RESUME of various places.............
The conclusion is that GBO is investing heavily in growth. All items that diminish its cash are growth driven expenditure. ie source bits, invest in R&D and w/c impact of receivables. (the recivables are down from 160 days in 2012 to 110-117 in 2014 but notwistanding it costs cash to fund the w/c to grow.
A net Free cash flow of 10.38m (10% or revenue) is not shoddy
Strip Source bits and w/c tie up the cash would be improved to 15.13m (14%)
Now lets get real:
Globo FCF per share : 5.97% of current sp
ARM is 1.2% of current SP
RR. is 0.96% of current sp.
Admiral is 2.8%
Diagio 3.2%
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Last year's increase in working capitalresulted in cash outflow of 13.5m, this year's forecast is 11.9m. EBITDA forecast is 46.8m. The Sourcebits acquisition was $12m (USD) which is 9.6m euros but there was 0.6m in H1 (deferred consideration in respect of Notify) so total acquisition costs will be 10.2m euros. Forecasting capitalised R&D of 24.6m, interest payments of 3.1m. At year end net cash was 40.3m (vs 42.7m in 2013) so free cash flow for the year will be 7.8m euros (40.3 - 42.7 +10.2 = 7.8).
EBITDA figure of 34m looks low, we're forecasting an operating profit of 35m so adding back depreciation and amortisation costs (non cash costs reported in the P+L) of 11.8m takes us to 46.8m EBITDA.