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Amerisur Reources : Sth. American Oil/Gas explorer (AMER)     

Sharesure - 30 Jun 2007 18:48

Amerisur Resources is exploring for oil and gas in South America, currently in Colombia and later it plans to exploit its licences in Paraguay. It has a new Board of Directors and following a recent Placing at 6p (250m shares) sufficient cash to see through its current drilling plans and carry out some further corporate asset improvement opportunities.

Valuation of Amerisur Resources : 'Rule of Thumb' based on c.800m shares and using 10% DCF on oil at $70/barrel is 0.75p on the sp for every 1m barrels (CHP's share) that is proved in the ground.

Amerisur (formerly Chaco Resources) now has two exploration blocks in Colombia which it is currently evaluating and preparing to drill, one of these in the last quarter of 2007. It has also applied for further blocks in Colombia which are also believed to offer near term production. It also has three substantial areas in Paraguay and is awaiting news on a fourth. The next six months (May-November 2008) should see a steady news flow as it establishes the companys transformation from being an exploration company to becoming a significant oil production company. Set out below are some of the milestones which should produce announcements and have a positive effect on the share price. Any potential reserves are quoted in recoverable oil assets.



Platinillo, Colombia :

100% interest in a field currently assessed at holding 38.1m barrels of light sweet crude oil. Previously this a well flowed at 533 b/d before it was capped.Modern extraction methods may achieve up to double this output/well. Drilling completed for assessment and details of reserve figures and resumption of production daily figures awaited at Dec.2009. (Some guessestimates suggest the field might contain as much as 70m-100m barrels.)

b>



Tigra/Fenix block

100%% Further 3D seismic is completed; previous drilling has resulted in 30,000 barrels of oil from this block. Other blocks nearby in the Magdalena basin have also produced well. Drilled 11/2009; optimistic RNS (17 leads to follow)but reserve figures awaited

RNS :Expect further news on this block imminently and maybe a JV or other arrangement to speed up the timescale to production



Additional blocks to be announced

New local management team, in particular the CEO, is reputed to have some excellent contacts which will bring some high quality blocks to Amerisur in the coming months.

Curupayty Block, Paraguay :

1.39m hectares in north, close to Bolivia. Two wells previously drilled and both showed oil.

RNS : Expect JV with larger producer.



San Pedro Block, Paraguay :

1m hectares in south-east. Previous drilling showed oil.

RNS : Expect JV with larger producer.



Parana Basin, Paraguay :

Canindeyu block covering 1,789,000 hectares. Bordering Brazil. Oil field on Brazilian side already drilled. Chaco also expect to find oil and, at a deeper level, considerable quantities of gas. Chaco has obtained valuable historic seismic for re-evaluation.

RNS : Presidential Decree received 2/11/06.. Petrobras has announced its intention to increase substantially its effort to exploit Paraguay's hydrocarbons and has announced a farm-in on CDS's adjacent block. Possibility that they or another major will do likewise with Amerisur



Corporate Activity : The new Chairman is believed to have been brought on board to prove some or all of the existing Colombian assets and get these oil producing, arrange a JV on the Paraguayan assets before negotiating a sale of the company as consolidation of explorers in the region continues. An exit sp north of 1.00 over the next 12 months might be a reasonable target provided the drilling programme lives up to expectations, the price of oil remains at/above current levels and an approach is made for the company.

dealerdear - 18 Dec 2009 08:31 - 1629 of 3289

gut instinct was 7p but the charts suggest about 8.5p.

Sharesure - 18 Dec 2009 10:30 - 1630 of 3289

Dealer, so the buyer that bought a further 8m at 10.6p has finished hoovering up what is available? I don't think so.

dealerdear - 18 Dec 2009 10:42 - 1631 of 3289

It's only my instinct and I may well be wrong.

However, I've no idea where you get your info from. All I know is when I sold out, on the 'trades' above it showed as a buy.

Sharesure - 18 Dec 2009 10:54 - 1632 of 3289

We'll know soon enough since if that stake is increased then it will need another RNS in the next day or so - unless of course they 'forget' to notify which seemed to be the case on the Rex Harbour stake announced recently.
As for determining which are buys and which are sells I don't think that's possible with this site's system because of the time lag and sp trading range. I don't bother anyway except that the 8m trade had to be a buy otherwise the sp would have tanked. There were plenty of sells to have aggregated to fill an 8m buy order, plus plenty of opportunity to mop up other stock where some may have been closing out positions ahead of the xmas break.

blackdown - 18 Dec 2009 15:56 - 1633 of 3289

Dd,

Looks like your instinct was indistinct.

2517GEORGE - 18 Dec 2009 15:59 - 1634 of 3289

KOD.
2517

dealerdear - 18 Dec 2009 20:04 - 1635 of 3289

lol. I just can't work this market out. But nothing seems to be going up that I can see. I'm afraid I'm still not convinced that it isn't MM playing games to try to get you to buy back in. The truth will emerge in the New Year when presumably there is going to be one hell of a surge one way or t'other.

For the moment I stand by what I say.

Moneylender - 21 Dec 2009 10:06 - 1636 of 3289

Morning all. I see the Inst presentations of last week
has had some effect today. I expected some to SHELLout
on a few today!

We are now approaching 100M Market Cap so we will come on
others radar as well!!

M

robertalexander - 21 Dec 2009 10:25 - 1637 of 3289

sold half, in at 4.5p so picked a winner at last and remainder in for free.
merry christmas and good luck to all holders
alex

Sharesure - 21 Dec 2009 10:34 - 1638 of 3289

Amerisur has today moved to being a SETS traded stock - a sign that greater liquidity is anticipated and that in turn implies the mgt expect the market cap to be above 150m fairly quickly.

dealerdear - 21 Dec 2009 11:13 - 1639 of 3289

Certainly I seem to have been proved wrong in the short-term but the graph doesn't have a 'real' feel to me. Maybe someone is building-up a stake or MM are racking-up the price for a reason but I still think in 3-6 months this will be well below where it is now.

Good luck to holders.

Moneylender - 21 Dec 2009 11:47 - 1640 of 3289

Dealer, we are now trading under SETS rules, not quite so easy for MM's to play games.
Those of us with "Direct Access" can and do, by pass the MM's alltogether.

M

annibendod - 21 Dec 2009 12:22 - 1641 of 3289

Glad to see this moving North at last.

Merry Christmas to you all, especially my fellow lth's.

Where is cynic, as I'm itching to see his/her negative take on events!!!!!!!!!!!!

dealerdear - 21 Dec 2009 12:34 - 1642 of 3289

The really odd thing though is that at the moment barely nothing else is rising or even looks capable of rising no matter what the FTSE does. Nearly all companies are trading in very tight patterns (I have about 80 on my Stockwatch that I watch every day) which makes you wonder why AMER is different. I don't think it is anything to do with prospects but I also have to confess I don't know the reason why. Time will tell I guess.

blackdown - 21 Dec 2009 13:02 - 1643 of 3289

If you don't know the reason for the rise in the sp, then why do you state that you don't think it's anything to do with prospects. That's just b***s.

LR2 - 21 Dec 2009 13:16 - 1644 of 3289

DD. It's prospects. It's Paraguay.

Moneylender - 21 Dec 2009 13:39 - 1645 of 3289

DD, its just poss, just, that Paraguay has 7.5 Billion barrels of oil in
our blocks alone!!!!!

lol

dealerdear - 21 Dec 2009 14:35 - 1646 of 3289

blackdown

Please leave off the insults, I am simply adding to the debate where I may be found to be right or wrong. A different perspective never did anyone any harm and if I am wrong over time then I will admit it.

I have no doubt that people on this thread know more about the company than me. However, I probably know more about trading and as such the charts suggest a correction is entirely probable.

If I am wrong then so be it and as I have said before, good luck to you all.

bhunt1910 - 21 Dec 2009 17:06 - 1647 of 3289

ML stop it. Looks like a ramp to me

Mind you I thought there was more !!!!!

leewink7 - 22 Dec 2009 00:58 - 1648 of 3289

this isn't going to go alot higher before the inevitible drop, deal, you are correct, and i commend anyone who says it as it is.

If i'm wrong tomorrow or the following, I will admit also, but i really cant see this rocketing with no fuel to do it.

Doesn't need charts or pretty pictures and colours, its obvious.

Simply a few people ramping the sp with small frequent buys, and if I see hefty / large scale buys later, i'll be shocked.
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