 31 of 181

not sure what i think of gold at the moment and don't hold any gold mining shares, but may well change my mind ..... glad to have called crude prices reasonably well when all about us were forecasting $30 and lower

btw, i still like CEY as a minnow miner

cynic - 29 May 2009 08:27 - 32 of 181

just noted wide spread +/-4p and very low liquidity with 5000 being EMS

goldfinger - 29 May 2009 09:10 - 33 of 181

Yep but that spreds being manipulated at the moment by the MMs, give it time and theyl let go.

Good call on crude cyners.

goldfinger - 29 May 2009 09:32 - 34 of 181

From a fundies point of view everything looks in place for a smart re rating here.......

forward P/E of just over 8.4 way undervalued IMHO......

Highland Gold Mining Ltd

FORECASTS
2009 2010

Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Arbuthnot Securities [R]
28-05-09 NEUT 31.02 6.89 27.36 5.53

Fox Davies Capital
28-05-09 BUY 4.42 5.85

Investec Securities [R]
22-04-09 BUY 20.24 4.68 22.34 4.68

Alfa Bank
11-11-08 UREV

2009 2010
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 0.00 4.42 0.00 0.00 5.85 0.00
1 Month Change -26.89 -0.48 -25.44 1.17
3 Month Change -26.11 -0.38 -25.08 1.17


GROWTH
2008 (A) 2009 (E) 2010 (E)

Norm. EPS 163.68% -49.19% 32.35%
DPS % % %

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2008 (A) 2009 (E) 2010 (E)

EBITDA 73.77m 33.47m 40.44m

EBIT 64.22m m m

Dividend Yield % % %

Dividend Cover x x x

PER 5.69x 11.20x 8.46x

PEG 0.04f -0.23f 0.26f

Net Asset Value PS 68.96p p p

cynic - 29 May 2009 10:10 - 35 of 181

quite right .... spread is now sensible and have taken a modest plunge, prob just to trade in/out
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